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GAST

Georgia State 14 at South Carolina 35

SC
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2022 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreGAST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:32 · Kai Kroeger punt for 34 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 21Pregame prior+27.4Home team on offense+0.3Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 6:12: Mitch Jeter 53 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +5.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: Lead backed by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q2 4:20: Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 17 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK) — GAST win probability +9.0 pts (now 26%) (top driver: Defense has -3 timeouts left).
  3. TD · Q3 11:43: Darren Grainger run for 4 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK) — GAST win probability +12.7 pts (now 41%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:20: Spencer Rattler pass complete to MarShawn Lloyd for 16 yds for a TD, (S. Rattler Run For Two-point Conversion) — SC win probability +14.4 pts (now 81%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:12: DQ Smith 26 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Jaheim Bell Run for Two-Point Conversion) — SC win probability +13.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 11 of 12GAST made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 11:31GAST 4th & 1 at SC 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    20.7%−0.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    20.2%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:32SC 4th & 7 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:32SC 4th & 7 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:27GAST 4th & 4 at GAST 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:45SC 4th & 11 at SC 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:05GAST 4th & 6 at GAST 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00SC 4th & 5 at GAST 7, tied
    Close callWent for it · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.3%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    76.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    74.6%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:03GAST 4th & 9 at GAST 38, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:03SC 4th & 17 at SC 10, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%−1.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:04GAST 4th & 10 at GAST 11, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−1.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:12SC 4th & 10 at GAST 35, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.6%
    45% to make
    Punt
    78.1%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:46SC 4th & 7 at SC 43, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.4%
    average punt
  13. Q2 2:46SC 4th & 7 at SC 43, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.4%
    average punt
  14. Q2 1:48GAST 4th & 1 at GAST 24, down 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%−1.3
    average punt
  15. Q2 1:48SC 4th & 2 at SC 46, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    73.2%−1.0
    average punt
  16. Q3 5:12GAST 4th & 6 at GAST 38, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%
    average punt
  17. Q3 3:04GAST 4th & 8 at GAST 37, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:41GAST 4th & 20 at GAST 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−1.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 12:23SC 4th & 5 at SC 32, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  20. Q4 11:30GAST 4th & 11 at GAST 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  21. Q4 9:30GAST 4th & 7 at SC 30, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.4
    average punt
  22. Q4 5:46SC 4th & 8 at SC 43, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  23. Q4 5:46GAST 4th & 10 at SC 46, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%
    23% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  24. Q4 0:10SC 4th & 5 at SC 12, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 0 of 3GAST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 13:38SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    78.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    78.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:20GAST Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:43GAST Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:20SC Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    75.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    75.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:12SC Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    89.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1DOWNS
11 plays · 67 yds · 3:2919% → 20%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
80.8%
Jamyest Williams run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+41
80.8%
Jamyest Williams run for 41 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
80.8%
Jamyest Williams run for 5 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 23
-1
80.8%
Jamyest Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+7
80.8%
Darren Grainger run for 7 yds to the SCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
80.8%
Darren Grainger run for 2 yds to the SCaro 15Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+6
80.0%
Darren Grainger run for 6 yds to the SCaro 9Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+1
79.6%
Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd to the SCaro 8Similar
Q1 11:31
4TH & 1
OPP 8
0
79.7%
Tucker Gregg run for no gain to the SCaro 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2PUNT
12 plays · 42 yds · 3:5980% → 79%
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+15
79.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to MarShawn Lloyd for 15 yds to the SCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
79.9%
Jaheim Bell run for 8 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+1
80.0%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 1 yd to the SCaro 32Similar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+2
79.9%
Jaheim Bell run for 2 yds to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
80.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 3 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+10
80.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 10 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
80.2%
Jaheim Bell run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 7
50
0
80.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 7
50
0
80.1%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:32
4TH & 7
50
0
78.6%
Kai Kroeger punt for 34 ydsSimilar
Q1 7:32
4TH & 7
50
0
78.6%
Kai Kroeger punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Terrance Dixon at the GeoSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0521% → 21%
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
78.8%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 20Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+2
78.8%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 4
OWN 22
0
79.0%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:27
4TH & 4
OWN 22
+18
78.7%
Michael Hayes punt for 46 yds , Josh Vann returns for 18 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:4279% → 77%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
50
+1
78.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 1 yd to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
78.9%
MarShawn Lloyd run for no gain to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 9
OPP 49
-15
78.5%
RATTLER, Spencer pass up the middle complete for 9 yards to STOGNER, Austin caught at the GSU40 and advanced to the GSU40, End of Play. PENALTY USC Pass Interference on STOGNER, Austin enforced 15 yards to the USC36 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 24
OWN 36
+13
78.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 13 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q1 3:45
4TH & 11
OWN 49
0
77.0%
Kai Kroeger punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4023% → 22%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
77.2%
Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
77.1%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
77.4%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:05
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
77.6%
Michael Hayes punt for 45 yds, downed at the SCaro 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 4:2777% → 81%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
77.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+39
77.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 39 yds to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
78.3%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+13
78.3%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-3
78.3%
MarShawn Lloyd run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 15Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 15
-2
77.9%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Javon Denis and Shamar McCollum for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 17Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 17
+10
76.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 10 yds to the GeoSt 7Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+5
76.9%
Hunter Rogers run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
78.1%
LLOYD, MarShawn rush to the right for a loss of 2 yards to the GSU4 (LANE, Antavious). PENALTY GSU Face mask on LANE, Antavious enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the GSU2 to the GSU1 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.9%
MarShawn Lloyd 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2320% → 20%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
79.9%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
80.0%
Jamyest Williams run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q2 13:26
3RD & 7
OWN 40
-2
80.0%
Jamyest Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q2 12:03
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
80.5%
Michael Hayes punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 2:0081% → 80%
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
81.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for no gain to the SCaro 17Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+3
80.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 3 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 7
OWN 20
-10
80.5%
RATTLER, Spencer scrambles to the right for a gain of 15 yards to the USC35 (HUNTER, Jontrey), out of bounds. PENALTY USC Holding on GWYN, Jovaughn enforced 10 yards from the USC20 to the USC10 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 17
OWN 10
0
80.5%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:03
4TH & 17
OWN 10
0
80.1%
Kai Kroeger punt for 79 yds, downed at the GeoSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:5919% → 18%
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-3
81.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 8Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 13
OWN 8
+3
81.5%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 11Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 10
OWN 11
0
81.7%
Darren Grainger run for no gain to the GeoSt 11Similar
Q2 8:04
4TH & 10
OWN 11
+3
82.5%
Michael Hayes punt for 40 yds , Josh Vann returns for 3 yds to the GeoSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10FG
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:5283% → 88%
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
82.8%
Juju McDowell run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+10
82.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 10 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
83.0%
Juju McDowell run for no gain to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
82.9%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
82.8%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:12
4TH & 10
OPP 35
+53
87.9%
Mitch Jeter 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5216% → 26%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
84.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 28 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
83.2%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Marcellas Dial) to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
82.2%
Jamyest Williams run for 7 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+1
82.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 1 yd to the SCaro 21Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+4
83.0%
Jamyest Williams run for 4 yds to the SCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
74.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 17 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:3478% → 77%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
78.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 15 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
79.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 3 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
79.7%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
78.5%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:46
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
77.1%
Kai Kroeger punt for 42 yds, downed at the GeoSt 15Similar
Q2 2:46
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
77.1%
Kai Kroeger punt for 42 yds, downed at the GeoSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:5823% → 19%
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
77.1%
Jamyest Williams run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 17Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
77.2%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+7
81.6%
Tucker Gregg run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 1
OWN 24
0
81.0%
Michael Hayes punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14FG
8 plays · 42 yds · 1:4878% → 80%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
78.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Austin Stogner for 7 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
78.9%
Spencer Rattler run for 6 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
78.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for 2 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-10
79.2%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Blake Carroll for a loss of 10 yards to the SCaro 30Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 18
OWN 30
+16
77.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 16 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+21
78.0%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 6 yds to the SOCAROLINA 48 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Marcus Carroll) to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
80.4%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+51
79.6%
Mitch Jeter 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:4678% → 78%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
77.8%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 2 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
77.8%
Spencer Rattler pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 16TD
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:3128% → 41%
Q3 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
72.3%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+20
72.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamyest Williams for 20 yds to the SCaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
72.1%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the SCaro 10Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+1
72.1%
Darren Grainger run for 1 yd to the SCaro 9Similar
Q3 14:14
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+7
73.1%
Darren Grainger run for 7 yds to the SCaro 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
72.1%
Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 4Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
59.3%
Darren Grainger run for 4 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:0265% → 81%
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
64.5%
Jaheim Bell run for 9 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
64.0%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 2 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
62.9%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Quavian White for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 30Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 16
OWN 30
+23
61.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 23 yds to the GeoSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
65.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for 16 yds to the GeoSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
66.9%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+13
66.9%
Jaheim Bell run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
66.9%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
81.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to MarShawn Lloyd for 16 yds for a TD, (S. Rattler Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 18PUNT TD
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:0825% → 12%
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
75.3%
WILLIAMS, Jamyest rush to the right for a gain of 24 yards to the GSU49 (EMMANWORI, Nick), out of bounds. PENALTY GSU Holding on CUNNINGHAM, Montavious enforced 10 yards from the GSU25 to the GSU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+4
75.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamyest Williams for 4 yds to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+15
75.9%
GRAINGER, Darren pass to the left incomplete intended for LEWIS, Robert thrown to the USC42. PENALTY USC Pass Interference on DIAL, Marcellas enforced 15 yards to the GSU34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
74.4%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
74.9%
Jamyest Williams run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q3 7:20
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
74.4%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:12
4TH & 6
OWN 38
+26
88.0%
DQ Smith 26 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Jaheim Bell Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:087% → 6%
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.0%
Darren Grainger run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
92.5%
Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q3 5:12
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
92.7%
Darren Grainger run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
92.4%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
92.7%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q3 5:12
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
92.5%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:04
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+12
94.2%
Michael Hayes punt for 48 yds , Josh Vann returns for 12 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20INT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:0197% → 95%
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
97.4%
Juju McDowell run for 4 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
97.4%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+9
97.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 9 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
97.5%
Jaheim Bell run for 5 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+3
97.5%
Juju McDowell run for 3 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q3 0:03
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
98.3%
Spencer Rattler pass intercepted return for no gain to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q3 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-15
94.6%
GRAINGER, Darren pass up the middle incomplete intended for THRASH, Jamari thrown to the USC15. PENALTY GSU Personal Foul on WILLIAMS, Jamyest enforced 15 yards from the GSU38 to the GSU23 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:195% → 5%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 25
OWN 23
+5
95.1%
Jamyest Williams run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 28
0
95.1%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 28
0
95.2%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:41
4TH & 20
OWN 28
0
95.4%
Michael Hayes punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:1898% → 98%
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
98.0%
Jaheim Bell run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 26Similar
Q4 14:41
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+1
97.9%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 1 yd to the SCaro 27Similar
Q4 14:41
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+5
97.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 5 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q4 12:23
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
98.4%
Kai Kroeger punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Terrance Dixon at the GeoSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 23PUNT TD
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:534% → 1%
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
96.2%
Jamyest Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 11
OWN 27
0
96.4%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:23
3RD & 11
OWN 27
0
96.4%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:30
4TH & 11
OWN 27
+10
99.1%
Ahmarean Brown 10 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Mitch Jeter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 47 yds · 2:001% → 1%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.0%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+44
99.0%
Marcus Carroll run for 44 yds to the SCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
98.9%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
98.9%
Tucker Gregg run for no gain to the SCaro 33Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.0%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q4 9:30
4TH & 7
OPP 30
0
99.1%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 3:44100% → 100%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 11
OWN 30
-1
99.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jaheim Bell for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 29Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+9
99.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Josh Vann for 9 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+3
99.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 3 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.8%
Juju McDowell run for 1 yd to the SCaro 42Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+1
99.8%
Juju McDowell run for 1 yd to the SCaro 43Similar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:46
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
99.7%
Kai Kroeger punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Terrance Dixon at the GeoSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 26INT
10 plays · 72 yds · 2:541% → 1%
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
99.5%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 13Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 7
OWN 13
-3
99.5%
Darren Grainger run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 10Similar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+44
99.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 44 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.5%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
99.5%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
99.5%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:46
4TH & 10
OPP 46
+13
99.5%
Darren Grainger run for 13 yds to the SCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
99.4%
GRAINGER, Darren pass to the left incomplete intended for BRAND, Lamarcus broken up by EMMANWORI, Nick at the USC1. PENALTY USC Pass Interference on SMITH, Cam enforced 15 yards to the USC18 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.3%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
99.5%
Darren Grainger pass intercepted return for no gain to the SCaro 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:42100% → 100%
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
99.9%
Juju McDowell run for 2 yds to the SCaro 9Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 8
OWN 9
-1
99.9%
Dante Miller run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 8Similar
Q4 2:52
3RD & 9
OWN 8
+4
99.9%
Dante Miller run for 4 yds to the SCaro 12Similar
Q4 0:10
4TH & 5
OWN 12
0
99.8%
Kai Kroeger punt for 51 yds, downed at the GeoSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.7%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:20
Spencer Rattler pass complete to MarShawn Lloyd for 16 yds for a TD, (S. Rattler Run For Two-point Conversion)
+14.4
TD · Q3 5:12
DQ Smith 26 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Jaheim Bell Run for Two-Point Conversion)
+13.5
TD · Q3 11:43
Darren Grainger run for 4 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)
-12.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com