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UTAH

Utah 26 at Florida 29

FLA
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2022 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-6FLA 35.0%Jordan Noyes 31 yd FG GOODAWAY 13 - HOME 7 · Q2 3:18
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:18 · Jordan Noyes 31 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differential
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 66Pregame prior−5.7Home team on offense−6.9Garbage-time factor−1.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.7Score differential−2.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:42: Anthony Richardson run for 45 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK) — FLA win probability +15.8 pts (now 55%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:12: Micah Bernard 7 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — UTAH win probability +25.0 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:48: Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 14 yds for a TD, (Anthony Richardson pass to Ja'Quavion Fraziars for Two-Point Conversion) — FLA win probability +29.3 pts (now 72%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:26: Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK) — UTAH win probability +33.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:25: Anthony Richardson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK) — FLA win probability +44.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UTAH made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:24FLA 4th & 5 at FLA 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:52UTAH 4th & 8 at UTAH 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:00FLA 4th & 2 at UTAH 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    42.5%−0.6
    81% to make
    Punt
    38.5%−4.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:26UTAH 4th & 6 at FLA 25, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.0%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    48.8%−3.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:58FLA 4th & 12 at FLA 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−1.8
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:18UTAH 4th & 8 at FLA 13, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    48.7%−5.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:41UTAH 4th & 10 at FLA 48, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:02UTAH 4th & 1 at FLA 1, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    40.5%−4.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    29.4%−15.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:11FLA 4th & 10 at midfield, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:51FLA 4th & 2 at UTAH 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    25.3%−2.9
    64% to make
    Punt
    11.3%−16.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UTAH made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 11:23UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:39FLA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:42FLA Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:12UTAH Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    67.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    66.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:48FLA Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    62.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    62.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:26UTAH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.1%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.5%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:25FLA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.9%−1.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1FUMBLE
7 plays · 64 yds · 2:0840% → 41%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
39.8%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 9 yds to the Fla 17Similar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 1
OWN 17
+4
40.0%
Anthony Richardson run for 4 yds to the Fla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
40.2%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 14 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
40.2%
Anthony Richardson run for 19 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
40.6%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 14 yds to the Utah 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+47
40.9%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Fla 25 Montrell Johnson Jr. fumbled, forced by Jonah Elliss, recovered by Utah R.J. Hubert , return for 47 yds to the Fla 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:1860% → 61%
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
40.2%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+12
40.3%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 12 yds to the Fla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
40.4%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Solomon Enis for 6 yds to the Fla 7Similar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 4
OPP 7
0
40.5%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Dalton KincaidSimilar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+7
39.3%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 7 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:4440% → 40%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+19
39.7%
Trevor Etienne run for 19 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
39.8%
Trevor Etienne run for 3 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+2
40.1%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Trevor Etienne for 2 yds to the Fla 42Similar
Q1 9:32
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
39.9%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Justin ShorterSimilar
Q1 9:24
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
39.6%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Devaughn Vele at the Utah 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5661% → 60%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
39.3%
Micah Bernard run for no gain to the Utah 16Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+2
39.3%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Utah 18Similar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 8
OWN 18
0
39.5%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q1 7:52
4TH & 8
OWN 18
0
39.7%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Xzavier Henderson at the Fla 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5TD
17 plays · 63 yds · 7:0340% → 46%
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
39.6%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Ricky PearsallSimilar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-5
39.6%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Kingsley Eguakun) to the Fla 32Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+11
39.4%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 11 yds to the Fla 43Similar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+4
39.8%
Anthony Richardson run for 4 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
40.1%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 7
50
-10
40.3%
Richardson, Anthony pass incomplete to Henderson, Xzavier, PENALTY FLORIDA holding (Wright, Nay'Quan) 10 yards to the FLORIDA40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 17
OWN 40
+2
39.4%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the Fla 42Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 15
OWN 42
+23
39.1%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 23 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
40.9%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 5 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
41.0%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Daejon ReynoldsSimilar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+6
40.4%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Utah 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
41.0%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Utah 18Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 4
OPP 18
-1
40.7%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 19Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+3
40.1%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 3 yds to the Utah 16Similar
Q1 1:00
4TH & 2
OPP 16
+14
38.9%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Montrell Johnson Jr. for 14 yds to the Utah 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
46.4%
Anthony Richardson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6FG
12 plays · 50 yds · 5:0457% → 58%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
43.4%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 7 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
42.6%
Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
43.0%
Cameron Rising run for 7 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+12
42.3%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 12 yds to the Fla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
42.1%
Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the Fla 38Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+2
41.9%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Fla 36Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+7
42.1%
Tavion Thomas run for 7 yds to the Fla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
41.4%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 8
OPP 27
-1
41.5%
Micah Bernard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 28Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+3
42.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 3 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q2 10:26
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+43
41.9%
Jordan Noyes 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:1242% → 39%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
42.2%
Nay'Quan Wright run for no gain to the Fla 11Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 10
OWN 11
-2
41.8%
Nay'Quan Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 9Similar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 12
OWN 9
0
40.4%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for no gain to the Fla 9Similar
Q2 7:58
4TH & 12
OWN 9
+10
38.9%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 39 yds , Devaughn Vele returns for 10 yds to the Fla 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8FG
10 plays · 25 yds · 4:3761% → 65%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
39.2%
Chris Curry run for no gain to the Fla 38Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+11
39.2%
Cameron Rising run for 11 yds to the Fla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
37.8%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+10
37.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 10 yds to the Fla 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
37.7%
Cameron Rising run for 2 yds to the Fla 13Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+5
37.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 5 yds to the Fla 8Similar
Q2 4:07
3RD & 3
OPP 8
0
38.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for no gain to the Fla 8Similar
Q2 3:23
4TH & 3
OPP 8
-5
41.0%
UTAH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Fla 13Similar
Q2 3:18
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+31
35.0%
Jordan Noyes 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9TD
5 plays · 79 yds · 1:2237% → 55%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
36.9%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 15 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
37.4%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
50
+5
39.5%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+45
55.2%
Anthony Richardson run for 45 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:5549% → 49%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
50.8%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 13 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
49.4%
Cameron Rising run for 14 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
47.3%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Devaughn VeleSimilar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
47.9%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
49.2%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Devaughn VeleSimilar
Q2 0:41
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
51.4%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
52.7%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 5 yds to the Fla 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12DOWNS
13 plays · 71 yds · 5:3648% → 48%
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
51.9%
Tavion Thomas run for 7 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+22
50.6%
Tavion Thomas run for 22 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
49.3%
Tavion Thomas run for 8 yds to the Fla 35Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+6
48.0%
Chris Curry run for 6 yds to the Fla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
48.1%
Chris Curry run for 4 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 6
OPP 25
0
48.1%
Chris Curry run for no gain to the Fla 25Similar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+17
49.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 17 yds to the Fla 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
48.4%
Tavion Thomas run for 7 yds to the Fla 1Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 0
OPP 1
0
47.3%
FLORIDA Penalty, Substitution Infraction ( Yards) to the Fla 1Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
48.5%
Tavion Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 3Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
50.3%
Cameron Rising run for 2 yds to the Fla 1Similar
Q3 9:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
52.3%
Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the Fla 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13PUNT
11 plays · 49 yds · 3:5155% → 56%
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
54.7%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Michael Tarquin) to the Fla 1Similar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+15
54.8%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 15 yds to the Fla 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+17
55.4%
Trevor Etienne run for 17 yds to the Fla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
56.2%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Keon ZippererSimilar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+7
55.9%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 7 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+10
57.6%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
50
0
60.0%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Dante ZandersSimilar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 10
50
+5
59.5%
Anthony Richardson run for 5 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q3 5:52
3RD & 5
OPP 45
-5
60.1%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:18
3RD & 10
50
0
57.6%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Justin ShorterSimilar
Q3 5:11
4TH & 10
50
0
55.8%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Devaughn Vele at the Utah 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14TD
10 plays · 89 yds · 4:5244% → 73%
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
56.4%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Utah 13Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+37
56.5%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 37 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
50
+8
51.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 8 yds to the Fla 42Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+3
51.3%
Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
51.9%
Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the Fla 38Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+5
52.2%
Devaughn Vele run for 5 yds to the Fla 33Similar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+5
52.1%
Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the Fla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
50.5%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (Dalton Kincaid) to the Fla 33Similar
Q3 0:46
1ST & 15
OPP 33
+26
51.8%
Cameron Rising run for 26 yds to the Fla 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
26.8%
Micah Bernard 7 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2135% → 72%
Q3 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.2%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Keon ZippererSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
34.9%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 16 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
38.4%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 11 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
40.1%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Keon Zipperer for 7 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+1
40.3%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Utah 40Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+17
39.7%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 17 yds to the Utah 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
42.2%
Anthony Richardson run for 9 yds to the Utah 14Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+14
71.5%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 14 yds for a TD, (Anthony Richardson pass to Ja'Quavion Fraziars for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 6:0737% → 78%
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
63.3%
Tavion Thomas run for 12 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
61.6%
Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+3
59.7%
Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 1
OWN 48
-5
59.9%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (Logan Kendall) to the Utah 43Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+14
62.4%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 14 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
58.8%
Tavion Thomas run for 7 yds to the Fla 36Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 3
OPP 36
0
58.5%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:03
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+3
59.0%
Chris Curry run for 3 yds to the Fla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+20
57.5%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 20 yds to the Fla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
57.2%
Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Fla 9Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+5
55.5%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Solomon Enis for 5 yds to the Fla 4Similar
Q4 6:26
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+4
22.3%
Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 4:4835% → 91%
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
35.1%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
35.3%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 4 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q4 4:57
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
31.4%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 5 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
33.3%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the Fla 38Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+7
33.8%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Trevor Etienne for 7 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+21
35.5%
Trevor Etienne run for 21 yds to the Utah 34 Trevor Etienne fumbled, forced by R.J. Hubert, recovered by Fla Trevor Etienne for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
39.1%
Trevor Etienne run for 4 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+2
39.2%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+2
36.0%
Anthony Richardson run for 2 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+9
32.2%
Anthony Richardson run for 9 yds to the Utah 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
38.5%
Anthony Richardson run for 4 yds to the Utah 13Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+10
38.3%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 10 yds to the Utah 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
39.0%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Utah 1Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.7%
Anthony Richardson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18INT
14 plays · 69 yds · 1:0223% → 22%
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
77.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 10 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
74.9%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+14
75.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 14 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
69.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 3 yds to the Fla 48Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+1
75.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 1 yd to the Fla 47Similar
Q4 0:43
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+28
77.4%
Cameron Rising run for 28 yds to the Fla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
69.4%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Money Parks for 4 yds to the Fla 15Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+9
77.2%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 9 yds to the Fla 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
77.6%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Devaughn VeleSimilar
Q4 0:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
77.6%
Cameron Rising pass intercepted, touchback. Amari Burney return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
96.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:25
Anthony Richardson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)
+44.2
TD · Q4 6:26
Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)
-33.1
TD · Q4 12:48
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 14 yds for a TD, (Anthony Richardson pass to Ja'Quavion Fraziars for Two-Point Conversion)
+29.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com