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VAN

Vanderbilt 63 at Hawai'i 10

HAW
2022 · Week 1 · Aug 27, 2022 · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadVAN aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreVAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:29 · Matthew Shipley punt for 43 yds , Will Sheppard returns for 1 yd to the Vandy 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.5+29.80−29.8−59.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 75Home team on offense−10.6Pregame prior−19.2Score differential−4.0Garbage-time factor−2.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:21: Anfernee Orji 28 Yd Fumble Return (Joseph Bulovas Kick) — VAN win probability +3.6 pts (now 77%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 10:24: Matthew Shipley 40 yd FG GOOD — HAW win probability +3.4 pts (now 27%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:01: Mike Wright 1 Yd Run (Joseph Bulovas Kick) — VAN win probability +5.2 pts (now 81%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:04: Rocko Griffin 10 Yd Run (Joseph Bulovas Kick) — VAN win probability +9.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:39: Re'Mahn Davis 12 Yd Run (Joseph Bulovas Kick) — VAN win probability +6.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 7 of 11VAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 9:53VAN 4th & 3 at VAN 35, down 7
    Close callPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:53HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 29, up 7
    Close callPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:27VAN 4th & 7 at HAW 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    64.2%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    64.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:18HAW 4th & 13 at VAN 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    37.0%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:24HAW 4th & 15 at VAN 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.0%
    72% to make
    Punt
    25.8%−4.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:24VAN 4th & 6 at HAW 9, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    65.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    61.3%−4.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:29HAW 4th & 19 at HAW 34, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−1.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:14VAN 4th & 1 at HAW 34, up 11
    Close callWent for it · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.0%−0.3
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    77.3%
    47% to make
    Punt
    76.0%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:28HAW 4th & 1 at VAN 38, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    12.6%−2.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    12.6%−2.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:04HAW 4th & 5 at VAN 13, down 32
    Close callWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%
    85% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:25HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 25, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:05HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 5, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:45VAN 4th & 5 at HAW 31, up 46
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:45VAN 4th & 5 at HAW 31, up 46
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:49HAW 4th & 19 at HAW 22, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:56VAN 4th & 10 at HAW 22, up 46
    Close callWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:30HAW 4th & 15 at VAN 45, down 46
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:59HAW 4th & 7 at VAN 34, down 53
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 1 of 1VAN made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 12:18HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:36VAN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:21VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:01VAN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:04VAN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:39VAN Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:47VAN Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:49VAN Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 1:38VAN Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:37VAN Touchdown, up 52 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:4220% → 22%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
19.7%
pass incomplete to Zion BowensSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
19.7%
pass complete to Jordan Murray for 12 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
19.7%
run for 8 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 45
0
19.7%
pass incomplete to James PhillipsSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+10
19.7%
pass complete to Zion Bowens for 10 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
19.7%
PENALTY Hawaii False Start (Bernal-Wendt,Stephan) 5 yards from Vandy45 to Vandy50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
50
+12
19.7%
pass complete to James Phillips for 12 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+1
19.7%
pass complete to James Phillips for 1 yd to the Vandy 37Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+37
21.9%
Dedrick Parson 37 Yd Run (Matthew Shipley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 2:2178% → 76%
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
21.8%
run for 3 yds to the Vandy 19Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+9
21.8%
run for 9 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 23
OWN 15
+20
21.8%
run for 20 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q1 9:53
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
23.7%
Matt Hayball punt for 65 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:0024% → 24%
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
23.8%
pass incomplete to Jordan MurraySimilar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
23.8%
pass incomplete to Zion BowensSimilar
Q1 9:53
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+9
23.6%
pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 9 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q1 8:53
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
24.2%
Matthew Shipley punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 4DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:2676% → 74%
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
24.2%
run for 5 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
24.1%
pass complete to Jayden McGowan for no gain to the Vandy 44Similar
Q1 8:53
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+12
24.1%
pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 12 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
24.0%
pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 2 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+1
24.0%
run for 1 yd to the Hawa 41Similar
Q1 8:53
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
24.0%
pass incomplete to Jayden McGowanSimilar
Q1 6:27
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
26.5%
pass incomplete to Devin Boddie Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:0927% → 28%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
27.0%
run for 5 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+12
27.1%
run for 12 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
27.2%
run for 2 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+5
27.2%
pass complete to Tylan Hines for 5 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 13
OPP 45
0
26.6%
pass incomplete to Dior ScottSimilar
Q1 4:18
4TH & 13
OPP 45
0
28.0%
Matthew Shipley punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 6TD
8 plays · 90 yds · 3:4272% → 75%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
28.4%
run for 4 yds to the Vandy 14Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+22
28.4%
run for 7 yds to the Vandy 21 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Tufaga,Isaiah) 15 yards from Vandy21 to Vandy36, 1ST DOWN. (Isaiah Tufaga) to the Vandy 36Similar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
27.9%
run for 2 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+9
27.8%
run for 9 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
27.5%
pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 12 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+34
27.3%
run for 34 yds to the Hawa 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
26.8%
run for 6 yds to the Hawa 1Similar
Q1 0:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
24.8%
Will Sheppard 1 Yd pass from Mike Wright (Joseph Bulovas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7FUMBLE RETURN TD
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+28
22.6%
Anfernee Orji 28 Yd Fumble Return (Joseph Bulovas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 4:3623% → 27%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
22.5%
pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 13 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
23.1%
pass complete to James Phillips for 1 yd to the Hawa 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+6
23.0%
pass complete to Grey Ihu for 6 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
23.9%
pass complete to James Phillips for 5 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+6
24.4%
run for 6 yds to the Vandy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
24.4%
pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 5 yds to the Vandy 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+3
24.4%
run for 3 yds to the Vandy 21Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+4
23.8%
run for 4 yds to the Vandy 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
24.4%
PENALTY Hawaii False Start 5 yards from Vandy17 to Vandy22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 22
0
24.2%
pass incomplete to Jordan MurraySimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 22
0
24.0%
pass incomplete to Tamatoa Mokiao-AtimalalaSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 22
0
23.1%
pass incomplete to Jordan MurraySimilar
Q2 10:24
4TH & 15
OPP 22
+40
26.5%
Matthew Shipley 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:2374% → 81%
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
26.1%
run for 1 yd to the Vandy 36Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+13
26.1%
run for 13 yds to the Vandy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
25.3%
pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 11 yds Jayden McGowan fumbled, forced by Peter Manuma, recovered by Vandy Jayden McGowan for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+27
25.1%
pass complete to Gavin Schoenwald for 27 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
24.4%
run for 4 yds to the Hawa 9Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 6
OPP 9
0
24.4%
run for no gain to the Hawa 9Similar
Q2 10:24
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+8
26.2%
pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 8 yds to the Hawa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
18.9%
Mike Wright 1 Yd Run (Joseph Bulovas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:2519% → 19%
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
19.1%
pass incomplete to Jonah PanokeSimilar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+6
19.0%
run for 6 yds to the Hawa 15Similar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+28
19.1%
pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 28 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
20.3%
pass incomplete to Jonah PanokeSimilar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+2
20.2%
run for 2 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 12
OWN 41
0
19.5%
HAWAII Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:29
4TH & 19
OWN 34
+1
18.7%
Matthew Shipley punt for 43 yds , Will Sheppard returns for 1 yd to the Vandy 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11DOWNS
7 plays · 42 yds · 3:1580% → 82%
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
19.9%
run for 5 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+7
19.6%
run for 7 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+21
19.4%
pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 21 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
18.8%
run for 1 yd to the Hawa 42Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 9
OPP 42
0
18.9%
pass incomplete to Quincy Skinner Jr.Similar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+8
19.0%
pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for 8 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q2 0:14
4TH & 1
OPP 34
0
18.0%
pass incomplete to Devin Boddie Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:1419% → 20%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
19.2%
pass complete to Dior Scott for 14 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
20.5%
pass incomplete to Jordan MurraySimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
19.5%
pass incomplete to Dior ScottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5680% → 91%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+54
20.0%
run for 39 yds to the HAWAII 36 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Soli,Mataio) 15 yards from Hawaii36 to Hawaii21, 1ST DOWN. (Mataio Soli) to the Hawa 21Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
18.9%
run for 11 yds to the Hawa 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
9.4%
Rocko Griffin 10 Yd Run (Joseph Bulovas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14DOWNS
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:3612% → 12%
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
12.1%
pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 8 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
12.6%
run for 3 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
12.6%
pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 17 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
13.4%
pass incomplete to James PhillipsSimilar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+8
13.3%
pass complete to James Phillips for 8 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q3 14:04
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+1
13.6%
pass complete to James Phillips for 1 yd to the Vandy 38Similar
Q3 11:28
4TH & 1
OPP 38
0
12.2%
run for no gain to the Vandy 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 15TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 1:4991% → 98%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
9.2%
pass incomplete to Will SheppardSimilar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+11
9.3%
run for 11 yds to the Vandy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+23
9.1%
pass complete to Will Sheppard for 23 yds to the Hawa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
8.7%
run for 16 yds to the Hawa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
2.0%
Re'Mahn Davis 12 Yd Run (Joseph Bulovas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:462% → 2%
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-6
1.9%
sacked by Myles Cecil for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 14Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 16
OWN 14
+14
1.6%
CJ Taylor 14 Yd Fumble Return (Joseph Bulovas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 55 yds · 2:362% → 1%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
1.6%
pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
50
+6
1.7%
pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 6 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+9
1.8%
pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 9 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+17
1.8%
pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 17 yds to the Vandy 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
1.8%
pass complete to James Phillips for 5 yds to the Vandy 13Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 5
OPP 13
0
1.8%
pass incomplete to Dior ScottSimilar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 5
OPP 13
0
1.7%
pass incomplete to Jalen WalthallSimilar
Q3 6:04
4TH & 5
OPP 13
0
1.3%
pass incomplete to Jalen WalthallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18TD
1 play · 87 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+87
1.1%
Mike Wright 87 Yd Run (Joseph Bulovas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:241% → 1%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.9%
pass incomplete to Tylan HinesSimilar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
0.8%
pass incomplete to James PhillipsSimilar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
0.8%
pass incomplete to James PhillipsSimilar
Q3 5:25
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
0.8%
Matthew Shipley punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20TD
10 plays · 61 yds · 3:4799% → 99%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
1.0%
run for no gain to the Vandy 39Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
1.0%
pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 6 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+7
1.0%
run for 7 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
0.9%
run for 1 yd to the Hawa 47Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+15
0.9%
Shotgun Wright,Mike pass incomplete short right to Sheppard,Will PENALTY Hawaii Pass Interference (Nelson,Hugh) 15 yards from Hawaii47 to Hawaii32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
0.9%
run for 12 yds to the Hawa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
0.9%
run for 5 yds to the Hawa 15Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 5
OPP 15
0
0.9%
pass incomplete to Will SheppardSimilar
Q3 1:38
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+15
0.7%
Will Sheppard 15 Yd pass from Mike Wright (Joseph Bulovas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
0.4%
run for 1 yd to the Hawa 2Similar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 11
OWN 2
+3
0.4%
run for 3 yds to the Hawa 5Similar
Q3 1:34
3RD & 8
OWN 5
0
0.4%
pass incomplete to Jordan MurraySimilar
Q3 0:05
4TH & 8
OWN 5
0
0.2%
Matthew Shipley punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 22DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:15100% → 99%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
0.5%
pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 5 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 31
0
0.5%
pass incomplete to Devin Boddie Jr.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 31
0
0.5%
pass incomplete to Logan KyleSimilar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 5
OPP 31
0
0.6%
pass incomplete to Logan KyleSimilar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 5
OPP 31
0
0.6%
pass incomplete to Logan KyleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:560% → 0%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
0.2%
pass incomplete to Jalen WalthallSimilar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-9
0.2%
sacked by Ja'Dais Richard for a loss of 9 yards to the Hawa 22Similar
Q4 13:56
3RD & 19
OWN 22
0
0.2%
pass incomplete to Tamatoa Mokiao-AtimalalaSimilar
Q4 13:49
4TH & 19
OWN 22
0
0.2%
Matthew Shipley punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 24DOWNS
7 plays · 43 yds · 3:53100% → 100%
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
0.5%
run for 5 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
0.5%
run for no gain to the Vandy 40Similar
Q4 13:49
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+38
0.5%
pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 38 yds to the Hawa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
0.5%
run for 1 yd to the Hawa 21Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 18
OPP 30
0
0.5%
run for no gain to the Hawa 30Similar
Q4 13:49
3RD & 18
OPP 30
+8
0.5%
pass complete to Chase Gillespie for 8 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q4 9:56
4TH & 10
OPP 22
0
0.3%
pass incomplete to Quincy Skinner Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 25DOWNS
13 plays · 33 yds · 3:260% → 0%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
0.1%
run for 4 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+9
0.1%
run for 9 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
0.1%
run for 9 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
0.1%
run for no gain to the Hawa 44Similar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
0.1%
run for 3 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
0.1%
pass complete to Dior Scott for 5 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+8
0.1%
pass complete to Dior Scott for 8 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
0.1%
pass incomplete to Grey IhuSimilar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-5
0.1%
PENALTY Hawaii False Start (Phillips,Caleb) 5 yards from Vandy40 to Vandy45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 15
OPP 45
0
0.1%
pass incomplete to Greyson MorganSimilar
Q4 6:49
3RD & 15
OPP 45
0
0.1%
pass incomplete to Greyson MorganSimilar
Q4 6:30
4TH & 15
OPP 45
0
0.1%
pass incomplete to Dior ScottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 26TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 2:53100% → 100%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
0.2%
run for 4 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+5
0.2%
run for 5 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+37
0.2%
run for 37 yds to the Hawa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
0.2%
run for 2 yds to the Hawa 7Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
0.2%
Cooper Lutz 7 Yd Run (Will Faris Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 27DOWNS
8 plays · 58 yds · 2:350% → 0%
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+31
0.1%
pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 31 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
0.1%
pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 2 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+18
0.1%
run for 18 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
0.1%
run for 3 yds to the Vandy 34Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
0.1%
run for no gain to the Vandy 34Similar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 7
OPP 34
0
0.1%
pass incomplete to Grey IhuSimilar
Q4 0:59
4TH & 7
OPP 34
+4
0.1%
pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 4 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:59100% → 100%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
0.1%
run for a loss of 5 yards to the Vandy 25Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 25
-3
0.1%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:04
Rocko Griffin 10 Yd Run (Joseph Bulovas Kick)
-9.5
TD · Q3 9:39
Re'Mahn Davis 12 Yd Run (Joseph Bulovas Kick)
-6.7
TD · Q2 6:01
Mike Wright 1 Yd Run (Joseph Bulovas Kick)
-5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com