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GAST

Georgia State 51 at Ball State 20

BALL
2021 · TaxAct Camellia Bowl · Dec 25, 2021 · Cramton Bowl
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreGAST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:09 · Nathan Snyder punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Terrance Dixon at the GeoSt 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 53Home team on offense−4.2Score differential−2.3Pregame prior−12.3Garbage-time factor−1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:59: Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 56 yds for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK) — BALL win probability +2.6 pts (now 38%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:55: Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 18 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) — GAST win probability +4.0 pts (now 64%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:18: Jacob Lewis 43 yd FG GOOD — BALL win probability +3.1 pts (now 32%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:05: Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 10 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) — GAST win probability +9.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:08: Darren Grainger run for 34 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) — GAST win probability +9.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 6 of 9GAST made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:30BALL 4th & 10 at GAST 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    37.2%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:37GAST 4th & 4 at GAST 10, tied
    Close callPunted · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:59BALL 4th & 1 at BALL 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    35.3%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:11GAST 4th & 6 at BALL 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    61.5%−3.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:09BALL 4th & 4 at BALL 46, down 10
    Close callPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:26GAST 4th & 5 at GAST 20, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:20BALL 4th & 10 at GAST 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    28.5%−3.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:01GAST 4th & 9 at BALL 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    61.6%−5.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:18BALL 4th & 13 at GAST 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−1.5
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    25.2%−3.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:37BALL 4th & 7 at BALL 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:10BALL 4th & 9 at GAST 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−4.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:35BALL 4th & 8 at GAST 42, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−<0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:03GAST 4th & 8 at BALL 27, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    62% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:20BALL 4th & 7 at GAST 22, down 38
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2GAST made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 8:59BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:55GAST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:05GAST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:08GAST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:33GAST Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:00GAST Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:13BALL Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 3:0333% → 35%
Q1 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-11
33.3%
Drew Plitt sacked by Jacob Freeman for a loss of 11 yards to the BalSt 14Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+9
33.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 9 yds to the BalSt 23Similar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+17
33.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 17 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
34.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 9 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+7
34.4%
Carson Steele run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
34.6%
Carson Steele run for no gain to the GeoSt 44Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
34.8%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
34.7%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:30
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
34.6%
Nathan Snyder punt for 40 yds, downed at the GeoSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2965% → 64%
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
34.7%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 7Similar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+4
34.9%
Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 11Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 3
OWN 11
-1
35.4%
Darren Grainger run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 10Similar
Q1 9:37
4TH & 4
OWN 10
-3
35.7%
Michael Hayes punt for 48 yds , Jayshon Jackson returns for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3TD
2 plays · 61 yds · 0:2336% → 38%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
35.8%
Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+56
38.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 56 yds for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 4TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:4062% → 64%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
38.0%
Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
38.1%
Tucker Gregg run for no gain to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q1 7:41
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+19
38.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 19 yds to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
38.4%
Darren Grainger run for 3 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
38.6%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for no gain to the BalSt 49Similar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+19
39.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 19 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
38.7%
Cornelius McCoy run for 1 yd to the BalSt 29Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+6
39.2%
Tucker Gregg run for 6 yds to the BalSt 23Similar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+5
39.7%
Tucker Gregg run for 5 yds to the BalSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
35.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 18 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5FUMBLE TD
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:4137% → 34%
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
37.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 4 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
37.6%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon JacksonSimilar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+14
37.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 14 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
39.0%
Will Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 42Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+6
38.9%
Jayshon Jackson run for 6 yds to the BalSt 48Similar
Q1 2:02
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+37
34.3%
Drew Plitt sacked by Jamil Muhammad for a loss of 11 yards Drew Plitt fumbled, recovered by Denis,Javon, return for 37 yds for a TD. (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:4134% → 34%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
33.5%
Carson Steele run for 7 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
34.2%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q1 1:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
34.3%
Carson Steele run for no gain to the BalSt 34Similar
Q1 0:59
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
33.7%
Drew Plitt run for no gain to the BalSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7FG
7 plays · 24 yds · 1:4868% → 68%
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
32.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 24 yds to the BalSt 10 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the BalSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
32.1%
Jamyest Williams run for 9 yds to the BalSt 16Similar
Q1 0:28
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+2
32.1%
Jamyest Williams run for 2 yds to the BalSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
32.1%
Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the BalSt 10Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 6
OPP 10
0
32.0%
Jamyest Williams run for no gain to the BalSt 10Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
32.3%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+27
31.6%
Noel Ruiz 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:5132% → 31%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
31.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 15 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
32.1%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+1
31.9%
Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the BalSt 41Similar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+5
31.5%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Will Jones for 5 yds to the BalSt 46Similar
Q2 12:09
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
31.2%
Nathan Snyder punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Terrance Dixon at the GeoSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3468% → 68%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
31.9%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
31.9%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+5
32.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 5 yds to the GeoSt 20Similar
Q2 11:26
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
32.4%
Michael Hayes punt for 27 yds, downed at the GeoSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10FG
7 plays · 30 yds · 1:4532% → 35%
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
32.4%
Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 43Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+1
32.5%
Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+25
32.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Carson Steele for 25 yds to the GeoSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
33.3%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
33.3%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
32.1%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:20
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+34
34.5%
Jacob Lewis 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11FG
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:5967% → 71%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
33.4%
Tucker Gregg run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+12
32.7%
Darren Grainger run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
32.1%
Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+48
31.7%
Darren Grainger run for 48 yds to the BalSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
30.2%
Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 12Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+9
30.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 9 yds to the BalSt 3Similar
Q2 6:01
3RD & 2
OPP 3
-7
30.3%
Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 7 yards to the BalSt 10Similar
Q2 6:01
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+28
28.6%
Noel Ruiz 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 12FG
16 plays · 53 yds · 5:3730% → 32%
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
29.5%
Rico Barfield run for 3 yds to the BalSt 24Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+1
29.8%
Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the BalSt 25Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+7
28.8%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 7 yds to the BalSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
29.8%
Will Jones run for 3 yds to the BalSt 35Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+6
30.3%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 6 yds to the BalSt 41Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
30.8%
Will Jones run for 2 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
30.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 15 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
31.0%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+16
30.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Carson Steele for 16 yds to the GeoSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
31.9%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-3
31.5%
Jayshon Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 13
OPP 26
0
28.9%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon JacksonSimilar
Q2 0:18
4TH & 13
OPP 26
+43
32.0%
Jacob Lewis 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
29.6%
Tucker Gregg run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 14TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:3071% → 83%
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
29.5%
Darren Grainger run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+22
28.5%
Jamyest Williams run for 7 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
27.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 6 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+4
27.1%
Jamyest Williams run for 4 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
26.9%
Jamyest Williams run for 2 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+6
27.0%
Darren Grainger run for 6 yds to the BalSt 27Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+17
27.2%
Jamyest Williams run for 17 yds to the BalSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
17.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 10 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0120% → 19%
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
20.1%
Drew Plitt run for no gain to the BalSt 24Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+3
19.6%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 3 yds to the BalSt 27Similar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
19.3%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q3 10:37
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
19.1%
Nathan Snyder punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Terrance Dixon at the GeoSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 16TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 3:1882% → 95%
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
18.0%
Tucker Gregg run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+5
16.1%
Darren Grainger run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
15.6%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 4 yds to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+14
15.2%
Tucker Gregg run for 14 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
14.7%
Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd to the BalSt 39Similar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 9
OPP 39
-5
14.6%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 44Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 14
OPP 44
+10
14.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 10 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+34
5.2%
Darren Grainger run for 34 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17MISSED FG
12 plays · 46 yds · 3:268% → 6%
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
8.3%
Carson Steele run for 9 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
6.8%
Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the BalSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
6.8%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
7.0%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon JacksonSimilar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
6.7%
Jayshon Jackson run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+15
6.4%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
7.0%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-1
6.7%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Carson Steele for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 11
OPP 31
+2
5.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Will Jones for 2 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q3 3:10
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+46
5.6%
Jacob Lewis 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 18TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 1:1297% → 99%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
2.7%
Jamyest Williams run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+3
2.6%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 3 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+40
2.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 40 yds to the BalSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
2.2%
Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the BalSt 16Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+16
1.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 16 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19INT TD
7 plays · -5 yds · 1:051% → 0%
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
1.0%
BALL ST Penalty, Face Mask (12 yards) (-12 Yards) to the BalSt 13Similar
Q3 0:36
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+15
1.0%
Carson Steele run for 15 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
0.9%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 8 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-16
1.0%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the BalSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
0.9%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz TylerSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-55
0.4%
Drew Plitt pass intercepted for a TD Antavious Lane return for 55 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 20DOWNS
12 plays · 44 yds · 2:100% → 0%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
0.4%
BALL ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 16Similar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 15
OWN 16
-1
0.4%
Rico Barfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 15Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 16
OWN 15
+7
0.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 7 yds to the BalSt 22Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+15
0.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 15 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
0.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 8 yds to the BalSt 45Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+11
0.4%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Hassan Littles for 11 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
0.4%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
0.4%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 8
OPP 42
0
0.4%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:35
4TH & 8
OPP 42
+7
0.3%
Drew Plitt run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21FG
9 plays · 38 yds · 2:5799% → 100%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
0.6%
Tucker Gregg run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+4
0.4%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
0.4%
Jamari Thrash run for 5 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+20
0.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 20 yds to the BalSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
0.4%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the BalSt 26Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
0.3%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 7
OPP 26
-1
0.3%
Darren Grainger run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 27Similar
Q4 9:03
4TH & 8
OPP 27
+45
0.5%
Noel Ruiz 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 22TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 5:420% → 0%
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
0.2%
Rico Barfield run for 10 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
0.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 7 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-6
0.2%
Drew Plitt sacked by Chris Davis Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the BalSt 36 Drew Plitt fumbled, recovered by BalStSimilar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+15
0.2%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
0.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 2 yds to the GeoSt 47Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+5
0.2%
Drew Plitt run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+5
0.2%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 5 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
0.2%
Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Trevor HohltSimilar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+12
0.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 12 yds to the GeoSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
0.2%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
0.1%
Donny Marcus run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 7
OPP 22
0
0.1%
Drew Plitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:20
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+17
0.1%
Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 17 yds to the GeoSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-4
0.1%
Drew Plitt sacked by Tre Moore for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSt 9Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
0.2%
Jayshon Jackson run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 1Similar
Q4 3:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.2%
Drew Plitt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 23Uncategorized
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:10100% → 100%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
0.2%
Mikele Colasurdo pass complete to Donavon Grier for 3 yds to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 7
OWN 41
-1
0.2%
Mikele Colasurdo pass complete to Donavon Grier for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+11
0.2%
Antoine Lane run for 11 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
0.2%
Antoine Lane run for 6 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+7
0.2%
Antoine Lane run for 7 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:05
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 10 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)
-9.8
TD · Q3 7:08
Darren Grainger run for 34 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)
-9.4
TD · Q1 4:55
Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 18 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)
-4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com