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ODU

Old Dominion 17 at Tulsa 30

TLSA
2021 · Myrtle Beach Bowl · Dec 20, 2021 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · TLSA
modelTLSA aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playTLSA scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:37 · Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Johnson for 9 yds to the ODU 25 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 90Home team on offense+4.5Pregame prior+9.1Garbage-time factor+0.6Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:47: Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Johnson for 23 yds for a TD, (Zack Long KICK) — TLSA win probability +2.9 pts (now 71%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:09: Zack Long 35 yd FG GOOD — TLSA win probability +2.8 pts (now 74%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 3:25: Zack Long 32 yd FG GOOD — TLSA win probability +5.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:04: Davis Brin pass complete to Ethan Hall for 4 yds for a TD, (Zack Long KICK) — TLSA win probability +3.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:15: Blake Watson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +8.5 pts (now 10%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TLSA made the numbers' call on 8 of 9ODU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 8:33ODU 4th & 5 at TLSA 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    30.2%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:38ODU 4th & 12 at ODU 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−0.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:02TLSA 4th & 1 at ODU 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    71.1%−1.5
    23% to make
    Punt
    71.7%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:50ODU 4th & 6 at TLSA 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    24.4%−3.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:03TLSA 4th & 16 at TLSA 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:08ODU 4th & 14 at TLSA 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    30.0%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:52TLSA 4th & 17 at ODU 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    68.5%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:37TLSA 4th & 2 at ODU 34, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    70.0%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    68.7%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:09TLSA 4th & 2 at ODU 17, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%−0.6
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    67.0%−3.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:45TLSA 4th & 1 at ODU 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    76.1%−2.0
    88% to make
    Punt
    69.9%−8.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:38TLSA 4th & 7 at ODU 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    71.2%−6.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:19ODU 4th & 12 at ODU 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−2.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:25TLSA 4th & 14 at ODU 14, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−2.4
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    74.8%−7.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:23ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 19, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:40TLSA 4th & 16 at ODU 47, up 13
    Numbers favored punt by 1.9 ptsWent for it · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.4%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    93.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TLSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ODU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 14:46ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 13:03TLSA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:47TLSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:04TLSA Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:15ODU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TLSADrive 2TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 1:3768% → 68%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
67.8%
Shamari Brooks run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 35Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+4
67.7%
Shamari Brooks run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+38
67.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 38 yds to the ODU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
67.7%
Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 11 yds to the ODU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
67.6%
Shamari Brooks run for 6 yds to the ODU 6Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+5
67.5%
Shamari Brooks run for 5 yds to the ODU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.0%
Shamari Brooks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zack Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3MISSED FG
14 plays · 51 yds · 4:2732% → 33%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
67.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
67.7%
TULSA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the ODU 31Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
67.5%
Blake Watson run for 10 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
67.4%
Stone Smartt run for 2 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
67.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Zack KuntzSimilar
Q1 11:06
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+15
67.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 15 yds to the Tulsa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
67.0%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 39Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+2
66.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 2 yds to the Tulsa 37Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+8
66.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordan Bly for 8 yds to the Tulsa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
66.5%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Ali Jennings III, broken up by Tyon DavisSimilar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+5
66.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Stone Smartt for 5 yds to the Tulsa 24Similar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 5
OPP 24
0
66.4%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Blake WatsonSimilar
Q1 8:33
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+41
66.8%
Nick Rice 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 4TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 3:4367% → 71%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
67.1%
Davis Brin run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 27Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+7
67.1%
Anthony Watkins run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
67.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Ezra Naylor II for 13 yds to the Tulsa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
67.5%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Josh JohnsonSimilar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+12
67.4%
Anthony Watkins run for 12 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
67.7%
Anthony Watkins run for 4 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
67.7%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Malachai JonesSimilar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+10
67.5%
Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Johnson for 10 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
67.8%
Shamari Brooks run for 3 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+1
67.8%
Shamari Brooks run for 1 yd to the ODU 23Similar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+23
70.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Johnson for 23 yds for a TD, (Zack Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 2:0930% → 29%
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
70.0%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ODU 13Similar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 15
OWN 13
+1
70.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 1 yd to the ODU 14Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 14
OWN 14
0
70.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordan Bly for no gain to the ODU 14Similar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 14
OWN 14
+2
70.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Elijah Davis for 2 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q1 2:38
4TH & 12
OWN 16
0
70.8%
Ethan Duane punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kamdyn Benjamin at the Tulsa 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 6DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3371% → 71%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
71.2%
Deneric Prince run for 6 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+3
71.3%
Deneric Prince run for 3 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 1
OPP 46
0
71.1%
Deneric Prince run for no gain to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 1:02
4TH & 1
OPP 46
-2
70.7%
Braylon Braxton run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7FG
9 plays · 38 yds · 3:0531% → 33%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
69.2%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+13
69.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 13 yds to the Tulsa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
69.1%
Blake Watson run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 33Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
68.4%
Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 29Similar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+11
68.3%
Blake Watson run for 11 yds to the Tulsa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
68.3%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 16Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+2
68.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 2 yds Ali Jennings III fumbled, recovered by ODUSimilar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 6
OPP 14
0
69.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Zack Kuntz, broken up by Cristian WilliamsSimilar
Q2 12:50
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+32
67.0%
Nick Rice 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:4268% → 66%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
67.6%
Shamari Brooks run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 27Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 9
OWN 27
-7
67.4%
Davis Brin sacked by Jordan Young for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulsa 20Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 16
OWN 20
0
66.5%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Malachai Jones, broken up by Roger CraySimilar
Q2 11:03
4TH & 16
OWN 20
0
66.1%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 38 yds, downed at the ODU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 2:5234% → 32%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
66.3%
Elijah Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 40Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+3
67.0%
Elijah Davis run for 3 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+19
66.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Donta Anthony Jr. for 19 yds to the Tulsa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-15
65.2%
Davis, Elijah rush for no gain to the TULSA38, PENALTY ODU face mask 15 yards to the ODU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 25
OWN 47
+3
66.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 22
50
0
66.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Jordan BlySimilar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 22
50
-5
66.9%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ODU 45Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 27
OWN 45
+13
67.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Darius Savedge for 13 yds to the Tulsa 42Similar
Q2 8:08
4TH & 14
OPP 42
0
68.3%
Ethan Duane punt for 34 yds, downed at the Tulsa 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 51 yds · 2:0868% → 67%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+12
68.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Ezra Naylor II for 12 yds to the Tulsa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
68.2%
Steven Anderson run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 23Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+43
68.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Johnson for 43 yds to the ODU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
70.7%
Steven Anderson run for 6 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 4
OPP 28
-15
70.7%
TULSA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the ODU 43Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 19
OPP 43
+7
69.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Watkins for 7 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q2 5:59
3RD & 12
OPP 36
0
68.8%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Anthony Watkins, broken up by Jordan YoungSimilar
Q2 5:59
4TH & 12
OPP 36
-5
67.6%
TULSA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ODU 41Similar
Q2 5:52
4TH & 17
OPP 41
0
67.2%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 37 yds, downed at the ODU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:1732% → 32%
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
68.0%
Blake Watson run for 5 yds to the ODU 9Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+4
68.2%
Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the ODU 13Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 1
OWN 13
+3
68.6%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the ODU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
67.6%
Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 6
OWN 20
-15
67.7%
Hayden Wolff pass intercepted LJ Wallace return for no gain to the Tulsa 46 TULSA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Tulsa 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 12FG
15 plays · 52 yds · 3:2169% → 74%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
68.6%
Shamari Brooks run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 35Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+3
69.5%
Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 3 yds to the Tulsa 38Similar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+4
69.0%
Shamari Brooks run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+16
69.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Johnson for 16 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
70.9%
Davis Brin run for 3 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+6
70.9%
Shamari Brooks run for 6 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 1
OPP 33
-1
70.5%
Shamari Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 34Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+9
69.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Johnson for 9 yds to the ODU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
71.4%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to JuanCarlos SantanaSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+8
71.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Anthony Watkins for 8 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 2
OPP 17
0
71.1%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Ezra Naylor IISimilar
Q2 0:09
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+35
73.9%
Zack Long 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
73.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 14FG
18 plays · 70 yds · 6:1275% → 80%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+18
74.6%
Shamari Brooks run for 18 yds to the Tulsa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
76.2%
Shamari Brooks run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q3 14:34
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+15
76.4%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, Personal Foul (Ryan Henry) to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
76.7%
Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 2 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+2
76.8%
Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+6
76.3%
Davis Brin run for 6 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
77.1%
Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Johnson for 8 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+3
77.2%
Shamari Brooks run for 3 yds to the ODU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
77.9%
Shamari Brooks run for 6 yds to the ODU 13Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+2
78.0%
Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the ODU 11Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+1
77.1%
Braylon Braxton run for 1 yd to the ODU 10Similar
Q3 9:45
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+2
77.3%
Steven Anderson run for 2 yds to the ODU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
79.3%
Shamari Brooks run for 1 yd to the ODU 7Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
79.5%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to JuanCarlos SantanaSimilar
Q3 8:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
78.5%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to JuanCarlos SantanaSimilar
Q3 8:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
79.7%
Zack Long 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:1620% → 18%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
79.7%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Jaxon Player for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 18Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+5
80.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 5 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
81.4%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Ali Jennings IIISimilar
Q3 7:19
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
82.0%
Ethan Duane punt for 44 yds , Kamdyn Benjamin returns for no gain to the Tulsa 33 Kamdyn Benjamin fumbled, recovered by TulsaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 16FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 3:4781% → 89%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
80.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Johnson for 5 yds to the Tulsa 38Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+8
81.9%
Deneric Prince run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
82.4%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Ezra Naylor IISimilar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+13
82.0%
Deneric Prince run for 13 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+14
82.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 14 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
83.1%
Deneric Prince run for 6 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 4
OPP 21
0
83.1%
Deneric Prince run for no gain to the ODU 21Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+4
82.9%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (4 Yards) to the ODU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
83.7%
Deneric Prince run for 7 yds to the ODU 10Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 3
OPP 10
-4
83.9%
Deneric Prince run for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 14Similar
Q3 3:28
3RD & 7
OPP 14
0
83.3%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Josh JohnsonSimilar
Q3 3:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+32
88.8%
Zack Long 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0013% → 12%
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
86.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Donta Anthony Jr.Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
87.0%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Elijah DavisSimilar
Q3 2:52
3RD & 10
OWN 19
0
87.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Stone Smartt for no gain to the ODU 19Similar
Q3 2:23
4TH & 10
OWN 19
+49
87.8%
Ethan Duane punt for 39 yds, downed at the TULSA 42 TULSA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Tulsa 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 20 yds · 3:4090% → 93%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
89.8%
Shamari Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 31Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+15
89.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Malachai Jones for 15 yds to the Tulsa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
91.0%
Shamari Brooks run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 49Similar
Q3 0:34
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+10
91.1%
Davis Brin pass complete to Shamari Brooks for 10 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
93.2%
Shamari Brooks run for 4 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+4
93.2%
Deneric Prince run for 4 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+1
93.8%
Deneric Prince run for 1 yd to the ODU 32Similar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 1
OPP 32
-15
93.2%
TULSA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the ODU 47Similar
Q4 13:40
4TH & 16
OPP 47
-1
92.7%
Lachlan Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · 51 yds · 0:3413% → 13%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+22
87.1%
Blake Watson run for 22 yds to the Tulsa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+29
87.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 30 yds, Ali Jennings III fumbled through end zone, touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 20TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 3:4694% → 99%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+26
93.7%
Davis Brin run for 11 yds to the Tulsa 31 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Tulsa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
94.5%
Anthony Watkins run for 8 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 2
OPP 46
0
94.6%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Malachai JonesSimilar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+7
94.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 7 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
94.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Ezra Naylor II for 12 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
94.9%
Anthony Watkins run for 3 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 7
OPP 24
0
95.4%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to JuanCarlos SantanaSimilar
Q4 10:09
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+15
95.7%
Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Johnson for 15 yds to the ODU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
95.8%
JuanCarlos Santana run for 6 yds to the ODU 3Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
95.9%
Anthony Watkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 4Similar
Q4 9:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.4%
Davis Brin pass complete to Ethan Hall for 4 yds for a TD, (Zack Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 1:301% → 8%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
98.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Stone Smartt for 15 yds to the Tulsa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
98.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Stone Smartt for 8 yds to the Tulsa 37Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+34
98.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 34 yds to the Tulsa 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
98.4%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 2Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.9%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+5
91.7%
TULSA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the ODU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 22END OF GAME
19 plays · 36 yds · 6:4596% → 99%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
96.3%
Shamari Brooks run for 10 yds to the Tulsa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
96.6%
Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 22Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+8
96.8%
Shamari Brooks run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
97.0%
Shamari Brooks run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 32Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+7
97.5%
Anthony Watkins run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 39Similar
Q4 5:27
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+5
97.9%
Davis Brin run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
98.1%
Steven Anderson run for 9 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+3
98.3%
Steven Anderson run for 3 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
98.6%
Steven Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 45Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+2
98.6%
Anthony Watkins run for 2 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+10
98.8%
Anthony Watkins run for 10 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-15
98.9%
TULSA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the ODU 48Similar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 25
OPP 48
-2
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 27
50
-2
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 48Similar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 29
OWN 48
-2
98.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:15
Blake Watson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)
-8.5
FG · Q3 3:25
Zack Long 32 yd FG GOOD
+5.5
TD · Q4 9:04
Davis Brin pass complete to Ethan Hall for 4 yds for a TD, (Zack Long KICK)
+3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com