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HAW

Hawai'i 31 at Utah State 51

USU
2021 · Week 9 · Oct 30, 2021 · Maverik Stadium
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Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:17 · Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 163Home team on offense+25.8Score differential+10.2Pregame prior+1.8Garbage-time factor+7.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.2Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:11: Justin McGriff 45 Yd pass from Logan Bonner (Connor Coles Kick) — USU win probability +5.1 pts (now 73%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:36: C. Cordeiro pass,to D. Parson for 29 yds for a TD, (M. Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +6.7 pts (now 30%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 13:18: L. Bonner pass,to D. Wright for 46 yds for a TD, (C. Coles KICK) — USU win probability +8.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:12: L. Bonner pass,to C. Terrell for 21 yds for a TD, (C. Coles KICK) — USU win probability +4.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:23: C. Cordeiro pass,to C. Turner Jr. for 27 yds for a TD, (C. Cordeiro pass to C. Turner Jr. for Two-Point Conversion) — HAW win probability +6.8 pts (now 10%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6HAW made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 13:11HAW 4th & 7 at HAW 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:11HAW 4th & 7 at HAW 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:11HAW 4th & 11 at USU 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:11HAW 4th & 11 at USU 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:03USU 4th & 4 at HAW 23, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.8%−0.3
    70% to make
    Punt
    69.7%−5.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:51HAW 4th & 5 at USU 32, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.2%−0.5
    51% to make
    Punt
    18.9%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:20USU 4th & 6 at HAW 36, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    77.0%−0.7
    42% to make
    Punt
    76.5%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:07USU 4th & 5 at HAW 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.1%
    92% to make
    Punt
    67.8%−4.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:52HAW 4th & 5 at USU 47, down 17
    Close callPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:25HAW 4th & 11 at HAW 24, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:53HAW 4th & 3 at USU 37, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:35USU 4th & 5 at HAW 5, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    91.4%−3.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:17HAW 4th & 7 at HAW 28, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:28USU 4th & 10 at HAW 49, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:20USU 4th & 10 at HAW 47, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:06HAW 4th & 16 at HAW 7, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 3:11USU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:36HAW Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:18USU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:12USU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:37USU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:34HAW Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:23HAW Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    5.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:20HAW Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    6.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    6.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 1:4938% → 38%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
62.2%
Calvin Turner Jr. run for 6 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-11
62.2%
Chevan Cordeiro run for a loss of 11 yards to the Hawa 20Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+8
62.2%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 8 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q1 13:11
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
62.3%
Matthew Shipley punt for 40 ydsSimilar
Q1 13:11
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
62.3%
Matthew Shipley punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 3:0762% → 65%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+36
62.3%
Elelyon Noa run for 36 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+17
62.6%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Justin McGriff for 17 yds to the Hawa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
62.6%
Elelyon Noa run for 8 yds to the Hawa 7Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 2
OPP 7
-5
62.6%
UTAH ST Penalty, False Start (Derek Wright) to the Hawa 12Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+3
62.6%
Elelyon Noa run for 3 yds to the Hawa 9Similar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+1
62.9%
Elelyon Noa run for 1 yd to the Hawa 8Similar
Q1 10:45
4TH & 3
OPP 8
0
62.9%
BONNER, Logan pass up the middle incomplete intended for TERRELL, Carson thrown to the HAW0. PENALTY HAW Holding on TURNER, Solo enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the HAW8 to the HAW4 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
63.2%
Elelyon Noa run for 1 yd to the Hawa 3Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
64.6%
E. Noa run for 3 yds for a TD, (C. Coles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3INT
15 plays · 70 yds · 1:4236% → 35%
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
63.8%
HAWAII Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 20Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
63.8%
Dedrick Parson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+21
63.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 21 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+10
63.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for 10 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
63.9%
Dedrick Parson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
65.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for 6 yds to the UthSt 35Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 4
OPP 35
0
64.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+17
65.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for 17 yds to the UthSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+17
64.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 17 yds to the UthSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
64.8%
HAWAII Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 6Similar
Q1 8:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
64.7%
Dedrick Parson run for 4 yds to the UthSt 2Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
64.8%
Dedrick Parson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 5Similar
Q1 8:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
65.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass intercepted, touchback. return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:5767% → 73%
Q1 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
66.9%
Elelyon Noa run for 12 yds to the UthSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
67.0%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Justin McGriff for 5 yds to the UthSt 37Similar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+4
67.4%
Elelyon Noa run for 4 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q1 5:08
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+6
67.3%
Logan Bonner run for 6 yds to the UthSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
67.6%
Elelyon Noa run for 8 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 2
OPP 45
0
67.7%
Elelyon Noa run for no gain to the Hawa 45Similar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+45
72.8%
Justin McGriff 45 Yd pass from Logan Bonner (Connor Coles Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 2:0030% → 27%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
70.2%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Hale Motu'apuaka and Justin Rice for 0 yards to the Hawa 49Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 15
OWN 49
0
71.1%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Hale Motu'apuaka for 0 yards to the Hawa 44Similar
Q1 1:19
3RD & 20
OWN 44
+9
72.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 9 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q1 1:11
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
73.1%
Matthew Shipley punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q1 1:11
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
73.1%
Matthew Shipley punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 6FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 4:0873% → 81%
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
73.2%
Pailate Makakona run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 18Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+3
73.1%
Pailate Makakona run for 3 yds to the UthSt 21Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+14
73.8%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Derek Wright for 14 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
74.1%
Pailate Makakona run for 3 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-2
74.6%
Pailate Makakona run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+13
73.9%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Carson Terrell for 13 yds to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+22
74.8%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 22 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
75.0%
Pailate Makakona run for 6 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+2
75.0%
Pailate Makakona run for 2 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 2
OPP 21
-2
76.7%
Pailate Makakona run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 23Similar
Q2 12:03
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+40
80.6%
Connor Coles 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7FG
10 plays · 43 yds · 3:1218% → 27%
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
81.9%
Calvin Turner Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 24Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
82.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for 7 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
80.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 9 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
81.4%
Dedrick Parson run for 5 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
79.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+18
80.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 18 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
78.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 4 yds to the UthSt 33Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+1
77.8%
Dedrick Parson run for 1 yd to the UthSt 32Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 5
OPP 32
0
77.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:51
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+49
72.9%
Matthew Shipley 49 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8DOWNS
8 plays · 40 yds · 3:2278% → 79%
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
78.0%
Elelyon Noa run for 4 yds to the UthSt 28Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 6
OWN 28
-3
78.0%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Brandon Bowling for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 25Similar
Q2 8:42
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+18
77.6%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 18 yds to the UthSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
78.8%
HAWAII Penalty, Personal Foul (Justus Tavai) to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
78.9%
Logan Bonner run for no gain to the Hawa 40Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-3
78.9%
Elelyon Noa run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 43Similar
Q2 8:42
3RD & 13
OPP 43
+7
78.4%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Justin McGriff for 7 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q2 5:20
4TH & 6
OPP 36
0
79.0%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 2:4422% → 30%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
77.9%
PARSON, Dedrick rush up the middle for no gain to the HAW36 (BOND, Shaq). PENALTY Before the snap, HAW False Start on VAIPULU, Solo enforced 5 yards from the HAW36 to the HAW31. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 15
OWN 31
-2
78.4%
Dedrick Parson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 29Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 17
OWN 29
+7
79.7%
Dedrick Parson run for 7 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+18
79.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 18 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
77.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 6 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+11
77.1%
Dedrick Parson run for 11 yds to the UthSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
76.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for 12 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q2 2:36
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+29
69.7%
C. Cordeiro pass,to D. Parson for 29 yds for a TD, (M. Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 10FG
10 plays · 70 yds · 2:2272% → 77%
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.7%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
71.5%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 9 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
72.1%
John Gentry run for 2 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
72.5%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 3 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+8
73.0%
Andrew Peasley run for 8 yds to the UthSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+45
73.3%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 45 yds to the Hawa 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
73.9%
John Gentry run for 3 yds to the Hawa 5Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
73.9%
John Gentry run for no gain to the Hawa 5Similar
Q2 2:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
73.3%
UTAH ST Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 0:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
77.0%
C. Coles 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4276% → 86%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
75.7%
[NHSG] BONNER, Logan pass up the middle incomplete intended for THOMPKINS, Deven thrown to the USU40; QB hurried by TA'ALA, Blessman and LAULU, Jonah. After review, the ruling on the field was overturned: Targeting was not confirmed (OVERTURNED PLAY: #1 L.Bonner pass incomplete to #13 D.Thompkins PENALTY HAW Targeting (#55 B.Ta'ala) 15 yards from USU25 to USU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY).Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
75.5%
Logan Bonner run for 7 yds to the UthSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+10
75.3%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 10 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
76.9%
NOA, Elelyon rush to the left for a gain of 9 yards to the USU42 (BETHLEY, Khoury;TURNER, Solo). PENALTY USU Holding on TERRELL, Carson HAW Face mask on TURNER, Solo , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
76.9%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Derek Wright for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
50
+4
77.1%
Elelyon Noa run for 4 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
86.0%
L. Bonner pass,to D. Wright for 46 yds for a TD, (C. Coles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:2615% → 13%
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
85.5%
UTAH ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Cash Gilliam) to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
84.3%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 4 yds to the UthSt 48Similar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+2
84.0%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 4
OPP 46
-1
86.4%
Dedrick Parson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 47Similar
Q3 10:52
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
87.0%
Matthew Shipley punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:4090% → 96%
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+41
90.0%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 41 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
90.6%
Pailate Makakona run for 1 yd to the Hawa 38Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 9
OPP 38
-3
90.6%
Pailate Makakona run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 41Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 12
OPP 41
+16
90.2%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Justin McGriff for 16 yds to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
90.8%
Pailate Makakona run for 4 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+21
95.7%
L. Bonner pass,to C. Terrell for 21 yds for a TD, (C. Coles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:475% → 4%
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
95.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Mardner for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 24Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
95.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
95.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:25
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
95.7%
Matthew Shipley punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 2:4896% → 100%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
95.6%
John Gentry run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 29Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+27
95.5%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 27 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
95.9%
John Gentry run for 2 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+15
95.9%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Derek Wright for 15 yds to the Hawa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
96.0%
John Gentry run for 10 yds to the Hawa 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
96.0%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+3
96.0%
John Gentry run for 3 yds to the Hawa 14Similar
Q3 4:37
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+14
99.6%
L. Bonner pass,to B. Bowling for 14 yds for a TD, (C. Coles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 1:571% → 3%
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+23
99.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 23 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
99.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+7
99.5%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 7 yds to the UthSt 37Similar
Q3 3:53
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+22
99.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for 22 yds to the UthSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
99.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Mardner for 3 yds to the UthSt 12Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+12
96.6%
C. Cordeiro pass,to K. Nishigaya for 12 yds for a TD, (M. Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17FUMBLE
3 plays · -16 yds · 0:4599% → 99%
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
98.6%
Elelyon Noa run for 2 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 8
OPP 37
-10
98.6%
QB Keeper PEASLEY, Andrew rush to the left for a gain of 7 yards to the HAW30 (FORD, Eugene), out of bounds. PENALTY USU Holding on ALI'IFUA, Demytrick enforced 10 yards from the HAW37 to the HAW47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 18
OPP 47
0
98.7%
Andrew Peasley sacked for 0 yards to the UthSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 1:192% → 10%
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
97.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
97.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:42
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+21
97.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Mardner for 21 yds to the UthSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
97.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 27Similar
Q3 0:23
2ND & 13
OPP 27
+27
90.3%
C. Cordeiro pass,to C. Turner Jr. for 27 yds for a TD, (C. Cordeiro pass to C. Turner Jr. for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19FG
15 plays · 70 yds · 4:2594% → 98%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
94.2%
Elelyon Noa run for 14 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
94.6%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
94.6%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+10
94.4%
BONNER, Logan pass to the right incomplete intended for THOMPKINS, Deven thrown to the HAW29; QB hurried by MUASAU, Darius. PENALTY HAW Holding on BURTON, Colby enforced 10 yards from the USU39 to the USU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
94.7%
BONNER, Logan pass to the left incomplete intended for MCGRIFF, Justin thrown to the HAW10. PENALTY HAW Pass Interference on DAVIS, Cortez enforced 15 yards to the HAW36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
94.7%
Elelyon Noa run for 6 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 30
-2
94.8%
Elelyon Noa run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+11
94.7%
Logan Bonner run for 11 yds to the Hawa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
94.8%
Elelyon Noa run for 1 yd to the Hawa 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
94.8%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+13
94.7%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 13 yds to the Hawa 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
94.8%
Elelyon Noa run for 2 yds to the Hawa 5Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
94.8%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
94.7%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
97.9%
Connor Coles 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:184% → 3%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
96.4%
QB Keeper CORDEIRO, Chevan rush up the middle for a gain of 10 yards to the HAW35, End of Play. PENALTY HAW Holding on HOPP, Austin enforced 10 yards from the HAW25 to the HAW15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
96.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+13
96.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for 13 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q4 9:17
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
96.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21FUMBLE RETURN TD
2 plays · -12 yds · 0:5798% → 97%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
98.3%
Pailate Makakona run for 2 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 8
OPP 26
0
96.5%
Eugene Ford 0 Yd Fumble Return (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22INT
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:095% → 4%
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
94.8%
CORDEIRO, Chevan sacked for a loss of 15 yards at the HAW0, fumble on the sack (forced by JACKSON, Zahodri), recovered by USU HENINGER, Nick at the HAW10, returned 10 yards to the HAW0, TOUCHDOWN USU, score nullified by penalty (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY USU Targeting on JACKSON, Zahodri enforced 15 yards from the HAW25 to the HAW40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
94.3%
Brayden Schager pass intercepted return for no gain to the Hawa 45Similar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-15
96.5%
UTAH ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Monte' McGary) to the UthSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 3:2796% → 97%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
96.4%
Pailate Makakona run for 1 yd to the UthSt 41Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+10
96.3%
Pailate Makakona run for 10 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
96.4%
Pailate Makakona run for 2 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 8
OPP 47
-3
96.5%
Pailate Makakona run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 11
50
+1
97.5%
Logan Bonner run for 1 yd to the Hawa 49Similar
Q4 4:28
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
97.2%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 37 yds, downed at the Hawa 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 24FUMBLE
5 plays · 35 yds · 1:274% → 3%
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+14
96.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jared Smart for 14 yds to the Hawa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+18
96.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 18 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
95.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Mardner for 9 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+11
95.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 11 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
96.7%
Brayden Schager sacked for 0 yards to the Hawa 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:4198% → 99%
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
98.2%
Elelyon Noa run for 3 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 7
OPP 44
-1
98.2%
Elelyon Noa run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 45Similar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+3
98.1%
Elelyon Noa run for 3 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q4 1:27
4TH & 5
OPP 42
-5
98.4%
UTAH ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 1:20
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
98.6%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Calvin Turner Jr. at the Hawa 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:142% → 2%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
97.7%
Brayden Schager sacked by Ajani Carter for 0 yards to the Hawa 13Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
97.7%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 10
OWN 13
0
97.8%
Brayden Schager sacked by Byron Vaughns for 0 yards to the Hawa 7Similar
Q4 0:06
4TH & 16
OWN 7
0
98.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:18
L. Bonner pass,to D. Wright for 46 yds for a TD, (C. Coles KICK)
+8.9
TD · Q3 0:23
C. Cordeiro pass,to C. Turner Jr. for 27 yds for a TD, (C. Cordeiro pass to C. Turner Jr. for Two-Point Conversion)
-6.8
TD · Q2 2:36
C. Cordeiro pass,to D. Parson for 29 yds for a TD, (M. Shipley KICK)
-6.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com