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HAW

Hawai'i 17 at Nevada 34

NEV
2021 · Week 7 · Oct 16, 2021 · Mackay Stadium
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Win probability · NEV
modelNEV aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playNEV scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:56 · Matthew Shipley punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nevad 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 162Pregame prior+8.5Home team on offense+23.5Score differential+8.8Garbage-time factor+5.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:42: Dae Dae Hunter run for 81 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +4.0 pts (now 22%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:39: Toa Taua run for 10 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK) — NEV win probability +3.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 4:12: Matthew Shipley 28 yd FG GOOD — HAW win probability +4.5 pts (now 25%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:44: Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 28 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK) — NEV win probability +2.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:25: Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 3 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK) — NEV win probability +7.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEV made the numbers' call on 7 of 11HAW made the numbers' call on 3 of 8
  1. Q1 9:46NEV 4th & 5 at HAW 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    80.9%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:20NEV 4th & 2 at NEV 32, down 4
    Close callPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:19HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 40, up 4
    Close callPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:35NEV 4th & 20 at NEV 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−1.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:08HAW 4th & 4 at HAW 42, up 4
    Close callPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:26NEV 4th & 15 at NEV 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.6%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:26NEV 4th & 15 at NEV 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.6%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:12HAW 4th & 11 at NEV 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−1.0
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    18.7%−5.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:00NEV 4th & 6 at NEV 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:48HAW 4th & 17 at HAW 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−1.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:55NEV 4th & 3 at HAW 28, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.2%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    69.8%−3.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:25NEV 4th & 3 at HAW 3, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    85.8%−1.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    80.0%−6.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:50HAW 4th & 7 at NEV 49, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:34NEV 4th & 3 at NEV 23, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:56HAW 4th & 3 at HAW 24, down 17
    Close callPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:35NEV 4th & 4 at HAW 30, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.8%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−0.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:35HAW 4th & 3 at NEV 32, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−0.4
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:05NEV 4th & 3 at HAW 43, up 20
    Close callPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%−0.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:53HAW 4th & 23 at HAW 33, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEV made the numbers' call on 3 of 3HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:35HAW Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:58NEV Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:42HAW Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:39NEV Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:25NEV Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEVDrive 1FG
15 plays · 70 yds · 5:1487% → 85%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
86.5%
Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
86.5%
Toa Taua run for 10 yds to the Nevad 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
86.5%
Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the Nevad 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+14
86.5%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 14 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
86.5%
Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+7
86.5%
Devonte Lee run for 17 yds to the Hawa 20 for a 1ST down NEVADA Penalty, Illegal Block (Aaron Frost) to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
86.5%
Devonte Lee run for no gain to the Hawa 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
86.5%
Carson Strong pass complete to Devonte Lee for no gain to the Hawa 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+22
86.5%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 22 yds to the Hawa 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
86.5%
Devonte Lee run for no gain to the Hawa 8Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
86.5%
PENALTY HAW Offside (Tonga,Pita) 4 yards from HAW08 to HAW04. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
86.5%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Hawa 2Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+3
86.5%
Devonte Lee run for 3 yds to the Hawa 5Similar
Q1 9:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
85.4%
Brandon Talton 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
84.4%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 75 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1084% → 84%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
84.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 2 yds to the Nevad 26Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+6
84.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 6 yds to the Nevad 32Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 2
OWN 32
0
84.4%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Justin LockhartSimilar
Q1 8:20
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
83.7%
Julian Diaz punt for 60 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 3:0116% → 18%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
83.9%
Dedrick Parson run for 7 yds to the Hawa 15Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+4
83.8%
Dedrick Parson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
83.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jared Smart for 12 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
83.8%
Dedrick Parson run for 6 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+1
83.6%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 1 yd to the Hawa 36Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+4
83.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 4 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q1 5:19
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
82.4%
Matthew Shipley punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Romeo Doubs at the Nevad 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 3:4482% → 80%
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
82.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 5 yds to the Nevad 18Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+11
82.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 11 yds to the Nevad 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
82.4%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 30Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+6
82.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 6 yds to the Nevad 36Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+15
81.7%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 15 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
82.3%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo DoubsSimilar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
82.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 5 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & 5
OPP 44
-15
82.2%
Strong,Carson pass complete to Lee,Devonte for 5 yards to the HAW39 (Kaneshiro,Kai; Frazier,Quentin) PENALTY NEV Personal Foul (Orsini,Tyler) 15 yards from HAW44 to NEV41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & 20
OWN 41
0
81.3%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Devonte LeeSimilar
Q1 1:35
4TH & 20
OWN 41
+19
79.9%
Julian Diaz punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 36 , Calvin Turner Jr. returns for 19 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2720% → 20%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
79.9%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 6 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 16
OWN 30
+12
80.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jared Smart for 12 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
79.7%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Dae Dae HunterSimilar
Q1 0:08
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
79.6%
Matthew Shipley punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Romeo Doubs at the Nevad 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 7TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 2:0279% → 83%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
79.1%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Nevad 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+28
79.0%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 28 yds to the Nevad 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
80.2%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Devonte LeeSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+5
80.0%
Devonte Lee run for 5 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+25
80.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 25 yds to the Hawa 23 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Solo Turner) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
80.8%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Cole TurnerSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+11
80.7%
Carson Strong pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 11 yds to the Hawa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
80.8%
Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the Hawa 6Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+6
82.9%
Toa Taua run for 6 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8TD
2 plays · 81 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+81
77.8%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 81 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:1678% → 76%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
77.7%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Nevad 28Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+22
77.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
50
-13
79.2%
Carson Strong sacked by Jonah Laulu for a loss of 13 yards to the Nevad 37Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 23
OWN 37
+8
77.7%
Carson Strong pass complete to Devonte Lee for 8 yds to the Nevad 45Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 15
OWN 45
0
77.4%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo DoubsSimilar
Q2 10:26
4TH & 15
OWN 45
0
75.5%
Julian Diaz punt for 36 ydsSimilar
Q2 10:26
4TH & 15
OWN 45
0
75.5%
Julian Diaz punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 10TD
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:4779% → 82%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
78.7%
Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Hawa 15Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+5
78.7%
Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the Hawa 10Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+10
81.9%
Toa Taua run for 10 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11FG
15 plays · 64 yds · 5:2720% → 25%
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
80.3%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 8 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+14
79.5%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 14 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
78.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 1 yd to the Hawa 48Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 9
OWN 48
-5
79.1%
PENALTY HAW False Start (Manning,Ilm) 5 yards from HAW48 to HAW43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 14
OWN 43
+37
80.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for 37 yds to the Nevad 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
77.9%
Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds to the Nevad 18Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+11
77.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for 11 yds to the Nevad 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
77.9%
Calvin Turner Jr. run for 2 yds to the Nevad 5Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
76.6%
PENALTY HAW False Start (Parson,Dedrick) 5 yards from NEV05 to NEV10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
76.6%
Dae Dae Hunter run for no gain to the Nevad 10Similar
Q2 4:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
79.1%
Calvin Turner Jr. sacked by Tristan Nichols for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 11Similar
Q2 4:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
74.6%
Matthew Shipley 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0678% → 76%
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
77.6%
Devonte Lee run for 8 yds to the Nevad 33Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
78.7%
Devonte Lee run for 4 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q2 4:06
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
77.2%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo DoubsSimilar
Q2 3:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
75.8%
Julian Diaz punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:1227% → 25%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
73.0%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Nick MardnerSimilar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
73.5%
Dedrick Parson run for no gain to the Hawa 42Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 10
OWN 42
-7
74.3%
Brayden Schager sacked by Dom Peterson for a loss of 7 yards to the Hawa 35Similar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 17
OWN 35
0
75.2%
Matthew Shipley punt blocked by Cole Turner blocked by Cole TurnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 14FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5379% → 79%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
78.9%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Justin LockhartSimilar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+7
78.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 7 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 3
OPP 28
0
77.7%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Cole TurnerSimilar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+45
79.3%
Brandon Talton 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:3920% → 21%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
79.7%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 3 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
79.2%
Brayden Schager pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 16FG
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:1681% → 80%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
80.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 15 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
81.0%
Carson Strong pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
80.9%
PENALTY NEV UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting HAW UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+7
80.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 7 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+41
79.9%
Brandon Talton 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17INT
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:0219% → 20%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
80.9%
Dedrick Parson run for 6 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
80.1%
Dedrick Parson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
80.3%
Brayden Schager pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 18TD
8 plays · 48 yds · 3:1484% → 87%
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-9
84.1%
Carson Strong sacked by Zacchaeus McKinney for a loss of 9 yards to the Nevad 43Similar
Q3 13:58
2ND & 19
OWN 43
+5
83.0%
Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q3 13:58
3RD & 14
OWN 48
+14
82.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 14 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
84.2%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Hawa 37Similar
Q3 13:58
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+9
84.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 9 yds to the Hawa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
84.3%
Devonte Lee run for no gain to the Hawa 28Similar
Q3 13:58
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
84.2%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Cole TurnerSimilar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+28
87.0%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 28 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19INT
15 plays · 57 yds · 5:2214% → 16%
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.0%
Calvin Turner Jr. run for 3 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
85.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for 4 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+10
86.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Kamuela Borden for 10 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
85.2%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Nick MardnerSimilar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-7
85.5%
Brayden Schager sacked by Jack Powers for a loss of 7 yards to the Hawa 35Similar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 17
OWN 35
+20
86.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 20 yds to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
84.5%
Dedrick Parson run for 6 yds to the Nevad 39Similar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+8
84.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for 8 yds to the Nevad 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
83.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 7 yds to the Nevad 24Similar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 3
OPP 24
0
83.5%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Dedrick ParsonSimilar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+3
84.4%
Dedrick Parson run for 3 yds to the Nevad 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
83.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for 3 yds to the Nevad 18Similar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
83.4%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Nick MardnerSimilar
Q3 5:22
3RD & 7
OPP 18
0
84.3%
Brayden Schager pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 20TD
13 plays · 91 yds · 2:5787% → 95%
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+16
86.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 16 yds to the Nevad 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
87.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 12 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
87.6%
Avery Morrow run for 5 yds to the Nevad 42Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
88.1%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo DoubsSimilar
Q3 5:22
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+15
87.5%
Carson Strong pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 15 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
88.4%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo DoubsSimilar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
88.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 3 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q3 5:22
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+20
87.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 20 yds to the Hawa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
88.5%
Strong,Carson pass incomplete to Turner,Cole PENALTY HAW Pass Interference (Davis,Cortez) 15 yards from HAW20 to HAW05, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
88.5%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Hawa 3Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
88.5%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Cole TurnerSimilar
Q3 5:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
87.8%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Cole TurnerSimilar
Q3 2:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 3 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 2:355% → 5%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.9%
Calvin Turner Jr. run for 7 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
94.7%
Calvin Turner Jr. run for 5 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
94.7%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Calvin Turner Jr.Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+11
94.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for 11 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
94.6%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Tru EdwardsSimilar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
94.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for 4 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+1
95.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 1 yd to the Nevad 49Similar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
95.5%
Chevan Cordeiro punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1696% → 96%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
95.9%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Cole TurnerSimilar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+6
95.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 6 yds to the Nevad 22Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+1
95.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 1 yd to the Nevad 23Similar
Q4 13:34
4TH & 3
OWN 23
0
96.3%
Julian Diaz punt for 60 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:384% → 4%
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
96.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for 5 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 5
OWN 22
0
95.9%
Calvin Turner Jr. run for no gain to the Hawa 22Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+2
96.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tru Edwards for 2 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q4 11:56
4TH & 3
OWN 24
0
96.4%
Matthew Shipley punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nevad 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 24FG
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:2197% → 99%
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
96.9%
Lee,Devonte rush for 6 yards gain to the NEV41 (Baker,O'tay; Bethley,Khoury) PENALTY NEV Holding (Roberson,Reagan) 10 yards from NEV35 to NEV25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+24
96.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 24 yds to the Nevad 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
97.1%
Devonte Lee run for no gain to the Nevad 49Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+9
97.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 9 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+6
97.0%
Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
97.1%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo DoubsSimilar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+6
97.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 6 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 4
OPP 30
0
97.1%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Justin LockhartSimilar
Q4 8:35
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+47
98.8%
Brandon Talton 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 25INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:141% → 1%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.0%
Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+10
99.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Mardner for 10 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+3
99.0%
Dedrick Parson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.1%
Brayden Schager pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 26DOWNS
8 plays · -5 yds · 2:0199% → 99%
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
99.1%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 46Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+2
99.1%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 44Similar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+15
99.0%
Strong,Carson pass incomplete to Horton,Tory PENALTY HAW Pass Interference (Davis,Cortez) 15 yards from NEV44 to HAW41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.1%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Cole TurnerSimilar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+5
99.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 5 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 5
OPP 36
0
99.0%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Melquan StovallSimilar
Q4 5:20
4TH & 5
OPP 36
-15
99.1%
NEVADA Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Nevad 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 27DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:451% → 1%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
99.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 7 yds to the Nevad 32Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 3
OPP 32
0
99.1%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Dedrick ParsonSimilar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 3
OPP 32
0
99.1%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Caleb PhillipsSimilar
Q4 4:35
4TH & 3
OPP 32
0
99.2%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Jared SmartSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 28PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:3099% → 100%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.3%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Nevad 35Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
99.4%
Devonte Lee run for no gain to the Nevad 35Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+15
99.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.4%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
99.4%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Cole TurnerSimilar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+4
99.4%
Devonte Lee run for 4 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q4 2:05
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
99.5%
Julian Diaz punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Tru Edwards at the Hawa 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 29DOWNS
9 plays · 11 yds · 1:120% → 0%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
99.6%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Caleb PhillipsSimilar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+24
99.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 24 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.5%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Dedrick ParsonSimilar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
99.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 11 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
99.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 3 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-16
99.5%
Brayden Schager sacked by Kameron Toomer for a loss of 16 yards to the Hawa 33Similar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 23
OWN 33
0
99.8%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Jonah PanokeSimilar
Q4 0:53
4TH & 23
OWN 33
-11
99.8%
Brayden Schager sacked by Tristan Nichols for a loss of 11 yards to the Hawa 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:53100% → 100%
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
99.7%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 23Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 23
-1
99.7%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:25
Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 3 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)
+7.5
FG · Q2 4:12
Matthew Shipley 28 yd FG GOOD
-4.5
TD · Q2 12:42
Dae Dae Hunter run for 81 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)
-4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com