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SJSU

San José State 17 at Hawai'i 13

HAW
2021 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2021 · Aloha Stadium
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:55 · Matthew Shipley punt for 48 yds , Shamar Garrett returns for 9 yds to the SJSt 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 97Pregame prior−12.8Home team on offense−6.5Garbage-time factor−3.0Score differential−2.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:26: Nick Starkel pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 13 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK) — SJSU win probability +10.7 pts (now 67%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:23: Nick Starkel pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK) — SJSU win probability +10.0 pts (now 75%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:32: Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds to the Hawa 22 — SJSU win probability +16.1 pts (now 71%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 1:19: Matt Mercurio 26 yd FG GOOD — SJSU win probability +13.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:25: Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Nick Mardner — HAW win probability +12.9 pts (now 29%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 9 of 14SJSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00SJSU 4th & 7 at SJSU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:37HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:37SJSU 4th & 3 at HAW 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    67.8%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:21SJSU 4th & 3 at SJSU 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%−0.2
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:16HAW 4th & 2 at HAW 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.2%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00SJSU 4th & 8 at SJSU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:44HAW 4th & 3 at HAW 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:38SJSU 4th & 8 at SJSU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:45HAW 4th & 15 at HAW 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:26HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 34, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:20HAW 4th & 2 at HAW 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.0%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:55HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:14SJSU 4th & 6 at SJSU 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%−0.9
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:05HAW 4th & 15 at SJSU 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−2.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:05HAW 4th & 4 at SJSU 8, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.7%−0.8
    90% to make
    Punt
    19.2%−12.2
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:58SJSU 4th & 8 at SJSU 31, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−2.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.4%
    average punt
  17. Q3 3:29HAW 4th & 6 at SJSU 6, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    24.4%−11.8
    average punt
  18. Q3 3:29SJSU 4th & 12 at SJSU 21, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%−6.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%
    average punt
  19. Q3 2:05HAW 4th & 12 at HAW 37, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−3.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%
    average punt
  20. Q4 15:00SJSU 4th & 11 at SJSU 48, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−2.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%
    average punt
  21. Q4 12:29HAW 4th & 5 at HAW 43, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−0.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%
    average punt
  22. Q4 12:14SJSU 4th & 6 at HAW 40, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    55.9%−3.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%−2.3
    average punt
  23. Q4 7:34HAW 4th & 5 at HAW 38, down 1
    Close callPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%−0.4
    average punt
  24. Q4 6:23SJSU 4th & 9 at midfield, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%
    average punt
  25. Q4 1:19SJSU 4th & 3 at HAW 9, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.6%−2.8
    89% to make
    Punt
    35.7%−35.7
    average punt
  26. Q4 0:25HAW 4th & 10 at SJSU 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.7%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    14.0%−4.7
    49% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−6.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 1 of 1SJSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:29HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:26SJSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:23SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
26.3%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Shamar Garrett for 1 yd to the SJSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
26.3%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Charles Ross for 2 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
26.3%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Nick Nash for 8 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
26.3%
Nick Starkel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
26.3%
Shamar Garrett run for 3 yds to the SJSt 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
26.3%
Nick Starkel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+1
26.3%
Will Hart punt for 48 yds , Calvin Turner Jr. returns for 1 yd to the Hawa 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
27.4%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 2 yds to the Hawa 16Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 8
OWN 16
-8
27.4%
HAWAII Penalty, illegal block (-8 Yards) to the Hawa 8Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 16
OWN 8
+10
27.4%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 10 yds to the Hawa 18Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 6
OWN 18
0
27.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:37
4TH & 6
OWN 18
0
27.3%
Matthew Shipley punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Shamar Garrett at the SJSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
27.3%
Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
27.2%
Nick Starkel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+7
27.3%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Jr. De Deese for 7 yds to the SJSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
27.2%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 6 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+3
27.2%
Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 1
OPP 44
-2
27.2%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 46Similar
Q1 12:37
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
27.3%
Will Hart punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 7:2428% → 37%
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
28.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 5 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+18
28.4%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 18 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
28.7%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 4 yds to the SJSt 44Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+5
28.7%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 5 yds to the SJSt 39Similar
Q1 10:53
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+1
28.6%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 1 yd to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
28.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jared Smart, broken up by Tre JenkinsSimilar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+30
28.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Mardner for 30 yds to the SJSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
28.8%
Dedrick Parson run for 7 yds to the SJSt 1Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
28.8%
Calvin Turner Jr. run for no gain to the SJSt 1Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
36.8%
Calvin Turner Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
36.0%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Charles Ross for 7 yds to the SJSt 22Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 3
OWN 22
0
35.6%
Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the SJSt 22Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 3
OWN 22
0
36.2%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Charles RossSimilar
Q1 3:21
4TH & 3
OWN 22
0
36.6%
Will Hart punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Calvin Turner Jr. at the Hawa 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
37.0%
Dedrick Parson run for 5 yds to the Hawa 39Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+3
37.8%
Dedrick Parson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q1 2:16
3RD & 2
OWN 42
0
37.3%
Dedrick Parson run for no gain to the Hawa 42Similar
Q1 2:16
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
36.7%
Matthew Shipley punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Shamar Garrett at the SJSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:3462% → 61%
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
38.0%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Jr. De DeeseSimilar
Q1 0:34
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-3
38.1%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 19
+16
39.2%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 16 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
38.1%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Shamar GarrettSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
38.3%
Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
38.5%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Charles RossSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
39.1%
Will Hart punt for 58 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
39.9%
Dae Dae Hunter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 3Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 12
OWN 3
+7
39.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 7 yds to the Hawa 10Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 5
OWN 10
+2
39.3%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds to the Hawa 12Similar
Q2 13:44
4TH & 3
OWN 12
0
38.7%
Matthew Shipley punt for 53 yds, downed at the SJSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
41.0%
Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 37Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
40.8%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
41.5%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Isaiah Hamilton, broken up by Hugh Nelson IISimilar
Q2 11:38
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
42.3%
Will Hart punt for 63 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
42.9%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 3 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
42.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 5 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
42.4%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 3 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
43.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for 11 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
44.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 10 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
44.6%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Jay Lenard for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 47Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 15
OWN 47
0
43.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Calvin Turner Jr.Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 15
OWN 47
0
42.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q2 10:45
4TH & 15
OWN 47
+18
41.7%
Matthew Shipley punt , Charlie Bostic III returns for 18 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 44 yds · 1:5556% → 67%
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
43.8%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Isaiah HamiltonSimilar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+7
44.0%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Charles Ross for 7 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+13
45.5%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 13 yds to the Hawa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
44.2%
Nick Starkel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+11
44.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 11 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
44.1%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Nick NashSimilar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
33.4%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 13 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
39.9%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 5 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
40.5%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 1 yd to the Hawa 31Similar
Q2 5:26
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
39.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 3 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q2 5:26
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+21
39.0%
Matthew Shipley punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Shamar Garrett at the HAWAII 30 HAWAII Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the SJSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13TD
3 plays · 55 yds · 0:5765% → 75%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
35.5%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 8 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+46
34.8%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 46 yds to the Hawa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
24.8%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
28.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 5 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
29.4%
Calvin Turner Jr. run for 3 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
29.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jared Smart, broken up by Kenyon ReedSimilar
Q2 2:20
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+13
28.6%
Matthew Shipley punt for 53 yds , Shamar Garrett returns for 13 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15FUMBLE
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4573% → 73%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-11
27.0%
Nick Starkel sacked by Jonah Laulu for a loss of 11 yards to the SJSt 16Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 21
OWN 16
+6
27.6%
Kairee Robinson run for 6 yds to the SJSt 22Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 15
OWN 22
+9
27.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 9 yds to the SJSt 31 Kairee Robinson fumbled, forced by Eugene Ford, recovered by Hawa Derek ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16MISSED FG
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:1032% → 33%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
32.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Calvin Turner Jr., broken up by Kenyon ReedSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+48
32.6%
Matthew Shipley 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
28.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Mardner for 11 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
29.7%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 1 yd to the Hawa 41Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-1
29.1%
Dae Dae Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 40Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
28.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Nick MardnerSimilar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+9
26.8%
Matthew Shipley punt for 48 yds , Shamar Garrett returns for 9 yds to the SJSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0074% → 72%
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
26.5%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Charles RossSimilar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+4
26.8%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Shamar Garrett for 4 yds to the SJSt 25Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
27.0%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Jermaine BraddockSimilar
Q3 13:14
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
28.0%
Will Hart punt for 47 yds, downed at the Hawa 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+28
28.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Mardner for 28 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
31.1%
HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Hawa 46Similar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 20
OWN 46
0
28.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Calvin Turner Jr.Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 20
OWN 46
+5
28.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for 5 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 15
OPP 49
0
28.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Calvin Turner Jr.Similar
Q3 12:05
4TH & 15
OPP 49
0
26.9%
Matthew Shipley punt for 48 yds, downed at the SJSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 20INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
27.1%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Dominick Mazotti) to the SJSt 1Similar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
27.1%
Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the SJSt 1Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
27.3%
Nick Starkel pass intercepted Kai Kaneshiro return for no gain to the SJSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21FG
5 plays · 36 yds · 1:3932% → 38%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+30
31.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 30 yds to the SJSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
32.9%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 4 yds to the SJSt 10Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+2
32.9%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 2 yds to the SJSt 8Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 4
OPP 8
0
31.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Nick Mardner, broken up by Nehemiah SheltonSimilar
Q3 8:05
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+25
37.7%
Matthew Shipley 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0066% → 63%
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
34.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
34.3%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Nick NashSimilar
Q3 7:58
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
35.7%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Malikhi Miller, broken up by Cortez DavisSimilar
Q3 7:58
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
36.8%
Will Hart punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dior Scott at the Hawa 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23FG
8 plays · 68 yds · 3:4135% → 45%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
35.1%
Dedrick Parson run for 6 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+33
36.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for 33 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
41.1%
Calvin Turner Jr. run for 8 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+18
41.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 18 yds to the SJSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
41.1%
Calvin Turner Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 12Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
41.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Calvin Turner Jr.Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+6
38.5%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 6 yds to the SJSt 6Similar
Q3 3:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
44.7%
Matthew Shipley 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:0059% → 56%
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+10
41.0%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Nick Nash for 10 yds to the SJSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
40.7%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 21Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 12
OWN 21
0
41.4%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Jermaine BraddockSimilar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 12
OWN 21
0
42.8%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Dominick Mazotti, broken up by Khoury BethleySimilar
Q3 3:29
4TH & 12
OWN 21
0
44.1%
Will Hart punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dior Scott at the Hawa 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0045% → 41%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-7
45.3%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Alii Matau for a loss of 7 yards to the Hawa 32Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 17
OWN 32
+5
43.0%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 5 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q3 2:05
3RD & 12
OWN 37
0
41.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Nick Mardner, broken up by Nehemiah SheltonSimilar
Q3 2:05
4TH & 12
OWN 37
0
40.8%
Matthew Shipley punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:4258% → 61%
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
41.8%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Nick NashSimilar
Q3 0:42
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+19
42.5%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 19 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
40.4%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 13 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
36.8%
Nick Nash pass incomplete to Jermaine BraddockSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
37.3%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Nick NashSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 48
0
42.6%
Will Hart punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dior Scott at the Hawa 15Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 49
-1
38.9%
Nick Starkel sacked by Khoury Bethley for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:5243% → 41%
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
42.5%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 8 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+15
43.4%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, targeting (Kyle Harmon) to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
45.0%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 3 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+2
47.0%
Calvin Turner Jr. run for 2 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q4 12:29
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
44.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jared Smart, broken up by Tysyn ParkerSimilar
Q4 12:29
4TH & 5
OWN 43
-2
41.0%
Matthew Shipley punt for 31 yds , Shamar Garrett returns for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 41 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, illegal procedure (Tysyn Parker) to the SJSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 28PUNT
11 plays · 46 yds · 0:0060% → 62%
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
40.5%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Shamar Garrett for 4 yds to the SJSt 18Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+9
40.7%
Shamar Garrett run for 9 yds to the SJSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
39.3%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Shamar Garrett for 5 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+1
37.8%
Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd to the SJSt 33Similar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+11
39.4%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Charles Ross for 11 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
36.4%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 5 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+7
35.8%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 7 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
35.3%
Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
34.7%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Nick NashSimilar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
35.9%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Nick NashSimilar
Q4 12:14
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
38.2%
Will Hart punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0044% → 43%
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
44.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Mardner for 13 yds to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
45.2%
Calvin Turner Jr. run for 5 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
49.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
47.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Calvin Turner Jr.Similar
Q4 7:34
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
43.2%
Matthew Shipley punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Shamar Garrett at the SJSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 30PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
35.6%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Jermaine BraddockSimilar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
37.1%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Nick NashSimilar
Q4 6:23
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+22
38.5%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 22 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
31.6%
Shamar Garrett run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 9
50
0
31.5%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Kairee RobinsonSimilar
Q4 6:23
3RD & 9
50
0
33.5%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Dominick MazottiSimilar
Q4 6:23
4TH & 9
50
0
36.7%
Will Hart punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 31FUMBLE
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
44.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 7 yds Jared Smart fumbled, forced by Jordan Cobbs, recovered by SJSt Rico TolefreeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 32FG
10 plays · 18 yds · 3:1371% → 91%
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
28.6%
Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+3
28.6%
Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 19Similar
Q4 4:32
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+3
30.5%
Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
27.8%
Kairee Robinson run for 7 yds to the Hawa 9Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 3
OPP 9
0
27.8%
Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the Hawa 9Similar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 3
OPP 9
0
22.3%
Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the Hawa 9Similar
Q4 1:19
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+26
8.7%
Matt Mercurio 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 33END OF GAME
14 plays · 43 yds · 1:1021% → 23%
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
20.5%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 5 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+4
22.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 4 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+7
21.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for 7 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
24.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Tru Edwards, broken up by Jordan CobbsSimilar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+15
23.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Mardner for 15 yds to the SJSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
30.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Nick MardnerSimilar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
23.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jared Smart, broken up by Kenyon ReedSimilar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
19.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jonah PanokeSimilar
Q4 0:25
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+12
16.1%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 12 yds to the SJSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
29.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Nick MardnerSimilar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
23.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Nick MardnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-23.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 4:32
Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds to the Hawa 22
-16.1
FG · Q4 1:19
Matt Mercurio 26 yd FG GOOD
-13.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com