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HAW

Hawai'i 10 at UCLA 44

UCLA
2021 · Week 1 · Aug 28, 2021 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:58 · TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards to the Hawa 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior+39.3Home team on offense+0.0Score differential−0.1Blowout margin+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:30: Zach Charbonnet run for 21 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +0.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:06: Brittain Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +1.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q1 1:47: Matthew Shipley 48 yd FG GOOD — HAW win probability +2.2 pts (now 9%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q1 0:46: Zach Charbonnet run for 47 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +2.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 11:31: Zach Charbonnet run for 21 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +2.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 8HAW made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 12:58HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 29, tied
    Close callWent for it · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:00UCLA 4th & 4 at HAW 9, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.6%−<0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    86.2%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:19HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:06UCLA 4th & 1 at HAW 1, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    85.8%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    84.4%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:47HAW 4th & 10 at UCLA 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    10.0%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:06HAW 4th & 9 at UCLA 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    7.6%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:31HAW 4th & 4 at HAW 42, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:22UCLA 4th & 2 at UCLA 25, up 28
    Close callPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:49HAW 4th & 11 at UCLA 11, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    -2.3%−3.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:06UCLA 4th & 8 at UCLA 13, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:20HAW 4th & 17 at HAW 18, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:11HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 25, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:41UCLA 4th & 10 at HAW 37, up 41
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−<0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:49UCLA 4th & 4 at HAW 46, up 34
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:49HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 3, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:23UCLA 4th & 12 at HAW 46, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:59UCLA 4th & 18 at HAW 32, up 34
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:59HAW 4th & 3 at UCLA 31, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5HAW made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:30UCLA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:06UCLA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:46UCLA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:31UCLA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:02UCLA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:17HAW Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1DOWNS
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:5510% → 10%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.2%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 3 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
90.0%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 2 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-1
89.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 29Similar
Q1 12:58
4TH & 6
OWN 29
-14
89.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards to the Hawa 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5390% → 90%
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
89.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kyle PhilipsSimilar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+6
89.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 6 yds to the Hawa 9Similar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 4
OPP 9
0
89.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:00
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+27
89.6%
Nicholas Barr-Mira 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 1:3110% → 11%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.6%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 3 yds to the Hawa 28 Chevan Cordeiro fumbled, recovered by Hawa Chevan CordeiroSimilar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
89.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 4 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q1 10:58
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
89.3%
HAWAII Penalty, False Start (Solo Vaipulu) to the Hawa 27Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
89.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete, broken up by Mitchell AgudeSimilar
Q1 10:19
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+60
89.3%
Matthew Shipley punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 23 UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (JonJon Vaughns) to the UCLA 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4TD
10 plays · 87 yds · 2:4489% → 90%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
89.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Chase CotaSimilar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+22
89.1%
Brittain Brown run for 22 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
89.1%
Brittain Brown run for 8 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+9
89.2%
Brittain Brown run for 9 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
89.1%
Zach Charbonnet run for 10 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
89.1%
Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
89.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+14
89.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 14 yds to the Hawa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
90.2%
Zach Charbonnet run for 21 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0810% → 10%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Dae Dae Hunter, broken up by Bo CalvertSimilar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-11
89.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass intercepted Datona Jackson return for 11 yds to the Hawa 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6TD
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0690% → 92%
Q1 7:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
90.2%
Brittain Brown run for 4 yds to the Hawa 5Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
90.2%
Brittain Brown run for no gain to the Hawa 5Similar
Q1 6:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
89.9%
Brittain Brown run for 4 yds to the Hawa 1Similar
Q1 6:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.7%
Brittain Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7FG
12 plays · 44 yds · 4:138% → 9%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
92.6%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Ale Kaho for a loss of 10 yards to the Hawa 15Similar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+24
92.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 9 yds to the Hawa 24 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Bo Calvert) to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
92.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Dae Dae HunterSimilar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+16
92.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Mardner for 16 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
92.7%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 4 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+10
92.3%
Cordeiro, Chevan pass sacked for loss of 4 yards to the UCLA45 (Ogbonnia, Otito), PENALTY UCLA holding (Vaughns, JonJon) 10 yards to the UCLA31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN HAWAII.Similar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
92.3%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Carl Jones Jr. and Datona Jackson for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 36Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 15
OPP 36
0
93.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Calvin Turner Jr.Similar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 15
OPP 36
+5
93.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 5 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q1 1:47
4TH & 10
OPP 31
+48
91.0%
Matthew Shipley 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:5591% → 94%
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
91.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Greg Dulcich for 15 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
91.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 13 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
91.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kam BrownSimilar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+47
93.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 47 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9DOWNS
7 plays · 36 yds · 1:324% → 4%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for 5 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q1 0:08
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+30
96.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for 30 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
96.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to James Phillips, broken up by Stephan BlaylockSimilar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
96.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Calvin Turner Jr.Similar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+1
96.4%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 1 yd to the UCLA 39Similar
Q2 14:06
4TH & 9
OPP 39
0
96.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Caleb PhillipsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:2895% → 97%
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
94.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Chase Cota, broken up by Cameron LockridgeSimilar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
94.6%
Brittain Brown run for 5 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q2 13:21
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+5
94.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 5 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
94.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Brittain Brown for 11 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
94.9%
Brittain Brown run for 15 yds to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
95.1%
Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+21
97.2%
Zach Charbonnet run for 21 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:512% → 3%
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.0%
Dedrick Parson run for 5 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
97.9%
Dedrick Parson run for 6 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
98.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 6 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
97.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jared SmartSimilar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
97.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Nick MardnerSimilar
Q2 9:31
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
97.5%
Matthew Shipley punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kyle Philips at the UCLA 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0098% → 98%
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
97.5%
Brittain Brown run for 5 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+3
97.2%
Brittain Brown run for 3 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 2
OWN 25
0
97.8%
Brittain Brown run for no gain to the UCLA 25Similar
Q2 7:22
4TH & 2
OWN 25
0
97.8%
Luke Akers punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Calvin Turner Jr. at the Hawa 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13DOWNS
14 plays · 55 yds · 5:261% → 1%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
98.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 7 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+4
98.2%
Dedrick Parson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 45 Dedrick Parson fumbled, forced by Stephan Blaylock, recovered by HawaSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
98.7%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 4 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+16
98.7%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 16 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
98.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for 7 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 3
OPP 28
0
98.3%
Dae Dae Hunter run for no gain to the UCLA 28Similar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+5
98.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Mardner for 5 yds to the UCLA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
98.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Nick MardnerSimilar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+14
98.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Mardner for 14 yds to the UCLA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
99.0%
Dae Dae Hunter run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 11Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
99.0%
Dae Dae Hunter run for no gain to the UCLA 11Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
99.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Dae Dae HunterSimilar
Q2 1:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
0
98.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Nick Mardner, broken up by Mo Osling IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:3699% → 99%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
98.9%
Ethan Fernea run for 2 yds to the UCLA 13Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 8
OWN 13
0
98.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Chase Cota, broken up by Khoury BethleySimilar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 8
OWN 13
0
98.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Greg DulcichSimilar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 8
OWN 13
0
98.9%
Luke Akers punt for 66 yds, downed at the Hawa 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15END OF HALF
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:581% → 1%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
99.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 9 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 1
OWN 30
0
99.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Dae Dae HunterSimilar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+7
99.0%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 7 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 4 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+3
99.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 3 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5399% → 99%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.0%
Brittain Brown run for 2 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q3 14:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
99.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Brittain Brown for 10 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
99.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kyle Philips for 7 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+12
99.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Josiah Norwood for 12 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
99.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 44 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17PUNT TD
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:361% → 0%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Calvin Turner Jr.Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Dae Dae Hunter run for no gain to the Hawa 25Similar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.3%
HAWAII Penalty, False Start (Gene Pryor) to the Hawa 20Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-2
99.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 18Similar
Q3 11:20
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
99.6%
Matthew Shipley punt blocked by Ale Kaho, recovered by David Priebe for TD (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:031% → 0%
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Chevan Cordeiro run for no gain to the Hawa 25Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Dedrick ParsonSimilar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Caleb PhillipsSimilar
Q3 10:11
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Matthew Shipley punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:23100% → 100%
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete, broken up by Darius MuasauSimilar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+9
99.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Matt Sykes for 9 yds to the Hawa 39Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+2
99.6%
Ethan Fernea run for 2 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
99.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 3 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 7
OPP 34
-3
99.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 37Similar
Q3 7:49
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
99.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Josiah NorwoodSimilar
Q3 7:41
4TH & 10
OPP 37
0
99.6%
Luke Akers punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Calvin Turner Jr. at the Hawa 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20TD
10 plays · 90 yds · 4:170% → 0%
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
99.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner Jr. for 9 yds to the Hawa 19Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 1
OWN 19
-5
99.7%
HAWAII Penalty, False Start (Solo Vaipulu) to the Hawa 14Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+5
99.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 5 yds to the Hawa 19Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+2
99.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 2 yds to the Hawa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+49
99.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 49 yds to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-6
99.7%
James Phillips run for a loss of 6 yards to the UCLA 36Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 16
OPP 36
+28
99.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dior Scott for 28 yds to the UCLA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jared SmartSimilar
Q3 3:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
99.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to James Phillips for 7 yds to the UCLA 1Similar
Q3 3:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:18100% → 100%
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.7%
Keegan Jones run for 8 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
99.7%
Keegan Jones run for 2 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
99.8%
Keegan Jones run for 13 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
99.8%
Ethan Fernea run for 6 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+1
99.8%
Ethan Fernea run for 1 yd to the Hawa 45Similar
Q3 0:01
3RD & 3
OPP 45
-1
99.8%
Keegan Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 46Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
99.8%
Luke Akers punt for 45 yds, downed at the Hawa 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:540% → 0%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
99.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jared SmartSimilar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
99.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 10
OWN 1
+2
99.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to James Phillips for 2 yds to the Hawa 3Similar
Q4 13:49
4TH & 8
OWN 3
+12
99.9%
Matthew Shipley punt for 53 yds , Logan Loya returns for 12 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:18100% → 100%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-9
99.8%
Keegan Jones run for 1 yd to the UCLA 43 UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Garrett DiGiorgio) to the UCLA 47Similar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 19
OWN 47
+5
99.8%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Josiah Norwood for 5 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 14
OPP 48
+1
99.9%
Keegan Jones run for 1 yd to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 13
OPP 47
+1
99.9%
Ethan Garbers run for 1 yd to the Hawa 46Similar
Q4 11:23
4TH & 12
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Luke Akers punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 24INT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:490% → 0%
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
99.9%
Cordeiro, Chevan pass complete to Smart, Jared for 8 yards to the HAWAII28, PENALTY HAWAII ineligible downfield on pass (Phillips, Caleb) 5 yards to the HAWAII15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+8
99.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 8 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-4
99.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for a loss of 4 yards to the Hawa 19Similar
Q4 9:29
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+15
99.9%
Cordeiro, Chevan pass sacked for loss of 3 yards to the HAWAII16 (Magna, Dovid), PENALTY UCLA face mask (Magna, Dovid) 15 yards to the HAWAII34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN HAWAII.Similar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
99.9%
HAWAII Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 29Similar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 15
OWN 29
-3
99.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass intercepted Jay Shaw return for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 25DOWNS
10 plays · 19 yds · 6:23100% → 100%
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.9%
Brian Kowall run for 2 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+1
99.9%
Keegan Jones run for 1 yd to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 7:02
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+13
99.9%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Michael Ezeike for 13 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
99.9%
Brian Kowall run for 1 yd to the Hawa 33Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+9
99.9%
Brian Kowall run for 9 yds to the Hawa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
99.9%
Kowall, Brian rush for loss of 2 yards to the HAWAII26, PENALTY UCLA holding (Whitworth, Brad) 10 yards to the HAWAII34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 20
OPP 34
+1
99.9%
Brian Kowall run for 1 yd to the Hawa 33Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 19
OPP 33
-10
99.9%
Ethan Garbers sacked by Jonah Laulu for a loss of 10 yards to the Hawa 43Similar
Q4 2:44
3RD & 29
OPP 43
+11
99.9%
Brian Kowall run for 11 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q4 1:59
4TH & 18
OPP 32
+1
99.9%
Keegan Jones run for 1 yd to the Hawa 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 26DOWNS
7 plays · 38 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
100.0%
Schager, Brayden pass incomplete to Hunter, Dae Dae, PENALTY UCLA personal foul (Price, Joquarri) 15 yards to the HAWAII46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN HAWAII.Similar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tru Edwards for 8 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+8
99.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tru Edwards for 8 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Tru EdwardsSimilar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Steven FisoSimilar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+7
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dior Scott for 7 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q4 0:59
4TH & 3
OPP 31
0
99.9%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to James Phillips, broken up by Joquarri PriceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:24100% → 100%
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 27Similar
Q4 0:27
2ND & 14
OWN 27
-4
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:46
Zach Charbonnet run for 47 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)
+2.3
FG · Q1 1:47
Matthew Shipley 48 yd FG GOOD
-2.2
TD · Q2 11:31
Zach Charbonnet run for 21 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)
+2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com