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GAST

Georgia State 42 at Coastal Carolina 40

CCU
2021 · Week 11 · Nov 13, 2021 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreGAST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDSAFETYTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:41 · Michael Hayes punt for 37 yds , Jaivon Heiligh returns for 13 yds to the CCaro 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Pregame prior+7.2Home team on offense−7.0Garbage-time factor−0.9Score differential−3.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:40: Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) — GAST win probability +4.0 pts (now 25%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:57: Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) — GAST win probability +4.5 pts (now 32%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:02: Jamyest Williams run for 36 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) — GAST win probability +11.3 pts (now 45%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:45: Shermari Jones run for 8 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +8.5 pts (now 65%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q4 9:15: Shermari Jones 8 Yd Run (Greg Latushko Pass to Bryce Carpenter for Two-Point Conversion) — CCU win probability +24.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6GAST made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:30GAST 4th & 1 at CCU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    19.8%−0.3
    34% to make
    Punt
    19.8%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:52CCU 4th & 9 at CCU 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:13CCU 4th & 10 at GAST 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    65.9%−1.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:13CCU 4th & 10 at GAST 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    65.9%−1.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:05CCU 4th & 14 at CCU 33, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−2.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:34GAST 4th & 14 at GAST 21, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−4.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:42CCU 4th & 6 at GAST 6, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    36.0%−15.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:42GAST 4th & 2 at GAST 33, up 2
    Close callPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:31CCU 4th & 2 at CCU 33, down 2
    Close callPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.7%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:41GAST 4th & 5 at GAST 40, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:53GAST 4th & 2 at CCU 2, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    11.7%−5.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−15.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4GAST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:25CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:40GAST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:25CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:19GAST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 14:57GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:02GAST Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:45CCU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:15CCU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    73.8%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    74.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:2980% → 80%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
79.6%
Bryce Carpenter sacked by Javon Denis for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 21Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+18
79.6%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 18 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
79.6%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+21
79.6%
Shermari Jones run for 21 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+39
79.6%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 39 yds to the GeoSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.8%
Shermari Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 2DOWNS
9 plays · 40 yds · 2:5021% → 21%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
79.5%
Tucker Gregg run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+8
79.5%
Tucker Gregg run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
79.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 5 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+12
79.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 12 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
79.3%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+5
79.3%
Darren Grainger run for 5 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+2
79.4%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the CCaro 40Similar
Q1 9:30
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+1
79.4%
Jamyest Williams run for 1 yd to the CCaro 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:3880% → 79%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
79.9%
Shermari Jones run for 1 yd to the CCaro 40Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+2
79.8%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 2 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
79.7%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q1 7:52
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
79.4%
Charles Ouverson punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 4TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:1221% → 25%
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
79.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 20 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
79.2%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Ja'Cyais CredleSimilar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+22
79.3%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Roger Carter for 22 yds to the CCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
78.8%
Darren Grainger run for 3 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+5
78.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 5 yds to the CCaro 25Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+4
79.0%
Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the CCaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
78.7%
Jamyest Williams run for 7 yds to the CCaro 14Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+4
78.7%
Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the CCaro 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
78.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 3 yds to the CCaro 13Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+7
78.8%
Darren Grainger run for 7 yds to the CCaro 6Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
79.0%
Grainger,Darren pass incomplete to Pinckney,Sam PENALTY CCU Pass Interference (Boykin,Lance) 4 yards from CCU06 to CCU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
75.0%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
79.6%
Braydon Bennett run for 75 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 6TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:0621% → 26%
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
79.4%
Jamyest Williams run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
78.8%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Terrance DixonSimilar
Q1 3:25
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
79.3%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 7 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+23
79.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 23 yds to the CCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+28
78.6%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 28 yds to the CCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
78.1%
Jamyest Williams run for 5 yds to the CCaro 4Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
78.1%
Jamyest Williams run for 1 yd to the CCaro 3Similar
Q1 1:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
74.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 3 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7INT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4576% → 75%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
75.8%
Braydon Bennett run for 6 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
76.3%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Isaiah LikelySimilar
Q1 0:34
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
75.4%
Bryce Carpenter pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 8TD
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0327% → 32%
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
73.0%
Tucker Gregg run for no gain to the CCaro 1Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.5%
Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9PUNT
12 plays · 35 yds · 4:3670% → 67%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
70.2%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Kameron Brown for 7 yds to the CCaro 26Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+8
70.5%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 8 yds to the CCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
70.4%
Braydon Bennett run for 10 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
71.1%
Shermari Jones run for 3 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+7
71.4%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 7 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
71.7%
Bryce Carpenter run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 43Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+3
71.7%
Shermari Jones run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+4
70.7%
Carpenter,Bryce rush for 4 yards gain to the GSU42, End Of Play PENALTY CCU Holding offsetting GSU Face Mask offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
70.7%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Kameron BrownSimilar
Q2 10:13
4TH & 10
OPP 46
+43
66.7%
Charles Ouverson punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSt 3 GEORGIA ST Penalty, Illegal Substitution. (Darren Grainger) to the GeoSt 3Similar
Q2 10:13
4TH & 10
OPP 46
+43
66.7%
Charles Ouverson punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSt 3 GEORGIA ST Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Darren Grainger) to the GeoSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 10SF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:3533% → 31%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
66.8%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 5Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+5
69.2%
Darren Grainger run for 5 yds for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:2570% → 66%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
69.7%
Shermari Jones run for 2 yds to the CCaro 39Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 8
OWN 39
-6
70.6%
Bryce Carpenter sacked by Dontae Wilson for a loss of 6 yards to the CCaro 33Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 14
OWN 33
0
68.4%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Braydon BennettSimilar
Q2 8:05
4TH & 14
OWN 33
0
66.4%
Charles Ouverson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Terrance Dixon at the GeoSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 12TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0333% → 45%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.0%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
67.1%
Jamyest Williams run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
67.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Roger Carter for 9 yds to the GeoSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
66.3%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Terrance DixonSimilar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
66.7%
Darren Grainger run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+13
66.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 13 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
65.3%
Grainger,Darren pass complete to Carter,Roger for 26 yards to the CCU23 (Makonzo,Enock) PENALTY GSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass 5 yards from CCU49 to GSU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+18
66.3%
Jamyest Williams run for 18 yds to the CCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
55.0%
Jamyest Williams run for 36 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 13TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:1756% → 65%
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
55.6%
Braydon Bennett run for 9 yds to the CCaro 34Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
56.7%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Greg LatushkoSimilar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+8
55.9%
Shermari Jones run for 8 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
56.6%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Isaiah LikelySimilar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
56.3%
Bryce Carpenter run for 5 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+7
56.6%
Bryce Carpenter run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+30
57.5%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Kameron Brown for 30 yds to the GeoSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
58.8%
Braydon Bennett run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 7Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 1
OPP 7
+1
56.7%
Bryce Carpenter run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 8Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+8
65.2%
Shermari Jones run for 8 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
59.0%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:2642% → 41%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
57.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 2 yds to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
57.7%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Ja'Cyais CredleSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-6
59.0%
Darren Grainger sacked by Josaiah Stewart for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSt 21Similar
Q3 13:34
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+7
59.0%
Michael Hayes punt for 36 yds , Jaivon Heiligh returns for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16FG
17 plays · 44 yds · 8:5260% → 61%
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
50
+10
60.3%
Braydon Bennett run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
60.6%
Braydon Bennett run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+3
60.5%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Kameron Brown for 3 yds to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+8
60.0%
Bryce Carpenter run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
61.9%
Shermari Jones run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+1
61.9%
Shermari Jones run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+7
60.3%
Bryce Carpenter run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
61.8%
PENALTY CCU False Start 5 yards from GSU17 to GSU22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 15
OPP 22
+7
61.4%
Braydon Bennett run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 15Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+3
61.8%
Bryce Carpenter run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 12Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+7
60.3%
Bryce Carpenter run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
61.8%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Quavian White) to the GeoSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+2
61.9%
Shermari Jones run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 3Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
61.8%
Braydon Bennett run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 6Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
60.3%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Isaiah LikelySimilar
Q3 4:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
61.2%
Massimo Biscardi 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0044% → 45%
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
55.6%
Jamyest Williams run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
55.8%
Darren Grainger run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q3 4:42
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
55.3%
Jamyest Williams run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q3 2:42
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
54.8%
Michael Hayes punt for 40 yds , Jaivon Heiligh returns for no gain to the CCaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:1158% → 55%
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
57.9%
Bryce Carpenter run for 1 yd to the CCaro 24Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
57.4%
Shermari Jones run for 7 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
57.0%
Shermari Jones run for 2 yds to the CCaro 33Similar
Q3 0:31
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
55.3%
Charles Ouverson punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1951% → 51%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
48.9%
Jamyest Williams run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
47.1%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Aubry PayneSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+2
48.7%
Darren Grainger run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q4 13:54
4TH & 5
OWN 40
-56
49.3%
Hayes,Michael punt 37 yards to the CCU23 Heiligh,Jaivon return 56 yards to the GSU21 (Hayes,Michael) PENALTY GSU Illegal Formation offsetting CCU Illegal Block in Back offsetting GSU Personal Foul offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:41
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+13
49.2%
Michael Hayes punt for 37 yds , Jaivon Heiligh returns for 13 yds to the CCaro 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 4:2658% → 88%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
57.7%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 11 yds to the CCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
61.0%
Braydon Bennett run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+28
61.5%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 28 yds to the GeoSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
63.4%
Bryce Carpenter run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+4
63.2%
Aaron Bedgood run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 18Similar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+8
61.2%
Bryce Carpenter run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
63.4%
Shermari Jones run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 8Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
63.4%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q4 9:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
87.5%
Shermari Jones 8 Yd Run (Greg Latushko Pass to Bryce Carpenter for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:2212% → 12%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
88.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 3 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
86.9%
Tucker Gregg run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
86.4%
Tucker Gregg run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 40 Tucker Gregg fumbled, forced by Enock Makonzo, recovered by GeoSt Tucker Gregg for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
85.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 5 yds to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+39
85.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Roger Carter for 39 yds to the CCaro 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
82.1%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the CCaro 14Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+8
82.1%
Darren Grainger run for 8 yds to the CCaro 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
82.1%
Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd to the CCaro 5Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
84.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 3 yds to the CCaro 2Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
86.0%
Darren Grainger run for no gain to the CCaro 2Similar
Q4 4:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.0%
Terrance Dixon 2 Yd pass from Darren Grainger (Noel Ruiz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22FUMBLE
6 plays · -17 yds · 2:0694% → 95%
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
93.7%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 6 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
94.0%
Shermari Jones run for 5 yds to the CCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
94.2%
Bryce Carpenter sacked by Javon Denis for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 33Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 13
OWN 33
0
93.6%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Kameron BrownSimilar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 13
OWN 33
-25
95.0%
Bryce Carpenter sacked by Jaquez Pennimon for a loss of 25 yards to the CCaro 8 Bryce Carpenter fumbled, recovered by GeoSt Jontrey Hunter , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 23TD
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:1114% → 16%
Q4 2:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
85.6%
Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the CCaro 4Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
84.1%
Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 24TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 1:2795% → 99%
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
95.4%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Greg Latushko for 9 yds to the CCaro 34Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
95.7%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 6 yds to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
96.0%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 15 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
96.1%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Kameron Brown for 11 yds to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
96.2%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Kameron Brown for 16 yds to the GeoSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
98.5%
Bryce Carpenter run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 17Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
98.5%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q4 1:09
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+17
98.6%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 17 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
Q4 1:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
98.6%
Carpenter,Bryce pass attempt Failed PENALTY GSU Pass Interference (Jones,Jaylon) 1 yard from GSU03 to GSU02. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 25END OF GAME
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:078% → 13%
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
92.3%
Tucker Gregg run for 6 yds to the CCaro 45Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+7
90.2%
Tucker Gregg run for 7 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
90.4%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the CCaro 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
-3
87.0%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-87
TD · Q4 9:15
Shermari Jones 8 Yd Run (Greg Latushko Pass to Bryce Carpenter for Two-Point Conversion)
+24.1
TD · Q2 5:02
Jamyest Williams run for 36 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)
-11.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com