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GAST

Georgia State 17 at Louisiana 21

UL
2021 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2021 · Cajun Field
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreGAST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:04 · Michael Hayes punt for 42 yds , Eric Garror returns for 8 yds to the LaLaf 36 LOUISIANA Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the LaLaf 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 86Pregame prior+15.1Home team on offense−3.4Garbage-time factor−0.4Score differential−2.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:46: Darren Grainger pass complete to Roger Carter for 37 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) — GAST win probability +13.4 pts (now 58%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:49: Peter LeBlanc 13 Yd pass from Levi Lewis (Nate Snyder Kick) — UL win probability +21.8 pts (now 60%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q4 13:11: Montrell Johnson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nate Snyder KICK) — UL win probability +17.8 pts (now 81%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:25: Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) — GAST win probability +39.7 pts (now 74%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:32: Montrell Johnson run for 13 yds for a TD, (Nate Snyder KICK) — UL win probability +41.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 3 of 6GAST made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 10:20UL 4th & 4 at GAST 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    80.8%−<0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    80.3%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:05GAST 4th & 5 at UL 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.3%
    74% to make
    Punt
    20.3%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:21UL 4th & 7 at UL 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:21GAST 4th & 6 at UL 39, up 3
    Close callPunted · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    25.8%−0.5
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:40UL 4th & 3 at UL 39, down 3
    Close callPunted · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:07GAST 4th & 11 at UL 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:17UL 4th & 2 at GAST 6, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.5%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    67.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    61.7%−5.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:04GAST 4th & 7 at GAST 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%−1.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:13UL 4th & 4 at UL 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:29GAST 4th & 8 at GAST 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−1.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:49UL 4th & 5 at GAST 14, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.8%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    35.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    24.2%−11.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:35GAST 4th & 20 at GAST 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%−7.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:46GAST 4th & 1 at UL 5, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.5%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    29.1%−2.4
    92% to make
    Punt
    13.1%−18.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:25GAST 4th & 10 at UL 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.8%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.1%−4.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3GAST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q3 8:46GAST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 2:49UL Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:11UL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:25GAST Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.7%−2.6
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:32UL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.0%−1.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1DOWNS
11 plays · 67 yds · 4:1680% → 79%
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
79.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 35 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
79.5%
Chris Smith run for no gain to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+4
79.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Chris Smith for 4 yds to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+10
79.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 10 yds to the GeoSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
79.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 9 yds to the GeoSt 17Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+3
79.2%
Montrell Johnson run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
79.1%
Montrell Johnson run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 13Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
79.0%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jalen WilliamsSimilar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+5
78.8%
Montrell Johnson run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 8Similar
Q1 10:20
4TH & 4
OPP 8
0
78.6%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 2FG
12 plays · 71 yds · 5:0822% → 24%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+12
78.4%
Tucker Gregg run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
78.2%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+7
78.1%
Tucker Gregg run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
77.8%
Jamyest Williams run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
77.6%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 7 yds to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+10
77.1%
Darren Grainger run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
76.9%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 8
50
+24
76.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Roger Carter for 24 yds to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
76.2%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 7
OPP 23
0
76.0%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Roger CarterSimilar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+2
76.3%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tucker Gregg for 2 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q1 5:05
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+39
76.1%
Noel Ruiz 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:3976% → 75%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.8%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren LacySimilar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
75.6%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q1 4:14
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+18
75.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 18 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
76.1%
Levi Lewis run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 6
OWN 49
-1
76.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q1 2:29
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
75.2%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:21
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
74.5%
Rhys Byrns punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Quavian White at the GeoSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 4PUNT
13 plays · 52 yds · 5:0025% → 28%
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-4
74.9%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the GeoSt 5Similar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 14
OWN 5
+3
74.7%
Darren Grainger run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 8Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 11
OWN 8
+16
74.6%
Tucker Gregg run for 16 yds to the GeoSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
74.2%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+7
73.3%
Darren Grainger run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+1
72.9%
Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
72.7%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+8
72.8%
Darren Grainger run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q2 13:50
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+15
72.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Roger Carter for 15 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
71.3%
Jamyest Williams run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+1
71.1%
Jamyest Williams run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
71.1%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q2 12:21
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
71.8%
Michael Hayes punt for 31 yds, downed at the LaLaf 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 3:2072% → 71%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
72.1%
Montrell Johnson run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 13Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 5
OWN 13
0
72.1%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Pearse MiglSimilar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 5
OWN 13
+7
71.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 7 yds to the LaLaf 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
71.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 5 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+7
72.4%
Montrell Johnson run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-4
72.2%
Levi Lewis sacked by Jordan Veneziale for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 14
OWN 28
0
71.2%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to John Stephens Jr.Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 14
OWN 28
+5
70.5%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+6
70.7%
Levi Lewis run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q2 8:40
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
71.0%
Rhys Byrns punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 4:1130% → 32%
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
70.3%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 5 yds to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
68.8%
Darren Grainger run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+4
69.2%
Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
68.4%
Jamyest Williams run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+4
66.9%
Jamyest Williams run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
66.6%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 7 yds to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+5
66.3%
Jamyest Williams run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
65.9%
Jamyest Williams run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+1
65.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 1 yd to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 7
OPP 43
-4
65.7%
Darren Grainger sacked by Andre Riley for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q2 4:07
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
67.8%
Michael Hayes punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7DOWNS
14 plays · 62 yds · 3:2868% → 66%
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
67.8%
Terrence Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
67.4%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+51
66.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 51 yds to the GeoSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
71.0%
Chris Smith run for no gain to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
70.8%
Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+8
69.3%
Chris Smith run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
70.9%
LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 15
OPP 19
0
70.5%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren LacySimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 15
OPP 19
+6
70.2%
Chris Smith run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 13Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+7
68.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Chris Smith for 7 yds to the GeoSt 6Similar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 2
OPP 6
-7
65.8%
Levi Lewis sacked by Jacorey Crawford for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 8END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
64.1%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4437% → 36%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
62.9%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
62.3%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q3 14:19
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
63.5%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q3 14:04
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+8
64.4%
Michael Hayes punt for 42 yds , Eric Garror returns for 8 yds to the LaLaf 36 LOUISIANA Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the LaLaf 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:5164% → 61%
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-14
64.1%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-14 Yards) to the LaLaf 14Similar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
63.4%
Montrell Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 8
OWN 16
0
63.3%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Michael JeffersonSimilar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+19
61.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 19 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
63.2%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Michael JeffersonSimilar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
62.8%
Montrell Johnson run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+2
62.6%
Levi Lewis run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q3 11:13
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
61.3%
Rhys Byrns punt for 35 yds, downed at the GeoSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:3139% → 37%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
61.0%
Darren Grainger run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
60.8%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Ja'Cyais CredleSimilar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 8
OWN 26
0
61.9%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q3 10:29
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
63.0%
Michael Hayes punt for 55 yds , Eric Garror returns for no gain to the LaLaf 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:2061% → 61%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
60.9%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
60.6%
Levi Lewis pass intercepted Antavious Lane return for no gain to the GeoSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13TD
3 plays · 52 yds · 0:3944% → 58%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
55.9%
Jamyest Williams run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
55.3%
Jamyest Williams run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+37
41.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Roger Carter for 37 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:4643% → 60%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
43.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 18 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
44.4%
Montrell Johnson run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+15
43.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 15 yds to the GeoSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
44.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 7 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+3
46.3%
Montrell Johnson run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
43.7%
Montrell Johnson run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 7
OPP 28
0
43.1%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren LacySimilar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+9
40.2%
Levi Lewis run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
42.0%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Peter LeBlancSimilar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+2
41.7%
Montrell Johnson run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 17Similar
Q3 3:59
3RD & 8
OPP 17
-10
40.8%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 18
OPP 27
+13
38.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 13 yds to the GeoSt 14Similar
Q3 2:49
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+13
60.3%
Peter LeBlanc 13 Yd pass from Levi Lewis (Nate Snyder Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 2:0047% → 45%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
53.5%
Jamyest Williams run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+5
51.5%
Jamyest Williams run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-7
50.4%
Darren Grainger sacked by Andre Riley for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 17
OWN 31
0
52.9%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Roger CarterSimilar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 17
OWN 31
-3
54.2%
Darren Grainger sacked by Andre Jones and Zi'Yon Hill for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q3 0:35
4TH & 20
OWN 28
0
55.3%
Michael Hayes punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 16TD
7 plays · 51 yds · 2:0961% → 81%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
50
+31
60.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 31 yds to the GeoSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
63.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 5 yds to the GeoSt 14Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+3
63.6%
Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 11Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+5
60.5%
Chris Smith run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 0
OPP 6
+4
65.4%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (4 Yards) to the GeoSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
63.3%
Chris Smith run for no gain to the GeoSt 3Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
81.1%
Montrell Johnson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nate Snyder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17TD
18 plays · 76 yds · 7:3525% → 74%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
75.5%
Tucker Gregg run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
74.1%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
74.2%
Tucker Gregg run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
73.2%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+4
73.2%
Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q4 10:26
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+7
72.1%
Darren Grainger run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
70.4%
Tucker Gregg run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 3
OPP 40
0
70.0%
Tucker Gregg run for no gain to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+4
70.3%
Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
70.1%
Tucker Gregg run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+17
67.8%
Jamyest Williams run for 17 yds to the LaLaf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
67.6%
Jamyest Williams run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 13Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+7
67.2%
Tucker Gregg run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 6Similar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+1
69.6%
Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 5Similar
Q4 5:46
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+3
71.5%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 0
OPP 2
+2
65.5%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Face Mask (2 yards) (2 Yards) to the LaLaf 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
25.8%
Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 18TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 2:3542% → 89%
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
42.4%
Montrell Johnson run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 5
OWN 34
0
44.1%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Peter LeBlancSimilar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+23
40.3%
Montrell Johnson run for 23 yds to the GeoSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
47.7%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren LacySimilar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+20
47.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 20 yds to the GeoSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
49.7%
Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 20Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+7
49.5%
Chris Smith run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
91.3%
Montrell Johnson run for 13 yds for a TD, (Nate Snyder KICK)Similar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
88.9%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the LaLaf 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 19DOWNS
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:5522% → 19%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
78.0%
Jamyest Williams run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
74.9%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Ja'Cyais CredleSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
76.5%
Jamyest Williams run for no gain to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
79.1%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q4 1:25
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
81.4%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 20Uncategorized
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:1794% → 96%
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
94.3%
Montrell Johnson run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+9
94.4%
Montrell Johnson run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
95.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 12
OPP 35
-1
96.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:32
Montrell Johnson run for 13 yds for a TD, (Nate Snyder KICK)
+41.9
TD · Q4 5:25
Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)
-39.7
TD · Q3 2:49
Peter LeBlanc 13 Yd pass from Levi Lewis (Nate Snyder Kick)
+21.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com