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GAST

Georgia State 55 at UL Monroe 21

ULM
2021 · Week 6 · Oct 9, 2021 · Malone Stadium
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Win probability · ULM
modelULM aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey playULM scoreGAST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:58 · Michael Hayes punt for 40 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Home team on offense−1.1Pregame prior−32.0Score differential−0.8Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:28: Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 10 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) — GAST win probability +2.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:23: Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 31 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) — GAST win probability +4.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:33: Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) — GAST win probability +6.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:53: Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 9 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) — GAST win probability +3.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:10: Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Jackson for 18 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK) — ULM win probability +6.3 pts (now 8%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ULM made the numbers' call on 7 of 10GAST made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 13:18ULM 4th & 15 at ULM 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:19GAST 4th & 5 at GAST 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:01ULM 4th & 1 at ULM 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:58GAST 4th & 5 at ULM 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    77.9%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:47ULM 4th & 4 at ULM 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:28ULM 4th & 1 at GAST 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    19.7%−1.4
    51% to make
    Punt
    19.2%−1.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:35ULM 4th & 6 at GAST 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    17.8%−3.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:25ULM 4th & 7 at GAST 46, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    10.0%
    23% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:14ULM 4th & 9 at ULM 46, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:16ULM 4th & 6 at ULM 38, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:25GAST 4th & 7 at GAST 28, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:10ULM 4th & 2 at GAST 17, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:34ULM 4th & 2 at GAST 6, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ULM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3GAST made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 9:35ULM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:35GAST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:28GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:23GAST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:33GAST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:53GAST Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:10ULM Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:31GAST Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:52GAST Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 11:48GAST Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 4:34ULM Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:4214% → 15%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
13.9%
Chandler Rogers run for 21 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
13.9%
Andrew Henry run for no gain to the LaMon 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
13.9%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
13.9%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Jacorey Crawford for 0 yards to the LaMon 41Similar
Q1 13:18
4TH & 15
OWN 41
0
14.6%
Devyn McCormick punt for 47 yds, downed at the GeoSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 1:5985% → 84%
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
14.7%
Tucker Gregg run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 20Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 2
OWN 20
0
14.7%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:18
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+6
14.7%
Tucker Gregg run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
14.7%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+3
14.7%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q1 13:18
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
14.7%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:19
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
15.8%
Michael Hayes punt for 66 yds, downed at the LaMon 3Similar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+15
15.6%
ROGERS, Chandler sacked for a loss of 3 yards at the ULM0 (TAYLOR, Jhi'Shawn). PENALTY GST Personal Foul on TAYLOR, Jhi'Shawn enforced 15 yards from the ULM3 to the ULM18 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 3TD
6 plays · 97 yds · 1:4416% → 18%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
15.6%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jared Sparks for 5 yds to the LaMon 23Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+13
15.6%
Chandler Rogers run for 13 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
15.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jared Sparks for 17 yds to the GeoSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
15.9%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, Targeting on CARTER, Keon enforced (Keon Carter) to the GeoSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
15.9%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+25
18.0%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Rasmussen for 25 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 4TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0083% → 83%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
17.5%
Darren Grainger run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
17.4%
Robert Lewis run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
17.3%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 9 yds to the LaMon 43Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+6
17.2%
Tucker Gregg run for 6 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
17.2%
Tucker Gregg run for 7 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+7
17.0%
Tucker Gregg run for 7 yds to the LaMon 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
17.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 7 yds to the LaMon 16Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+12
17.0%
Darren Grainger run for 12 yds to the LaMon 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
17.0%
Jamyest Williams run for 3 yds to the LaMon 1Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
17.1%
Jamyest Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3418% → 19%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
18.0%
Andrew Henry run for 7 yds to the LaMon 32Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
18.2%
Andrew Henry run for no gain to the LaMon 32Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
17.9%
Chandler Rogers run for 2 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q1 5:01
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
18.5%
Devyn McCormick punt for 24 yds, downed at the GeoSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 2:0382% → 81%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
18.2%
Darren Grainger run for 13 yds to the LaMon 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
18.0%
Jamyest Williams run for 3 yds to the LaMon 42Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+2
18.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 2 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
18.2%
Darren Grainger run for no gain to the LaMon 40Similar
Q1 2:58
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
19.4%
Michael Hayes punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 2:1120% → 21%
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
19.9%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Jackson for 13 yds to the LaMon 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
20.1%
Andrew Henry run for 3 yds to the LaMon 36Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+3
20.3%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 3 yds to the LaMon 39Similar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
20.2%
run for no gain to the LaMon 39 fumbled, recovered by LaMon Garrett HirschSimilar
Q1 0:47
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
21.1%
Devyn McCormick punt for 35 yds, downed at the GeoSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 8TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 2:1979% → 83%
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
20.7%
Jamyest Williams run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q1 0:47
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+5
20.1%
Jamyest Williams run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+23
20.6%
Darren Grainger run for 23 yds to the LaMon 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+19
20.3%
Jamyest Williams run for 19 yds to the LaMon 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
19.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 8 yds to the LaMon 12Similar
Q2 14:36
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+2
19.9%
Darren Grainger run for 2 yds to the LaMon 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
16.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 10 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9MISSED FG
14 plays · 51 yds · 3:5318% → 20%
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
18.0%
Chandler Rogers run for 4 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
18.2%
ROGERS, Chandler pass to the right incomplete intended for JACKSON, Malik thrown to the ULM40. PENALTY GST Targeting on WILLIS, Hardrick enforced 15 yards from the ULM29 to the ULM44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
18.8%
Andrew Henry run for 2 yds to the LaMon 46Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
18.8%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:28
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+13
18.2%
Chandler Rogers run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
19.3%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 3 yds to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 7
OPP 38
0
19.3%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:28
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+6
19.1%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Will Derrick for 6 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q2 13:28
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+4
18.8%
Chandler Rogers run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-14
19.7%
run for a loss of 14 yards to the LaMon 43Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 39
OWN 43
+6
18.2%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Jackson for 6 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q2 13:28
3RD & 33
OWN 49
+27
18.0%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 27 yds to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q2 9:35
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+41
19.6%
Calum Sutherland 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 10TD
15 plays · 76 yds · 5:1282% → 88%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
18.5%
Destin Coates run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
18.5%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+9
19.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 9 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
18.1%
Destin Coates run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 3
OWN 42
0
17.7%
Destin Coates run for no gain to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+3
17.8%
Destin Coates run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
17.6%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-5
17.8%
Destin Coates run for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 15
OWN 40
+11
18.7%
Darren Grainger run for 11 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q2 5:49
4TH & 4
OPP 49
+5
18.1%
GRAINGER, Darren pass to the left incomplete intended for THRASH, Jamari thrown to the ULM20. PENALTY Before the snap, ULM Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the ULM49 to the ULM44 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
17.1%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the LaMon 42Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
17.2%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+10
17.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 10 yds to the LaMon 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
16.9%
Jamyest Williams run for 1 yd to the LaMon 31Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+31
12.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 31 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11FUMBLE
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:2514% → 14%
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
13.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jared Sparks for 7 yds to the LaMon 32Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
14.1%
Andrew Henry run for 2 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 12TD
9 plays · 34 yds · 2:2588% → 95%
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
12.4%
Darren Grainger run for no gain to the LaMon 34Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-10
12.4%
GREGG, Tucker rush to the right for a gain of 19 yards to the ULM15 (HAWLEY, Austin). PENALTY GST Holding on BARTLETT, Pat enforced 10 yards from the ULM34 to the ULM44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 20
OPP 44
0
12.5%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 20
OPP 44
+24
12.7%
Tucker Gregg run for 24 yds to the LaMon 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+12
12.3%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Roger Carter for 12 yds to the LaMon 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
12.3%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the LaMon 6Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
11.3%
Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the LaMon 2Similar
Q2 1:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
5.3%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13DOWNS
10 plays · 25 yds · 1:0211% → 10%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
11.2%
Chandler Rogers run for 6 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+16
10.4%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 16 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-15
13.3%
ROGERS, Chandler pass up the middle complete for 24 yards to KNIGHT, Boogie caught at the GST30 and advanced to the GST25 (TATE, Jalen). PENALTY ULM Chop Block on DUNN, Peyton enforced 15 yards from the GST49 to the ULM36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 25
OWN 36
+11
9.7%
Chandler Rogers run for 11 yds to the LaMon 47Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 14
OWN 47
+7
9.8%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Jackson for 7 yds to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 7
OPP 46
0
10.2%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
10.0%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
4.2%
Darren Grainger run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0794% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
6.3%
Jamyest Williams run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
6.3%
Jamyest Williams run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
6.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+14
6.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 14 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
6.0%
GRAINGER, Darren pass to the right incomplete intended for CREDLE, Ja'Cyais thrown to the ULM25. PENALTY ULM Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Jabari enforced at the spot of the foul for 12 yards to the ULM24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
5.8%
Jamyest Williams run for 5 yds to the LaMon 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+8
5.8%
Jamyest Williams run for 8 yds to the LaMon 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
5.8%
Jamyest Williams run for 2 yds to the LaMon 9Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
2.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 9 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:382% → 8%
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
1.5%
Andrew Henry run for 8 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-5
1.4%
UL MONROE Penalty, False Start (Victor Cutler) to the LaMon 28Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
1.4%
Chandler Rogers run for 2 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
1.3%
ROGERS, Chandler pass up the middle intercepted by LANE, Antavious at the GST45 intended for KNIGHT, Boogie. Lane return for 17 yards to the ULM38 (KNIGHT, Boogie). PENALTY GST Illegal Block in the Back on BROWN, Bryquice declined GST Personal Foul on PAYNE, Aubry enforced 15 yards from the ULM30 to the ULM45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
1.5%
Andrew Henry run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 43Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 12
OWN 43
0
1.3%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 12
OWN 43
+40
1.3%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 40 yds to the GeoSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
1.5%
Andrew Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 18Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+18
7.8%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Jackson for 18 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17TD
13 plays · 70 yds · 4:3996% → 99%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
3.9%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, False Start (Deandre Bowman) to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 13
OWN 27
0
4.0%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+2
4.0%
Darren Grainger run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 13
OWN 27
+15
3.7%
GRAINGER, Darren pass to the left intercepted by NEWTON, Josh at the ULM42 intended for PINCKNEY, Sam. Newton return for 20 yards to the GST38 (GLOVER, Travis). PENALTY ULM Targeting on WILLIAMS, Ja'Cquez enforced 15 yards from the GST27 to the GST42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
3.3%
Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+5
3.4%
Tucker Gregg run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+13
3.3%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 13 yds to the LaMon 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
3.3%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 15 yds to the LaMon 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
3.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 15 yds to the LaMon 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
3.1%
Tucker Gregg run for 8 yds to the LaMon 4Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+3
3.0%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the LaMon 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.8%
Darren Grainger run for 1 yd for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:121% → 0%
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
0.6%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-3
0.5%
Chandler Rogers run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 30Similar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 13
OWN 30
+15
0.5%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Jackson for 15 yds to the LaMon 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
0.6%
Chandler Rogers run for 4 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+4
0.5%
Malik Jackson run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 47Similar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 2
OPP 47
0
0.6%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Jeffery Clark for 0 yards to the LaMon 46Similar
Q3 2:14
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
0.4%
Devyn McCormick punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Terrance Dixon at the GeoSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 19TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:2299% → 100%
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
0.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 9 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+22
0.9%
Destin Coates run for 7 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST down UL MONROE Penalty, Personal Foul (Traveion Webster) to the LaMon 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
0.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 7 yds to the LaMon 42Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+2
0.8%
Destin Coates run for 2 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
0.5%
Destin Coates run for 2 yds to the LaMon 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
0.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 38 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 20INT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:520% → 0%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.2%
Colby Suits pass complete to Boogie Knight for 5 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
0.2%
Colby Suits sacked by Shamar McCollum for 0 yards to the LaMon 22Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
0.2%
Colby Suits pass intercepted return for no gain to the GeoSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:12100% → 100%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
0.4%
Marcus Carroll run for 8 yds to the LaMon 47Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+9
0.4%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 9 yds to the LaMon 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
0.4%
BROWN, Cornelious pass to the left complete for 8 yards to THRASH, Jamari caught at the ULM37 and advanced to the ULM30 (WEBSTER, Traveion). PENALTY Before the snap, ULM Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the ULM38 to the ULM33. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 5
OPP 33
0
0.4%
Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the LaMon 33Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+7
0.4%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Kellan Autenrieth for 7 yds to the LaMon 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
0.3%
Cornelious Brown IV run for 26 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:260% → 0%
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
0.1%
Colby Suits pass complete to Kadyn Roach for 6 yds to the LaMon 26Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+8
0.1%
Colby Suits pass complete to Will Derrick for 8 yds to the LaMon 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
0.1%
Colby Suits pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
0.1%
Colby Suits pass complete to Coby Cavil for 4 yds to the LaMon 38Similar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
0.1%
Colby Suits pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:16
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
0.1%
Devyn McCormick punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Terrance Dixon at the GeoSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:51100% → 100%
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.2%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.2%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
0.2%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:25
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+5
0.2%
Kade Loggins punt for 47 yds , Boogie Knight returns for 5 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 24TD
13 plays · 70 yds · 4:510% → 0%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
0.1%
Jiya Wright run for 3 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+12
0.1%
Jiya Wright run for 12 yds to the LaMon 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
0.1%
Kadyn Roach run for 17 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+13
0.1%
Jiya Wright run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
0.1%
Jiya Wright run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+2
0.1%
Kadyn Roach run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 17Similar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 2
OPP 17
0
0.1%
Jiya Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:10
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+3
0.1%
Jiya Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
0.1%
Kadyn Roach run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 10Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+5
0.1%
Jiya Wright run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 5Similar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 1
OPP 5
-1
0.1%
Jiya Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 6Similar
Q4 4:34
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+6
0.1%
Jiya Wright pass complete to Coby Cavil for 6 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 25END OF GAME
7 plays · 27 yds · 4:34100% → 100%
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
0.3%
Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
0.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q4 4:34
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+7
0.3%
Cornelious Brown IV run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
0.2%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+10
0.2%
Marcus Carroll run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
0.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the LaMon 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:10
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Jackson for 18 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)
+6.3
TD · Q2 1:33
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)
-6
TD · Q2 4:23
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 31 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)
-4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com