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CCU

Coastal Carolina 52 at Arkansas State 20

ARST
2021 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2021 · Centennial Bank Stadium
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Win probability · ARST
modelARST aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playARST scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:23 · Ryan Hanson punt for 36 yds , Jaivon Heiligh returns for 4 yds to the CCaro 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 61Home team on offense−12.8Pregame prior−30.7Score differential−6.8Garbage-time factor−4.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:56: Shermari Jones run for 8 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +4.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:17: Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 16 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +2.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:06: Layne Hatcher pass complete to Corey Rucker for 15 yds for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK) — ARST win probability +2.4 pts (now 4%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:21: Lincoln Pare run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — ARST win probability +3.2 pts (now 5%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:26: Reese White run for 64 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +2.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARST made the numbers' call on 7 of 7CCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 12:16ARST 4th & 16 at ARST 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:45CCU 4th & 2 at ARST 2, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.4%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    83.7%−2.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:08ARST 4th & 7 at ARST 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:07CCU 4th & 9 at ARST 42, up 10
    Close callPunted · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    84.6%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:04ARST 4th & 12 at ARST 16, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:23ARST 4th & 17 at ARST 19, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−0.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:27CCU 4th & 7 at ARST 46, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    97.5%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:24ARST 4th & 6 at ARST 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:44CCU 4th & 19 at CCU 45, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.3
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:52ARST 4th & 10 at ARST 38, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:57CCU 4th & 7 at ARST 47, up 32
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:57ARST 4th & 3 at ARST 19, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:00CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 30, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARST made the numbers' call on 2 of 3CCU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 11:37CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:56CCU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:13CCU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:17CCU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:06ARST Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:29CCU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:53ARST Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:21ARST Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:26CCU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:49CCU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARSTDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:149% → 10%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
9.0%
Lincoln Pare run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 28Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+22
9.2%
James Blackman pass complete to Te'Vailance Hunt for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
50
0
9.4%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Jeff ForemanSimilar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 10
50
-13
9.5%
James Blackman sacked by Silas Kelly for a loss of 13 yards to the ArkSt 37Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 23
OWN 37
+7
9.6%
James Blackman pass complete to Corey Rucker for 7 yds to the ArkSt 44Similar
Q1 12:16
4TH & 16
OWN 44
0
9.9%
Ryan Hanson punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CCaro 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2TD
2 plays · 99 yds · 0:2390% → 90%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
10.0%
Reese White run for no gain to the CCaro 1Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+99
9.8%
Isaiah Likely 99 Yd pass from Grayson McCall (Massimo Biscardi Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 2:4610% → 10%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
9.8%
Marcel Murray run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 29Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 29
-3
9.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Marcel Murray for a loss of 3 yards to the ArkSt 26Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 19
OWN 26
+25
10.0%
James Blackman pass complete to Emmanuel Stevenson for 25 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
10.4%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Te'Vailance HuntSimilar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-9
10.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards to the ArkSt 42Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 19
OWN 42
-12
10.3%
James Blackman sacked by Jeffrey Gunter for a loss of 12 yards to the ArkSt 30Similar
Q1 8:29
4TH & 31
OWN 30
0
10.4%
Ryan Hanson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4FG
14 plays · 67 yds · 6:1590% → 88%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
10.5%
Braydon Bennett run for no gain to the CCaro 21 Braydon Bennett fumbled, recovered by CCaro Braydon BennettSimilar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 20
OWN 21
+22
10.7%
Shermari Jones run for 22 yds to the CCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
10.5%
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Terry Hampton) to the CCaro 48Similar
Q1 6:59
1ST & 5
OWN 48
0
10.6%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Braydon BennettSimilar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+4
10.7%
Braydon Bennett run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 48Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+6
10.8%
Reese White run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
10.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 9 yds to the ArkSt 33Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+13
11.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 13 yds to the ArkSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+13
11.1%
Shermari Jones run for 13 yds to the ArkSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
11.2%
Bryce Carpenter run for no gain to the ArkSt 7Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
11.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 6 yds to the ArkSt 1Similar
Q1 2:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
11.8%
Reese White run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 2Similar
Q1 1:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
11.6%
Massimo Biscardi 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2412% → 12%
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
11.7%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Jeff ForemanSimilar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-1
11.8%
Johnnie Lang Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 20Similar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+4
11.7%
James Blackman pass complete to Johnnie Lang Jr. for 4 yds to the ArkSt 24Similar
Q1 0:08
4TH & 7
OWN 24
0
11.7%
Ryan Hanson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:5388% → 87%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
11.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for no gain to the CCaro 37Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
12.0%
Braydon Bennett run for 2 yds to the CCaro 39Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+18
12.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 18 yds to the ArkSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
11.9%
Shermari Jones run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 40Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-2
12.2%
Grayson McCall run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 42Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 9
OPP 42
0
12.4%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Kameron BrownSimilar
Q2 12:07
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
12.8%
Charles Ouverson punt for 40 yds, downed at the ArkSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:5112% → 13%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+16
12.3%
James Blackman pass complete to Te'Vailance Hunt for 16 yds to the ArkSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
12.5%
Lincoln Pare run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 17Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 11
OWN 17
0
12.7%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Adam JonesSimilar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 11
OWN 17
-1
12.5%
James Blackman pass complete to Lincoln Pare for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 16Similar
Q2 10:04
4TH & 12
OWN 16
-3
12.5%
Ryan Hanson punt for 51 yds , Jaivon Heiligh returns for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 3:4987% → 92%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
13.3%
Shermari Jones run for 4 yds to the CCaro 34Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+25
13.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 25 yds to the ArkSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
13.0%
Braydon Bennett run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 40Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+3
13.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Shermari Jones for 3 yds to the ArkSt 37Similar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+10
12.4%
Grayson McCall run for 10 yds to the ArkSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
12.3%
Bryce Carpenter run for 8 yds to the ArkSt 19Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+11
12.3%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 11 yds to the ArkSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
8.0%
Shermari Jones run for 8 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:1710% → 10%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
10.0%
Johnnie Lang Jr. run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 29Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
10.0%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Corey RuckerSimilar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 7
OWN 29
-10
9.9%
James Blackman sacked by Jeffrey Gunter and C.J. Brewer for a loss of 10 yards to the ArkSt 19Similar
Q2 4:23
4TH & 17
OWN 19
+4
9.6%
Ryan Hanson punt for 36 yds , Jaivon Heiligh returns for 4 yds to the CCaro 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 3:4792% → 96%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
8.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 15 yds to the ArkSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
7.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Aaron Bedgood for 10 yds to the ArkSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
7.9%
Shermari Jones run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 24Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+15
7.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 15 yds to the ArkSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
5.8%
Reese White run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 5Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
5.7%
Grayson McCall run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 4Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
3.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 4 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
6.9%
Marcel Murray run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2796% → 98%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+38
4.4%
Shermari Jones run for 38 yds to the ArkSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
4.2%
Bryce Carpenter run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 34Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+18
4.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 18 yds to the ArkSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
1.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 16 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 13TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:542% → 4%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
2.4%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Dahu Green for 12 yds to the ArkSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
2.3%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Corey Rucker for 5 yds to the ArkSt 42Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
2.2%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Dahu GreenSimilar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+12
2.2%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Corey Rucker for 12 yds to the CCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
2.4%
Lincoln Pare run for 7 yds to the CCaro 39Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+4
2.2%
Lincoln Pare run for 4 yds to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
2.2%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Seydou Traore for 2 yds to the CCaro 33Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+3
2.0%
Layne Hatcher run for 3 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
1.9%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Jeff ForemanSimilar
Q3 9:12
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+15
1.8%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the CCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
4.2%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Corey Rucker for 15 yds for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 82 yds · 1:1697% → 98%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
2.8%
Shermari Jones run for 7 yds to the CCaro 25Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+11
2.7%
Shermari Jones run for 11 yds to the CCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
1.8%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 64 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 15TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 0:191% → 3%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
1.3%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Te'Vailance HuntSimilar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
1.1%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Dahu GreenSimilar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+63
3.2%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Te'Vailance Hunt for 63 yds for a TD, (Blake Grupe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:0398% → 98%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
2.5%
Reese White run for 8 yds to the CCaro 46Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+5
2.3%
Shermari Jones run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
2.2%
Grayson McCall run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 48Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+7
2.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 7 yds to the ArkSt 41Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 2
OPP 41
-5
2.1%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ArkSt 46Similar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 7
OPP 46
0
2.0%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q3 3:27
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
2.2%
Charles Ouverson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Johnnie Lang Jr. at the ArkSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:463% → 3%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+9
2.6%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Reagan Ealy for 9 yds to the ArkSt 16Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 1
OWN 16
+14
2.7%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Te'Vailance Hunt for 14 yds to the ArkSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
2.8%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Corey RuckerSimilar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-1
2.7%
Layne Hatcher sacked by C.J. Brewer and Silas Kelly for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 29Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+5
2.5%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the ArkSt 34Similar
Q3 1:32
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
2.5%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Lincoln PareSimilar
Q3 1:24
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
2.5%
Ryan Hanson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:3198% → 98%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+24
2.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 24 yds to the ArkSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
1.8%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CCaro 43Similar
Q3 0:15
1ST & 20
OWN 43
+7
1.8%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Greg Latushko for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 13
50
0
1.7%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Isaiah LikelySimilar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 14
50
0
1.7%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 14
50
-4
1.9%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Delay of Game (-4 Yards) to the CCaro 45Similar
Q4 14:44
4TH & 19
OWN 45
0
2.0%
Charles Ouverson punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArkSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 19TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:092% → 5%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
2.2%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Te'Vailance Hunt for 5 yds to the ArkSt 30Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+18
2.0%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Te'Vailance Hunt for 18 yds to the ArkSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
2.1%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Te'Vailance HuntSimilar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+15
2.1%
Hatcher, Layne pass incomplete to Combs, Jack, PENALTY COASTALCAR unnecessary roughness 15 yards to the COASTALCAR37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARST.Similar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
2.1%
Lincoln Pare run for 15 yds to the CCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
2.3%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Corey RuckerSimilar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+21
2.2%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Adam Jones for 21 yds to the CCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
2.2%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Te'Vailance HuntSimilar
Q4 12:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
5.4%
Lincoln Pare run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 83 yds · 0:2997% → 100%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+19
3.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 19 yds to the CCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
0.5%
Reese White run for 64 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
Q4 11:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
0.5%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ArkSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 1:031% → 0%
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
0.5%
Marcel Murray run for 8 yds to the ArkSt 36Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+2
0.5%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Marcel Murray for 2 yds to the ArkSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
0.4%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Jeff ForemanSimilar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
0.4%
Layne Hatcher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:02
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
0.4%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Marcel MurraySimilar
Q4 9:52
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
0.4%
Ryan Hanson punt for 38 yds , Jaivon Heiligh returns for no gain to the CCaro 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22TD
4 plays · 76 yds · 1:41100% → 100%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
0.4%
Braydon Bennett run for no gain to the CCaro 24Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+4
0.4%
Bryce Carpenter run for 4 yds to the CCaro 28Similar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+5
0.4%
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the CCaro 33Similar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+67
0.2%
Bryce Carpenter run for 67 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 23INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:160% → 0%
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
0.2%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Dahu GreenSimilar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-19
0.1%
Layne Hatcher pass intercepted C.J. Brewer return for 4 yds to the ArkSt 33 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:13100% → 100%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
50
+4
0.2%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Patrick McSweeney for 4 yds to the ArkSt 46Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 6
OPP 46
-3
0.2%
Braydon Bennett run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArkSt 49Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+2
0.2%
Jarrett Guest run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 47Similar
Q4 4:57
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
0.2%
Kieran Colahan punt for 35 yds, downed at the ArkSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
0.1%
Layne Hatcher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
0.1%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Adam JonesSimilar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+7
0.1%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Reagan Ealy for 7 yds to the ArkSt 19Similar
Q4 3:57
4TH & 3
OWN 19
0
0.1%
Ryan Hanson punt for 60 yds, downed at the CCaro 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 26END OF GAME
7 plays · 11 yds · 3:14100% → 100%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
0.1%
CJ Beasley run for 1 yd to the CCaro 22Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+4
0.1%
CJ Beasley run for 4 yds to the CCaro 26Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+4
0.1%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 4 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q4 1:00
4TH & 1
OWN 30
+5
0.1%
Christian Malloy run for 5 yds to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
0.1%
CJ Beasley run for 2 yds to the CCaro 37Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-5
0.1%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the CCaro 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:56
Shermari Jones run for 8 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
-4.3
TD · Q4 12:21
Lincoln Pare run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+3.2
TD · Q4 11:26
Reese White run for 64 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
-2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com