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ARST

Arkansas State 3 at Washington 52

WASH
2021 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2021 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadARST aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreARST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGFUMBLEEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:47 · Ryan Hanson punt blocked by Alex Cook blocked by Alex Cook
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginScore differential
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 79Pregame prior+26.2Home team on offense+2.7Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Blowout margin+0.5Score differential+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:21: Dylan Morris pass complete to Cade Otton for 13 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK) — WASH win probability +0.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:00: Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 33 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +1.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 2:55: Blake Grupe 26 yd FG GOOD — WASH win probability +1.8 pts (now 76%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 2:48: Tristan Mattson kickoff for 59 yds , Giles Jackson return for 15 yds to the 50 yard line WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cooper McDonald) to the Wash 11 — WASH win probability +0.8 pts (now 77%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
  5. FUMBLE · Q4 3:34: Layne Hatcher sacked by Faatui Tuitele for a loss of 12 yards Layne Hatcher fumbled, recovered by Wash Bralen Trice , return for 0 yards for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK) — ARST win probability +2.1 pts (now 27%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 5ARST made the numbers' call on 8 of 13
  1. Q1 14:04WASH 4th & 6 at WASH 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:34ARST 4th & 5 at WASH 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:21WASH 4th & 1 at ARST 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    85.4%−0.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    84.9%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:10ARST 4th & 3 at WASH 16, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.9%−<0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    13.2%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:32ARST 4th & 13 at ARST 15, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:30ARST 4th & 4 at ARST 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:27ARST 4th & 4 at ARST 38, down 4
    Close callPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:47ARST 4th & 5 at ARST 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:21ARST 4th & 2 at ARST 47, down 4
    Close callPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:39ARST 4th & 15 at ARST 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:39WASH 4th & 8 at ARST 37, up 4
    Close callPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    79.8%−0.3
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.6%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:43ARST 4th & 7 at ARST 4, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:55ARST 4th & 9 at WASH 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    16.9%−7.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:44WASH 4th & 4 at WASH 27, up 4
    Close callPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.3%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:44ARST 4th & 22 at ARST 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−3.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:40ARST 4th & 1 at ARST 44, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%−3.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:05WASH 4th & 2 at ARST 20, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.4%−2.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    65.4%−14.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:34ARST 4th & 3 at WASH 16, down 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.8 ptsWent for it · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.9%−3.8
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    27.7%
    81% to make
    Punt
    11.4%−16.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:21WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4590% → 90%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
89.8%
Richard Newton run for 4 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
89.6%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Terrell BynumSimilar
Q1 14:17
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
89.6%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Terrell BynumSimilar
Q1 14:04
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+8
89.5%
Race Porter punt for 44 yds , Johnnie Lang Jr. returns for 8 yds to the ArkSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:1911% → 11%
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
89.5%
James Blackman pass complete to Alan Lamar for 11 yds to the ArkSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
89.4%
Alan Lamar run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 48Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+3
89.2%
Alan Lamar run for 3 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q1 12:41
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
89.1%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Corey RuckerSimilar
Q1 12:34
4TH & 5
OPP 49
+1
89.1%
Ryan Hanson punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 12 , Trent McDuffie returns for 1 yd to the Wash 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3TD
10 plays · 88 yds · 4:0889% → 89%
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
89.1%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Terrell BynumSimilar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+14
89.1%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Taj Davis for 14 yds to the Wash 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+39
89.0%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 39 yds to the ArkSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
89.1%
Richard Newton run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 29Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+3
88.9%
Sean McGrew run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 26Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+4
88.7%
Sean McGrew run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
88.7%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+8
88.6%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 8 yds to the ArkSt 14Similar
Q1 8:46
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+1
88.2%
Richard Newton run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 13Similar
Q1 8:21
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+13
89.0%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cade Otton for 13 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 4FG
8 plays · 59 yds · 2:0011% → 12%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
88.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Te'Vailance Hunt for 22 yds to the ArkSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
88.6%
Johnnie Lang Jr. run for 12 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+18
88.4%
James Blackman pass complete to Corey Rucker for 18 yds to the Wash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
88.2%
Johnnie Lang Jr. run for 6 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 4
OPP 17
0
88.1%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Emmanuel StevensonSimilar
Q1 6:34
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+1
88.3%
James Blackman pass complete to Te'Vailance Hunt for 1 yd to the Wash 16Similar
Q1 6:10
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+34
87.6%
Blake Grupe 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:3888% → 88%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
87.7%
Dylan Morris run for 13 yds to the Wash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
87.6%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 5 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+30
87.8%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 30 yds to the ArkSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
88.0%
Richard Newton run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 29Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+10
87.9%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Cade Otton for 10 yds to the ArkSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
87.8%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 6 yds to the ArkSt 13Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+13
87.7%
Sean McGrew run for 13 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:3913% → 13%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
87.0%
Johnnie Lang Jr. run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 13Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 15
OWN 13
0
86.9%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Te'Vailance HuntSimilar
Q1 2:44
3RD & 15
OWN 13
+2
87.1%
James Blackman pass complete to Johnnie Lang Jr. for 2 yds to the ArkSt 15Similar
Q1 2:32
4TH & 13
OWN 15
0
87.1%
Ryan Hanson punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 3:4887% → 86%
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
86.6%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Taj DavisSimilar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
86.5%
Richard Newton run for 3 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q1 1:39
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+10
86.2%
Dylan Morris run for 10 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+18
86.7%
Richard Newton run for 18 yds to the ArkSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
86.7%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Richard Newton for 5 yds to the ArkSt 34Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+10
86.7%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Taj Davis for 10 yds to the ArkSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
86.7%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Taj DavisSimilar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+19
86.6%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 19 yds to the ArkSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
86.5%
Cameron Davis run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 2Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
86.4%
Richard Newton run for 2 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5615% → 14%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.4%
Lincoln Pare run for no gain to the ArkSt 25Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
85.3%
James Blackman pass complete to Lincoln Pare for 6 yds to the ArkSt 31Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
85.2%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Emmanuel StevensonSimilar
Q2 12:30
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+5
85.6%
Ryan Hanson punt for 58 yds , Trent McDuffie returns for 5 yds to the Wash 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9TD
8 plays · 93 yds · 2:1685% → 86%
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
84.9%
Cameron Davis run for 2 yds to the Wash 9Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 8
OWN 9
0
84.7%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Taj DavisSimilar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 8
OWN 9
+39
84.2%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Taj Davis for 39 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
85.8%
Cameron Davis run for 1 yd to the Wash 49Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
85.6%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Terrell BynumSimilar
Q2 10:32
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+18
85.0%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 18 yds to the ArkSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
86.0%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 33 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:2315% → 15%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
85.0%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Te'Vailance HuntSimilar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+8
84.9%
James Blackman run for 8 yds to the ArkSt 29Similar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+3
84.7%
Johnnie Lang Jr. run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
84.4%
Johnnie Lang Jr. run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 33Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
84.6%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Te'Vailance HuntSimilar
Q2 7:53
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+5
85.0%
James Blackman pass complete to Corey Rucker for 5 yds to the ArkSt 38Similar
Q2 7:27
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
84.6%
Ryan Hanson punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11INT
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:4785% → 85%
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
84.6%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Kamari Pleasant for 6 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+21
85.2%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Taj Davis for 21 yds to the ArkSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
85.3%
Dylan Morris sacked by Kivon Bennett for a loss of 5 yards to the ArkSt 43Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 15
OPP 43
0
84.5%
Dylan Morris pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:1516% → 15%
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
83.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Jeff Foreman for 5 yds to the ArkSt 27Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 5
OWN 27
0
83.5%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Te'Vailance HuntSimilar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
84.0%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Emmanuel StevensonSimilar
Q2 4:47
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
84.6%
Ryan Hanson punt blocked by Alex Cook blocked by Alex CookSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:5516% → 18%
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
83.6%
James Blackman pass complete to Lincoln Pare for 8 yds to the ArkSt 33Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
82.3%
James Blackman run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
82.1%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Dahu GreenSimilar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
82.3%
James Blackman pass complete to Alan Lamar for 2 yds to the ArkSt 41Similar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+6
82.3%
James Blackman run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 47Similar
Q2 2:21
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
82.2%
Ryan Hanson punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14END OF HALF
9 plays · 18 yds · 2:0883% → 84%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
82.6%
Kamari Pleasant run for 4 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+4
83.0%
Kamari Pleasant run for 4 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 2
OWN 21
+4
82.8%
Richard Newton run for 4 yds to the Wash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
82.9%
Kamari Pleasant run for 7 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
83.6%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Taj DavisSimilar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+9
82.7%
Kamari Pleasant run for 9 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
83.7%
(00:28) Morris,Dylan rush for 6 yards gain to the UW 47 (Alexander,Elery) PENALTY UW Holding (Otton,Cade) 10 yards from UW 41 to UW 31. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:5419% → 19%
Q3 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
81.2%
Johnnie Lang Jr. run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 12Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 9
OWN 12
0
81.3%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Johnnie Lang Jr.Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 9
OWN 12
+16
81.6%
James Blackman pass complete to Dahu Green for 16 yds to the ArkSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
80.2%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Jeff ForemanSimilar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
80.6%
Alan Lamar run for no gain to the ArkSt 28Similar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 10
OWN 28
-5
80.9%
PENALTY ASU Delay Of Game 5 yards from ASU28 to ASU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:51
3RD & 15
OWN 23
0
81.1%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Jeff ForemanSimilar
Q3 11:39
4TH & 15
OWN 23
+1
81.5%
Ryan Hanson punt for 51 yds , Trent McDuffie returns for 1 yd to the Wash 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 2:4680% → 81%
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
80.1%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 8 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+14
82.8%
Richard Newton run for 14 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
83.4%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 7 yds to the ArkSt 44Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 3
OPP 44
0
83.6%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q3 10:04
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+5
83.2%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 5 yds to the ArkSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
83.5%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Devin CulpSimilar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
83.4%
(09:37) PENALTY ASU Offside (Bennett,Kivon) 5 yards from ASU39 to ASU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 5
OPP 34
0
84.0%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:16
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+3
83.2%
Richard Newton run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 37Similar
Q3 8:39
4TH & 8
OPP 37
0
81.3%
Race Porter punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArkSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4819% → 18%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
80.6%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Te'Vailance HuntSimilar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+3
80.7%
Alan Lamar run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 4Similar
Q3 7:54
3RD & 7
OWN 4
0
81.4%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Jeff ForemanSimilar
Q3 7:43
4TH & 7
OWN 4
0
81.9%
Ryan Hanson punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18TD
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:5983% → 83%
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
83.1%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Jack WestoverSimilar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+11
82.8%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 11 yds to the ArkSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
83.5%
Sean McGrew run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 29Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+8
83.4%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 8 yds to the ArkSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
83.3%
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Leon Jones) to the ArkSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
83.2%
Sean McGrew run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 2Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
82.8%
Sean McGrew run for 2 yds for a TD (Tim Horn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 19Uncategorized
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:2122% → 25%
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
78.4%
James Blackman pass complete to Lincoln Pare for 9 yds to the ArkSt 34Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+12
76.1%
James Blackman pass complete to Jeff Foreman for 12 yds to the ArkSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
75.3%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Te'Vailance HuntSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
80.2%
Dylan Morris pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 21FG
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:3127% → 24%
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+20
72.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Corey Rucker for 20 yds to the Wash 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
72.8%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Jeff ForemanSimilar
Q3 3:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
72.7%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Corey RuckerSimilar
Q3 3:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
74.4%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Jeff ForemanSimilar
Q3 2:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
76.2%
Blake Grupe 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:5680% → 77%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+10
79.5%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Taj Davis for 10 yds to the Wash 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
79.6%
Cameron Davis run for 5 yds to the Wash 26Similar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+1
79.7%
Cameron Davis run for 1 yd to the Wash 27Similar
Q3 0:59
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
78.4%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:44
4TH & 4
OWN 27
+5
77.3%
Race Porter punt for 57 yds , Leon Jones returns for 5 yds to the ArkSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:5523% → 21%
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
77.0%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Corey RuckerSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-12
77.1%
James Blackman sacked by Brendan Radley-Hiles for a loss of 12 yards to the ArkSt 9Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 22
OWN 9
0
78.9%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Corey RuckerSimilar
Q4 14:44
4TH & 22
OWN 9
+5
79.5%
Ryan Hanson punt for 50 yds , Giles Jackson returns for 5 yds to the Wash 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 24TD
2 plays · 54 yds · 0:3881% → 82%
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
81.0%
Cameron Davis run for 12 yds to the ArkSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
81.5%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 42 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:0824% → 26%
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
76.3%
James Blackman pass complete to Lincoln Pare for 10 yds to the ArkSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
75.3%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Emmanuel StevensonSimilar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
75.8%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Jeff ForemanSimilar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+9
77.2%
James Blackman run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 44Similar
Q4 12:40
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
74.2%
Ryan Hanson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Giles Jackson at the Wash 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 26FG
13 plays · 72 yds · 4:2578% → 80%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+16
77.5%
Kamari Pleasant run for 16 yds to the Wash 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
78.0%
PENALTY UW False Start (Ale,Ulumoo) 5 yards from UW 24 to UW 19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+4
77.5%
Kamari Pleasant run for 4 yds to the Wash 23Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 11
OWN 23
0
77.4%
Sam Huard pass incomplete to Sawyer RacanelliSimilar
Q4 10:56
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+23
75.7%
Sam Huard pass complete to Giles Jackson for 23 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
80.0%
Kamari Pleasant run for 1 yd to the Wash 47Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+3
79.5%
Kamari Pleasant run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:07
3RD & 6
50
-15
79.2%
(09:13) Huard,Sam pass incomplete to Tinae,Jabez PENALTY ASU Pass Interference (Reimonenq,Jarius) 15 yards from UW 50 to ASU35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
81.4%
(09:06) Huard,Sam pass incomplete to Pleasant,Kamari, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ASU Pass Interference (Bonner,Caleb) 7 yards from ASU35 to ASU28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
81.4%
Sam Huard pass incomplete to Jabez TinaeSimilar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+8
81.9%
Sam Huard pass complete to Cameron Davis for 8 yds to the ArkSt 20Similar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 2
OPP 20
0
80.4%
Sam Huard pass incomplete to Jabez TinaeSimilar
Q4 8:05
4TH & 2
OPP 20
+38
80.2%
Peyton Henry 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 27FUMBLE TD
16 plays · 47 yds · 3:5726% → 27%
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
74.1%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Johnnie Lang Jr. for 3 yds to the ArkSt 22Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+15
74.7%
(07:31) Hatcher,Layne pass incomplete to Waleed,Khyheem PENALTY UW Roughing The Passer 15 yards from ASU22 to ASU37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
72.4%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Akeem Hayes for 1 yd to the ArkSt 36Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+9
72.7%
Layne Hatcher run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 45Similar
Q4 6:24
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+3
69.3%
Lincoln Pare run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
68.6%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Lincoln PareSimilar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
69.9%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Emmanuel StevensonSimilar
Q4 5:38
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+17
71.4%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Lincoln Pare for 17 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
67.3%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Lincoln Pare for 4 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 6
OPP 31
0
66.5%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Khyheem WaleedSimilar
Q4 4:57
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+8
69.2%
Layne Hatcher run for 8 yds to the Wash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
66.1%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Khyheem WaleedSimilar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-8
69.1%
Layne Hatcher sacked by Jacobe Covington for a loss of 8 yards to the Wash 31Similar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 18
OPP 31
+15
74.7%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Lincoln Pare for 15 yds to the Wash 16Similar
Q4 3:34
4TH & 3
OPP 16
0
72.6%
Layne Hatcher sacked by Faatui Tuitele for a loss of 12 yards Layne Hatcher fumbled, recovered by Wash Bralen Trice , return for 0 yards for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 28INT
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:4023% → 25%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
76.7%
Lincoln Pare run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 29Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
75.7%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to David Clayton for 12 yds to the ArkSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
74.7%
Layne Hatcher pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 29END OF GAME
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:0891% → 81%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
90.5%
Jay'Veon Sunday run for no gain to the ArkSt 24Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+2
92.5%
Jay'Veon Sunday run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 22Similar
Q4 0:56
3RD & 8
OPP 22
-10
93.6%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ArkSt 31Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 17
OPP 31
+13
80.6%
Patrick O'Brien run for 13 yds to the ArkSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+19.4
FUMBLE · Q4 3:34
Layne Hatcher sacked by Faatui Tuitele for a loss of 12 yards Layne Hatcher fumbled, recovered by Wash Bralen Trice , return for 0 yards for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)
-2.1
FG · Q3 2:55
Blake Grupe 26 yd FG GOOD
+1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com