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ARST

Arkansas State 34 at Tulsa 41

TLSA
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2021 · Chapman Stadium
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Win probability · TLSA
modelTLSA aheadARST aheadconfidence bandkey playTLSA scoreARST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of GameFG-0.3TLSA 88.1%Z.Long 44 yard field goal attempt isgood, Center-A.Higuera,Holder-L.Wilson.AWAY 31 - HOME 41 · Q4 11:25
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:25 · Z.Long 44 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-A.Higuera, Holder-L.Wilson.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 134Pregame prior+6.9Home team on offense+16.9Garbage-time factor+9.4Score differential+2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.3Blowout margin−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:38: S.Brooks rushed to ARKS End Zone for 25 yards. S.Brooks for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — TLSA win probability +9.8 pts (now 77%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:01: D.Brin pass complete to ARKS 34. Catch made by J.Santana at ARKS 34. Gain of 34 yards. J.Santana for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — TLSA win probability +13.5 pts (now 83%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:53: D.Brin pass complete to ARKS 17. Catch made by S.Crawford at ARKS 17. Gain of 17 yards. S.Crawford for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — TLSA win probability +5.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:38: J.Blackman pass complete to TSA 7. Catch made by J.Foreman at TSA 7. Gain of 7 yards. J.Foreman for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — ARST win probability +8.2 pts (now 18%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:34: A.Watkins rushed to ARKS End Zone for 75 yards. A.Watkins for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — TLSA win probability +11.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TLSA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5ARST made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:57ARST 4th & 5 at ARST 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:00TLSA 4th & 7 at TLSA 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:44ARST 4th & 11 at ARST 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:50TLSA 4th & 9 at TLSA 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:03TLSA 4th & 3 at TLSA 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:34ARST 4th & 8 at ARST 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:50TLSA 4th & 1 at ARST 20, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    84.2%−1.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    80.3%−5.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:36ARST 4th & 6 at TLSA 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    8.1%−6.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:25TLSA 4th & 10 at ARST 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    79.4%−7.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:27ARST 4th & 6 at ARST 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:45ARST 4th & 4 at TLSA 33, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.3%−0.8
    49% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−1.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TLSA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ARST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:58ARST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:38TLSA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:01TLSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:53TLSA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:38ARST Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:34TLSA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARSTDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5717% → 18%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
82.7%
J.Blackman steps back to pass. J.Blackman pass incomplete intended for J.Foreman.Similar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-2
82.7%
A.Lamar rushed to ARKS 32 for -2 yards. Tackled by Y.Burnett; C.Wick at ARKS 32.Similar
Q1 14:27
3RD & 12
OWN 32
+7
82.6%
J.Blackman rushed to ARKS 39 for 7 yards. Tackled by Y.Burnett at ARKS 39.Similar
Q1 13:57
4TH & 5
OWN 39
+48
82.5%
R.Hanson punts 48 yards to TSA 13, Center-J.Bullard. K.Benjamin returned punt from the TSA 13. Tackled by D.Green at TSA 10.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1382% → 81%
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
81.7%
D.Brin pass complete to TSA 25. Catch made by J.Santana at TSA 25. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by E.Alexander at TSA 32.Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-4
81.8%
S.Brooks rushed to TSA 28 for -4 yards. Tackled by T.Hampton; K.Bennett at TSA 28.Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
81.4%
D.Brin steps back to pass. D.Brin pass incomplete intended for S.Crawford. PENALTY on TSA-TSA, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, declined.Similar
Q1 10:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+51
81.1%
L.Wilson punts 51 yards to ARKS 21, Center-A.Higuera. Downed by TSA.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 3:0419% → 20%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
81.2%
J.Blackman pass complete to ARKS 21. Catch made by T.Hunt at ARKS 21. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by T.Davis at ARKS 30.Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+10
80.9%
J.Blackman pass complete to ARKS 30. Catch made by E.Stevenson at ARKS 30. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by K.Ray at ARKS 40.Similar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
80.6%
J.Blackman steps back to pass. J.Blackman sacked at ARKS 35 for -5 yards (D.Lamp)Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 15
OWN 35
0
80.7%
J.Blackman steps back to pass. J.Blackman pass incomplete intended for T.Hunt. PENALTY on TSA-T.Davis, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 0
-2
80.0%
L.Pare rushed to ARKS 48 for -2 yards. Tackled by C.Wick at ARKS 48.Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 12
OWN 48
0
80.1%
PENALTY on ARKS-J.Still, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 17
OWN 43
+6
80.3%
L.Pare rushed to ARKS 49 for 6 yards. Tackled by M.Kulkin; J.Player at ARKS 49.Similar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 11
OWN 49
0
80.1%
J.Blackman steps back to pass. J.Blackman pass incomplete intended for C.Rucker.Similar
Q1 6:44
4TH & 11
OWN 49
+39
80.4%
R.Hanson punts 39 yards to TSA 12, Center-J.Bullard. K.Benjamin returned punt from the TSA 12. Tackled by J.Bullard; K.Bennett at TSA 12.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 4TD
1 play · 88 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+88
80.1%
D.Brin pass complete to TSA 12. Catch made by S.Crawford at TSA 12. Gain of 88 yards. S.Crawford for 88 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 5TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:0220% → 24%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
79.9%
J.Lang rushed to ARKS 30 for 5 yards. Tackled by Y.Burnett at ARKS 30.Similar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+31
79.7%
J.Blackman pass complete to ARKS 30. Catch made by C.Rucker at ARKS 30. Gain of 31 yards. Tackled by K.Ray at TSA 39.Similar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
76.2%
J.Blackman pass complete to TSA 39. Catch made by D.Green at TSA 39. Gain of 39 yards. D.Green for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:0077% → 76%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
77.0%
D.Brin pass complete to TSA 25. Catch made by J.Johnson at TSA 25. Gain of 23 yards. Tackled by J.Reimonenq at TSA 48.Similar
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
77.4%
D.Prince rushed to ARKS 47 for 5 yards. Tackled by E.Alexander at ARKS 47.Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+3
77.3%
D.Prince rushed to ARKS 44 for 3 yards. Tackled by E.Alexander; V.Scott at ARKS 44.Similar
Q1 3:24
3RD & 2
OPP 44
-2
77.0%
D.Prince rushed to ARKS 46 for -2 yards. Tackled by J.Ozougwu; C.Bonner at ARKS 46.Similar
Q1 2:50
4TH & 4
OPP 46
+5
76.1%
PENALTY on TSA-TSA, Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 2:50
4TH & 9
OWN 49
+51
75.7%
L.Wilson punts 51 yards to ARKS End Zone, Center-A.Higuera. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 7INT
12 plays · 41 yds · 4:4125% → 30%
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
75.3%
J.Blackman pass complete to ARKS 20. Catch made by A.Hayes at ARKS 20. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by T.Davis at ARKS 23.Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
74.8%
A.Lamar rushed to ARKS 28 for 5 yards. Tackled by T.Davis; J.Wright at ARKS 28.Similar
Q1 1:43
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+2
74.2%
J.Blackman pass complete to ARKS 28. Catch made by J.Combs at ARKS 28. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by J.Wright at ARKS 30.Similar
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
73.8%
A.Lamar rushed to ARKS 29 for -1 yards. Tackled by T.Fuller at ARKS 29.Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+5
73.7%
A.Lamar rushed to ARKS 34 for 5 yards. Tackled by E.Rogers at ARKS 34.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+15
73.0%
J.Blackman pass complete to ARKS 34. Catch made by A.Lamar at ARKS 34. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by J.Terry at ARKS 49.Similar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
71.6%
J.Blackman steps back to pass. J.Blackman pass incomplete intended for C.Rucker.Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
71.5%
J.Blackman pass complete to ARKS 49. Catch made by T.Hunt at ARKS 49. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by B.Powers at TSA 46.Similar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
71.1%
PENALTY on ARKS-I.Scott, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+12
71.4%
J.Blackman pass complete to ARKS 49. Catch made by C.Rucker at ARKS 49. Gain of 12 yards. Pushed out of bounds by TSA at TSA 39.Similar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
70.3%
J.Blackman pass INTERCEPTED at TSA End Zone. Intercepted by T.Martin at TSA End Zone. Tackled by ARKS at TSA End Zone. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:5372% → 70%
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
71.9%
S.Brooks rushed to TSA 26 for 6 yards. Tackled by L.Jones at TSA 26.Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+9
71.4%
S.Brooks rushed to TSA 35 for 9 yards. Tackled by A.Switzer at TSA 35. PENALTY on ARKS-ARKS, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, declined.Similar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
71.7%
D.Brin steps back to pass. D.Brin sacked at TSA 33 for -2 yards (J.Ozougwu)Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+4
70.8%
S.Brooks rushed to TSA 37 for 4 yards. Tackled by D.Motley at TSA 37.Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+5
70.4%
D.Brin pass complete to TSA 37. Catch made by J.Johnson at TSA 37. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by ARKS at TSA 42.Similar
Q2 10:03
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+58
69.6%
L.Wilson punts 58 yards to ARKS End Zone, Center-A.Higuera. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:2231% → 35%
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
69.0%
L.Pare rushed to ARKS 23 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Hopkins at ARKS 23.Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+8
68.5%
J.Blackman pass complete to ARKS 23. Catch made by A.Jones at ARKS 23. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by T.Davis at ARKS 31.Similar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
67.8%
L.Pare rushed to ARKS 33 for 2 yards. Tackled by T.Stevenson; D.Hopkins at ARKS 33.Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+7
67.3%
L.Pare rushed to ARKS 40 for 7 yards. Pushed out of bounds by K.Ray at ARKS 40.Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+2
65.2%
A.Lamar rushed to ARKS 42 for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Lamp at ARKS 42.Similar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
64.3%
J.Blackman steps back to pass. J.Blackman sacked at ARKS 37 for -5 yards (E.Taylor) J.Blackman FUMBLES, forced by E.Taylor. Fumble RECOVERED by ARKS-I.Scott at ARKS 37. Tackled by TSA at ARKS 42.Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 15
OWN 37
0
65.8%
J.Blackman steps back to pass. J.Blackman pass incomplete intended for C.Rucker.Similar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 15
OWN 37
+7
65.9%
J.Blackman scrambles to ARKS 44 for 7 yards. Tackled by T.Davis; C.Wick at ARKS 44.Similar
Q2 6:34
4TH & 8
OWN 44
+47
65.0%
R.Hanson punts 47 yards to TSA 9, Center-J.Bullard. K.Benjamin returned punt from the TSA 9. Tackled by A.Hayes at TSA 9.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 10TD
10 plays · 91 yds · 2:4965% → 77%
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
65.1%
D.Prince rushed to TSA 20 for 11 yards. Tackled by K.Harris; T.Hampton at TSA 20.Similar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
65.1%
D.Prince rushed to TSA 26 for 6 yards. Tackled by E.Alexander at TSA 26.Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
65.0%
D.Prince rushed to TSA 29 for 3 yards. Tackled by E.Alexander; K.Bennett at TSA 29.Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+11
64.1%
S.Anderson rushed to TSA 40 for 11 yards. Tackled by E.Alexander; K.Bennett at TSA 40.Similar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
65.4%
D.Brin pass complete to TSA 40. Catch made by J.Santana at TSA 40. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by ARKS at TSA 47.Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+1
66.3%
A.Watkins rushed to TSA 48 for 1 yards. Tackled by K.Bennett at TSA 48.Similar
Q2 4:13
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
65.5%
PENALTY on TSA-X.Gadlin, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+32
63.8%
D.Brin pass complete to TSA 43. Catch made by J.Santana at TSA 43. Gain of 32 yards. Tackled by ARKS at ARKS 25.Similar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
67.0%
D.Brin steps back to pass. D.Brin pass incomplete intended for J.Johnson.Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+25
76.8%
S.Brooks rushed to ARKS End Zone for 25 yards. S.Brooks for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 11FUMBLE
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:0229% → 30%
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-6
71.3%
J.Blackman steps back to pass. J.Blackman sacked at ARKS 17 for -6 yards (J.Anderson)Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 16
OWN 17
+21
71.2%
J.Lang rushed to ARKS 38 for 21 yards. Tackled by K.Ray; C.Williams at ARKS 38.Similar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
69.4%
J.Blackman steps back to pass. J.Blackman pass incomplete intended for C.Rucker.Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-4
69.6%
J.Blackman rushed to ARKS 34 for -4 yards. J.Blackman FUMBLES, forced by TSA. Fumble RECOVERED by TSA-J.Player at ARKS 34. Tackled by ARKS at ARKS 38.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 12TD
1 play · 34 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
83.1%
D.Brin pass complete to ARKS 34. Catch made by J.Santana at ARKS 34. Gain of 34 yards. J.Santana for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 13FG
9 plays · 31 yds · 1:0983% → 86%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
82.7%
D.Brin steps back to pass. D.Brin sacked at TSA 43 for -3 yards (K.Bennett)Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 13
OWN 43
+29
81.8%
D.Brin pass complete to TSA 43. Catch made by J.Johnson at TSA 43. Gain of 29 yards. Tackled by T.Doss at ARKS 28. PENALTY on TSA-T.Smith, Unsportsmanlike Conduct / Offense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
83.0%
D.Brin steps back to pass. D.Brin pass incomplete intended for J.Santana. PENALTY on TSA-TSA, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 20
OWN 47
+11
82.0%
D.Brin pass complete to TSA 47. Catch made by J.Johnson at TSA 47. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by A.Switzer at ARKS 42.Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+19
82.9%
D.Brin pass complete to ARKS 42. Catch made by J.Santana at ARKS 42. Gain of 19 yards. Pushed out of bounds by K.Harris at ARKS 23.Similar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+40
85.5%
Z.Long 40 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-A.Higuera, Holder-L.Wilson.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 15TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0784% → 91%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
84.2%
D.Brin pass complete to TSA 25. Catch made by J.Johnson at TSA 25. Gain of 5 yards. J.Johnson ran out of bounds.Similar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
84.5%
S.Brooks rushed to TSA 37 for 7 yards. Tackled by J.Ozougwu; J.Reimonenq at TSA 37.Similar
Q3 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
84.7%
D.Brin pass complete to TSA 37. Catch made by J.Johnson at TSA 37. Gain of 17 yards. Tackled by ARKS at ARKS 46.Similar
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
85.4%
S.Brooks rushed to ARKS 40 for 6 yards. Tackled by K.Bennett at ARKS 40. PENALTY on ARKS-T.Hampton, Unnecessary Roughness / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
85.6%
S.Brooks rushed to ARKS 17 for 8 yards. Tackled by T.Geathers at ARKS 17.Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+17
91.4%
D.Brin pass complete to ARKS 17. Catch made by S.Crawford at ARKS 17. Gain of 17 yards. S.Crawford for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 16TD
13 plays · 76 yds · 2:109% → 18%
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
91.2%
J.Lang rushed to ARKS 26 for 2 yards. Tackled by T.Stevenson; J.Player at ARKS 26.Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+4
91.4%
J.Blackman pass complete to ARKS 26. Catch made by R.Tyler at ARKS 26. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by Y.Burnett; K.Ray at ARKS 30.Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+11
91.3%
J.Blackman pass complete to ARKS 30. Catch made by T.Hunt at ARKS 30. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by T.Davis at ARKS 41.Similar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+18
91.0%
J.Blackman pass complete to ARKS 41. Catch made by T.Hunt at ARKS 41. Gain of 18 yards. Tackled by K.Ray at TSA 41.Similar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
90.5%
J.Blackman steps back to pass. J.Blackman pass incomplete intended for A.Jones.Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
90.7%
J.Blackman steps back to pass. J.Blackman pass incomplete intended for J.Foreman.Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+35
91.2%
J.Blackman pass complete to TSA 41. Catch made by C.Rucker at TSA 41. Gain of 35 yards. Tackled by B.Johnson at TSA 6. PENALTY on TSA-J.Player, Defensive Targeting, 3 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 10:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
89.9%
J.Blackman steps back to pass. J.Blackman pass incomplete intended for D.Green. PENALTY on TSA-T.Martin, Defensive Pass Interference, 1 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 10:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
89.9%
PENALTY on ARKS-C.Hoz, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 10:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
89.9%
J.Blackman steps back to pass. J.Blackman pass incomplete intended for J.Foreman.Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
81.7%
J.Blackman pass complete to TSA 7. Catch made by J.Foreman at TSA 7. Gain of 7 yards. J.Foreman for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 17TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
93.0%
A.Watkins rushed to ARKS End Zone for 75 yards. A.Watkins for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 19INT
10 plays · 63 yds · 4:1985% → 87%
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
85.1%
S.Brooks rushed to TSA 37 for 12 yards. Tackled by L.Jones at TSA 37.Similar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
85.6%
S.Brooks rushed to TSA 40 for yards. S.Brooks FUMBLES, forced by ARKS. Fumble RECOVERED by ARKS-ARKS at TSA 40. Tackled by TSA at TSA 40. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble and the play was overturned. S.Brooks rushed to TSA 41 for 4 yards. Tackled by C.Bonner; V.Scott at TSA 41.Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+40
86.1%
A.Watkins rushed to ARKS 19 for 40 yards. Tackled by ARKS at ARKS 19. PENALTY on TSA-E.Naylor, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
86.6%
A.Watkins rushed to ARKS 30 for -1 yards. Tackled by K.Turner; J.Ozougwu at ARKS 30.Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+9
86.6%
S.Brooks rushed to ARKS 21 for 9 yards. Tackled by J.Brown; T.Ayers at ARKS 21.Similar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+1
86.0%
S.Anderson rushed to ARKS 20 for 1 yards. Tackled by C.Bonner; J.Brown at ARKS 20.Similar
Q3 7:50
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+4
85.3%
S.Anderson rushed to ARKS 16 for 4 yards. Tackled by E.Alexander; S.Tuitavake at ARKS 16.Similar
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
86.8%
S.Brooks rushed to ARKS 15 for 1 yards. Tackled by K.Bennett; J.Ozougwu at ARKS 15.Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+3
87.3%
S.Brooks rushed to ARKS 12 for 3 yards. Tackled by C.Bonner; E.Alexander at ARKS 12.Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 6
OPP 12
0
86.7%
D.Brin pass INTERCEPTED at ARKS End Zone. Intercepted by J.Reimonenq at ARKS End Zone. Tackled by TSA at ARKS 15.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 20FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 4:0515% → 20%
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
85.4%
L.Pare rushed to ARKS 18 for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Anderson at ARKS 18.Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+15
85.4%
J.Blackman pass complete to ARKS 18. Catch made by D.Green at ARKS 18. Gain of 15 yards. Pushed out of bounds by T.Davis at ARKS 33.Similar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
85.2%
J.Blackman pass complete to ARKS 33. Catch made by D.Green at ARKS 33. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by J.Terry; C.Williams at ARKS 45.Similar
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
84.5%
J.Blackman pass complete to ARKS 45. Catch made by D.Green at ARKS 45. Gain of 16 yards. Tackled by T.Davis at TSA 39.Similar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
83.6%
L.Pare rushed to TSA 37 for 2 yards. Tackled by T.Stevenson at TSA 37.Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+12
83.6%
J.Blackman pass complete to TSA 37. Catch made by J.Combs at TSA 37. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by T.Davis at TSA 25.Similar
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
82.3%
PENALTY on ARKS-J.Combs, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 3:28
1ST & 15
OPP 30
-7
83.2%
J.Blackman steps back to pass. J.Blackman sacked at TSA 37 for -7 yards (G.Sawyer) J.Blackman FUMBLES, forced by G.Sawyer. Fumble RECOVERED by ARKS-L.Pare at TSA 37. Tackled by TSA at TSA 30.Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 22
OPP 37
+8
84.4%
J.Blackman pass complete to TSA 37. Catch made by E.Stevenson at TSA 37. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by J.Wright at TSA 29.Similar
Q3 1:56
3RD & 14
OPP 29
+8
85.1%
J.Blackman pass complete to TSA 29. Catch made by E.Stevenson at TSA 29. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by G.Sawyer; Y.Burnett at TSA 21.Similar
Q3 1:36
4TH & 6
OPP 21
0
80.4%
B.Grupe 38 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-J.Bullard, Holder-R.Hanson.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 21FG
15 plays · 48 yds · 5:0684% → 88%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
84.3%
A.Watkins rushed to TSA 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by C.Bonner; T.Hampton at TSA 26.Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
85.7%
D.Brin pass complete to TSA 26. Catch made by J.Johnson at TSA 26. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by T.Doss at TSA 37.Similar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
86.7%
A.Watkins rushed to TSA 34 for -3 yards. Tackled by K.Bennett at TSA 34.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 34
-1
86.6%
D.Brin steps back to pass. D.Brin sacked at TSA 33 for -1 yards (J.Ozougwu)Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 14
OWN 33
+14
85.8%
D.Brin pass complete to TSA 33. Catch made by J.Johnson at TSA 33. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by E.Alexander at TSA 47.Similar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
88.6%
D.Brin steps back to pass. D.Brin pass incomplete intended for TSA.Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+15
88.3%
S.Brooks rushed to ARKS 38 for 15 yards. Tackled by E.Alexander at ARKS 38.Similar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
88.8%
S.Brooks rushed to ARKS 37 for 1 yards. Tackled by E.Alexander; D.Motley at ARKS 37.Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+4
89.0%
S.Brooks rushed to ARKS 33 for 4 yards. Tackled by A.Switzer at ARKS 33.Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+6
88.7%
D.Brin scrambles to ARKS 27 for 6 yards. Tackled by D.Motley; C.Bonner at ARKS 27.Similar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
89.4%
D.Brin steps back to pass. D.Brin pass incomplete intended for S.Crawford.Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
89.3%
D.Brin steps back to pass. D.Brin pass incomplete intended for E.Naylor.Similar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
88.4%
D.Brin steps back to pass. D.Brin pass incomplete intended for E.Naylor.Similar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+44
88.1%
Z.Long 44 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-A.Higuera, Holder-L.Wilson.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4712% → 9%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
88.1%
J.Blackman steps back to pass. J.Blackman pass incomplete intended for D.Green.Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
88.3%
J.Blackman steps back to pass. J.Blackman pass incomplete intended for E.Stevenson.Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+4
89.2%
J.Blackman pass complete to ARKS 20. Catch made by E.Stevenson at ARKS 20. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by T.Davis at ARKS 24.Similar
Q4 10:27
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+46
90.8%
R.Hanson punts 46 yards to TSA 30, Center-J.Bullard. K.Benjamin returned punt from the TSA 30. Tackled by D.Green at TSA 30.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 23FG
6 plays · 39 yds · 1:2710% → 15%
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-4
90.0%
J.Blackman steps back to pass. J.Blackman sacked at ARKS 24 for -4 yards (C.Wick)Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 14
OWN 24
+37
91.7%
J.Blackman pass complete to ARKS 24. Catch made by C.Rucker at ARKS 24. Gain of 37 yards. Tackled by TSA at TSA 39.Similar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
89.4%
J.Blackman steps back to pass. J.Blackman pass incomplete intended for D.Green.Similar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
89.3%
L.Pare rushed to TSA 33 for 6 yards. Tackled by Y.Burnett; T.Carlisle at TSA 33.Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
89.8%
J.Blackman steps back to pass. J.Blackman pass incomplete intended for J.Foreman.Similar
Q4 6:45
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+50
84.7%
B.Grupe 50 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-J.Bullard, Holder-R.Hanson.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 24END OF GAME
13 plays · 76 yds · 5:4990% → 96%
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+25
89.8%
S.Brooks rushed to TSA 46 for 25 yards. Tackled by A.Switzer at TSA 46.Similar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
91.6%
S.Brooks rushed to TSA 50 for 4 yards. Tackled by V.Scott; A.Switzer at TSA 50.Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 6
OPP 0
+12
92.4%
D.Brin pass complete to TSA 50. Catch made by J.Johnson at TSA 50. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by E.Alexander at ARKS 38.Similar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
92.4%
S.Brooks rushed to ARKS 35 for 3 yards. Tackled by T.Hampton at ARKS 35.Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+24
94.1%
D.Brin pass complete to ARKS 35. Catch made by E.Naylor at ARKS 35. Gain of 24 yards. Tackled by C.Bonner at ARKS 11.Similar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
94.1%
S.Brooks rushed to ARKS 6 for 5 yards. Tackled by K.Bennett; E.Alexander at ARKS 6.Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+2
94.6%
S.Brooks rushed to ARKS 4 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Brown at ARKS 4.Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+3
95.1%
S.Anderson rushed to ARKS 1 for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Brown at ARKS 1.Similar
Q4 1:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.4%
S.Anderson rushed to ARKS 1 for 0 yards. Tackled by K.Bennett at ARKS 1.Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.1%
S.Anderson rushed to ARKS 1 for 0 yards. Tackled by T.Ayers; C.Bonner at ARKS 1.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:01
D.Brin pass complete to ARKS 34. Catch made by J.Santana at ARKS 34. Gain of 34 yards. J.Santana for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+13.5
TD · Q3 10:34
A.Watkins rushed to ARKS End Zone for 75 yards. A.Watkins for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+11.3
TD · Q2 3:38
S.Brooks rushed to ARKS End Zone for 25 yards. S.Brooks for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+9.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com