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Syracuse 17 at NC State 41

NCSU
2021 · Week 12 · Nov 20, 2021 · Carter-Finley Stadium
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Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:52 · Trenton Gill punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Courtney Jackson at the Syrac 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 12Pregame prior+26.4Home team on offense+0.1Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Blowout margin−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:14: Ricky Person Jr. run for 15 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +7.5 pts (now 81%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:25: Drake Thomas 38 Yd Interception Return (Christopher Dunn Kick) — NCSU win probability +6.0 pts (now 84%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:16: Sean Tucker run for 55 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +6.1 pts (now 23%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:01: Zonovan Knight 97 Yd Kickoff Return (Christopher Dunn Kick) — NCSU win probability +7.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:08: D. Leary pass,to C. Toudle for 14 yds for a TD, (C. Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +7.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6SYR made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 10:52NCSU 4th & 7 at NCSU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:21SYR 4th & 11 at SYR 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:35NCSU 4th & 2 at SYR 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    76.6%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    76.1%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:40SYR 4th & 17 at NCSU 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    25.8%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    25.7%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:08NCSU 4th & 10 at SYR 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    72.7%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:19SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:04SYR 4th & 5 at SYR 47, down 14
    Close callPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:01SYR 4th & 11 at SYR 10, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:46NCSU 4th & 9 at SYR 19, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.5%
    77% to make
    Punt
    93.8%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:41SYR 4th & 12 at NCSU 27, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−1.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:04NCSU 4th & 4 at NCSU 13, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:45NCSU 4th & 4 at SYR 4, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.2%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:28SYR 4th & 12 at SYR 23, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SYR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 6:14NCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:25NCSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:16SYR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:01NCSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:08NCSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:15NCSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:45SYR Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NCSUDrive 1PUNT
12 plays · 25 yds · 4:0278% → 77%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
78.1%
Zonovan Knight run for 3 yds to the NCSt 26Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+7
78.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 7 yds to the NCSt 33 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Andre Szmyt) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
78.1%
Zonovan Knight run for 4 yds to the NCSt 37Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
78.1%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+8
78.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 8 yds to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
78.2%
PENALTY NCS False Start (Gibson,Grant) 5 yards from NCS45 to NCS40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+8
78.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Trent Pennix for 8 yds to the NCSt 48Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+5
78.2%
Zonovan Knight run for 5 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 2
OPP 47
0
78.2%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q1 14:54
4TH & 2
OPP 47
-5
78.1%
PENALTY NCS False Start (Ekwonu,Ikem) 5 yards from SYR47 to NCS48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:52
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
77.1%
Trenton Gill punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Courtney Jackson at the Syrac 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:3123% → 23%
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
77.1%
Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the Syrac 11Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 9
OWN 11
0
77.1%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Anthony QueeleySimilar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 9
OWN 11
-2
77.3%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Drake Thomas for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 9Similar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 11
OWN 9
+14
77.1%
Ian Hawkins punt for 42 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for 14 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 3DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4677% → 77%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
77.3%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 2 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+5
77.4%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 5 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+1
77.3%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 1 yd to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 7:35
4TH & 2
OPP 29
0
76.5%
Trent Pennix run for no gain to the Syrac 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4PUNT
17 plays · 35 yds · 6:5524% → 26%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
76.0%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Damien AlfordSimilar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
76.1%
Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+15
76.2%
Shrader,Garrett sacked for loss of 10 yards to the SYR21 (Joseph,Daniel) PENALTY NCS Personal Foul (Joseph,Daniel) 15 yards from SYR31 to SYR46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
75.6%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 13
OWN 43
0
75.9%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Anthony QueeleySimilar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 13
OWN 43
+15
76.1%
Shrader,Garrett pass incomplete PENALTY NCS Roughing The Passer (Durden,Cory) 15 yards from SYR43 to NCS42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
75.5%
Garrett Shrader run for 6 yds to the NCSt 36Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 4
OPP 36
-10
75.5%
Tucker,Sean rush for 6 yards gain to the NCS30 (Thomas,Drake; Baker-Williams,Tyler) PENALTY SYR Holding (Bergeron,Matthew) 10 yards from NCS36 to NCS46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 14
OPP 46
+1
75.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Cooper Lutz for 1 yd to the NCSt 47Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 15
OPP 47
-5
76.0%
PENALTY SYR False Start (Ilaoa,Josh) 5 yards from NCS47 to SYR48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 20
OWN 48
+16
76.1%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 16 yds to the NCSt 36Similar
Q1 7:35
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+7
75.9%
Shrader,Garrett pass incomplete to Johnson,Sharod, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY NCS Pass Interference (Pierre-Louis,Joshua) 7 yards from NCS36 to NCS29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
75.3%
Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the NCSt 33Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 14
OPP 33
+2
75.6%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for 2 yds to the NCSt 35Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 16
OPP 35
-1
76.0%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Drake Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 36Similar
Q1 7:35
4TH & 17
OPP 36
0
76.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Delay Of Game (Josh Black) declinedSimilar
Q1 0:40
4TH & 17
OPP 36
0
74.0%
Ian Hawkins punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 53 yds · 4:3274% → 73%
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
74.3%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 6
0
74.2%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 6
+13
73.5%
Devin Leary run for 13 yds to the NCSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+13
74.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Trent Pennix for 13 yds to the NCSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
74.4%
Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd to the NCSt 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+26
74.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Zonovan Knight for 26 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-8
75.5%
Devin Leary sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the Syrac 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 18
OPP 49
+8
74.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Christopher Toudle for 8 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
74.9%
Leary,Devin pass complete to Toudle,Christopher for 9 yards to the SYR32 (Chestnut,Darian), out of bounds PENALTY NCS Illegal Touch-Pass (Toudle,Christopher). NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:08
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
72.9%
Trenton Gill punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Courtney Jackson at the Syrac 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:4928% → 29%
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
72.2%
Sean Tucker run for 10 yds to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
72.1%
Sean Tucker run for 17 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
71.6%
Shrader,Garrett pass incomplete to Queeley,Anthony broken up by Baker-Williams,Tyler, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY NCS Pass Interference (Baker-Williams,Tyler) 7 yards from SYR37 to SYR44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
70.9%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Daniel Joseph for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 43Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+3
71.3%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
71.6%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Sharod JohnsonSimilar
Q2 8:19
4TH & 8
OWN 46
+11
71.4%
Ian Hawkins punt for 40 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for 11 yds to the NCSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 2:0573% → 81%
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
72.5%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 3 yds to the NCSt 28Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
72.6%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 8 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+49
73.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 49 yds to the Syrac 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
80.5%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 15 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8INT TD
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:4222% → 16%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
77.9%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-38
83.9%
Drake Thomas 38 Yd Interception Return (Christopher Dunn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 2:0916% → 23%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
83.8%
Garrett Shrader run for 6 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
83.3%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+1
83.2%
Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
77.1%
Sean Tucker run for 55 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 1:5216% → 15%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
84.4%
Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the Syrac 30Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
84.4%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Damien AlfordSimilar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 9
OWN 30
-5
84.8%
PENALTY SYR False Start (Tisdale,Darius) 5 yards from SYR30 to SYR25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 14
OWN 25
+17
85.0%
Garrett Shrader run for 17 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
84.1%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Damien AlfordSimilar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
84.3%
Sean Tucker run for 5 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
83.7%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Courtney JacksonSimilar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
85.5%
Ian Hawkins punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 0:5687% → 94%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
86.8%
Zonovan Knight run for 3 yds to the NCSt 23Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+58
86.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 58 yds to the Syrac 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
86.4%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Thayer ThomasSimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+5
86.4%
Devin Leary run for 5 yds to the Syrac 14Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+14
94.2%
D. Leary pass,to C. Toudle for 14 yds for a TD, (C. Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
93.4%
Cooper Lutz run for no gain to the Syrac 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:536% → 6%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
93.8%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Syrac 10Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 11
OWN 10
0
93.9%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Devaughn CooperSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 11
OWN 10
0
93.9%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Sharod JohnsonSimilar
Q3 14:01
4TH & 11
OWN 10
0
94.2%
Ian Hawkins punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the Syrac 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 14FG
6 plays · 27 yds · 3:1595% → 96%
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+26
95.2%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 11 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, Personal Foul (Kingsley Jonathan) to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
95.2%
Devin Leary run for 1 yd to the Syrac 19Similar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 9
OPP 19
-5
95.2%
PENALTY NCS Delay Of Game (Leary,Devin) 5 yards from SYR19 to SYR24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 14
OPP 24
-10
95.1%
Devin Leary sacked by Mikel Jones for a loss of 10 yards to the Syrac 34Similar
Q3 14:01
3RD & 24
OPP 34
+15
95.0%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 15 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q3 10:46
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+37
95.6%
Christopher Dunn 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 3:584% → 4%
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+31
95.8%
Sean Tucker run for 16 yds to the NCSt 46 for a 1ST down NC STATE Penalty, Personal Foul (Derrek Pitts Jr.) to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
95.7%
Sean Tucker run for no gain to the NCSt 39Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+14
95.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sharod Johnson for 14 yds to the NCSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
95.1%
Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the NCSt 25Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-8
95.3%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Devon Betty for a loss of 8 yards to the NCSt 33Similar
Q3 7:34
3RD & 18
OPP 33
+6
96.5%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 6 yds to the NCSt 27Similar
Q3 6:41
4TH & 12
OPP 27
+45
96.2%
Andre Szmyt 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 16TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:2697% → 100%
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
96.8%
Zonovan Knight run for 19 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
96.9%
Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd to the Syrac 45Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+11
96.9%
Devin Leary pass complete to Christopher Toudle for 11 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
96.9%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
96.9%
Leary,Devin pass complete to Rooks,Porter for 5 yards to the SYR29 (Lockett,Terry) PENALTY SYR Offside (Darton,Kevon) 5 yards from SYR34 to SYR29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+1
97.0%
Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd to the Syrac 28Similar
Q3 6:41
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+18
96.9%
Devin Leary pass complete to Porter Rooks for 18 yds to the Syrac 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
97.0%
Devin Leary pass complete to Christopher Toudle for 2 yds to the Syrac 8Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.7%
D. Leary pass,to T. Thomas for 8 yds for a TD, (C. Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17PUNT
13 plays · 22 yds · 5:260% → 0%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 11 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.7%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Syrac 35Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+5
99.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Ethan Fischler for 5 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+14
99.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 14 yds to the NCSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
99.8%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the NCSt 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+20
99.8%
Garrett Shrader run for 20 yds to the NCSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-10
99.8%
Tucker,Sean rush for 4 yards gain to the NCS23 (Baker-Williams,Tyler) PENALTY SYR Holding (Bergeron,Matthew) 10 yards from NCS27 to NCS37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the NCSt 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Sharod JohnsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 20
OPP 37
0
99.8%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 11:49
4TH & 36
OWN 47
+8
99.9%
Ian Hawkins punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSt 16 , Thayer Thomas returns for 8 yds to the NCSTATE 45 NC STATE Penalty, Illegal Block ( Yards) to the NCSt 16Similar
Q4 11:49
4TH & 36
OWN 47
+8
99.9%
Ian Hawkins punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSt 7 , Thayer Thomas returns for 8 yds to the NCSTATE 45 NC STATE Penalty, Illegal Block (Demarcus Jones II) to the NCSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:45100% → 100%
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
99.8%
Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the NCSt 12Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+3
99.8%
Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the NCSt 15Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 2
OWN 15
-7
99.8%
Leary,Devin pass complete to Pennix,Trent for 20 yards to the NCS35 (Simmons Jr.,Jason), out of bounds PENALTY NCS Pass Interference (Carter,Devin) 7 yards from NCS15 to NCS08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 9
OWN 8
+5
99.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Jordan Houston for 5 yds to the NCSt 13Similar
Q4 9:04
4TH & 4
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Trenton Gill punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19TD
2 plays · 48 yds · 0:190% → 1%
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Damien AlfordSimilar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+48
98.9%
G. Shrader run for 48 yds for a TD, (A. Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 20FG
10 plays · 66 yds · 5:0099% → 100%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
99.0%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 1 yd to the NCSt 29Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+27
99.0%
Devin Leary pass complete to Ricky Person Jr. for 27 yds to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
99.1%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 2 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+26
99.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Porter Rooks for 26 yds to the Syrac 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
99.1%
SYRACUSE Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (8 Yards) to the Syrac 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.1%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 2 yds to the Syrac 9Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.1%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q4 8:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
99.1%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 5 yds to the Syrac 4Similar
Q4 3:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
99.5%
Christopher Dunn 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:171% → 0%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.5%
Cooper Lutz run for 3 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+2
99.5%
Cooper Lutz run for 2 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+3
99.5%
JaCobian Morgan pass complete to Cooper Lutz for 3 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
Q4 1:28
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
99.6%
Ian Hawkins punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · 0 yds · 1:28100% → 100%
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Aaron McLaughlin run for no gain to the NCSt 25Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Jordan Houston run for no gain to the NCSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:08
D. Leary pass,to C. Toudle for 14 yds for a TD, (C. Dunn KICK)
+7.6
TD · Q2 6:14
Ricky Person Jr. run for 15 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)
+7.5
TD · Q2 3:01
Zonovan Knight 97 Yd Kickoff Return (Christopher Dunn Kick)
+7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com