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CLEM

Clemson 21 at NC State 27

NCSU
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2021 · Carter-Finley Stadium
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Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:42 · Will Spiers punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSTATE 24 NC STATE Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the NCSt 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseTime remainingGarbage-time factorScore differentialDefense timeouts
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2Play 130Pregame prior−7.7Home team on offense+8.4Time remaining+1.6Garbage-time factor−0.6Score differential+2.0Defense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 5:10: Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 12 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +19.0 pts (now 71%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:52: Will Shipley run for 5 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +31.5 pts (now 60%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · OT 0:00: D.J. Uiagalelei run for 2 yds to the NCSt 23 — CLEM win probability +21.7 pts (now 59%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. TD · OT 0:00: Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 2 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +35.2 pts (now 63%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT2 0:00: Devin Carter 22 Yd pass from Devin Leary (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — NCSU win probability +20.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9CLEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 13:08CLEM 4th & 10 at CLEM 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:44NCSU 4th & 6 at NCSU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:42NCSU 4th & 13 at NCSU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:48CLEM 4th & 10 at CLEM 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:55CLEM 4th & 7 at CLEM 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:23NCSU 4th & 18 at NCSU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−1.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:08CLEM 4th & 20 at CLEM 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−1.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:06CLEM 4th & 5 at CLEM 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:37NCSU 4th & 1 at NCSU 20, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%−1.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:03NCSU 4th & 16 at CLEM 36, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−1.3
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.4%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    39.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:45NCSU 4th & 11 at NCSU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−1.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:19CLEM 4th & 6 at CLEM 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−1.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:42CLEM 4th & 9 at CLEM 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−2.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:33NCSU 4th & 1 at NCSU 36, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.9 ptsPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.8%−2.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:14NCSU 4th & 6 at CLEM 34, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.4%−2.0
    47% to make
    Punt
    50.3%−5.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:53CLEM 4th & 8 at CLEM 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−3.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:00NCSU 4th & 7 at CLEM 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−16.0
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.2%
    72% to make
    Punt
    35.7%−29.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2CLEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 9:11CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:05NCSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:10NCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:52CLEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 1:3274% → 73%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
26.0%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 7 yds to the Clem 32Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
26.1%
NC STATE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Tanner Ingle) to the Clem 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
26.2%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
26.4%
Will Shipley run for 5 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 5
OWN 42
-5
26.5%
CLEMSON Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the Clem 37Similar
Q1 13:19
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
26.7%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Will ShipleySimilar
Q1 13:08
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
26.9%
Will Spiers punt for 32 yds, downed at the NCSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:5127% → 28%
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
27.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 12 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
27.3%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
27.3%
Zonovan Knight run for 3 yds to the NCSt 46Similar
Q1 11:53
3RD & 7
OWN 46
-5
27.5%
NC STATE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 41Similar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 12
OWN 41
+6
27.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 6 yds to the NCSt 47Similar
Q1 10:44
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
27.9%
Trenton Gill punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:2572% → 74%
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
28.0%
Will Shipley run for 5 yds to the Clem 25Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+29
28.2%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 29 yds to the NCSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
28.0%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Frank Ladson Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 47 for a 1ST down NC STATE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Tanner Ingle) to the NCSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
28.0%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Beaux CollinsSimilar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+32
26.4%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Justyn Ross for 32 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 3:2127% → 27%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
27.0%
Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd to the NCSt 26Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
27.0%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 10 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
27.1%
Leary, Devin pass incomplete, PENALTY CLEMSON roughing passer (Spector, Baylon) 15 yards to the CLEMSON49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NCSTATE.Similar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
27.7%
Zonovan Knight run for 3 yds to the Clem 46Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 7
OPP 46
-5
27.8%
NC STATE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 49Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 12
OWN 49
-5
27.4%
NC STATE Penalty, False Start (Grant Gibson) to the NCSt 44Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 17
OWN 44
-2
27.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Zonovan Knight for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 42Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 19
OWN 42
+6
27.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 6 yds to the NCSt 48Similar
Q1 5:42
4TH & 13
OWN 48
0
27.1%
Trenton Gill punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4973% → 72%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
27.2%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
27.3%
Kobe Pace run for no gain to the Clem 20Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
27.6%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q1 4:48
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
27.9%
Will Spiers punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Julian Gray at the NCSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 6TD
13 plays · 54 yds · 4:1428% → 35%
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
28.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Ricky Person Jr. for no gain to the NCSt 46Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-5
28.0%
NC STATE Penalty, False Start (Grant Gibson) to the NCSt 41Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+4
27.9%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 4 yds to the NCSt 45Similar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+5
27.8%
CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Offside (Bryan Bresee) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:57
3RD & 6
50
+7
28.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 7 yds to the Clem 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
28.9%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 15 yds to the Clem 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
29.5%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 2 yds to the Clem 26Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 8
OPP 26
0
29.6%
Thayer Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky Person Jr.Similar
Q1 1:11
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+5
29.0%
CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Clem 21Similar
Q1 0:59
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+6
29.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 6 yds to the Clem 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
29.9%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 6 yds to the Clem 9Similar
Q1 0:09
2ND & 4
OPP 9
0
29.9%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q1 0:05
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+9
34.7%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 9 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:0667% → 66%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
32.6%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 2 yds to the Clem 27Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
32.5%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Joseph NgataSimilar
Q2 14:43
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+6
33.1%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 6 yds to the Clem 33Similar
Q2 14:08
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-5
33.4%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Clem 28Similar
Q2 13:55
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
34.0%
Will Spiers punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:2634% → 34%
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
34.1%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 9 yds to the NCSt 29Similar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+1
35.3%
Devin Leary run for 1 yd to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
34.7%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Keyon LesaneSimilar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
34.7%
Ricky Person Jr. run for no gain to the NCSt 30Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-8
34.3%
Devin Leary sacked by Xavier Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the NCSt 22Similar
Q2 11:23
4TH & 18
OWN 22
+57
34.0%
Trenton Gill punt for 57 yds , Will Taylor returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:5266% → 63%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
34.5%
Will Shipley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 18Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 12
OWN 18
-1
35.1%
D.J. Uiagalelei sacked by Davin Vann for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 17Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 13
OWN 17
-7
35.9%
D.J. Uiagalelei sacked by Cory Durden for a loss of 7 yards to the Clem 10Similar
Q2 9:08
4TH & 20
OWN 10
+9
36.8%
Will Spiers punt for 39 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for 9 yds to the Clem 40 NC STATE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the NCSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 10FUMBLE
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:2439% → 40%
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
38.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 10 yds to the Clem 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
39.5%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
39.4%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+7
38.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 7 yds to the Clem 38Similar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+5
38.2%
CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Clem 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-9
40.4%
Devin Leary sacked by Xavier Thomas for a loss of 9 yards to the Clem 42 Devin Leary fumbled, recovered by Clem Ruke Orhorhoro , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0266% → 64%
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
33.6%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the Clem 43Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+4
33.8%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Justyn Ross for 4 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
34.2%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q2 6:06
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
35.8%
Will Spiers punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:0839% → 38%
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
39.2%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 5 yds to the NCSt 17Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+3
39.8%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 3 yds to the NCSt 20Similar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 1
OWN 20
0
39.3%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Christopher ToudleSimilar
Q2 4:37
4TH & 1
OWN 20
+2
38.3%
Trenton Gill punt for 47 yds , Will Taylor returns for 2 yds to the Clem 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13INT
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:3564% → 66%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
36.3%
Uiagalelei, D.J. pass incomplete to Ngata, Joseph, PENALTY NCSTATE pass interference (Pitts Jr., Derrek) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
50
+8
34.3%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Justyn Ross for 8 yds to the NCSt 42Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 2
OPP 42
0
34.4%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass intercepted Drake Thomas return for no gain to the NCSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 14MISSED FG
17 plays · 32 yds · 3:3041% → 40%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
41.2%
Zonovan Knight run for 5 yds to the NCSt 37Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+5
42.8%
Zonovan Knight run for 5 yds to the NCSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
43.1%
Zonovan Knight run for 7 yds to the NCSt 49Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+2
44.3%
Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+3
43.2%
Zonovan Knight run for 3 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
44.1%
Zonovan Knight run for 4 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+4
44.1%
Devin Leary run for 4 yds to the Clem 38Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+8
43.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 8 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-15
45.0%
Leary, Devin pass incomplete to Emezie, Emeka, PENALTY NCSTATE personal foul 15 yards to the CLEMSON45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 25
OPP 45
+9
42.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 9 yds to the Clem 36Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 16
OPP 36
0
42.5%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 16
OPP 36
0
41.3%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 16
OPP 36
+53
39.6%
Christopher Dunn 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
37.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 16PUNT
12 plays · 22 yds · 3:4542% → 42%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
42.0%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 9 yds to the NCSt 34Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
44.0%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Christopher ToudleSimilar
Q3 14:14
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
42.7%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 3 yds to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
43.5%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 4 yds to the NCSt 41Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+5
45.4%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 5 yds to the NCSt 46Similar
Q3 12:36
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
44.9%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 2 yds to the NCSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
45.8%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Anthony SmithSimilar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
45.3%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 3 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q3 11:11
3RD & 7
OPP 49
-9
45.9%
Devin Leary sacked by Nolan Turner for a loss of 9 yards to the NCSt 42Similar
Q3 10:53
4TH & 16
OWN 42
+5
41.5%
CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the NCSt 47Similar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 11
OWN 47
0
42.3%
Trenton Gill punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2159% → 56%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
40.6%
Will Shipley run for no gain to the Clem 20Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
41.3%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Justyn Ross for 4 yds to the Clem 24Similar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
42.4%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Joseph NgataSimilar
Q3 9:19
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
43.9%
Will Spiers punt for 53 yds, downed at the NCSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 3:5945% → 71%
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
44.5%
Zonovan Knight run for 3 yds to the NCSt 26Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+14
45.0%
Zonovan Knight run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 25 for a 1ST down CLEMSON Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the NCSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
47.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
50
-1
49.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 49Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+17
47.7%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 17 yds to the Clem 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
51.1%
Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd to the Clem 33Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+10
51.6%
Leary, Devin pass incomplete, PENALTY CLEMSON holding 10 yards to the CLEMSON23, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NCSTATE.Similar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
51.9%
Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds to the Clem 21Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+9
52.1%
Zonovan Knight run for 9 yds to the Clem 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
71.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 12 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 2:2437% → 32%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
62.6%
Shipley, Will rush for 5 yards to the CLEMSON30, PENALTY CLEMSON holding (Bockhorst, Matt) 10 yards to the CLEMSON15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 20
OWN 15
-1
64.3%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Shipley for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 14Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 21
OWN 14
0
65.0%
Will Shipley run for no gain to the Clem 14Similar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+12
66.9%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 12 yds to the Clem 26Similar
Q3 2:42
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+60
67.9%
Will Spiers punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSTATE 24 NC STATE Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the NCSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 4:0171% → 78%
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
70.9%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 2 yds to the NCSt 16Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+5
71.3%
CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the NCSt 21Similar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+1
72.1%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 1 yd to the NCSt 22Similar
Q3 1:06
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+5
73.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Ricky Person Jr. for 5 yds to the NCSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
75.9%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 4 yds to the NCSt 31Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+4
77.9%
Devin Leary pass complete to Porter Rooks for 4 yds to the NCSt 35Similar
Q4 13:58
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+1
78.1%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 1 yd to the NCSt 36Similar
Q4 13:33
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
78.0%
Trenton Gill punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Will Taylor at the Clem 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 21TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:3626% → 60%
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
73.9%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Davis AllenSimilar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
74.7%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the Clem 22Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+11
76.4%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Justyn Ross for 11 yds to the Clem 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+16
74.4%
Will Shipley run for 16 yds to the Clem 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
72.0%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Justyn Ross for 9 yds to the NCSt 42Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+37
71.3%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 37 yds to the NCSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
39.8%
Will Shipley run for 5 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 22MISSED FG
10 plays · 41 yds · 4:3152% → 56%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
51.8%
Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd to the NCSt 26Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
52.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 3 yds to the NCSt 29Similar
Q4 9:27
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
51.4%
Devin Leary pass complete to Christopher Toudle for 11 yds to the NCSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+22
56.3%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 22 yds to the Clem 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-8
59.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 2 yds to the Clem 36 NC STATE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Clem 46Similar
Q4 7:54
1ST & 18
OPP 46
0
57.0%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Ricky Person Jr.Similar
Q4 7:42
2ND & 18
OPP 46
+1
56.7%
Devin Leary run for 1 yd to the Clem 45Similar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 17
OPP 45
+11
55.0%
Devin Leary pass complete to Ricky Person Jr. for 11 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q4 6:14
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+51
56.1%
Christopher Dunn 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1253% → 49%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
46.7%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Justyn Ross for no gain to the Clem 34Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
47.8%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the Clem 36Similar
Q4 4:59
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
48.8%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Braden GallowaySimilar
Q4 4:53
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
51.5%
Will Spiers punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 24DOWNS
19 plays · 55 yds · 4:3555% → 63%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
55.3%
Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds to the NCSt 25Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+8
55.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 8 yds to the NCSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
56.5%
Zonovan Knight run for 5 yds to the NCSt 38Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+7
60.3%
Zonovan Knight run for 7 yds to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
60.9%
Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd to the NCSt 46Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+6
61.0%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 6 yds to the Clem 48Similar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+11
61.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Trent Pennix for 11 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
64.8%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 3 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+4
68.0%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 4 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+5
65.5%
CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Clem 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
68.7%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 2 yds to the Clem 23Similar
Q4 0:19
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+3
68.8%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 3 yds to the Clem 20Similar
Q4 0:05
3RD & 5
OPP 20
-2
65.8%
Devin Leary run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 22Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+39
62.9%
Christopher Dunn 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 25TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0059% → 77%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
41.1%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 2 yds to the NCSt 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+11
41.1%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 11 yds to the NCSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
41.1%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the NCSt 10Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+1
41.1%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 1 yd to the NCSt 9Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+9
22.6%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Justyn Ross for 9 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 26TD
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:0028% → 63%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
28.0%
Zonovan Knight run for 6 yds to the Clem 19Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+4
28.0%
Zonovan Knight run for 4 yds to the Clem 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
28.0%
Zonovan Knight run for 5 yds to the Clem 10Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+3
28.0%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 3 yds to the Clem 7Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+4
25.7%
Leary, Devin pass incomplete to Emezie, Emeka, PENALTY CLEMSON holding 4 yards to the CLEMSON3, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NCSTATE.Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
28.7%
Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd to the Clem 2Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
28.0%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Zonovan KnightSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
63.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 2 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 27TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0066% → 86%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
65.6%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 3 yds to the Clem 22Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+22
86.1%
Devin Carter 22 Yd pass from Devin Leary (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 28Uncategorized
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0024% → 12%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
75.7%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
78.0%
Kobe Pace run for 5 yds to the NCSt 20Similar
OT2 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
82.3%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Joseph NgataSimilar
OT2 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 20
0
87.6%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 2 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)
+35.2
TD · Q4 10:52
Will Shipley run for 5 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)
-31.5
KEY PLAY · OT 0:00
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 2 yds to the NCSt 23
-21.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com