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FUR

Furman 7 at NC State 45

NCSU
2021 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2021 · Carter-Finley Stadium
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Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadFUR aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreFUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Delbert Mimms III run for 10 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingOne-score game
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:29: Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK) — FUR win probability +0.9 pts (now 6%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. FG · Q1 3:06: Christopher Dunn 32 yd FG GOOD — FUR win probability +1.3 pts (now 8%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q2 6:49: Devin Leary run for 7 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK) — FUR win probability +2.0 pts (now 13%) (top driver: One-score game).
  4. TD · Q3 10:53: Ricky Person Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK) — FUR win probability +3.1 pts (now 21%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q3 2:09: Hamp Sisson pass complete to Ryan Miller for 16 yds for a TD (Timmy Bleekrode KICK) — FUR win probability +3.7 pts (now 39%) (top driver: FUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5FUR made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 12:23FUR 4th & 7 at NCSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    5.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:27FUR 4th & 2 at FUR 33, up 3
    Close callPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:06NCSU 4th & 7 at FUR 14, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    91.4%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:27FUR 4th & 3 at FUR 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:55FUR 4th & 8 at FUR 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:44NCSU 4th & 10 at FUR 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.2%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    88.0%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:58FUR 4th & 8 at FUR 10, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:22FUR 4th & 5 at FUR 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:17FUR 4th & 4 at FUR 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:28FUR 4th & 4 at FUR 45, up 3
    Close callPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.5%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:37NCSU 4th & 10 at NCSU 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−1.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:12NCSU 4th & 11 at NCSU 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−3.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:20FUR 4th & 5 at NCSU 48, up 3
    Close callPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.9%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:45NCSU 4th & 8 at NCSU 45, down 3
    Close callPunted · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:05FUR 4th & 3 at FUR 40, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.2 ptsPunted · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%−4.2
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NCSUDrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:4795% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
95.2%
Thayer Thomas run for 7 yds to the NCSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
95.2%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
95.2%
PENALTY FUR Offside (Coleman,Cameron) 5 yards from NCS32 to NCS37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
95.0%
Zonovan Knight run for 12 yds to the NCSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 2FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:505% → 5%
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
95.0%
Devin Wynn run for no gain to the NCSt 49Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+15
95.0%
Hamp Sisson pass complete to Ryan Miller for 15 yds to the NCSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
95.0%
Hamp Sisson pass incomplete to Joshua HarrisSimilar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+3
95.0%
Luke Shiflett run for 3 yds to the NCSt 31Similar
Q1 14:13
3RD & 7
OPP 31
0
95.0%
Hamp Sisson pass incomplete to Ryan DeLucaSimilar
Q1 12:23
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+48
94.6%
Timmy Bleekrode 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 3:5495% → 94%
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
94.6%
Zonovan Knight run for 6 yds to the NCSt 37Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+1
94.6%
Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd to the NCSt 38Similar
Q1 12:23
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+6
94.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 6 yds to the NCSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
94.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 7 yds to the Furm 49Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 3
OPP 49
0
94.6%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to C.J. RileySimilar
Q1 12:23
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+42
94.6%
Zonovan Knight run for 42 yds to the Furm 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
94.6%
Zonovan Knight run for 6 yds to the Furm 1Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.8%
Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:027% → 7%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
93.5%
Devin Wynn run for 6 yds to the Furm 31Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
93.5%
Hamp Sisson pass complete to Devin Wynn for 1 yd to the Furm 32Similar
Q1 8:29
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
93.5%
Devin Abrams run for 1 yd to the Furm 33Similar
Q1 6:27
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
93.0%
Timmy Bleekrode punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 5FG
6 plays · 48 yds · 3:2193% → 92%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
93.0%
Devin Leary pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
50
+33
93.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 33 yds to the Furm 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
93.2%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 3 yds to the Furm 20Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 13
OPP 20
+2
93.2%
Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds to the Furm 18Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 11
OPP 18
+4
93.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Ricky Person Jr. for 4 yds to the Furm 14Similar
Q1 3:06
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+32
91.8%
Christopher Dunn 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:398% → 9%
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.7%
Hamp Sisson run for 4 yds to the Furm 29Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
91.7%
Devin Wynn run for 3 yds to the Furm 32Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
91.7%
Hamp Sisson pass incomplete to Dominic RobertoSimilar
Q1 1:27
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+22
91.2%
Timmy Bleekrode punt for 32 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for 22 yds to the Furm 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 42 yds · 2:3592% → 91%
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
91.5%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 4 yds to the Furm 38Similar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+2
91.5%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 2 yds to the Furm 36Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+7
90.9%
Devin Leary pass complete to C.J. Riley for 7 yds to the Furm 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+22
91.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 22 yds to the Furm 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
91.2%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 3 yds to the Furm 4Similar
Q2 13:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
90.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Dylan Parham for 4 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5710% → 10%
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.7%
Jr. Wayne Anderson run for 2 yds to the Furm 27Similar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
89.6%
Hamp Sisson pass incomplete to Joshua HarrisSimilar
Q2 13:52
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
89.9%
Hamp Sisson pass incomplete to Jr. Wayne AndersonSimilar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+2
89.7%
Timmy Bleekrode punt for 41 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for 2 yds to the NCSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:1190% → 88%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
89.5%
Leary,Devin pass incomplete to Gray,Julian PENALTY FUR Pass Interference (Yates,Ivan) 15 yards from NCS34 to NCS49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
90.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Anthony Smith for 6 yds to the Furm 45Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+5
90.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Anthony Smith for 5 yds to the Furm 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
90.2%
Zonovan Knight run for no gain to the Furm 40Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
90.2%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
90.0%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q2 10:44
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
88.2%
Trenton Gill punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Dejuan Bell at the Furm 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:4612% → 12%
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
88.3%
Devin Abrams run for no gain to the Furm 8Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+2
88.3%
Devin Wynn run for 2 yds to the Furm 10Similar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 8
OWN 10
0
88.5%
Hamp Sisson pass incomplete to Joshua HarrisSimilar
Q2 8:58
4TH & 8
OWN 10
+9
87.8%
Timmy Bleekrode punt for 50 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for 9 yds to the NCSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 51 yds · 2:0988% → 87%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+28
88.2%
Zonovan Knight run for 28 yds to the Furm 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
88.7%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 10 yds to the Furm 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
88.7%
Zonovan Knight run for 4 yds to the Furm 9Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+2
88.7%
Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds to the Furm 7Similar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+7
86.7%
Devin Leary run for 7 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2715% → 15%
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
85.2%
Devin Wynn run for 8 yds to the Furm 33Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
84.6%
Hamp Sisson run for 3 yds to the Furm 30Similar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
85.3%
Hamp Sisson pass incomplete to Devin WynnSimilar
Q2 5:22
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
85.0%
Timmy Bleekrode punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 13TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:5485% → 84%
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
84.5%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Porter RooksSimilar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+4
84.4%
Devin Leary pass complete to Porter Rooks for 4 yds to the NCSt 27Similar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+8
84.0%
Devin Leary pass complete to Christopher Toudle for 8 yds to the NCSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
84.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to C.J. Riley for 3 yds to the NCSt 38Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+1
85.5%
Devin Leary pass complete to Ricky Person Jr. for 1 yd to the NCSt 39Similar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+19
84.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Porter Rooks for 19 yds to the Furm 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
84.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Anthony Smith for 42 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:1118% → 19%
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
81.9%
Devin Wynn run for 4 yds to the Furm 29Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
81.5%
Devin Wynn run for 2 yds to the Furm 31Similar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
80.1%
Hamp Sisson pass incomplete to Devin AbramsSimilar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+15
80.6%
Timmy Bleekrode punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSt 25 , Thayer Thomas returns for 15 yds to the NCSt 46 NC STATE Penalty, Chop Block (15 Yards) to the NCSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 0:5381% → 83%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
80.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 6 yds to the NCSt 31Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
81.6%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
80.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 9 yds to the NCSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+29
82.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Porter Rooks for 29 yds to the Furm 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
83.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 6 yds to the Furm 25Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+13
83.1%
Leary,Devin pass incomplete to Thomas,Thayer broken up by Clay,Dimarcus PENALTY FUR Targeting (Clay,Dimarcus) 13 yards from FUR25 to FUR12, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
83.0%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 12 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
78.6%
Devin Wynn run for 1 yd to the Furm 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 17INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:4021% → 22%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
79.3%
Hamp Sisson pass complete to Joshua Harris for 13 yds to the Furm 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
78.2%
Devin Wynn run for 1 yd to the Furm 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+1
78.2%
Kendall Thomas run for 1 yd to the Furm 38Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
77.7%
Hamp Sisson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 39 yds · 2:2781% → 79%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
81.2%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 4 yds to the Furm 35Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+27
82.0%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 27 yds to the Furm 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
81.9%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 6 yds to the Furm 2Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
81.9%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 1 yd to the Furm 1Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.9%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:2524% → 29%
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.8%
Luke Shiflett run for no gain to the Furm 25Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
75.9%
Hamp Sisson sacked by Davin Vann for a loss of 2 yards to the Furm 23Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+16
76.9%
Hamp Sisson pass complete to Dominic Roberto for 16 yds to the Furm 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
74.2%
Hamp Sisson pass incomplete to Zach PetersonSimilar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
74.6%
Hamp Sisson run for 1 yd to the Furm 38Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+7
75.7%
Hamp Sisson pass complete to Dominic Roberto for 7 yds to the Furm 45Similar
Q3 7:28
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
70.9%
Timmy Bleekrode punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:5173% → 69%
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
72.7%
Jordan Houston run for no gain to the NCSt 19Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
72.6%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Christopher ToudleSimilar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+5
71.1%
Ben Finley pass complete to Julian Gray for 5 yds to the NCSt 24Similar
Q3 7:28
4TH & 5
OWN 24
-5
70.7%
PENALTY NCS False Start (Lesane,Keyon) 5 yards from NCS24 to NCS19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:37
4TH & 10
OWN 19
+3
68.5%
Trenton Gill punt for 40 yds , Dejuan Bell returns for 3 yds to the Furm 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 21TD
7 plays · 56 yds · 3:2834% → 39%
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
66.5%
Hamp Sisson pass incomplete to Ryan MillerSimilar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
67.0%
Dominic Roberto run for no gain to the Furm 44Similar
Q3 5:37
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+17
68.2%
Hamp Sisson pass complete to Ryan DeLuca for 17 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+22
65.8%
Dominic Roberto run for 22 yds to the NCSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
64.2%
Dominic Roberto run for no gain to the NCSt 17Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+1
64.3%
Hamp Sisson pass complete to Noah Henderson for 1 yd to the NCSt 16Similar
Q3 2:09
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+16
60.7%
Hamp Sisson pass complete to Ryan Miller for 16 yds for a TD (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:4966% → 60%
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
66.4%
Ben Finley pass complete to Christopher Toudle for 4 yds to the NCSt 24Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+18
66.8%
Jordan Houston run for 18 yds to the NCSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
69.5%
PENALTY NCS Offside (Eason,Derrick) 5 yards from NCS42 to NCS37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+1
64.0%
Jordan Houston run for 1 yd to the NCSt 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 38
+3
64.3%
Ben Finley pass complete to Julian Gray for 3 yds to the NCSt 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 41
0
63.2%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Anthony SmithSimilar
Q4 14:12
4TH & 11
OWN 41
0
60.4%
Trenton Gill punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dejuan Bell at the Furm 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:5240% → 52%
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
59.7%
Kendall Thomas run for 1 yd to the Furm 19Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+14
60.1%
Luke Shiflett pass complete to Dejuan Bell for 14 yds to the Furm 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
58.7%
Jeff McElveen run for 6 yds to the Furm 39Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+8
56.7%
Kendall Thomas run for 8 yds to the Furm 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
56.3%
Kendall Thomas run for 2 yds to the Furm 49Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+1
56.2%
Jeff McElveen run for 1 yd to the Furm 48Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+4
58.0%
Luke Shiflett pass complete to Chase Abshier for 4 yds to the NCSt 48Similar
Q4 10:20
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
47.8%
Timmy Bleekrode punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 4:3554% → 44%
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
53.5%
Delbert Mimms III run for 1 yd to the NCSt 21Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+12
53.3%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jalen Coit for 12 yds to the NCSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
54.4%
Delbert Mimms III run for 6 yds to the NCSt 39Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+4
57.7%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jakolbe Baldwin for 4 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
57.3%
Demarcus Jones II run for 1 yd to the NCSt 44Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+1
57.2%
Ben Finley run for 1 yd to the NCSt 45Similar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
54.1%
Ben Finley pass incomplete to Michael FoxSimilar
Q4 5:45
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
44.4%
Trenton Gill punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dejuan Bell at the Furm 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 3:4065% → 76%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
35.3%
Jeff McElveen run for 6 yds to the Furm 22Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+11
34.9%
Jeff McElveen run for 11 yds to the Furm 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
34.1%
Luke Shiflett run for 3 yds to the Furm 36Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+3
32.7%
Kendall Thomas run for 3 yds to the Furm 39Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+1
32.4%
Jeff McElveen run for 1 yd to the Furm 40Similar
Q4 2:05
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
23.6%
Timmy Bleekrode punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 26END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · 31 yds · 2:0534% → 25%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
34.0%
Delbert Mimms III run for 2 yds to the NCSt 10Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+19
34.1%
Delbert Mimms III run for 19 yds to the NCSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
25.4%
Delbert Mimms III run for 10 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+74.6
TD · Q3 2:09
Hamp Sisson pass complete to Ryan Miller for 16 yds for a TD (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)
-3.7
TD · Q3 10:53
Ricky Person Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)
-3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com