Try the model
FAU

Florida Atlantic 16 at Old Dominion 30

ODU
2021 · Week 11 · Nov 13, 2021 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGSAFETYSAFETYTDFGTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:15 · Ethan Duane punt for 53 yds , returns for no gain to the FlAtl 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 21Pregame prior−15.5Home team on offense−0.4Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Blowout margin−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:33: Blake Watson run for 12 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +10.6 pts (now 63%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:40: N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 59 yds for a TD (Aaron Shahriari KICK) — FAU win probability +17.8 pts (now 42%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 3:51: Nick Rice 28 yd FG GOOD — ODU win probability +9.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:58: Johnny Ford run for 2 yds for a TD — FAU win probability +18.0 pts (now 34%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:49: Hayden Wolff pass complete to Isiah Paige for 14 yds for a TD (Hayden Wolff pass to Ali Jennings III for Two-Point Conversion) — ODU win probability +9.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 12:54FAU 4th & 5 at FAU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:38ODU 4th & 4 at FAU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    36.7%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:34FAU 4th & 6 at ODU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    62.6%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:15ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 38, down 3
    Close callPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:22ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 44, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:59FAU 4th & 14 at ODU 25, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−0.5
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    59.1%−2.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:01ODU 4th & 16 at FAU 16, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    36.2%−3.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:40FAU 4th & 5 at ODU 45, up 1
    Close callPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    59.2%−1.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.0%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:00ODU 4th & 4 at FAU 39, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    41.4%−1.5
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%−1.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:00ODU 4th & 8 at ODU 26, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%−1.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:54FAU 4th & 13 at FAU 34, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−3.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:05ODU 4th & 3 at FAU 13, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.5%−0.7
    85% to make
    Punt
    58.7%−10.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:51ODU 4th & 8 at FAU 11, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    51.5%−11.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:50ODU 4th & 3 at FAU 3, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.9%−2.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    67.4%−13.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:54ODU 4th & 3 at ODU 34, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:37FAU 4th & 15 at FAU 18, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−2.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:24FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.3%−1.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2FAU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 0:33ODU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 6:40FAU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 4:49ODU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    94.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:0167% → 67%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
32.6%
Johnny Ford run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
32.6%
Johnny Ford run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
32.6%
Malcolm Davidson run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
32.6%
Malcolm Davidson run for no gain to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
32.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:54
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
33.5%
Matt Hayball punt for 37 yds, downed at the ODU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2DOWNS
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:1634% → 34%
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+40
33.5%
Blake Watson run for 40 yds to the FlAtl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
33.7%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+1
33.7%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+5
33.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Isiah Paige for 5 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q1 10:38
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+10
34.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Isiah Paige for 10 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
33.8%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, Offsides (Terry Jones) to the ODU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0466% → 66%
Q1 10:38
1ST & 5
OPP 19
0
33.8%
Johnny Ford run for no gain to the ODU 19Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 5
OPP 19
-1
33.8%
N'Kosi Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 20Similar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
33.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:34
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+38
34.4%
Aaron Shahriari 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:1435% → 35%
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
34.5%
Elijah Davis run for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 25Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+3
34.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 3 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 9:29
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+5
34.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Darius Savedge for 5 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 9:29
4TH & 7
OWN 33
+5
34.1%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the ODU 38Similar
Q1 7:15
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
34.9%
Ethan Duane punt for 53 yds , returns for no gain to the FlAtl 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5FUMBLE
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:1736% → 36%
Q1 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
36.2%
Isiah Paige run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 3Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
36.3%
run for no gain to the FlAtl 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6SF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:3665% → 64%
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
35.3%
Larry McCammon III run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 5Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 8
OWN 5
0
36.1%
N'Kosi Perry sacked by Marcus Haynes for 0 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5436% → 35%
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
36.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for no gain to the ODU 44Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
35.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
35.4%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:22
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
35.3%
Ethan Duane punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8MISSED FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 3:2364% → 63%
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
36.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Zaire Mitchell-Paden for 9 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 1
OWN 29
-5
35.7%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, False Start (Zaire Mitchell-Paden) to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
36.2%
Johnny Ford run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
36.1%
Johnny Ford run for 14 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+32
35.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 32 yds to the ODU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
34.9%
James Charles run for 2 yds to the ODU 19Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 8
OPP 19
-1
34.9%
N'Kosi Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 20Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 9
OPP 20
-5
35.4%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, False Start (Zaire Mitchell-Paden) to the ODU 25Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 14
OPP 25
0
35.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:59
4TH & 14
OPP 25
+42
37.2%
Aaron Shahriari 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9MISSED FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 3:5837% → 38%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
37.0%
Blake Watson run for no gain to the ODU 25Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+29
36.9%
Blake Watson run for 29 yds to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
38.6%
Blake Watson run for 14 yds to the FlAtl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
40.1%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+5
40.1%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offsides (Evan Anderson) to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
40.0%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Evan Anderson for 0 yards to the FlAtl 16Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
40.0%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
0
38.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+5
40.1%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Personal Foul (Jaden Wheeler) to the FlAtl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 16
+33
37.9%
Nick Rice 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:2162% → 62%
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
37.6%
Johnny Ford run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
37.3%
N'Kosi Perry run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+21
37.6%
Johnny Ford run for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
50
+5
36.2%
N'Kosi Perry run for 5 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
36.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
36.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:40
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
38.2%
Matt Hayball punt for 38 yds, downed at the ODU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 54 yds · 5:4039% → 42%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-1
39.0%
Elijah Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 6Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 11
OWN 6
+12
38.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 12 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
39.2%
Elijah Davis run for 5 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 5
OWN 23
0
39.4%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Chris Jones for 0 yards to the ODU 15Similar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 13
OWN 15
+15
38.2%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Armani-Eli Adams) to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
39.5%
Elijah Davis run for 2 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+21
39.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 21 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
41.6%
Elijah Davis run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+2
41.6%
Elijah Davis run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 4
OPP 39
0
41.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
41.6%
Ethan Duane punt for 37 yds, downed at the FlAtl 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12SF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:5161% → 53%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
39.1%
James Charles run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 1Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 11
OWN 1
0
46.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete for a SAFETY FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, SAFETY Intentional Grounding on PERRY, N'Kosi (N'Kosi Perry) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13TD
14 plays · 64 yds · 3:3148% → 63%
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
47.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Donta Anthony Jr. for 6 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+1
49.2%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the ODU 43Similar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+5
48.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 5 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
49.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+13
48.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Darius Savedge for 13 yds to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
49.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordan Bly for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 12
OPP 41
0
49.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 12
OPP 41
+5
47.7%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+8
49.3%
Blake Watson run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
50.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 11 yds to the FlAtl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
50.4%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+5
52.7%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offsides (Jaylen Joyner) to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+12
63.1%
Blake Watson run for 12 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:0041% → 44%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
59.1%
Larry McCammon III run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+14
57.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 14 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
56.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Larry McCammon III for 1 yd to the FlAtl 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:4963% → 62%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
62.8%
Blake Watson run for 9 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 1
OWN 33
-2
63.6%
Blake Watson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 31Similar
Q3 14:49
3RD & 3
OWN 31
-5
62.2%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, False Start (Khadere Kounta) to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 14:49
3RD & 8
OWN 26
0
61.4%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:00
4TH & 8
OWN 26
-2
62.0%
Ethan Duane punt for 48 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:0638% → 34%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
62.2%
Johnny Ford run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+10
61.9%
PERRY, N'Kosi sacked for a loss of 6 yards at the FAU21, fumble on the sack (forced by YOUNG, Jordan) (After review, play stands as called on the field). PENALTY ODU Illegal Bat on HAYNES, Marcus enforced 10 yards from the FAU27 to the FAU37 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
61.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
61.5%
Larry McCammon III run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-5
61.6%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, False Start (Zaire Mitchell-Paden) to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 13
OWN 34
0
63.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:54
4TH & 13
OWN 34
+5
66.2%
Matt Hayball punt for 56 yds , Isiah Paige returns for 5 yds to the ODU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17FG
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:4966% → 73%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
65.6%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, Offensive Holding (Leroy Thomas) to the ODU 4Similar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 17
OWN 8
+24
65.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 9 yds to the ODU 17 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Personal Foul (Akileis Leroy) to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+48
66.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 48 yds to the FlAtl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
68.9%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+3
68.9%
Elijah Davis run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+4
67.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Isiah Paige for 4 yds to the FlAtl 13Similar
Q3 8:05
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+30
73.3%
Nick Rice 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18TD
4 plays · 66 yds · 1:1729% → 42%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
71.1%
Johnny Ford run for no gain to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+7
75.3%
Johnny Ford run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+59
57.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 59 yds for a TD (Aaron Shahriari KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19FG
8 plays · 62 yds · 2:4961% → 73%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
60.9%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+46
60.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Donta Anthony Jr. for 46 yds to the FlAtl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
65.5%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
65.3%
QB Keeper MACK JR., D.J. rush up the middle for no gain to the FAU27 (ANDERSON, Evan;WHEELER, Jaden). PENALTY FAU Personal Foul on ANDERSON, Evan enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards from the FAU27 to the FAU13 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
65.5%
Blake Watson run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 7Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+1
65.5%
D.J. Mack Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 6Similar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 3
OPP 6
-5
63.8%
D.J. Mack Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlAtl 11Similar
Q3 3:51
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+28
73.0%
Nick Rice 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20FUMBLE
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:2232% → 31%
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
68.3%
Johnny Ford run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+2
66.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Johnny Ford for 2 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
67.0%
Malcolm Davidson run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+7
67.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Zaire Mitchell-Paden for 7 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q3 3:44
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+2
65.8%
Johnny Ford run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
68.8%
Larry McCammon III run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21FG
6 plays · 46 yds · 2:3280% → 83%
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
80.4%
Blake Watson run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+37
80.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 37 yds to the FlAtl 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
83.4%
D.J. Mack Jr. run for no gain to the FlAtl 5Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
83.4%
D.J. Mack Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 2Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
82.2%
Blake Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 3Similar
Q4 13:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
82.9%
Nick Rice 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:4518% → 34%
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
82.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 3 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+8
81.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 8 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
80.7%
Johnny Ford run for 4 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+2
84.0%
Johnny Ford run for 2 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+6
84.4%
Johnny Ford run for 6 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+39
84.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Johnny Ford for 39 yds to the ODU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
66.0%
Johnny Ford run for 2 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5783% → 84%
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
83.0%
Elijah Davis run for 2 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+2
82.9%
Elijah Davis run for 2 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+3
82.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Isiah Paige for 3 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q4 8:54
4TH & 3
OWN 34
0
83.9%
Ethan Duane punt for 43 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FlAtl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:1720% → 18%
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
79.7%
Johnny Ford run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q4 8:54
2ND & 4
OWN 29
-15
78.4%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Chop Block (LaJohntay Wester) to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 16
OWN 17
+1
81.0%
N'Kosi Perry run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 18Similar
Q4 7:37
4TH & 15
OWN 18
+43
82.5%
Matt Hayball punt for 43 yds OLDDOMINION Penalty, Running Into the kicker on MCDANIEL, Tyrik (Tyrik McDaniel) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 25TD
5 plays · 61 yds · 2:4888% → 97%
Q4 7:37
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+37
87.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordan Bly for 37 yds to the FlAtl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
88.7%
Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+3
88.7%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 9
OWN 39
+3
87.5%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q4 4:49
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+14
97.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Isiah Paige for 14 yds for a TD (Hayden Wolff pass to Ali Jennings III for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:184% → 3%
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
95.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 8 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 2
OWN 44
0
95.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:42
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+1
95.9%
Johnny Ford run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q4 3:24
4TH & 1
OWN 45
-1
97.0%
Johnny Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 27END OF 4TH QUARTER
5 plays · 19 yds · 3:2498% → 99%
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
98.1%
Blake Watson run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+4
98.1%
Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
98.1%
Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+7
98.1%
Blake Watson run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
98.8%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:58
Johnny Ford run for 2 yds for a TD
-18
TD · Q3 6:40
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 59 yds for a TD (Aaron Shahriari KICK)
-17.8
TD · Q2 0:33
Blake Watson run for 12 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)
+10.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com