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ODU

Old Dominion 47 at Florida International 24

FIU
2021 · Week 10 · Nov 6, 2021 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:51 · Tommy Heatherly punt for 49 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 51Home team on offense−7.7Score differential−3.7Garbage-time factor−2.1Pregame prior−4.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:27: Blake Watson 3 Yd Run (Nick Rice Kick) — ODU win probability +5.5 pts (now 66%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:37: Darius Savedge 63 Yd pass from Hayden Wolff (Nick Rice PAT failed) — ODU win probability +13.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:15: Bryce Singleton 65 Yd pass from Max Bortenschlager (Chase Gabriel Kick) — FIU win probability +11.6 pts (now 25%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:46: Deeve Harris 40 Yd Interception Return (Nick Rice Kick) — ODU win probability +14.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:59: Bryce Singleton 13 Yd pass from Grayson James (Chase Gabriel Kick) — FIU win probability +5.4 pts (now 7%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8ODU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 13:22FIU 4th & 17 at FIU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:19ODU 4th & 12 at FIU 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.8%
    49% to make
    Punt
    56.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:27FIU 4th & 4 at ODU 4, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.6%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    38.1%−2.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:51FIU 4th & 8 at ODU 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:48FIU 4th & 15 at ODU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    32.7%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:29FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 43, down 14
    Close callPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:34ODU 4th & 9 at ODU 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.6%−1.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:35FIU 4th & 4 at ODU 42, down 14
    Close callPunted · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    24.3%−1.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:17ODU 4th & 11 at ODU 24, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%−3.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:43FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 46, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:35ODU 4th & 6 at FIU 46, up 13
    Close callPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    84.8%−2.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.0%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:10FIU 4th & 1 at ODU 43, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−1.5
    28% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−1.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:12ODU 4th & 8 at FIU 14, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    95.3%−2.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ODU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:59ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:22FIU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:56ODU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:27ODU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:37ODU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:15FIU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:46ODU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:59FIU Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:01ODU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3843% → 43%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
43.1%
D'vonte Price run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
43.1%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
43.1%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 3 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
43.1%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Kris Caine for 0 yards to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q1 13:22
4TH & 17
OWN 28
0
43.4%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 34 yds, downed at the ODU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 1:2357% → 58%
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
43.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 11 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
43.4%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
43.4%
Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q1 13:22
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+27
43.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 27 yds to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
42.5%
Zack Kuntz 20 Yd pass from Hayden Wolff (Nick Rice Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3FUMBLE
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:4243% → 43%
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
42.8%
D'vonte Price run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+12
42.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 12 yds to the FlaIn 33 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Chop Block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4FG
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5258% → 58%
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
42.3%
Blake Watson run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 12
OPP 33
0
42.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:11
3RD & 12
OPP 33
0
42.4%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:19
4TH & 12
OPP 33
+50
42.4%
Nick Rice 50 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 1:4843% → 45%
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
42.5%
Lexington Joseph run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 7
OWN 31
0
42.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+18
42.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 18 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
42.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
42.7%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 5 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+46
44.9%
Tyrese Chambers 46 Yd pass from Max Bortenschlager (Chase Gabriel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6TD
3 plays · 69 yds · 1:1156% → 59%
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
44.2%
Elijah Davis run for no gain to the ODU 31Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+8
44.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 8 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+61
41.1%
Elijah Davis 61 Yd Run (Nick Rice Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7FG
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:2942% → 42%
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
41.7%
D'vonte Price run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
41.8%
D'vonte Price run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+14
41.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 14 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+55
42.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 55 yds to the ODU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
42.9%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 4Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
41.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
40.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
41.9%
Chase Gabriel 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:5360% → 66%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
40.0%
Isiah Paige run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
39.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Donta Anthony Jr. for 5 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+7
39.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Donta Anthony Jr. for 7 yds to the FlaIn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+14
39.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Javon Harvey for 14 yds to the FlaIn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
39.6%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, False Start (Javon Harvey) to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+11
39.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 11 yds to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+3
39.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 3 yds to the FlaIn 3Similar
Q1 0:27
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
34.1%
Blake Watson 3 Yd Run (Nick Rice Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:0935% → 33%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
34.9%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 12 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
35.4%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+4
34.9%
D'vonte Price run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+15
34.3%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, Targeting on HENDERSON, Jason enforced (Jason Henderson) to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
35.4%
D'vonte Price run for 3 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
35.4%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Deeve Harris for 0 yards to the ODU 49Similar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
35.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:51
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
33.0%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
31.8%
Hayden Wolff pass intercepted return for no gain to the ODU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:5734% → 32%
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
33.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-5
33.7%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 41Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 15
OPP 41
0
32.9%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:48
4TH & 15
OPP 41
0
32.2%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12FUMBLE
14 plays · 93 yds · 5:0769% → 74%
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+8
31.4%
Elijah Davis run for 8 yds to the ODU 13Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 2
OWN 13
+9
31.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 9 yds to the ODU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
31.2%
Elijah Davis run for 6 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+26
31.0%
Elijah Davis run for 26 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
30.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
30.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:48
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+11
30.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 11 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
30.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+9
30.2%
Blake Watson run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q2 10:48
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+13
30.3%
Blake Watson run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
30.0%
Blake Watson run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 4Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 1
OPP 4
0
30.0%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:48
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+3
30.3%
Elijah Davis run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
26.5%
Elijah Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 2 fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Jeramy PassmoreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13PUNT
12 plays · 41 yds · 4:1228% → 22%
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
28.0%
D'vonte Price run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 4Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+3
27.9%
D'vonte Price run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 7Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 5
OWN 7
+15
27.6%
BORTENSCHLAGER, Max pass to the right incomplete intended for CHAMBERS, Tyrese thrown to the FIU35. PENALTY ODU Pass Interference on HAWKINS, Tre enforced 15 yards to the FIU22 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
28.5%
D'vonte Price run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+11
28.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 11 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-15
29.3%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
28.7%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Caleb Lynum for 9 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 1
OWN 43
0
29.8%
Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 1
OWN 43
0
21.1%
Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+36
21.5%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 36 yds , Isiah Paige returns for 36 yds to the ODU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14MISSED FG
11 plays · 66 yds · 1:3177% → 83%
Q2 1:31
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
22.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 5 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+7
22.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 7 yds to the FlaIn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
24.1%
Blake Watson run for 5 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+18
24.1%
Blake Watson run for 18 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
20.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 3 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+9
20.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 9 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
19.9%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+19
17.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 19 yds to the FlaIn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
17.5%
Nick Rice 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2675% → 75%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
24.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
24.7%
Blake Watson run for 7 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
24.9%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Davon Strickland for 0 yards to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 13:34
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
24.7%
Ethan Duane punt for 22 yds, downed at the ODU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5927% → 25%
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
27.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Lexington Joseph for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 49Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+7
27.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 7 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
26.9%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:35
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
25.1%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 35 yds, downed at the ODU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 93 yds · 2:5877% → 91%
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
23.0%
Blake Watson run for 7 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 3
OWN 14
+4
22.8%
Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
22.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+8
22.9%
Blake Watson run for 8 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+7
23.1%
Blake Watson run for 7 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
22.5%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+4
22.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Darius Savedge for 4 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q3 9:37
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+63
9.0%
Darius Savedge 63 Yd pass from Hayden Wolff (Nick Rice PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:2213% → 25%
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
13.2%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q3 9:37
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
13.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to EJ Wilson Jr. for 4 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
25.1%
Bryce Singleton 65 Yd pass from Max Bortenschlager (Chase Gabriel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5879% → 79%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
21.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
21.5%
Elijah Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 24Similar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
22.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:17
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
21.3%
Ethan Duane punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:3425% → 22%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
24.5%
Lexington Joseph run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+9
24.8%
Lexington Joseph run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
25.3%
Lexington Joseph run for 9 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 1
OPP 49
-5
26.8%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
25.5%
Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
24.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:43
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
21.6%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21PUNT
12 plays · 49 yds · 4:0883% → 86%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
16.9%
Blake Watson run for 7 yds to the ODU 12Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+5
16.7%
Blake Watson run for 5 yds to the ODU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
16.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Isiah Paige for 8 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+3
16.3%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the ODU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
16.4%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+8
16.7%
Blake Watson run for 8 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q3 4:43
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+14
16.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
50
0
15.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 10
50
+4
13.2%
Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q3 0:51
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
13.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:35
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
14.2%
Ethan Duane punt for 38 yds, downed at the FlaIn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22INT TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:4918% → 5%
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+23
18.3%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 23 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
19.4%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 8
OWN 33
-40
4.7%
Deeve Harris 40 Yd Interception Return (Nick Rice Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:365% → 3%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
4.7%
Lexington Joseph run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
4.8%
Lexington Joseph run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
4.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+11
4.7%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 11 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
4.9%
Lexington Joseph run for 9 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 1
OPP 43
0
5.3%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Sokoya McDuffie for 0 yards to the ODU 49Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+6
3.3%
Lexington Joseph run for 6 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q4 11:10
4TH & 1
OPP 43
0
3.3%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Chazz Wallace for 0 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24FG
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:5898% → 99%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
50
+8
1.6%
Elijah Davis run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+4
1.5%
Elijah Davis run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
1.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
1.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+11
1.6%
Blake Watson run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
1.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 11 yds to the FlaIn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
1.4%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
1.4%
Blake Watson run for no gain to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 8
OPP 14
0
1.5%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:12
4TH & 8
OPP 14
+31
1.0%
Nick Rice 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 25TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:131% → 7%
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
1.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 6 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+43
1.3%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, Roughing the Passer on BIBBY, Tyre enforced half the distance from the goal (Tyre Bibby) to the ODU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
1.7%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
1.7%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+13
7.1%
Bryce Singleton 13 Yd pass from Grayson James (Chase Gabriel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 26TD
11 plays · 48 yds · 4:5798% → 100%
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
2.3%
Blake Watson run for no gain to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+6
2.4%
Blake Watson run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q4 5:58
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+14
2.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 14 yds to the FlaIn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
2.3%
Blake Watson run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 12
OPP 30
+5
1.3%
Blake Watson run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+3
1.2%
Isiah Paige run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+5
1.4%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the FlaIn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
1.1%
Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+6
1.1%
Blake Watson run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
0.3%
Blake Watson 7 Yd Run (Nick Rice Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · 4 yds · 1:011% → 1%
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.7%
Maleek Williams run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
0.6%
Maleek Williams run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:46
Deeve Harris 40 Yd Interception Return (Nick Rice Kick)
-14.6
TD · Q3 9:37
Darius Savedge 63 Yd pass from Hayden Wolff (Nick Rice PAT failed)
-13.6
TD · Q3 8:15
Bryce Singleton 65 Yd pass from Max Bortenschlager (Chase Gabriel Kick)
+11.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com