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2021 · Week 9 · Oct 30, 2021 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:13 · Austin Kendall pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 105Pregame prior−2.8Home team on offense+2.2Score differential+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1Garbage-time factor+0.5Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:13: Austin Kendall pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 32 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +11.0 pts (now 61%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:03: Jacob Barnes 30 yd FG GOOD — LT win probability +9.7 pts (now 56%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:19: Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 5 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +12.0 pts (now 67%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:01: Marcus Williams Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +22.9 pts (now 66%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Nick Rice 46 yd FG GOOD — ODU win probability +31.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9LT made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00ODU 4th & 2 at LT 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    40.9%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    40.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:27ODU 4th & 15 at LT 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    42.3%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:53ODU 4th & 3 at ODU 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00LT 4th & 5 at LT 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:25ODU 4th & 27 at ODU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−1.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:07LT 4th & 10 at LT 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:11LT 4th & 10 at ODU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    53.3%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:56ODU 4th & 1 at LT 19, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.9%−1.8
    77% to make
    Punt
    43.9%−6.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:22LT 4th & 1 at LT 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    46.6%−2.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:03LT 4th & 4 at ODU 12, down 2
    Close callKicked a field goal · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.5%−0.4
    86% to make
    Punt
    41.5%−8.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:21LT 4th & 3 at LT 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:51LT 4th & 18 at ODU 26, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−4.2
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.6%
    64% to make
    Punt
    25.9%−9.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:13LT 4th & 6 at ODU 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    40.3%−0.7
    45% to make
    Punt
    39.3%−1.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:42ODU 4th & 1 at LT 39, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    60.9%−5.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    61.0%−4.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:48LT 4th & 13 at LT 48, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−2.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:40ODU 4th & 3 at ODU 8, up 4
    Close callPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.3%−0.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:54ODU 4th & 1 at midfield, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    42.1%−6.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:52ODU 4th & 13 at LT 13, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−25.7
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    17.6%−39.0
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:28LT 4th & 3 at ODU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    49.4%−2.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    47.9%−3.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1LT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 1:13LT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    58.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:19ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    63.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:01LT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    57.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 4:3342% → 43%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
41.7%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+19
41.7%
Blake Watson run for 19 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
41.7%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
41.7%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+5
41.7%
Blake Watson run for 5 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+4
41.7%
Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
41.7%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the LaTch 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
41.7%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Tristan Allen for 0 yards to the LaTch 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 37
0
41.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Isiah Paige for no gain to the LaTch 37Similar
Q1 10:27
4TH & 15
OPP 37
0
43.0%
Ethan Duane punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:5857% → 57%
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
43.1%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 9 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+6
42.8%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
43.0%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Tre Harris for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
50
+3
42.6%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+5
42.6%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Smoke Harris for 5 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 2
OPP 42
-5
42.6%
KENDALL, Austin pass up the middle complete for 24 yards to HEBERT, Griffin caught at the ODU20 and advanced to the ODU18 (HEADEN, Joe Joe;YOUNG, Jordan). PENALTY LAT Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on HOLLINS, Kellton enforced 5 yards from the ODU42 to the ODU47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:29
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
43.1%
Cesar Barajas punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 36 yds · 3:3644% → 45%
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+11
43.8%
Elijah Davis run for 11 yds to the ODU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
43.9%
Elijah Davis run for 3 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+15
43.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Elijah Davis for 15 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
44.0%
Elijah Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 34Similar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+2
43.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 2 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q1 7:29
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+6
43.7%
Blake Watson run for 6 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q1 3:53
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
44.7%
Ethan Duane punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Smoke Harris at the LaTch 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:5355% → 55%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
44.7%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Smoke Harris for 5 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+8
44.6%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Smoke Harris for 8 yds to the LaTch 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
44.6%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
44.7%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q1 3:53
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+5
44.4%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 5 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-8
43.9%
Bub Means run for a loss of 8 yards to the LaTch 33Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 18
OWN 33
+3
44.8%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Smoke Harris for 3 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q1 3:53
3RD & 15
OWN 36
+10
45.1%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Keyon Henry-Brooks for 10 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 5
OWN 46
+4
45.4%
Cesar Barajas punt for 37 yds , Isiah Paige returns for 4 yds to the ODU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 2:3546% → 46%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
46.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+11
46.2%
Elijah Davis run for 11 yds to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
46.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordan Bly for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 29
-15
46.2%
WOLFF, Hayden pass to the left complete for 15 yards to KUNTZ, Zack caught at the ODU44 and advanced to the ODU44 (LADLER, Khalil). PENALTY ODU Pass Interference on JENNINGS, Ali enforced 15 yards to the ODU14 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 27
OWN 15
0
46.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 27
OWN 15
0
45.4%
Blake Watson run for no gain to the ODU 15Similar
Q2 12:25
4TH & 27
OWN 15
0
45.6%
Ethan Duane punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Smoke Harris at the LaTch 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:1855% → 53%
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
45.5%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 1 yd to the LaTch 35Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 9
OWN 35
0
45.5%
Austin Kendall run for no gain to the LaTch 35Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+11
46.4%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 11 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
44.3%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Keyon Henry-Brooks for no gain to the LaTch 46Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
44.7%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
45.3%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:07
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
47.3%
Cesar Barajas punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7Uncategorized
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
47.6%
Isiah Paige run for 8 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+9
47.9%
Blake Watson run for 9 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
48.0%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8MISSED FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4756% → 54%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
43.7%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for no gain to the ODU 32Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
43.7%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
44.6%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:11
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+50
45.9%
Cesar Barajas 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9FG
8 plays · 49 yds · 4:1549% → 54%
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-6
48.8%
Elijah Davis run for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 26Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 16
OWN 26
+5
48.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Isiah Paige for 5 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 11
OWN 31
+20
47.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 20 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+21
50.8%
Blake Watson run for 21 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
51.4%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the LaTch 26Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+1
51.4%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the LaTch 25Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+6
50.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 6 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
Q2 3:56
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+36
53.7%
Nick Rice 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:3948% → 61%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
52.4%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Marcus Williams Jr. for 12 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
51.8%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Smoke Harris for 3 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-7
51.5%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for a loss of 7 yards to the LaTch 28Similar
Q2 2:22
3RD & 14
OWN 28
+13
54.9%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Marcus Williams Jr. for 13 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q2 2:22
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+27
53.2%
Joseph Mason run for 27 yds to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
49.7%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for no gain to the ODU 32Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+32
38.7%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 32 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11FG
8 plays · 66 yds · 0:4947% → 56%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
52.9%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Tre Harris for 13 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+47
52.3%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Bub Means for 47 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
47.7%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+6
48.8%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Marcus Williams Jr. for 6 yds to the ODU 12Similar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 4
OPP 12
0
53.9%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+30
44.2%
Jacob Barnes 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3354% → 52%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
46.2%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+5
46.2%
Austin Kendall run for 5 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 3
OWN 39
0
44.9%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:21
4TH & 3
OWN 39
+37
47.7%
Cesar Barajas punt for 53 yds , Isiah Paige returns for 37 yds to the ODU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:0254% → 67%
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
53.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
52.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Isiah Paige for 2 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+11
51.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 11 yds to the LaTch 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
54.7%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the LaTch 41Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
54.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+15
53.4%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Targeting on ALLEN, Tristan enforced (Tristan Allen) to the LaTch 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
55.4%
Blake Watson run for 10 yds to the LaTch 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
55.4%
Blake Watson run for no gain to the LaTch 5Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
67.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 5 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14FG
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:1842% → 38%
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
57.7%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Smoke Harris for 6 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+2
55.6%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q3 10:09
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+13
57.4%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Bub Means for 13 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
55.6%
Austin Kendall run for 2 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 8
OPP 16
-1
55.6%
Austin Kendall run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 17Similar
Q3 10:09
3RD & 9
OPP 17
0
58.0%
Austin Kendall sacked by Amorie Morrison for 0 yards to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 6:51
4TH & 18
OPP 26
+44
62.2%
Jacob Barnes 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15INT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:5363% → 64%
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
63.1%
Elijah Davis run for 7 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 3
OWN 39
0
65.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 3
OWN 39
0
64.3%
Hayden Wolff pass intercepted return for no gain to the ODU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16DOWNS
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4043% → 40%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
56.7%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 4 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
54.9%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
57.1%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:13
4TH & 6
OPP 35
0
59.8%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17DOWNS
5 plays · 25 yds · 2:3164% → 66%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
63.9%
Elijah Davis run for 17 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-4
66.9%
Elijah Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 48Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 14
OWN 48
+3
64.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Elijah Davis for 3 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 11
OPP 49
+10
64.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 10 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q3 2:42
4TH & 1
OPP 39
-1
66.2%
Blake Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:5440% → 35%
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
60.1%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+2
58.0%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
58.2%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Jacob Adams for 2 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
57.6%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-10
58.7%
GARNER, Greg rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the ODU43 (HAYNES, Marcus). PENALTY LAT Holding on ADAMS, Jacob enforced 10 yards from the ODU49 to the LAT41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 20
OWN 41
+7
61.9%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Tre Harris for 7 yds to the LaTch 48Similar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 13
OWN 48
0
65.5%
Cesar Barajas punt for 51 yds, downed at the ODU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0866% → 64%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
65.9%
Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the ODU 5Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+1
65.7%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the ODU 6Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+2
64.1%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the ODU 8Similar
Q4 12:40
4TH & 3
OWN 8
+17
64.0%
Ethan Duane punt for 52 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 17 yds to the ODU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20TD
5 plays · 43 yds · 0:3940% → 66%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
59.6%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
59.9%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+33
62.0%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Smoke Harris for 33 yds to the ODU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
57.2%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the ODU 7Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
34.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21FG
21 plays · 58 yds · 10:0247% → 56%
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
46.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 2 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+5
46.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 5 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+5
48.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 5 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
50.6%
Blake Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 40Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+6
47.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Isiah Paige for 6 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+4
49.4%
Elijah Davis run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:54
4TH & 1
50
+3
48.5%
Elijah Davis run for 3 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
52.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Donta Anthony Jr. for 8 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+1
52.4%
Elijah Davis run for 1 yd to the LaTch 38Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+3
51.5%
Elijah Davis run for 3 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
54.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
54.0%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+15
50.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 15 yds to the LaTch 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
54.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+4
54.1%
Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the LaTch 16Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+7
51.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 7 yds to the LaTch 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
54.1%
Blake Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 10Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
54.1%
Hayden Wolff run for 3 yds to the LaTch 7Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
51.7%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 12Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
-1
51.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 13Similar
Q4 1:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+29
56.0%
Nick Rice 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22DOWNS
11 plays · 30 yds · 1:2450% → 51%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.2%
JD Head pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
50.6%
JD Head pass complete to Tre Harris for 6 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
50.3%
JD Head pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 4 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
49.0%
JD Head pass complete to Tre Harris for 13 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
44.5%
JD Head pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
45.6%
HEAD, JD pass to the left incomplete intended for EMILUS, Samuel broken up by JOHNSON, R'Tarriun at the ODU30. PENALTY ODU Offsides on HAYNES, Marcus enforced 5 yards from the LAT48 to the ODU47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:39
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+2
44.0%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q4 0:34
3RD & 3
OPP 45
0
45.4%
JD Head pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:28
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
48.9%
JD Head pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23FG
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:2864% → 97%
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
63.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 10 yds to the LaTch 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
65.7%
Blake Watson run for 5 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q4 0:13
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+3
64.0%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q4 0:02
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+8
65.3%
Blake Watson run for 8 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+46
96.9%
Nick Rice 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Nick Rice 46 yd FG GOOD
+31.6
TD · Q4 12:01
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)
-22.9
TD · Q3 10:19
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 5 yds for a TD (Nick Rice KICK)
+12
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com