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WKU

Western Kentucky 43 at Old Dominion 20

ODU
2021 · Week 7 · Oct 16, 2021 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:12 · Bailey Zappe pass complete to Josh Sterns for 10 yds to the ODU 26 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.0+27.50−27.5−55.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 169Home team on offense−33.0Pregame prior−5.3Score differential−16.3Garbage-time factor−9.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:23: Bailey Zappe pass complete to Daewood Davis for 15 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK) — WKU win probability +7.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:48: Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 74 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson PAT MISSED) — WKU win probability +4.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Brayden Narveson 20 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +3.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 10:37: Nick Rice 38 yd FG GOOD — ODU win probability +3.1 pts (now 7%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:17: Blake Watson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +10.8 pts (now 15%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9WKU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 14:04WKU 4th & 5 at ODU 25, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.5%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    79.1%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:58ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:54ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:54WKU 4th & 5 at ODU 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    78.5%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    78.4%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:27ODU 4th & 23 at WKU 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:02WKU 4th & 7 at WKU 18, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−0.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:34ODU 4th & 8 at WKU 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    19.0%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    18.7%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:57WKU 4th & 3 at ODU 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    81.8%−0.7
    58% to make
    Punt
    78.7%−3.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:23ODU 4th & 19 at WKU 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−0.6
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    10.0%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:16WKU 4th & 3 at ODU 40, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    91.9%−0.4
    34% to make
    Punt
    91.8%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:37ODU 4th & 14 at WKU 21, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−2.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:13ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 24, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:43WKU 4th & 13 at ODU 13, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    95.7%−1.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:55ODU 4th & 7 at WKU 24, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−1.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:19WKU 4th & 3 at WKU 28, up 20
    Close callPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:12WKU 4th & 5 at ODU 36, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    92.3%−0.8
    42% to make
    Punt
    92.1%−1.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:41WKU 4th & 7 at ODU 23, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    90.3%−3.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:29ODU 4th & 12 at ODU 23, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2WKU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:16WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:24WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:23WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:48WKU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:55ODU Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:17ODU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.3%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.5%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:51WKU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1MISSED FG
5 plays · 50 yds · 0:5678% → 78%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+45
21.7%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 45 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
21.7%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 5 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
21.7%
Bailey Zappe pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
21.7%
Bailey Zappe pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:04
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+43
22.1%
Brayden Narveson 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:0622% → 23%
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
22.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 9 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
22.2%
Elijah Davis run for 2 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
22.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Javon Harvey for 5 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
22.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:04
3RD & 5
OWN 41
-5
22.1%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ODU 36Similar
Q1 14:04
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
22.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:58
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
22.6%
Ethan Duane punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jerreth Sterns at the WKent 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 3:4277% → 78%
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
22.6%
Noah Whittington run for 8 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+10
22.5%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Daewood Davis for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
50
+4
22.5%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Aaron Key for 4 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+10
22.5%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 10 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
22.5%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 4 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+3
22.5%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Ben Ratzlaff for 3 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q1 12:58
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+5
22.5%
ZAPPE, Bailey pass up the middle incomplete intended for RATZLAFF, Ben thrown to the ODU22. PENALTY ODU Offsides on WILLIAMS JR., Steven enforced 5 yards from the ODU29 to the ODU24 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
22.5%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ODU 29Similar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+3
22.5%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 3 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+26
22.5%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Malachi Corley for 26 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2223% → 23%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
23.0%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
23.0%
Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
22.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 4 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 7:54
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+3
23.1%
Ethan Duane punt for 51 yds , Jerreth Sterns returns for 3 yds to the WKent 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5TD
13 plays · 81 yds · 3:3077% → 80%
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
23.1%
Bailey Zappe pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+14
23.1%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 14 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
22.9%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Daewood Davis for 12 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
22.6%
Noah Whittington run for 7 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+7
22.5%
Jerreth Sterns run for 7 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
22.6%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Josh Sterns for 5 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 5
OPP 36
0
22.5%
Bailey Zappe pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:54
3RD & 5
OPP 36
0
22.6%
Bailey Zappe pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:54
4TH & 5
OPP 36
+6
22.9%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Malachi Corley for 6 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
22.5%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 6 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+4
22.5%
ZAPPE, Bailey scrambles up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the ODU20 (HENRY, Ryan). PENALTY ODU Personal Foul on HENRY, Ryan enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the ODU10 to the ODU9 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
22.5%
Bailey Zappe pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
20.2%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Dakota Thomas for 9 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 3:5721% → 20%
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
21.4%
Blake Watson run for 8 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
21.7%
Blake Watson run for 8 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
22.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 12 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
22.1%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+10
22.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Javon Harvey for 10 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
22.3%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the WKent 34Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
22.3%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Will Ignont for 0 yards to the WKent 42Similar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 17
OPP 42
0
21.7%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Michael Pitts for 0 yards to the WKent 48Similar
Q1 0:27
4TH & 23
OPP 48
0
20.8%
Ethan Duane punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jerreth Sterns at the WKent 15Similar
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
20.2%
WHITTINGTON, Noah rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the WKU17 (HAWKINS, Tre;JOHNSON, R'Tarriun). PENALTY WKU Holding on BROOKS, Mason enforced half the distance from the goal, 7 yards from the WKU15 to the WKU8 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2580% → 80%
Q1 0:27
1ST & 16
OWN 9
0
20.3%
Bailey Zappe pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 16
OWN 9
0
20.2%
Bailey Zappe pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 9
+9
20.4%
Adam Cofield run for 9 yds to the WKent 18Similar
Q2 14:02
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
20.2%
John Haggerty III punt for 67 yds, downed at the ODU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8DOWNS
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:2821% → 20%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
20.6%
Elijah Davis run for 4 yds to the ODU 19Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+10
20.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Donta Anthony Jr. for 10 yds to the ODU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
20.8%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the ODU 30Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+3
20.8%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+30
20.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 30 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
21.7%
Blake Watson run for no gain to the WKent 37Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
21.7%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+2
21.6%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q2 10:34
4TH & 8
OPP 35
0
20.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9DOWNS
6 plays · 35 yds · 2:3781% → 81%
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
18.8%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Kye Robichaux for 17 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
18.3%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Malachi Corley for 12 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
18.3%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Malachi Corley for 4 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+3
18.2%
Noah Whittington run for 3 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q2 10:34
3RD & 3
OPP 29
0
18.5%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Malachi Corley for no gain to the ODU 29Similar
Q2 7:57
4TH & 3
OPP 29
-1
18.6%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Ben Ratzlaff for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10INT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:3219% → 19%
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
18.7%
Blake Watson run for 6 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+16
19.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 16 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
19.9%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
19.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:25
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
19.0%
Hayden Wolff pass intercepted return for no gain to the ODU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11TD
3 plays · 41 yds · 1:0283% → 91%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
17.1%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Daewood Davis for 4 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+15
17.0%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle on RICHARDSON, Justinn enforced (Justinn Richardson) to the ODU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
9.4%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Daewood Davis for 15 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 3:0013% → 16%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
12.8%
Elijah Davis run for 16 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
13.6%
Elijah Davis run for 4 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 6
OWN 45
-1
13.6%
Elijah Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 44Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+23
13.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 23 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
14.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+15
13.5%
Blake Watson run for 15 yds to the WKent 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
13.7%
Elijah Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 20Similar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 12
OPP 20
0
13.4%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 12
OPP 20
0
14.4%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Juwuan Jones for 0 yards to the WKent 27Similar
Q2 2:23
4TH & 19
OPP 27
+44
15.9%
Nick Rice 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:3587% → 91%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
13.3%
Noah Whittington run for 6 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
13.2%
Bailey Zappe pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
13.4%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Malachi Corley) to the WKent 26Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+74
8.8%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 74 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14FUMBLE
5 plays · 34 yds · 0:3212% → 14%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
12.0%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
12.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 9 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+34
12.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 34 yds to the WKent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
13.8%
Hayden Wolff sacked for 0 yards to the ODU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 1:1693% → 97%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
7.0%
Adam Cofield run for 3 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+4
7.0%
Bailey Zappe run for 4 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 3
OPP 40
0
6.7%
Bailey Zappe pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+9
7.5%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 9 yds to the ODU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
6.7%
Bailey Zappe pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
6.8%
Bailey Zappe pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+26
7.0%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 26 yds to the ODU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
6.4%
ZAPPE, Bailey pass up the middle incomplete intended for STERNS, Jerreth broken up by YOUNG, Jordan at the ODU5. PENALTY ODU Offsides enforced half the distance from the goal, 3 yards from the ODU5 to the ODU2 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
3.2%
Brayden Narveson 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 4:233% → 7%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
3.4%
Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
3.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 13 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
3.5%
Blake Watson run for 11 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
3.7%
WATSON, Blake rush up the middle for a gain of 6 yards to the WKU41 (HUNTER, Jaden;BRATHWAITE, JR., A.J.). PENALTY Before the snap, ODU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the WKU47 to the ODU48. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+6
3.5%
Blake Watson run for 6 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+7
3.6%
Blake Watson run for 7 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+3
3.6%
Elijah Davis run for 3 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+19
3.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 19 yds to the WKent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
3.9%
Elijah Davis run for no gain to the WKent 17Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
3.8%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Will Ignont for 0 yards to the WKent 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 18
OPP 25
+4
3.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 4 yds to the WKent 21Similar
Q3 10:37
4TH & 14
OPP 21
+38
6.7%
Nick Rice 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17INT
9 plays · 74 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
5.2%
Kye Robichaux run for 5 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+15
5.3%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Harrell Blackmon) to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
5.0%
Adam Cofield run for 11 yds to the ODU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+20
4.9%
Adam Cofield run for 20 yds to the ODU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
4.8%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 8 yds to the ODU 3Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+2
4.8%
Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the ODU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
4.8%
Bailey Zappe run for no gain to the ODU 1Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
4.8%
Adam Cofield run for no gain to the ODU 1Similar
Q3 10:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
4.9%
Bailey Zappe pass intercepted, touchback. return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:284% → 4%
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
4.4%
Blake Watson run for 5 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-1
4.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 24Similar
Q3 6:41
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
4.4%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:13
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+64
4.1%
Ethan Duane punt for 44 yds , DeAngelo Wilson returns for 64 yds to the ODU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19FG
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:3097% → 98%
Q3 5:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-14
3.0%
run for a loss of 14 yards to the ODU 18 fumbled, recovered by WKent Kye RobichauxSimilar
Q3 5:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
0
3.1%
Bailey Zappe pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+5
3.1%
Adam Cofield run for 5 yds to the ODU 13Similar
Q3 3:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
1.7%
Brayden Narveson 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 3:452% → 4%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+39
1.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 39 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
1.7%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+6
1.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 6 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+4
1.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 4 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-10
1.8%
WOLFF, Hayden pass to the right incomplete intended for JENNINGS, Ali thrown to the WKU3. PENALTY ODU Holding on THOMAS, Leroy enforced 10 yards from the WKU27 to the WKU37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 20
OPP 37
+10
1.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 10 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-10
1.7%
WOLFF, Hayden scrambles up the middle for no gain to the WKU27 (MALONE, DeAngelo). PENALTY ODU Holding on WEAVER, Isaac enforced 10 yards from the WKU27 to the WKU37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 20
OPP 37
+10
1.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 10 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+3
2.4%
Elijah Davis run for 3 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+24
4.1%
Elijah Davis run for 24 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3197% → 97%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
3.2%
Adam Cofield run for 3 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+4
3.3%
Adam Cofield run for 4 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 3
OWN 28
0
3.3%
Bailey Zappe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:19
4TH & 3
OWN 28
+1
3.2%
John Haggerty III punt for 51 yds , Isiah Paige returns for 1 yd to the ODU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 3:023% → 15%
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
3.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Isiah Paige for 7 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+5
3.1%
Blake Watson run for 5 yds to the ODU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
3.0%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+11
3.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 11 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+24
3.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 24 yds to the WKent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
3.6%
WOLFF, Hayden pass up the middle incomplete intended for MOORE, Aaron thrown to the WKU14. PENALTY WKU Pass Interference on WILLIAMS, Davion enforced 15 yards to the WKU16 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
3.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 8 yds to the WKent 8Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+1
4.0%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the WKent 7Similar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+7
14.8%
Blake Watson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23FG
14 plays · 42 yds · 4:3193% → 96%
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
6.8%
Bailey Zappe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
6.8%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 5 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+5
6.6%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, Defensive Holding (Tahj Ra-El) to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
6.3%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 3 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+6
6.3%
Adam Cofield run for 6 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+5
6.3%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Malachi Corley for 5 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
6.2%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 4 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+1
6.1%
Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the ODU 36Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 5
OPP 36
0
6.4%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Josh Sterns for no gain to the ODU 36Similar
Q4 10:12
4TH & 5
OPP 36
+10
6.9%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Josh Sterns for 10 yds to the ODU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
6.2%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Daewood Davis for 3 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 7
OPP 23
0
6.2%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Adam Cofield for no gain to the ODU 23Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 7
OPP 23
0
6.5%
Bailey Zappe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:41
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+41
4.4%
Brayden Narveson 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:125% → 4%
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
5.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 2 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
5.4%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:41
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
5.1%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, Personal Foul ( Yards) to the ODU 13Similar
Q4 5:41
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+9
5.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Aaron Moore for 9 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q4 4:29
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
3.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 25TD
2 plays · 23 yds · 0:3897% → 99%
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
3.1%
Adam Cofield run for 6 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+17
0.8%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Dakota Thomas for 17 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 26INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:311% → 1%
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
1.0%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
0.9%
Hayden Wolff pass intercepted return for no gain to the ODU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 27END OF GAME
6 plays · 21 yds · 3:2099% → 100%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
0.7%
Jakairi Moses run for 7 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+5
0.7%
Jakairi Moses run for 5 yds to the ODU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
0.7%
Jakairi Moses run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 20Similar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+4
0.3%
Jakairi Moses run for 4 yds to the ODU 16Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+6
0.3%
Jakairi Moses run for 6 yds to the ODU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:17
Blake Watson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)
+10.8
TD · Q2 5:23
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Daewood Davis for 15 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)
-7.6
TD · Q2 1:48
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 74 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson PAT MISSED)
-4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com