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Louisiana Tech 27 at NC State 34

NCSU
2021 · Week 5 · Oct 2, 2021 · Carter-Finley Stadium
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Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:27 · Cesar Barajas punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 40 , Thayer Thomas returns for 25 yds to the LaTch 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 111Pregame prior+21.0Home team on offense+2.0Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1Time remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:44: Ricky Person Jr. run for 24 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +7.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:02: Devin Leary pass complete to C.J. Riley for 5 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +5.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:10: Austin Kendall pass complete to Bub Means for 23 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +10.9 pts (now 17%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:45: Zonovan Knight run for 4 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +6.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:43: Austin Kendall pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 14 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +10.7 pts (now 16%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8LT made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 11:23LT 4th & 9 at NCSU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    13.6%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:55NCSU 4th & 9 at NCSU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:48LT 4th & 4 at LT 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:29NCSU 4th & 16 at NCSU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%−0.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:43NCSU 4th & 12 at NCSU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:32LT 4th & 1 at LT 11, tied
    Close callPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:37NCSU 4th & 6 at LT 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    75.8%−3.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:12LT 4th & 3 at NCSU 3, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.7%−0.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    16.0%−5.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:20NCSU 4th & 5 at NCSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:38LT 4th & 2 at LT 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−0.4
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:39NCSU 4th & 7 at LT 39, up 3
    Close callPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    78.3%−0.7
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.4%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:27LT 4th & 1 at LT 29, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%−2.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:17LT 4th & 5 at NCSU 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    7.7%−5.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:05LT 4th & 15 at LT 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−1.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:01NCSU 4th & 2 at LT 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    93.9%−1.0
    49% to make
    Punt
    93.3%−1.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:56NCSU 4th & 6 at NCSU 39, up 7
    Close callPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:48LT 4th & 10 at NCSU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.4%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    5.5%−2.9
    30% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−3.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4LT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 2:18NCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:19LT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:44NCSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:02NCSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:10LT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:45NCSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:43LT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 3:3710% → 11%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
90.1%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
90.1%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
90.1%
Kendall,Austin pass incomplete to Harris,Smoke broken up by Jackson,Savion PENALTY NCS Offside (Joseph,Daniel) 5 yards from LAT33 to LAT38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
90.1%
Austin Kendall sacked by Isaiah Moore for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 33
0
90.1%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Samuel EmilusSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 33
+24
90.1%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 24 yds to the NCSTATE 43 for a 1ST down NC STATE Penalty, Defensive Holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
90.1%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the NCSt 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 42
0
90.1%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for no gain to the NCSt 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 42
0
90.1%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Tre HarrisSimilar
Q1 11:23
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
89.1%
Cesar Barajas punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2889% → 89%
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
89.1%
Zonovan Knight run for no gain to the NCSt 5Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+1
89.1%
Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd to the NCSt 6Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 9
OWN 6
0
89.0%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Porter RooksSimilar
Q1 9:55
4TH & 9
OWN 6
+8
88.5%
Trenton Gill punt for 59 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 8 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:0712% → 12%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-4
88.5%
Austin Kendall sacked by Jaylon Scott for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 39Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 14
OWN 39
+11
88.6%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 11 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 3
50
+1
88.5%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Marcus Williams Jr. for 1 yd to the LaTch 49Similar
Q1 7:48
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
87.9%
Cesar Barajas punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 4TD
12 plays · 91 yds · 5:3088% → 89%
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
87.9%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 2 yds to the NCSt 11Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+12
88.0%
Devin Leary pass complete to Christopher Toudle for 12 yds to the NCSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
88.0%
Leary,Devin pass incomplete to Emezie,Emeka PENALTY LAT Holding (Buchanan,Baylen) 11 yard from NCS23 to NCS34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
88.0%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 6 yds to the NCSt 40Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+4
88.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 4 yds to the NCSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
88.3%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 4
50
+9
88.3%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 9 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
88.4%
Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd to the LaTch 40Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+34
88.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 34 yds to the LaTch 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
88.4%
Leary,Devin pass incomplete to Carter,Devin PENALTY NCS Illegal Formation offsetting LAT Pass Interference offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
88.4%
Ricky Person Jr. run for no gain to the LaTch 6Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
88.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Christopher Toudle for 6 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:5912% → 17%
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
88.1%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Bub Means for 21 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
87.6%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 15 yds to the NCSTATE 39 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Kellton Hollins) to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
87.6%
Kendall,Austin pass incomplete to Means,Bub broken up by White,Aydan PENALTY NCS Pass Interference (White,Aydan) 15 yards from LAT46 to NCS39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+18
87.5%
Austin Kendall run for 18 yds to the NCSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
87.2%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Smoke Harris for 5 yds to the NCSt 16Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 16
0
86.5%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Smoke Harris for no gain to the NCSt 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+9
86.7%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Bub Means for 9 yds to the NCSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
86.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for no gain to the NCSt 7Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
86.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the NCSt 2Similar
Q2 13:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
82.8%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Jacob Adams for 2 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:5085% → 83%
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
84.6%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 3 yds to the NCSt 29Similar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 7
OWN 29
-14
84.6%
Person,Ricky rush for 3 yards gain to the NCS32 (Baker,Willie) PENALTY NCS Face Mask (Parham,Dylan) 14 yards from NCS29 to NCS15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 21
OWN 15
0
84.4%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Porter RooksSimilar
Q2 13:19
3RD & 21
OWN 15
+5
84.0%
Devin Leary pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 5 yds to the NCSt 20Similar
Q2 11:29
4TH & 16
OWN 20
0
82.9%
Trenton Gill punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7INT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:1517% → 18%
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
83.1%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Samuel EmilusSimilar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
83.2%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Isaiah GrahamSimilar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+15
83.5%
NC STATE Penalty, Illegal Use Of Hands (Tanner Ingle) to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
82.2%
Harlan Dixon run for no gain to the LaTch 41Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
82.5%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Samuel EmilusSimilar
Q2 10:14
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
82.2%
Austin Kendall pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:3184% → 82%
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
84.3%
Zonovan Knight run for 5 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 5
OPP 47
0
84.6%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q2 10:14
3RD & 5
OPP 47
-7
84.2%
Devin Leary sacked by Tristan Allen for a loss of 7 yards to the NCSt 46Similar
Q2 8:43
4TH & 12
OWN 46
0
82.0%
Trenton Gill punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1118% → 19%
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
81.8%
PENALTY LAT Illegal Snap (Delfin,Abraham) 1 yard from LAT02 to LAT01. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 11
OWN 1
+10
81.8%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Bub Means for 10 yds to the LaTch 11Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 1
OWN 11
0
81.7%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 1
OWN 11
0
82.2%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for no gain to the LaTch 11Similar
Q2 7:32
4TH & 1
OWN 11
0
81.4%
Cesar Barajas punt for 45 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for no gain to the NCSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 10FG
7 plays · 37 yds · 1:5583% → 83%
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
83.3%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 2 yds to the NCSt 46Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+5
83.3%
PENALTY LAT Offside (Jackson,DJ) 5 yards from NCS46 to LAT49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+26
83.5%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 26 yds to the LaTch 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
83.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 7 yds to the LaTch 16Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 3
OPP 16
0
83.8%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Thayer ThomasSimilar
Q2 7:32
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+3
83.3%
Devin Leary run for 3 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
Q2 5:37
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+36
83.3%
Christopher Dunn 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11FG
8 plays · 72 yds · 3:2517% → 25%
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
82.6%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 14 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+20
81.6%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 20 yds to the NCSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+34
80.9%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Jacob Adams for 34 yds to the NCSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
80.1%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for no gain to the NCSt 7Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
80.1%
Kevin Dominique run for 1 yd to the NCSt 6Similar
Q2 5:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
80.8%
Austin Kendall run for 3 yds to the NCSt 3Similar
Q2 2:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
75.5%
Jacob Barnes 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:5279% → 77%
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
79.3%
Devin Leary run for 2 yds to the NCSt 27Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
79.3%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q2 2:12
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+3
78.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 3 yds to the NCSt 30Similar
Q2 1:20
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
77.3%
Trenton Gill punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Smoke Harris at the LaTch 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:4224% → 23%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
76.5%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Smoke Harris for 8 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 2
OWN 30
0
75.3%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Isaiah GrahamSimilar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 2
OWN 30
0
76.5%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Bub MeansSimilar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 2
OWN 30
+8
77.3%
Cesar Barajas punt for 47 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for 8 yds to the NCSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 14FG
9 plays · 57 yds · 0:3679% → 83%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
78.9%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 6 yds to the NCSt 37Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 4
OWN 37
0
80.1%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+10
79.0%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 10 yds to the NCSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+24
80.4%
Devin Leary pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 24 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
81.2%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Ricky Person Jr.Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+17
81.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 17 yds to the LaTch 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+29
83.4%
Christopher Dunn 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 2:1781% → 81%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+17
80.9%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 17 yds to the NCSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
82.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Zonovan Knight for 9 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+5
82.7%
Devin Leary pass complete to C.J. Riley for 5 yds to the LaTch 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
82.7%
Zonovan Knight run for 3 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
82.7%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Christopher ToudleSimilar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
82.3%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Zonovan KnightSimilar
Q3 12:39
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
80.6%
Trenton Gill punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1220% → 20%
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
79.8%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the LaTch 24Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+5
79.6%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
79.7%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q3 11:27
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+25
80.3%
Cesar Barajas punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 40 , Thayer Thomas returns for 25 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 17TD
2 plays · 40 yds · 0:4382% → 89%
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
82.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 16 yds to the LaTch 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
89.3%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 24 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 4:2712% → 16%
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
87.7%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Jacob Adams for 12 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
87.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+9
87.8%
Austin Kendall run for 9 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+31
86.9%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 31 yds to the NCSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
87.0%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for no gain to the NCSt 25Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
87.2%
Austin Kendall run for no gain to the NCSt 25Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+5
87.9%
Austin Kendall run for 5 yds to the NCSt 20Similar
Q3 6:17
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+38
83.7%
Jacob Barnes 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 19TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 3:1587% → 95%
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
87.4%
Devin Leary pass complete to Porter Rooks for 5 yds to the NCSt 34Similar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+13
87.7%
Zonovan Knight run for 13 yds to the NCSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
88.5%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to C.J. RileySimilar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+15
88.3%
Zonovan Knight run for 15 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
88.7%
Zonovan Knight run for 10 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+23
89.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 23 yds to the LaTch 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
94.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to C.J. Riley for 5 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:577% → 6%
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for no gain to the LaTch 25Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
93.4%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Samuel EmilusSimilar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
93.5%
PENALTY LAT Delay Of Game 5 yards from LAT25 to LAT20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
93.6%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Samuel EmilusSimilar
Q3 2:05
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+9
93.9%
Cesar Barajas punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSt 32 , Thayer Thomas returns for 9 yds to the NCSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:0495% → 96%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
95.3%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 4 yds to the NCSt 36Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+4
95.4%
Devin Leary pass complete to Dylan Parham for 4 yds to the NCSt 40Similar
Q3 2:05
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+2
95.3%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 2 yds to the NCSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+17
96.0%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 17 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
96.1%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
96.0%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 3 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 38
0
95.9%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Ricky Person Jr.Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 38
+5
95.5%
PENALTY LAT Offside (Bell,Ben) 5 yards from LAT38 to LAT33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:01
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+1
95.8%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 1 yd to the LaTch 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 1:516% → 17%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
94.4%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Keyon Henry-BrooksSimilar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+10
94.6%
Austin Kendall run for 10 yds to the LaTch 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+31
94.4%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Tre Harris for 31 yds to the NCSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
93.5%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 4 yds to the NCSt 23Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+23
82.6%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Bub Means for 23 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 23TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 4:2090% → 97%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
90.0%
Zonovan Knight run for 4 yds to the NCSt 32Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+3
90.1%
Zonovan Knight run for 3 yds to the NCSt 35Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+10
89.7%
Devin Leary pass complete to Jakeen Harris for 10 yds to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
90.9%
Leary,Devin pass incomplete to Thomas,Thayer PENALTY LAT Pass Interference (Williamson,BeeJay) 15 yards from NCS45 to LAT40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+25
91.2%
Zonovan Knight run for 25 yds to the LaTch 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
91.7%
Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd to the LaTch 14Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 9
OPP 14
0
91.7%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+10
90.9%
Devin Leary pass complete to Porter Rooks for 10 yds to the LaTch 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.2%
Zonovan Knight run for 4 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 24TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:024% → 16%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.0%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Bub Means for 4 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
95.8%
Austin Kendall run for 9 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+28
95.8%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Bub Means for 28 yds to the NCSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
95.3%
Austin Kendall run for 10 yds to the NCSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
95.1%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 4 yds to the NCSt 20Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+5
95.1%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Smoke Harris for 5 yds to the NCSt 15Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+1
95.5%
Austin Kendall run for 1 yd to the NCSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
95.1%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Bub MeansSimilar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
84.4%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 14 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:4093% → 94%
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
92.7%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 5 yds to the NCSt 40Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+1
93.5%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 1 yd to the NCSt 39Similar
Q4 4:36
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
92.8%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Christopher ToudleSimilar
Q4 2:56
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+3
94.2%
Trenton Gill punt for 53 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 3 yds to the LaTch 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 26INT
19 plays · 67 yds · 2:5610% → 11%
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
90.5%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Bub MeansSimilar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+9
90.6%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Tre Harris for 9 yds to the LaTch 20Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+3
90.6%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaTch 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
90.4%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Tre Harris for 12 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
89.2%
Austin Kendall run for 3 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+8
88.4%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Smoke Harris for 8 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
87.9%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Tahj Magee for 12 yds to the NCSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-8
87.0%
Austin Kendall sacked by Daniel Joseph for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard line Austin Kendall fumbled, recovered by LaTch Abraham Delfin , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 18
50
+13
91.5%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Smoke Harris for 13 yds to the NCSt 37Similar
Q4 1:18
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
89.3%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Tahj MageeSimilar
Q4 0:48
4TH & 5
OPP 37
-5
89.7%
PENALTY LAT False Start (Rossell,Biron) 5 yards from NCS37 to NCS42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:48
4TH & 10
OPP 42
+12
91.1%
Austin Kendall run for 12 yds to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
85.0%
Aaron Allen pass incomplete to Tre HarrisSimilar
Q4 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+8
85.6%
Austin Kendall run for 8 yds to the NCSt 22Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 22
0
88.6%
Austin Kendall pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+11.4
TD · Q4 12:10
Austin Kendall pass complete to Bub Means for 23 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)
-10.9
TD · Q4 4:43
Austin Kendall pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 14 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)
-10.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com