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ODU

Old Dominion 21 at UTEP 28

UTEP
2021 · Week 5 · Oct 2, 2021 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:40 · Joshua Sloan punt for 44 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 106Home team on offense−1.2Pregame prior+3.4Garbage-time factor−1.7Score differential−1.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Time remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:51: G. Hardison pass,to T. Smith for 7 yds for a TD, (G. Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +15.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:10: D. Mack Jr. pass,to A. Jennings III for 20 yds for a TD, (N. Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +9.4 pts (now 29%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:27: D. Mack Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD, (N. Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +28.0 pts (now 36%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:27: J. Sloan punt for 0 yds,A. White returns for 11 yds for a TD, (N. Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +12.9 pts (now 49%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:59: Deion Hankins run for 3 yds for a TD — UTEP win probability +27.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 8 of 9ODU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 9:55UTEP 4th & 11 at ODU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    64.7%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:18ODU 4th & 3 at UTEP 44, down 3
    Close callPunted · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    33.9%−0.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.2%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 0:00UTEP 4th & 4 at ODU 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    76.1%−1.0
    51% to make
    Punt
    75.5%−1.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:57ODU 4th & 13 at ODU 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−1.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:00UTEP 4th & 1 at ODU 35, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    84.5%−3.0
    45% to make
    Punt
    84.1%−3.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:37UTEP 4th & 6 at ODU 23, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    72.0%−6.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:00ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 33, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    28.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:27UTEP 4th & 20 at UTEP 18, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−5.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:40UTEP 4th & 10 at ODU 48, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−1.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:00ODU 4th & 18 at ODU 14, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%−8.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:00UTEP 4th & 13 at UTEP 46, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−4.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:46ODU 4th & 13 at ODU 30, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−5.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:00ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 42, down 5
    Close callWent for it · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.8%−1.0
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:53UTEP 4th & 3 at UTEP 33, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:15ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 35, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.8%−3.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:23UTEP 4th & 10 at ODU 36, up 5
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    91.4%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%−1.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:26ODU 4th & 17 at UTEP 38, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.8%
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    9.6%−3.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    10.5%−2.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ODU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 11:08UTEP Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:51UTEP Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:10ODU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:27ODU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:27ODU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1FUMBLE
16 plays · 5 yds · 13:1939% → 41%
Q1 13:19
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+17
61.2%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 17 yds D.J. Mack Jr. fumbled, recovered by UTEP Dy'vonne Inyang Dy'vonne Inyang fumbled, recovered by UTEP Walter NeilSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
60.0%
Blake Watson run for 6 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-5
59.4%
Stone Smartt pass complete to OLDDOMINION Penalty, illegal formation (Kris Trinidad) to the ODU 26Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
60.0%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Javon Harvey for 8 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
59.5%
Blake Watson run for 6 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
59.0%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, Offensive holding (Isaac Weaver) to the ODU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2FG
7 plays · 33 yds · 9:5562% → 63%
Q1 9:55
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+29
61.8%
Gavin Baechle 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
63.5%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the ODU 44Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 44
-3
63.4%
Deion Hankins run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 47Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+36
62.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 36 yds to the ODU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
63.8%
Deion Hankins run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 13Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 13
+1
63.7%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the ODU 12Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 12
0
63.2%
pass incomplete to Justin GarrettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 4:1838% → 39%
Q1 4:18
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
61.9%
Ethan Duane punt for 44 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
62.3%
Elijah Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 24Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+8
62.4%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 8 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
62.3%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Isiah Paige for 5 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
61.8%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 9 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 46
-3
60.8%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Zack Kuntz for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 43Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+6
61.2%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 6 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
60.9%
Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
61.1%
Blake Watson run for 5 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+2
61.0%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 15:0062% → 77%
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+18
62.1%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 18 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
63.0%
Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the UTEP 44Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+5
62.9%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Trent Thompson for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, Defensive pass interference (5 Yards) to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
63.2%
Deion Hankins run for 13 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+5
63.5%
Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
63.5%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the ODU 37Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+4
63.4%
Gavin Hardison run for 4 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+13
64.1%
Reynaldo Flores run for 13 yds to the ODU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
69.5%
Justin Garrett 7 Yd pass from Gavin Hardison (Gavin Baechle Kick)Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+1
76.1%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the ODU 32Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+6
75.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 6 yds to the ODU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
77.2%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
77.1%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the ODU 8Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
77.1%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the ODU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 8:5729% → 25%
Q2 8:57
4TH & 13
OWN 33
+54
71.0%
Ethan Duane punt for 40 yds UTEP Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Dy'vonne Inyang) to the UTEP 13Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
74.0%
Blake Watson run for 8 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
72.7%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
73.2%
Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-3
73.6%
D.J. Mack Jr. sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 13
OWN 33
0
74.9%
pass incomplete to Javon HarveySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6TD
14 plays · 87 yds · 6:5271% → 86%
Q2 6:52
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+14
70.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 14 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
86.2%
G. Hardison pass,to T. Smith for 7 yds for a TD, (G. Baechle KICK)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
84.9%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 17
0
85.0%
pass incomplete to Reynaldo FloresSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+7
84.4%
Gavin Hardison run for 7 yds to the UTEP 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
85.0%
Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
85.4%
Reynaldo Flores run for 5 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+13
85.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 13 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
85.7%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+7
85.6%
Deion Hankins run for 7 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
85.2%
Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+25
84.5%
Deion Hankins run for 25 yds to the ODU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
85.8%
Reynaldo Flores run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 12Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+5
85.8%
Reynaldo Flores run for 5 yds to the ODU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 0:4017% → 30%
Q2 0:40
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-5
83.0%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, personal foul (Isaac Weaver) to the ODU 26Similar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
80.1%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Isiah Paige, broken up by Justin PrinceSimilar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+20
70.7%
D. Mack Jr. pass,to A. Jennings III for 20 yds for a TD, (N. Rice KICK)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
74.0%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 6 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+22
74.0%
D.J. Mack Jr. run for 7 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Praise Amaewhule) to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+28
72.1%
D.J. Mack Jr. run for 28 yds to the UTEP 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
70.1%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 4 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
75.3%
Gavin Hardison run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9FG
8 plays · 64 yds · 11:3783% → 92%
Q3 11:37
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+40
83.1%
Gavin Baechle 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
91.5%
UTEP Penalty, delay of game (Gerard Joseph) to the UTEP 8Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 8
-1
91.4%
Deion Hankins run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 7Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 16
OWN 7
+15
91.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 15 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+51
91.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 51 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
92.3%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
92.3%
pass incomplete to Reynaldo FloresSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+2
92.1%
Gavin Hardison run for 2 yds to the ODU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 5:2736% → 36%
Q3 5:27
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+5
64.0%
D. Mack Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD, (N. Rice KICK)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
70.8%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
70.8%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 7 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
70.0%
Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+2
71.5%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
69.8%
Jon-Luke Peaker run for 4 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
67.5%
pass incomplete to Javon HarveySimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+10
69.8%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Javon Harvey for 10 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
66.9%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 4 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+3
66.4%
D.J. Mack Jr. run for 3 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+3
66.9%
Jon-Luke Peaker run for 3 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
66.4%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Isiah Paige for 9 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+1
64.0%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+21
64.6%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 21 yds to the UTEP 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-15
63.9%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Javon Harvey OLDDOMINION Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Isaiah Spencer) to the UTEP 25Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 25
0
65.7%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Isiah Paige, broken up by Justin PrinceSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 25
+13
67.0%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Marqeese Dietz for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Dy'vonne Inyang) to the UTEP 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
63.9%
Elijah Davis run for 7 yds to the UTEP 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 4:2751% → 50%
Q3 4:27
4TH & 20
OWN 18
+11
51.1%
J. Sloan punt for 0 yds,A. White returns for 11 yds for a TD, (N. Rice KICK)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
52.3%
pass incomplete to Reynaldo FloresSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
51.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Justin Garrett, broken up by Marcus HaynesSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 28
-10
49.6%
Gavin Hardison sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the UTEP 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 26 yds · 3:4053% → 54%
Q3 3:40
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
53.1%
Joshua Sloan punt for 44 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+26
52.2%
Gavin Hardison run for 11 yds to the ODU 37 OLDDOMINION Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Tyre Bibby) to the ODU 48Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
57.3%
pass incomplete to Jacob CowingSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
56.9%
pass incomplete to Justin GarrettSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
53.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jacob Cowing, broken up by Joe Joe HeadenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0049% → 46%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+6
50.6%
Elijah Davis run for 6 yds to the ODU 10Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 10
+1
50.6%
Elijah Davis run for 1 yd to the ODU 11Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+11
52.1%
Elijah Davis run for 11 yds to the ODU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
49.8%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Stone Smartt for 1 yd to the ODU 23Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+4
50.1%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 4 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 27
-13
50.7%
D.J. Mack Jr. sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the ODU 14Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 18
OWN 14
0
53.6%
Ethan Duane punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 13:0048% → 26%
Q4 13:00
4TH & 13
OWN 46
0
48.3%
Joshua Sloan punt for 36 yds , Isiah Paige returns for no gain to the ODU 46 UTEP Penalty, kick catching interference (Justin Garrett) to the ODU 33Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
32.5%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 49
-5
33.5%
UTEP Penalty, false start (Elijah Klein) to the UTEP 46Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 46
0
28.5%
pass incomplete to Jacob CowingSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 13
OWN 46
0
26.2%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 11:4647% → 89%
Q4 11:46
4TH & 13
OWN 30
0
52.8%
Ethan Duane punt for 33 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
10.1%
Blake Watson run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 30Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 30
0
10.2%
pass incomplete to Ali Jennings IIISimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 13
OWN 30
0
11.0%
pass incomplete to Ali Jennings IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 8:0058% → 86%
Q4 8:00
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+1
58.3%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 1 yd to the ODU 3Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
85.5%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds for a TDSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
76.8%
Deion Hankins run for 14 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
78.8%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 2 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
82.6%
Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+24
78.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 24 yds to the ODU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
86.4%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 11 yds to the ODU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
86.3%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 8 yds to the ODU 4Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
86.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin GarrettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17INT
7 plays · 10 yds · 4:1627% → 24%
Q4 4:16
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
73.5%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
75.0%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 9 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 42
-1
73.0%
Jon-Luke Peaker run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 41Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+1
74.8%
Jon-Luke Peaker run for 1 yd to the ODU 42Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+1
76.3%
Jon-Luke Peaker run for 1 yd to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
73.4%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Zack Kuntz, broken up by Breon HaywardSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
76.0%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 4:0586% → 76%
Q4 4:05
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+2
86.3%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q4 4:04
3RD & 3
OWN 33
0
85.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Justin Garrett, broken up by Damion CharitySimilar
Q4 3:53
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
84.6%
Joshua Sloan punt for 36 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
75.9%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 5 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 3:1521% → 22%
Q4 3:15
4TH & 6
OWN 35
+1
78.7%
D.J. Mack Jr. run for 1 yd to the ODU 36Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
75.0%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Zack Kuntz, broken up by Jadrian TaylorSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
77.7%
Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
78.5%
pass incomplete to Stone SmarttSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:2190% → 82%
Q4 2:21
3RD & 9
OPP 35
-1
89.8%
Calvin Brownholtz run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 36Similar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 10
OPP 36
0
91.6%
Joshua Sloan punt for 31 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
85.8%
Deion Hankins run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 37Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+2
82.3%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 2 yds to the ODU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 57 yds · 0:2621% → 23%
Q4 0:26
4TH & 17
OPP 38
0
79.4%
pass incomplete to Zack KuntzSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
77.9%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Blake Watson, broken up by Breon HaywardSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+54
79.2%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Stone Smartt for 39 yds to the UTEP 44 UTEP Penalty, personal foul (Gerard Joseph) to the UTEP 41Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
70.3%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Javon Harvey for 10 yds to the UTEP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-7
65.6%
D.J. Mack Jr. sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the UTEP 38Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 17
OPP 38
0
74.2%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Zack Kuntz, broken up by Tyson WilsonSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 17
OPP 38
0
76.8%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Javon HarveySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:27
D. Mack Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD, (N. Rice KICK)
-28
TD · Q4 6:59
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds for a TD
+27.2
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+23.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com