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ODU

Old Dominion 17 at Liberty 45

LIB
2021 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2021 · Williams Stadium (VA)
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Win probability · LIB
modelLIB aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playLIB scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:57 · Ethan Duane punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 152Pregame prior+13.1Home team on offense+30.4Score differential+4.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.1Garbage-time factor+9.2Blowout margin+12.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:23: Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 33 yds for a TD, (Alex Barbir KICK) — LIB win probability +2.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:29: Elijah Davis 1 Yd Run (Nick Rice Kick) — ODU win probability +3.7 pts (now 9%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:42: D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 30 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK) — ODU win probability +2.9 pts (now 9%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:10: Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 8 yds for a TD OLDDOMINION Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jordan Young) declined, (Alex Barbir KICK) — LIB win probability +4.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:18: Malik Willis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Barbir KICK) — LIB win probability +2.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LIB made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ODU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 8:43ODU 4th & 4 at ODU 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:56LIB 4th & 7 at LIB 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:02ODU 4th & 4 at ODU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:26ODU 4th & 21 at ODU 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:46ODU 4th & 6 at LIB 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    4.9%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:22ODU 4th & 9 at ODU 26, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:12LIB 4th & 22 at LIB 15, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:06ODU 4th & 2 at LIB 34, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    5.0%−0.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:10ODU 4th & 14 at ODU 21, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:35ODU 4th & 18 at ODU 16, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−1.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:54ODU 4th & 8 at ODU 27, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:41LIB 4th & 21 at LIB 30, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:57ODU 4th & 17 at LIB 46, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:29LIB 4th & 8 at ODU 13, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:36LIB 4th & 4 at ODU 38, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LIB made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ODU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:25LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:17LIB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:23LIB Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:29ODU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:48LIB Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:42ODU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:10LIB Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:18LIB Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LIBDrive 1TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 3:2895% → 95%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
95.1%
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 8 yds to the Liber 40Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+7
95.1%
Malik Willis pass complete to Noah Frith for 7 yds to the Liber 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
95.1%
Shedro Louis run for 4 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+2
95.1%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 2 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+4
95.1%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 4 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
95.1%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Demario DouglasSimilar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+26
95.1%
Malik Willis run for 26 yds to the ODU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
95.1%
Michael Bollinger run for 2 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+1
95.1%
Malik Willis run for 1 yd to the ODU 14Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+14
94.7%
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 14 yds for a TD, (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:425% → 6%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
94.6%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 9 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
94.6%
Elijah Davis run for 7 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
94.6%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Elijah Davis for 5 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+2
94.6%
Elijah Davis run for 2 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+1
94.6%
D.J. Mack Jr. run for 1 yd to the ODU 47Similar
Q1 8:43
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
94.2%
Ethan Duane punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4794% → 94%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
94.2%
Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the Liber 16Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 7
OWN 16
0
94.2%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ DanielsSimilar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 7
OWN 16
0
94.1%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Kevin ShaaSimilar
Q1 7:56
4TH & 7
OWN 16
+4
94.0%
Aidan Alves punt for 52 yds , Roger Cray returns for 4 yds to the ODU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:546% → 6%
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
94.0%
Jon-Luke Peaker run for 1 yd to the ODU 37Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+5
94.0%
Jon-Luke Peaker run for 5 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
94.0%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Jon-Luke Peaker for no gain to the ODU 42Similar
Q1 6:02
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
93.8%
Ethan Duane punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 5TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 2:4594% → 95%
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
93.8%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 1 yd to the Liber 22Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+4
93.8%
Malik Willis pass complete to Noah Frith for 4 yds to the Liber 26Similar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+56
93.7%
Malik Willis run for 56 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
94.0%
Shedro Louis run for no gain to the ODU 18Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+1
94.0%
Shedro Louis run for 1 yd to the ODU 17Similar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+17
94.6%
Malik Willis run for 17 yds for a TD, (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:516% → 6%
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
94.3%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 14 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
94.2%
D.J. Mack Jr. run for 1 yd to the ODU 40Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
94.2%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Javon HarveySimilar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 9
OWN 40
-4
94.3%
PENALTY ODU False Start (Bly,Jordan) 4 yards from ODU40 to ODU36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 13
OWN 36
-8
94.4%
D.J. Mack Jr. sacked by Kendy Charles for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 1:26
4TH & 21
OWN 28
0
94.1%
Ethan Duane punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:406% → 7%
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
93.6%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Ali Jennings IIISimilar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+4
93.6%
Elijah Davis run for 4 yds to the Liber 26Similar
Q1 1:26
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
93.6%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Isaiah SpencerSimilar
Q1 0:46
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+43
93.0%
Nick Rice 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 8TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:1893% → 97%
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
93.1%
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 9 yds to the Liber 29Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+15
93.2%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 15 yds to the Liber 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
93.4%
T.J. Green run for 2 yds to the Liber 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+5
93.3%
Malik Willis pass complete to Johnny Huntley for 5 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+16
93.2%
T.J. Green run for 16 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
96.6%
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 33 yds for a TD, (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:015% → 5%
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.1%
Keshawn Wicks run for no gain to the ODU 25Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.2%
D.J. Mack Jr. run for 5 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q2 13:23
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+6
95.2%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Stone Smartt for 6 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q2 11:22
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
95.3%
Ethan Duane punt for 45 yds , Demario Douglas returns for no gain to the Liber 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 1:1097% → 96%
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
96.7%
Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the Liber 30Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 7
OWN 30
-10
96.6%
Malik Willis sacked by Deeve Harris for a loss of 10 yards to the Liber 20Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 17
OWN 20
0
96.4%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Noah FrithSimilar
Q2 11:22
4TH & 17
OWN 20
-5
96.3%
PENALTY LIB False Start (Alexander,Benjamin) 5 yards from LIB20 to LIB15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:12
4TH & 22
OWN 15
+10
95.9%
Aidan Alves punt for 36 yds , Roger Cray returns for 10 yds to the ODU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11TD
12 plays · 56 yds · 3:435% → 9%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
95.2%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Zack KuntzSimilar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
95.2%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Elijah Davis for 1 yd to the ODU 43Similar
Q2 10:12
3RD & 11
OWN 43
0
95.4%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Rafael McCoySimilar
Q2 10:12
4TH & 11
OWN 43
+15
95.5%
Duane,Ethan punt 47 yards to the LIB10, out of bounds PENALTY LIB Roughing The Kicker (Rahimi,Robert) 15 yards from ODU43 to LIB42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
94.9%
Jon-Luke Peaker run for 2 yds to the Liber 40Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+9
94.9%
Jon-Luke Peaker run for 9 yds to the Liber 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
94.8%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Ali Jennings IIISimilar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+8
94.8%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Stone Smartt for 8 yds to the Liber 23Similar
Q2 10:12
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+5
94.9%
Jon-Luke Peaker run for 5 yds to the Liber 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.2%
Elijah Davis 1 Yd Run (Nick Rice Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 12TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 2:3195% → 97%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
94.7%
Shedro Louis run for 1 yd to the Liber 41Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+3
94.7%
Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the Liber 44Similar
Q2 6:19
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-15
94.5%
PENALTY LIB UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Louis,Shedro) 15 yards from LIB44 to LIB29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:19
3RD & 21
OWN 29
0
94.2%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Kevin ShaaSimilar
Q2 6:19
4TH & 21
OWN 29
+15
94.1%
Morgan,Max punt 24 yards to the ODU47 PENALTY ODU Roughing The Kicker (Jones,Terry) 15 yards from LIB29 to LIB44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
94.8%
T.J. Green run for 9 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+4
94.8%
T.J. Green run for 4 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
94.8%
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 5 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+38
96.6%
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 38 yds for a TD, (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 3:065% → 9%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.9%
Elijah Davis run for 5 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
94.8%
D.J. Mack Jr. run for 1 yd to the ODU 31Similar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
94.8%
Elijah Davis run for 4 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
94.7%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 7 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+3
94.5%
Jon-Luke Peaker run for 3 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
94.6%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Jon-Luke PeakerSimilar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+13
94.8%
D.J. Mack Jr. run for 13 yds to the Liber 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
94.2%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Donta Anthony Jr.Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+6
94.4%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Stone Smartt for 6 yds to the Liber 36Similar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+2
94.2%
Jon-Luke Peaker run for 2 yds to the Liber 34Similar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+4
94.3%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Jordan Bly for 4 yds to the Liber 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
91.4%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 30 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
93.6%
T.J. Green run for no gain to the Liber 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:508% → 8%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.1%
Elijah Davis run for 2 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
92.0%
D.J. Mack Jr. sacked by Ralfs Rusins for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
92.4%
D.J. Mack Jr. sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 21Similar
Q3 13:10
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+7
92.5%
Ethan Duane punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 48 , Demario Douglas returns for 7 yds to the ODU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 16TD
6 plays · 48 yds · 2:0093% → 97%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
92.8%
Malik Willis run for 3 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+3
92.8%
Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+29
92.5%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 29 yds to the ODU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
92.8%
Louis,Shedro rush for 3 yards gain to the ODU10 (Henry,Ryan) PENALTY ODU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from ODU13 to ODU08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 5
OPP 8
+8
96.9%
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 8 yds for a TD OLDDOMINION Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jordan Young) declined, (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 2:285% → 4%
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
95.0%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Stone Smartt for 7 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+2
94.6%
Jon-Luke Peaker run for 2 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 5
OWN 29
-5
94.8%
PENALTY ODU False Start (Smartt,Stone) 5 yards from ODU29 to ODU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 10
OWN 24
-8
95.2%
D.J. Mack Jr. sacked by Kendy Charles for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 16Similar
Q3 8:35
4TH & 18
OWN 16
0
95.7%
Ethan Duane punt for 40 yds , Demario Douglas returns for no gain to the Liber 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 18TD
14 plays · 60 yds · 3:1797% → 99%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
97.2%
Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the Liber 37Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+13
97.1%
Malik Willis pass complete to Treon Sibley for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
50
+5
97.3%
Mack,Joshua rush for 2 yards gain to the ODU48 (Johnson,R'Tarriun) PENALTY ODU Offside (Haynes,Marcus) 5 yards from ODU50 to ODU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 5
OPP 45
0
97.2%
Joshua Mack run for no gain to the ODU 45Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
97.2%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Kevin ShaaSimilar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+7
97.1%
Malik Willis pass complete to Joshua Mack for 7 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
97.3%
Willis,Malik pass incomplete to Frith,Noah PENALTY ODU Roughing The Passer (Harris,Deeve) 15 yards from ODU38 to ODU23, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
97.2%
Joshua Mack run for 2 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
97.2%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Kevin ShaaSimilar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+16
97.2%
Malik Willis pass complete to Johnny Huntley for 16 yds to the ODU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
97.0%
Shedro Louis run for 4 yds to the ODU 1Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.4%
Malik Willis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:243% → 2%
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.5%
Elijah Davis run for 2 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-4
97.5%
D.J. Mack Jr. sacked by Kendy Charles for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 23Similar
Q3 5:18
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+4
97.2%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 4 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q3 2:54
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+23
98.1%
Ethan Duane punt for 55 yds , Demario Douglas returns for 23 yds to the Liber 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 2:13100% → 100%
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
99.6%
Malik Willis sacked by Steven Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the Liber 38Similar
Q3 2:54
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+6
99.6%
T.J. Green run for 6 yds to the Liber 44Similar
Q3 2:54
3RD & 7
OWN 44
-14
99.6%
Malik Willis sacked by Cory Jackson for a loss of 14 yards to the Liber 30Similar
Q3 0:41
4TH & 21
OWN 30
+30
99.6%
Aidan Alves punt for 45 yds , Isiah Paige returns for 30 yds to the ODU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 3:442% → 2%
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
98.3%
Keshawn Wicks run for 3 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+1
98.3%
Keshawn Wicks run for 1 yd to the ODU 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+5
98.3%
Mack Jr.,D.J. sacked for loss of 10 yards to the ODU21 (Dupree,Tyren, Sings V,Stephen) PENALTY LIB Offside (Washington,Aakil) 5 yards from ODU31 to ODU36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+1
98.3%
Elijah Davis run for 1 yd to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
98.3%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Javon Harvey for 12 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
98.4%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Zack KuntzSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+12
98.4%
Elijah Davis run for 12 yds to the Liber 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
98.3%
D.J. Mack Jr. run for 7 yds to the Liber 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 17
OPP 46
0
98.3%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan BlySimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 17
OPP 46
0
98.4%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Donta Anthony Jr.Similar
Q4 11:57
4TH & 17
OPP 46
0
98.5%
Ethan Duane punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 22FG
15 plays · 67 yds · 8:28100% → 100%
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.7%
Joshua Mack run for no gain to the Liber 20Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.7%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 9 yds to the Liber 29Similar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+4
99.7%
Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the Liber 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
99.7%
Joshua Mack run for 6 yds to the Liber 39Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+6
99.7%
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 6 yds to the Liber 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.8%
Joshua Mack run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 5
50
+9
99.8%
Malik Willis pass complete to Noah Frith for 9 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
99.8%
Joshua Mack run for 12 yds to the ODU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
99.8%
Joshua Mack run for 6 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+8
99.8%
Joshua Mack run for 8 yds to the ODU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
99.8%
Joshua Mack run for 1 yd to the ODU 14Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+1
99.8%
Troy Henderson run for 1 yd to the ODU 13Similar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
99.8%
Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete to Stetson MooreSimilar
Q4 3:29
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+31
99.9%
Alex Barbir 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23INT
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:050% → 0%
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+23
100.0%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Jordan Bly for 23 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
100.0%
D.J. Mack Jr. run for no gain to the ODU 45Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
100.0%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:43100% → 100%
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
100.0%
Troy Henderson run for 1 yd to the ODU 45Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+1
100.0%
Troy Henderson run for 1 yd to the ODU 44Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+6
100.0%
Troy Henderson run for 6 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q4 0:36
4TH & 4
OPP 38
+4
100.0%
Troy Henderson run for 4 yds to the ODU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
100.0%
Keshawn Wicks run for 5 yds to the ODU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:10
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 8 yds for a TD OLDDOMINION Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jordan Young) declined, (Alex Barbir KICK)
+4
TD · Q2 6:29
Elijah Davis 1 Yd Run (Nick Rice Kick)
-3.7
TD · Q2 0:42
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 30 yds for a TD, (Nick Rice KICK)
-2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com