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CLT

Charlotte 9 at Georgia State 20

GAST
2021 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2021 · Center Parc Stadium
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Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:24 · Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 102Pregame prior+4.4Home team on offense+2.1Score differential−0.9Garbage-time factor−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:41: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 36 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +11.2 pts (now 51%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:03: Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 35 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) — GAST win probability +15.5 pts (now 65%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:06: Ja'Cyais Credle 28 Yd pass from Darren Grainger (Noel Ruiz PAT blocked) — GAST win probability +10.9 pts (now 74%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:59: Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 11 — GAST win probability +8.6 pts (now 70%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:38: Jamyest Williams 13 Yd Run (Noel Ruiz Kick) — GAST win probability +23.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 7 of 7CLT made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 12:26GAST 4th & 8 at CLT 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:24CLT 4th & 9 at CLT 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:37GAST 4th & 18 at CLT 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    62.3%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00CLT 4th & 18 at GAST 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−0.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    38.1%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00CLT 4th & 2 at GAST 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    38.1%−1.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    38.6%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00CLT 4th & 1 at GAST 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    38.0%−1.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    37.7%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:00GAST 4th & 2 at GAST 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−0.2
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:26CLT 4th & 14 at CLT 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−2.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:27CLT 4th & 1 at CLT 23, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:28GAST 4th & 7 at GAST 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:19CLT 4th & 5 at CLT 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:12CLT 4th & 9 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:24CLT 4th & 1 at GAST 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    40.2%−4.5
    47% to make
    Punt
    39.0%−5.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:24GAST 4th & 1 at GAST 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    59.8%−2.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00GAST 4th & 1 at GAST 37, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    68.8%−3.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:58CLT 4th & 5 at GAST 49, down 4
    Close callPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%−0.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:58GAST 4th & 1 at GAST 43, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    69.6%−4.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:29CLT 4th & 20 at CLT 40, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%−0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 1 of 2CLT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 7:41CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:03GAST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 1:38GAST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:3462% → 62%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
62.1%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
62.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 11 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
62.1%
Darren Grainger run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+2
62.1%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+4
62.1%
Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+6
62.1%
Darren Grainger run for 6 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
62.1%
Darren Grainger sacked by Markees Watts for 0 yards to the Charl 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
62.1%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:26
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
62.0%
Michael Hayes punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:0238% → 38%
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
62.0%
Calvin Camp run for 4 yds to the Charl 24Similar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+9
62.0%
Calvin Camp run for 9 yds to the Charl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
61.9%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
62.0%
Calvin Camp run for 1 yd to the Charl 34Similar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 9
OWN 34
0
62.1%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:24
4TH & 9
OWN 34
0
62.1%
Bailey Rice punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Terrance Dixon at the GeoSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3PUNT
14 plays · 34 yds · 4:4762% → 62%
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
62.0%
Tucker Gregg run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 4
OWN 30
0
62.1%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+5
61.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Roger Carter for 5 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
62.1%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
62.0%
Jamyest Williams run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+8
62.1%
Destin Coates run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
62.4%
Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+13
62.5%
Darren Grainger run for 13 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
62.6%
Destin Coates run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 36Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 12
OPP 36
-3
62.4%
Darren Grainger run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 39Similar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 15
OPP 39
+7
61.8%
Darren Grainger run for 7 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q1 6:07
4TH & 8
OPP 32
-10
62.3%
GRAINGER, Darren scrambles up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the CLT25 (MARTIN, Luke). PENALTY GSU Holding on GILMORE, Shamarious enforced 10 yards from the CLT32 to the CLT42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:37
4TH & 18
OPP 42
0
61.7%
Michael Hayes punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4PUNT
13 plays · 40 yds · 5:3738% → 39%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
61.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 6 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+14
61.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 14 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
61.1%
Shadrick Byrd run for 4 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+3
60.9%
Shadrick Byrd run for 3 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+4
61.0%
Chris Reynolds run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
60.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+4
60.8%
Calvin Camp run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+13
60.9%
Chris Reynolds run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
60.5%
Calvin Camp run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 12
OPP 34
-1
60.6%
Calvin Camp run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 13
OPP 35
0
61.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:37
4TH & 13
OPP 35
-5
61.9%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, Delay Of Game (Bailey Rice) to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 18
OPP 40
0
61.2%
Bailey Rice punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5FUMBLE
2 plays · 77 yds · 0:3562% → 62%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
62.2%
Destin Coates run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+64
62.4%
Destin Coates run for 64 yds to the Charl 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6TD
12 plays · 67 yds · 7:1939% → 51%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
60.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 14 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
59.6%
Chris Reynolds run for 1 yd to the Charl 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+5
59.7%
Calvin Camp run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+2
59.6%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+3
60.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 3 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
59.4%
Shadrick Byrd run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 37
0
59.3%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+4
59.6%
Chris Reynolds run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+2
60.2%
Chris Reynolds run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
59.0%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, False Start (Hunter Kelly) to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 36
0
59.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for no gain to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 15
OPP 36
+36
48.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 36 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4151% → 50%
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
51.1%
Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
51.4%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
51.0%
Darren Grainger run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q2 6:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
49.9%
Michael Hayes punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:3451% → 50%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
49.1%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Javon Denis and Thomas Gore for 0 yards to the Charl 27Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 13
OWN 27
-1
49.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 26Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 14
OWN 26
0
50.4%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:26
4TH & 14
OWN 26
0
50.4%
Bailey Rice punt for 42 yds, downed at the GeoSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9TD
2 plays · 68 yds · 0:2350% → 65%
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+33
49.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 33 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
65.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 35 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3641% → 41%
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
58.8%
Calvin Camp run for 1 yd to the Charl 15Similar
Q2 4:03
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+8
58.9%
Calvin Camp run for 8 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q2 2:37
3RD & 1
OWN 23
0
58.3%
Calvin Camp run for no gain to the Charl 23Similar
Q2 2:27
4TH & 1
OWN 23
0
59.0%
Bailey Rice punt for 41 yds, downed at the GeoSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5962% → 59%
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
61.6%
Darren Grainger run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
62.6%
Jamyest Williams run for no gain to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
60.8%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:28
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
59.4%
Michael Hayes punt for 31 yds, downed at the Charl 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:0943% → 44%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
56.6%
Shadrick Byrd run for 13 yds to the Charl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
54.5%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+5
55.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 5 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 5
OWN 48
0
54.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
56.4%
Bailey Rice punt for 49 yds, downed at the GeoSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
59.4%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:4843% → 43%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
57.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 9 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 32
0
55.4%
Shadrick Byrd run for no gain to the Charl 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+6
56.5%
Shadrick Byrd run for 6 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
55.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+11
55.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 11 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
54.3%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+1
54.8%
ChaVon McEachern run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
50
0
55.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:12
4TH & 9
50
0
57.5%
Bailey Rice punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Quavian White at the GeoSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15SF
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
59.7%
Tucker Gregg run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 15Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+4
59.7%
Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 1
OWN 19
-5
58.5%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the GeoSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:2147% → 45%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
53.2%
Calvin Camp run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 44Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 11
OPP 44
0
53.8%
Calvin Camp run for no gain to the GeoSt 44Similar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+10
55.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Calvin Camp for 10 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q3 7:24
4TH & 1
OPP 34
0
54.9%
Shadrick Byrd run for no gain to the GeoSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 2:1860% → 74%
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
60.3%
Tucker Gregg run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+2
63.0%
Darren Grainger run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 43Similar
Q3 7:24
3RD & 1
OWN 43
0
62.3%
Darren Grainger run for no gain to the GeoSt 43Similar
Q3 7:24
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+2
60.7%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+27
62.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 27 yds to the Charl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
73.7%
Ja'Cyais Credle 28 Yd pass from Darren Grainger (Noel Ruiz PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18FUMBLE
7 plays · 57 yds · 4:0732% → 39%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
67.7%
Shadrick Byrd run for 5 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+22
66.2%
Calvin Camp run for 22 yds to the GeoSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
63.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 11 yds to the GeoSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
62.6%
ChaVon McEachern run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+1
62.7%
Chris Reynolds run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+14
64.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 14 yds to the GeoSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
61.5%
Calvin Camp run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 13 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct ( Yards) to the GeoSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 19INT
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:4770% → 74%
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
70.1%
Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 11Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+7
70.5%
Darren Grainger run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
71.0%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+8
70.8%
Jamyest Williams run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
71.4%
Jamyest Williams run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
71.8%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+5
70.4%
Darren Grainger run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 37
+6
70.3%
Tucker Gregg run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
74.0%
Darren Grainger pass intercepted return for no gain to the Charl 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 34 yds · 3:1431% → 32%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
68.9%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Jontrey Hunter) to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
66.7%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Blake Carroll) to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
64.7%
Shadrick Byrd run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 6
50
+3
63.8%
ChaVon McEachern run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 47Similar
Q4 12:12
3RD & 3
OPP 47
-2
64.4%
ChaVon McEachern run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q4 8:58
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
67.8%
Bailey Rice punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Quavian White at the GeoSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21TD
13 plays · 90 yds · 7:2072% → 97%
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
71.9%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 13Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+9
71.8%
Darren Grainger run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
72.3%
Tucker Gregg run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
72.9%
Tucker Gregg run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+3
75.2%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+1
74.0%
Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 43Similar
Q4 8:58
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+3
72.4%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
75.3%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 48Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+11
75.3%
Jamyest Williams run for 11 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
76.3%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 7
OPP 38
-6
76.2%
Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 6 yards to the Charl 44Similar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 13
OPP 44
+31
73.0%
Jamyest Williams run for 31 yds to the Charl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
96.6%
Jamyest Williams 13 Yd Run (Noel Ruiz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:095% → 4%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
95.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 6 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+19
94.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
50
0
94.1%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 10
50
0
94.0%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 10
50
0
94.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:38
4TH & 10
50
-10
95.3%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass up the middle complete for 30 yards to THOMPSON, Taylor caught at the GSU30 and advanced to the GSU20 (BACON, Chris). PENALTY CLT Holding on SA'O, Siah enforced 10 yards from the GSU50 to the CLT40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:29
4TH & 20
OWN 40
0
95.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
96.6%
Tucker Gregg run for 5 yds to the Charl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:38
Jamyest Williams 13 Yd Run (Noel Ruiz Kick)
+23.6
TD · Q2 4:03
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 35 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)
+15.5
TD · Q2 7:41
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 36 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
-11.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com