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FLA

Florida 17 at South Carolina 40

SC
2021 · Week 10 · Nov 6, 2021 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadFLA aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreFLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGTDFGFUMBLEFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:00 · Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 39 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 68Pregame prior−30.4Home team on offense+5.5Score differential+2.0Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0Blowout margin+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:02: Jason Brown pass complete to Josh Vann for 24 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +7.3 pts (now 29%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 1:13: Parker White 40 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +12.8 pts (now 47%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. FUMBLE · Q2 0:46: Emory Jones run for 1 yd Emory Jones fumbled, forced by Aaron Sterling, recovered by SCaro Jabari Ellis for a TD (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +24.8 pts (now 71%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:53: Jason Brown pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 8 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +10.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:14: Emory Jones pass complete to Rick Wells for 9 yds for a TD (Chris Howard KICK) — FLA win probability +3.6 pts (now 4%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 6 of 10FLA made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:21FLA 4th & 3 at SC 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:17SC 4th & 1 at FLA 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    13.6%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    13.5%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:19SC 4th & 6 at FLA 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    14.2%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:52FLA 4th & 6 at SC 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    79.1%−1.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:31SC 4th & 2 at FLA 17, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.8%−0.3
    80% to make
    Punt
    19.0%−2.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:17FLA 4th & 8 at FLA 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:00FLA 4th & 10 at FLA 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:13SC 4th & 3 at FLA 22, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.7%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    35.5%−7.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:16SC 4th & 6 at FLA 38, up 20
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    80.6%−1.5
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:19FLA 4th & 5 at FLA 16, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:04SC 4th & 18 at FLA 21, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−2.1
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    80.9%−5.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:01FLA 4th & 1 at FLA 32, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.1%−1.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:01SC 4th & 1 at FLA 10, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    87.7%−1.7
    88% to make
    Punt
    82.5%−6.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:24SC 4th & 6 at SC 30, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:22SC 4th & 7 at SC 38, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:44FLA 4th & 23 at FLA 10, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:48SC 4th & 10 at FLA 10, up 23
    Close callWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3FLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:47FLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:39SC Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:02SC Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:53SC Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:14FLA Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:3991% → 90%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
9.4%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Malik DavisSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
9.4%
Emory Jones pass complete to Justin Shorter for 20 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
9.4%
Emory Jones pass complete to Justin Shorter for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
50
0
9.4%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Jacob CopelandSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
50
+2
9.4%
Emory Jones pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 2 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q1 13:21
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
10.0%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2FG
14 plays · 65 yds · 7:0210% → 14%
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+16
10.0%
Jason Brown pass complete to Josh Vann for 16 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
10.0%
ZaQuandre White run for 3 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+12
10.0%
ZaQuandre White run for 12 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
10.1%
Jason Brown pass complete to Josh Vann for 8 yds to the Fla 47Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+8
10.1%
Kevin Harris run for 8 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
10.1%
Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the Fla 35Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+3
10.1%
Jason Brown pass complete to Nick Muse for 3 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+2
10.1%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 2 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q1 8:17
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+5
12.3%
Kevin Harris run for 5 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
12.6%
Jason Brown pass complete to Jaheim Bell for no gain to the Fla 25Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+4
12.6%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 4 yds to the Fla 21Similar
Q1 8:17
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
12.5%
Jason Brown pass incomplete to Dakereon JoynerSimilar
Q1 6:19
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+39
13.7%
Parker White 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3286% → 88%
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.7%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Marcus BurkeSimilar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+52
13.7%
Emory Jones pass complete to Justin Shorter for 52 yds to the SCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
13.0%
Emory Jones pass complete to Justin Shorter for 6 yds to the SCaro 17Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+5
13.0%
Emory Jones pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 5 yds to the SCaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
12.4%
Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 12 yds for a TD (Chris Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0813% → 17%
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+54
13.0%
ZaQuandre White run for 54 yds to the Fla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
13.8%
ZaQuandre White run for 6 yds to the Fla 15Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+11
13.8%
ZaQuandre White run for 11 yds to the Fla 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
13.8%
Jason Brown pass complete to Josh Vann for 2 yds to the Fla 2Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
16.6%
Juju McDowell run for 2 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5FG
8 plays · 62 yds · 2:4784% → 84%
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
15.9%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the Fla 22Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+61
16.0%
Emory Jones pass complete to Marcus Burke for 61 yds to the SCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-10
14.8%
Wright,Nay'Quan rush for 2 yards loss to the USC19 (Staley,Damani) PENALTY FLA Holding (Zipperer,Keon) 10 yards from USC17 to USC27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:39
1ST & 20
OPP 27
+10
15.0%
Emory Jones run for 10 yds to the SCaro 17Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+4
16.0%
Emory Jones run for 4 yds to the SCaro 13Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
16.4%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Jacob CopelandSimilar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+30
15.8%
Chris Howard 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:1517% → 20%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.8%
Jason Brown pass incomplete to Dakereon JoynerSimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
16.7%
Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+13
16.3%
Jason Brown pass complete to Nick Muse for 13 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+39
17.2%
Kevin Harris run for 39 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
18.1%
Jason Brown pass complete to Nick Muse for 3 yds to the Fla 22Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+5
18.1%
Kevin Harris run for 5 yds to the Fla 17Similar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 2
OPP 17
0
17.7%
Jason Brown pass incomplete to Dakereon JoynerSimilar
Q2 11:31
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+35
20.2%
Parker White 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:1480% → 78%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
19.9%
Malik Davis run for 1 yd to the Fla 24Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
20.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Malik Davis for 3 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
20.4%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Marcus BurkeSimilar
Q2 10:17
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
21.8%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8TD
4 plays · 76 yds · 2:1521% → 29%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+50
21.0%
Jason Brown pass complete to Josh Vann for 50 yds to the Fla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
22.7%
Jason Brown run for 11 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 21
OPP 37
+13
21.8%
Jason Brown pass complete to Josh Vann for 13 yds to the Fla 24Similar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+24
29.1%
Jason Brown pass complete to Josh Vann for 24 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:5371% → 66%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
28.6%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Justin ShorterSimilar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
29.1%
Dameon Pierce run for 6 yds to the Fla 36Similar
Q2 7:53
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+9
28.5%
Emory Jones pass complete to Justin Shorter for 9 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
27.8%
Jacob Copeland run for 2 yds to the Fla 47Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+2
27.6%
Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q2 7:53
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
28.6%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Justin ShorterSimilar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
33.8%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 3:4733% → 47%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
32.5%
ZaQuandre White run for 2 yds to the SCaro 14Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 12
OWN 14
+5
32.2%
PENALTY FLA Offside (Valentino,Antonio) 5 yards from USC14 to USC19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+18
32.3%
Jason Brown pass complete to Traevon Kenion for 18 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
33.2%
Jason Brown pass complete to Nick Muse for 19 yds to the Fla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
34.4%
Jason Brown pass incomplete to Nick MuseSimilar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+15
34.2%
White,Zaquandre rush for 1 yard loss to the FLA45 (Carter,Zachary) PENALTY FLA Face Mask (Carter,Zachary) 15 yards from FLA44 to FLA29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
34.5%
ZaQuandre White run for 4 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+3
34.5%
ZaQuandre White run for 3 yds to the Fla 22Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 3
OPP 22
0
33.6%
Jason Brown pass incomplete to E.J. JenkinsSimilar
Q2 1:13
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+40
46.5%
Parker White 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11FUMBLE TD
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:1954% → 29%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
46.0%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Ja'Quavion FraziarsSimilar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
70.8%
Emory Jones run for 1 yd Emory Jones fumbled, forced by Aaron Sterling, recovered by SCaro Jabari Ellis for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4031% → 29%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
69.5%
Emory Jones run for 3 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
70.8%
Malik Davis run for no gain to the Fla 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:3877% → 80%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
76.7%
ZaQuandre White run for 6 yds to the Fla 47Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+5
76.7%
ZaQuandre White run for 5 yds to the Fla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
76.8%
ZaQuandre White run for 2 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+2
76.7%
Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the Fla 38Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 6
OPP 38
0
76.2%
Jason Brown pass incomplete to Dakereon JoynerSimilar
Q3 12:16
4TH & 6
OPP 38
0
80.4%
Kai Kroeger punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:5722% → 18%
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
77.9%
Malik Davis run for 2 yds to the Fla 13Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+3
78.0%
Malik Davis run for 3 yds to the Fla 16Similar
Q3 12:16
3RD & 5
OWN 16
0
78.1%
Emory Jones run for no gain to the Fla 16Similar
Q3 10:19
4TH & 5
OWN 16
0
82.4%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15FG
7 plays · 46 yds · 2:1584% → 85%
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
84.0%
Jason Brown pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+54
83.8%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 40 yds to the SOCAROLINA 27 for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (Rashad Torrence II) to the Fla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
84.4%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 1 yd to the Fla 14Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 11
OPP 14
0
84.4%
Jason Brown pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q3 10:19
3RD & 11
OPP 14
-5
84.1%
PENALTY USC False Start (Gwyn,Jovaughn) 5 yards from FLA14 to FLA19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:19
3RD & 16
OPP 19
+2
84.0%
Jason Brown pass complete to Josh Vann for 2 yds to the Fla 21Similar
Q3 8:04
4TH & 18
OPP 21
+39
85.3%
Parker White 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:0012% → 11%
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
87.6%
PENALTY FLA False Start (Wells,Rick) 5 yards from FLA23 to FLA18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 15
OWN 18
+9
87.7%
Emory Jones pass complete to Keon Zipperer for 9 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+4
87.1%
Dameon Pierce run for 4 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+1
87.2%
Emory Jones run for 1 yd to the Fla 32Similar
Q3 6:01
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
89.4%
Dameon Pierce run for no gain to the Fla 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17TD
6 plays · 32 yds · 3:0890% → 99%
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
90.0%
Kevin Harris run for 13 yds to the Fla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
90.0%
Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the Fla 16Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+5
90.0%
Kevin Harris run for 5 yds to the Fla 11Similar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+1
89.8%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the Fla 10Similar
Q3 6:01
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+2
89.0%
ZaQuandre White run for 2 yds to the Fla 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.0%
Jason Brown pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 8 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 18TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:391% → 4%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Marcus Burke for 12 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
99.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Ja'Quavion Fraziars for 16 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
99.1%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the SCaro 46Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+10
99.1%
Emory Jones run for 10 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
99.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Rick Wells for 9 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+3
99.4%
Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+21
99.4%
Emory Jones pass complete to Keon Zipperer for 21 yds to the SCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
95.9%
Emory Jones pass complete to Rick Wells for 9 yds for a TD (Chris Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:5097% → 97%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
96.5%
Juju McDowell run for 3 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+1
96.6%
Juju McDowell run for 1 yd to the SCaro 30Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
96.5%
Jason Brown pass incomplete to Nick MuseSimilar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
97.1%
Kai Kroeger punt for 41 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for no gain to the Fla 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20INT
3 plays · 21 yds · 1:103% → 2%
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
97.4%
Emory Jones pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 7 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+14
97.3%
Emory Jones run for 14 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
97.7%
Emory Jones pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:5298% → 98%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.7%
Jason Brown pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
97.6%
ZaQuandre White run for 5 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 5
OWN 40
-2
97.8%
Jason Brown sacked by Jeremiah Moon for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 38Similar
Q4 9:22
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
98.0%
Kai Kroeger punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Xzavier Henderson at the Fla 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -13 yds · 1:382% → 1%
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-4
98.2%
Emory Jones sacked by Jordan Burch for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 19Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 14
OWN 19
0
98.2%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Marcus BurkeSimilar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 14
OWN 19
-9
98.2%
Emory Jones sacked by Darius Rush for a loss of 9 yards to the Fla 10Similar
Q4 7:44
4TH & 23
OWN 10
0
98.7%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23DOWNS
10 plays · 52 yds · 5:5699% → 100%
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
98.7%
Kevin Harris run for 5 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+6
98.6%
Jason Brown run for 6 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+22
98.7%
Kevin Harris run for 22 yds to the Fla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
98.7%
Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the Fla 19Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+9
98.7%
Kevin Harris run for 9 yds to the Fla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
98.7%
Kevin Harris run for 5 yds to the Fla 5Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
98.7%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 2 yds to the Fla 7Similar
Q4 2:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
99.5%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 3 yds to the Fla 10Similar
Q4 1:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
99.6%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 6 yds to the Fla 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 24END OF 4TH QUARTER
7 plays · 45 yds · 1:481% → 1%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+9
99.4%
Malik Davis run for 9 yds to the Fla 13Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 1
OWN 13
+4
99.4%
Malik Davis run for 4 yds to the Fla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
99.4%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Marcus BurkeSimilar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
99.4%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Justin ShorterSimilar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+23
99.4%
Dameon Pierce run for 23 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.3%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Marcus BurkeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
99.5%
Dameon Pierce run for 9 yds to the Fla 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FUMBLE · Q2 0:46
Emory Jones run for 1 yd Emory Jones fumbled, forced by Aaron Sterling, recovered by SCaro Jabari Ellis for a TD (Parker White KICK)
+24.8
FG · Q2 1:13
Parker White 40 yd FG GOOD
+12.8
TD · Q3 2:53
Jason Brown pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 8 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)
+10.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com