Try the model
VAN

Vanderbilt 0 at Florida 42

FLA
2021 · Week 6 · Oct 9, 2021 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadVAN aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreVAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:15 · Emory Jones run for 16 yds to the Vandy 9 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 28Pregame prior+45.6Home team on offense+2.3Score differential+0.3Blowout margin−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:23: Emory Jones pass complete to Ja'Quavion Fraziars for 5 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK) — FLA win probability +0.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 4:40: Emory Jones pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for 51 yds to the Vandy 9 for a 1ST down — FLA win probability +0.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:55: Emory Jones pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 9 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK) — FLA win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:23: Emory Jones run for 11 yds to the Fla 13 for a 1ST down — FLA win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:07: Emory Jones pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 61 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK) — FLA win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 7VAN made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 13:33VAN 4th & 2 at VAN 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:56VAN 4th & 3 at VAN 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:15FLA 4th & 1 at VAN 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.7%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:17VAN 4th & 9 at VAN 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:29VAN 4th & 15 at FLA 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:05FLA 4th & 7 at FLA 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:29VAN 4th & 1 at FLA 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%−0.3
    56% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:33VAN 4th & 10 at FLA 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:29FLA 4th & 9 at FLA 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:30VAN 4th & 2 at FLA 2, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:37FLA 4th & 4 at FLA 27, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:02VAN 4th & 11 at VAN 22, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:32VAN 4th & 6 at VAN 43, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:46VAN 4th & 13 at FLA 15, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:01FLA 4th & 15 at FLA 15, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:25VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 46, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:55FLA 4th & 4 at FLA 43, up 42
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:46VAN 4th & 2 at FLA 45, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:39FLA 4th & 3 at VAN 34, up 42
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:16FLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:23FLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:55FLA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:07FLA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:26FLA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:46FLA Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:182% → 2%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.4%
Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 8 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
98.3%
Rocko Griffin run for no gain to the Vandy 33Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
98.3%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Will SheppardSimilar
Q1 13:33
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+1
98.3%
Harrison Smith punt for 46 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for 1 yd to the Fla 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 2:1398% → 98%
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
98.3%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+9
98.2%
Emory Jones run for 9 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+2
98.2%
Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the Fla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
98.1%
Dameon Pierce run for no gain to the Fla 33Similar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+32
98.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 32 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
98.1%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+34
98.1%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 34 yds to the Vandy 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.2%
Dameon Pierce run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 3:022% → 2%
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.1%
Ken Seals pass complete to Rocko Griffin for 7 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
98.0%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the Vandy 33Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
98.0%
Rocko Griffin run for 3 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
97.9%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 6 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+1
97.8%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the Vandy 43Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
97.8%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Will SheppardSimilar
Q1 7:56
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
97.8%
Harrison Smith punt for 6 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4TD
8 plays · 49 yds · 2:2798% → 98%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
97.9%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Rick WellsSimilar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+15
97.9%
Jones, Emory pass incomplete to Wells, Rick, PENALTY VANDERBILT pass interference (George, Allan) 15 yards to the VANDERBILT34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDA.Similar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
97.9%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+5
97.8%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 5 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q1 6:28
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+1
97.8%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the Vandy 25Similar
Q1 6:15
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+16
97.7%
Emory Jones run for 16 yds to the Vandy 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
97.7%
Dameon Pierce run for 4 yds to the Vandy 5Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Ja'Quavion Fraziars for 5 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:012% → 2%
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Cam JohnsonSimilar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.9%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 1 yd to the Vandy 26Similar
Q1 4:28
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
97.9%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Will SheppardSimilar
Q1 4:17
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+24
97.9%
Harrison Smith punt for 42 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for 24 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
98.0%
Anthony Richardson pass intercepted Elijah McAllister return for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7MISSED FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:152% → 2%
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
97.8%
Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 11 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
97.8%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Chris Pierce Jr.Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+23
97.8%
Devin Boddie Jr. run for 8 yds to the FLORIDA 46 for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the Fla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
97.7%
Johnson, Cam pass incomplete, PENALTY FLORIDA personal foul (Johnson, Tre'Vez) 15 yards to the FLORIDA16, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VANDERBILT.Similar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
97.6%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Will SheppardSimilar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-9
97.5%
Patrick Smith run for 6 yds to the Fla 10 VANDERBILT Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the Fla 25Similar
Q1 1:29
3RD & 19
OPP 25
+4
97.6%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 4 yds to the Fla 21Similar
Q1 1:29
4TH & 15
OPP 21
+39
97.7%
Joseph Bulovas 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1098% → 98%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
97.8%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 9 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 1
OWN 30
-1
97.8%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Jacob Copeland for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 29Similar
Q1 0:58
3RD & 2
OWN 29
-5
97.7%
FLORIDA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Fla 24Similar
Q1 0:20
3RD & 7
OWN 24
0
97.7%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:05
4TH & 7
OWN 24
0
97.6%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Cam Johnson at the Vandy 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9MISSED FG
15 plays · 53 yds · 6:223% → 3%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
97.5%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Chris Pierce Jr.Similar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+2
97.5%
Ken Seals pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 2 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q2 13:59
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+22
97.5%
Ken Seals pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 22 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
97.3%
Ken Seals pass complete to Patrick Smith for 3 yds to the Fla 49Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+2
97.3%
Rocko Griffin run for 2 yds to the Fla 47Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+8
97.2%
Ken Seals pass complete to Patrick Smith for 8 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
97.1%
Patrick Smith run for 7 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 3
OPP 32
-1
97.0%
Patrick Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 33Similar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 4
OPP 33
-5
97.0%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Fla 38Similar
Q2 9:34
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+8
97.1%
Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 8 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q2 9:29
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+7
97.0%
Patrick Smith run for 7 yds to the Fla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
96.8%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Amir Abdur-RahmanSimilar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
96.8%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Amir Abdur-RahmanSimilar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
96.9%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Chris Pierce Jr.Similar
Q2 8:33
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+41
97.1%
Joseph Bulovas 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:4297% → 97%
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
97.2%
Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds to the Fla 26Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+10
97.2%
Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 10 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
97.2%
Emory Jones pass complete to Ja'Quavion Fraziars for 5 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 5
OWN 41
-6
97.2%
Dameon Pierce run for 4 yds to the Fla 45 FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Fla 35Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+2
97.1%
Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q2 6:35
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
97.0%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Xzavier HendersonSimilar
Q2 6:29
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
96.9%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11INT
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:503% → 4%
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
96.8%
Patrick Smith run for 10 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
96.6%
Patrick Smith run for no gain to the Fla 49Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+13
96.7%
Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 13 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-7
96.5%
Ken Seals pass intercepted Daquan Newkirk return for 7 yds to the Fla 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 0:4597% → 99%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+51
97.0%
Emory Jones pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for 51 yds to the Vandy 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
97.1%
Nay'Quan Wright run for no gain to the Vandy 9Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
97.1%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Jacob CopelandSimilar
Q2 3:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.8%
Emory Jones pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 9 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13DOWNS
18 plays · 73 yds · 2:592% → 2%
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.5%
Rocko Griffin run for 6 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
98.4%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the Vandy 32Similar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+11
98.4%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 11 yds to the Vandy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
98.4%
Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+10
98.4%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Avery Helm) to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
98.3%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+13
98.3%
Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 13 yds to the Fla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
98.2%
Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 2 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
98.1%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Devin Boddie Jr.Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+29
98.3%
Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 29 yds to the Fla 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.1%
Ken Seals run for no gain to the Fla 1Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.0%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Ben BresnahanSimilar
Q2 0:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
98.1%
Rocko Griffin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 2Similar
Q2 0:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.2%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Chris Pierce Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:1399% → 99%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+11
99.0%
Emory Jones run for 11 yds to the Fla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
98.8%
Emory Jones pass complete to Jacob Copeland for no gain to the Fla 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 2:4599% → 100%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
98.6%
Emory Jones pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for 6 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 4
OWN 27
0
98.6%
Nay'Quan Wright run for no gain to the Fla 27Similar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
98.6%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Jacob CopelandSimilar
Q3 13:37
4TH & 4
OWN 27
+28
98.5%
Jeremy Crawshaw run for 28 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
98.7%
Dameon Pierce run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 46Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 11
OPP 46
-5
98.7%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 49Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 16
OWN 49
-10
98.7%
Jones, Emory rush for 5 yards to the VANDERBILT46, PENALTY FLORIDA holding 10 yards to the FLORIDA39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 26
OWN 39
+61
99.7%
Emory Jones pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 61 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:540% → 0%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.7%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Rocko GriffinSimilar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-1
99.7%
Rocko Griffin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 22Similar
Q3 11:11
3RD & 11
OWN 22
0
99.7%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Chris Pierce Jr.Similar
Q3 11:02
4TH & 11
OWN 22
0
99.7%
Harrison Smith punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Xzavier Henderson at the Fla 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17TD
2 plays · 72 yds · 0:07100% → 100%
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+47
99.7%
Emory Jones pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 47 yds to the Vandy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
99.8%
Emory Jones pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 25 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Chris Pierce Jr.Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Patrick Smith run for 1 yd to the Vandy 26Similar
Q3 9:26
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-12
99.8%
Ken Seals pass intercepted Trey Dean III return for 12 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19TD
4 plays · 30 yds · 0:19100% → 100%
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+19
99.8%
Emory Jones pass complete to Rick Wells for 19 yds to the Vandy 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
99.8%
Rick Wells run for 10 yds to the Vandy 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Dameon Pierce run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:520% → 0%
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Patrick Smith run for no gain to the Vandy 25Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Ken Seals pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 2 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+12
99.8%
Ken Seals pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 12 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
99.8%
Ken Seals pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 9 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 1
OWN 48
-8
99.8%
Ken Seals sacked by Antwuan Powell for a loss of 8 yards to the Vandy 40Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 3 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
Q3 4:32
4TH & 6
OWN 43
+1
99.9%
Harrison Smith punt for 46 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for 1 yd to the Fla 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:07100% → 100%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
99.8%
Emory Jones pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 1 yd to the Fla 13Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 9
OWN 13
0
99.8%
Emory Jones pass intercepted Dashaun Jerkins return for no gain to the Fla 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 22MISSED FG
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:120% → 0%
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.8%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Ben BresnahanSimilar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+8
99.9%
Ken Seals pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 8 yds to the Fla 22Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+10
99.8%
Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 10 yds to the Fla 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
99.8%
Patrick Smith run for 4 yds to the Fla 8Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 6
OPP 8
0
99.8%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Will SheppardSimilar
Q3 1:57
3RD & 6
OPP 8
-7
99.9%
Ken Seals sacked by Antwuan Powell for a loss of 7 yards to the Fla 15Similar
Q3 1:46
4TH & 13
OPP 15
+33
99.9%
Joseph Bulovas 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:15100% → 100%
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the Fla 23Similar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-10
99.9%
FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Fla 13Similar
Q3 0:23
2ND & 17
OWN 13
+2
99.9%
Emory Jones pass complete to Keon Zipperer for 2 yds to the Fla 15Similar
Q3 0:13
3RD & 15
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Xzavier HendersonSimilar
Q3 0:01
4TH & 15
OWN 15
+10
99.9%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 69 yds , Cam Johnson returns for 10 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 24FUMBLE
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:180% → 0%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
99.9%
Patrick Smith run for 5 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+2
99.9%
Devin Boddie Jr. run for 2 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+4
99.9%
Mike Wright pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 4 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Mike Wright run for 4 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+5
99.9%
Patrick Smith run for 5 yds to the Vandy 46Similar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 1
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Patrick Smith run for no gain to the Vandy 46Similar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Harrison Smith punt for 45 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for no gain to the Fla 9 Xzavier Henderson fumbled, recovered by Fla Xzavier HendersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:25100% → 100%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
99.9%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Lorenzo Lingard for 9 yds to the Fla 18Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+2
99.9%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the Fla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
99.9%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 8 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+9
99.9%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 9 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.9%
Anthony Richardson run for 3 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+2
99.9%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the Fla 42Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+1
99.9%
Anthony Richardson run for 1 yd to the Fla 43Similar
Q4 7:55
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 26DOWNS
7 plays · 34 yds · 3:320% → 0%
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Mike Wright run for 3 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+14
99.9%
Patrick Smith run for 14 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
99.9%
Patrick Smith run for 10 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.9%
Patrick Smith run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 7
50
+3
99.9%
Mike Wright pass complete to Patrick Smith for 3 yds to the Fla 47Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+2
99.9%
Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 2
OPP 45
-1
99.9%
Mike Wright sacked by Justus Boone and Lloyd Summerall III for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 27END OF GAME
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:33100% → 100%
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
99.9%
Anthony Richardson run for 2 yds to the Fla 48Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+11
99.9%
Demarkcus Bowman run for 11 yds to the Vandy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
100.0%
Demarkcus Bowman run for 5 yds to the Vandy 36Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 5
OPP 36
0
100.0%
Demarkcus Bowman run for no gain to the Vandy 36Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+2
100.0%
Demarkcus Bowman run for 2 yds to the Vandy 34Similar
Q4 0:39
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+6
100.0%
Anthony Richardson run for 6 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
100.0%
Demarkcus Bowman run for 3 yds to the Vandy 25Similar
Q4 0:06
2ND & 7
OPP 25
-1
100.0%
Anthony Richardson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:55
Emory Jones pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 9 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)
+1.7
TD · Q3 12:07
Emory Jones pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 61 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)
+1
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:23
Emory Jones run for 11 yds to the Fla 13 for a 1ST down
+0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com