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Florida Atlantic 14 at Florida 35

FLA
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2021 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:37 · Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 2
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 72Pregame prior+27.9Home team on offense+12.3Score differential+5.6Garbage-time factor+3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:52: Emory Jones pass complete to Rick Wells for 9 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK) — FLA win probability +1.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:47: Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK) — FLA win probability +4.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:42: Malik Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK) — FLA win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:27: Johnny Ford run for 2 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK) — FAU win probability +0.6 pts (now 1%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:37: N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 13 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK) — FAU win probability +0.6 pts (now 1%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4FAU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 5:59FAU 4th & 19 at FLA 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    8.3%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  2. Q2 7:15FAU 4th & 3 at FLA 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.1%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 3:37FLA 4th & 4 at FAU 4, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    91.9%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    89.3%−2.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:11FAU 4th & 6 at FLA 41, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    8.2%
    32% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q3 12:58FAU 4th & 4 at FAU 38, down 14
    Close callPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 4:12FAU 4th & 17 at FAU 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:26FLA 4th & 12 at FAU 43, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    98.0%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:54FAU 4th & 4 at FAU 39, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:50FAU 4th & 19 at FAU 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.7
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:04FLA 4th & 10 at FLA 30, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:20FLA 4th & 4 at FAU 41, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5FAU made the numbers' call on 0 of 2
  1. Q1 11:27FLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:52FLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:47FLA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:42FLA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:27FAU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:43FLA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:37FAU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:3392% → 92%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
92.2%
Emory Jones run for 1 yd to the Fla 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
92.2%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Trent WhittemoreSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+15
92.2%
Emory Jones pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 15 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+31
92.2%
Malik Davis run for 31 yds to the FlAtl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
92.2%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Jacob CopelandSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+10
92.2%
Emory Jones pass complete to Rick Wells for 10 yds to the FlAtl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
92.2%
Emory Jones pass complete to Ja'Markis Weston for 1 yd to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+6
92.2%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 11Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+7
92.2%
Emory Jones pass complete to Ja'Markis Weston for 7 yds to the FlAtl 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
92.2%
Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 2Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.9%
Dameon Pierce 2 Yd Run (Chris Howard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2PUNT
15 plays · 37 yds · 5:218% → 9%
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
91.7%
PENALTY FAU False Start (Mitchell-Paden,Zaire) 5 yards from FAU17 to FAU12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 15
OWN 12
+6
91.7%
N'Kosi Perry run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 18Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+9
91.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Lajohntay Wester for 9 yds to the FlAtl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
91.7%
Johnny Ford run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+14
91.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to John Mitchell for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
50
0
91.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Johnny FordSimilar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 10
50
+6
91.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to John Mitchell for 6 yds to the Fla 44Similar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+7
91.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to TJ Chase for 7 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
91.3%
Javion Posey run for 4 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 14
OPP 41
-5
91.4%
PENALTY FAU Delay Of Game 5 yards from UFL41 to UFL46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 19
OPP 46
0
91.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to TJ ChaseSimilar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 19
OPP 46
0
91.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:59
4TH & 19
OPP 46
0
91.0%
Matt Hayball punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:0791% → 93%
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
91.0%
Malik Davis run for 1 yd to the Fla 19Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+9
91.0%
Emory Jones pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 9 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+8
91.0%
Malik Davis run for 8 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
91.1%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Jacob CopelandSimilar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
91.1%
Malik Davis run for 3 yds to the Fla 39Similar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+23
91.1%
Emory Jones run for 23 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
91.3%
Malik Davis run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+5
91.4%
Emory Jones pass complete to Justin Shorter for 5 yds to the FlAtl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+17
91.4%
Malik Davis run for 17 yds to the FlAtl 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
92.8%
Emory Jones pass complete to Rick Wells for 9 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4FUMBLE
8 plays · 26 yds · 1:478% → 8%
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.0%
Johnny Ford run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
92.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Lajohntay WesterSimilar
Q1 1:52
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+14
92.1%
Perry,N'Kosi pass incomplete to Burton,Je'Quan, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UFL Pass Interference (Marshall Jr.,Jason) 14 yards from FAU27 to FAU41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
91.9%
Johnny Ford run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+5
91.7%
Johnny Ford run for 5 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
91.7%
James Charles run for 6 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q1 0:05
2ND & 4
OPP 41
-8
91.6%
N'Kosi Perry sacked by Zachary Carter for a loss of 8 yards to the Fla 49 N'Kosi Perry fumbled, recovered by Fla Gervon Dexter , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5INT
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:5993% → 93%
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
92.8%
Demarkcus Bowman run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
50
+15
92.8%
Demarkcus Bowman run for 15 yds to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
92.8%
Demarkcus Bowman run for no gain to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+20
92.8%
Anthony Richardson run for 20 yds to the FlAtl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
92.8%
Anthony Richardson run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+2
92.8%
Anthony Richardson run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 7Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 7
-5
92.7%
PENALTY UFL Delay Of Game 5 yards from FAU07 to FAU12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 7
OPP 12
0
92.9%
Emory Jones pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6DOWNS
11 plays · 33 yds · 4:518% → 8%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
92.0%
Johnny Ford run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+1
92.0%
Malcolm Davidson run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+13
92.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 13 yds to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
91.9%
Malcolm Davidson run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+5
91.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Lajohntay Wester for 5 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+5
91.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Malcolm Davidson for 5 yds to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
91.8%
Malcolm Davidson run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+4
91.6%
N'Kosi Perry run for 4 yds to the Fla 47Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
91.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Brandon RobinsonSimilar
Q2 7:15
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
91.8%
Javion Posey run for no gain to the Fla 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7DOWNS
8 plays · 51 yds · 3:3893% → 93%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
92.8%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Malik DavisSimilar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+6
92.8%
Emory Jones run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+21
92.6%
Malik Davis run for 21 yds to the FlAtl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+18
92.9%
Emory Jones pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 18 yds to the FlAtl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
92.9%
Emory Jones pass complete to for 2 yds to the FlAtl 10Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
92.9%
Emory Jones run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 2Similar
Q2 7:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.8%
Malik Davis run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 4Similar
Q2 3:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
92.6%
Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8DOWNS
13 plays · 57 yds · 3:268% → 8%
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
92.4%
Larry McCammon III run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 4Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+14
92.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 14 yds to the FlAtl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
92.1%
Malcolm Davidson run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 2
OWN 26
0
91.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Lajohntay WesterSimilar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+15
92.0%
Perry,N'Kosi sacked for loss of 6 yards to the FAU20 (Diabate,Mohamoud) PENALTY UFL Face Mask (Blades,Elijah) 15 yards from FAU26 to FAU41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
91.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Lajohntay WesterSimilar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+7
92.0%
Malcolm Davidson run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+7
91.4%
Malcolm Davidson run for 7 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
91.4%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Intentional Grounding (N'Kosi Perry) to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 17
OWN 48
0
92.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Brandon RobinsonSimilar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 17
OWN 48
+11
92.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Kelvin Dean Jr. for 11 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
91.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Brandon RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9END OF HALF
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:1193% → 94%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
93.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 4 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+10
93.1%
Emory Jones run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
93.9%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Anthony RichardsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:578% → 8%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
92.2%
Malcolm Davidson run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
91.9%
Malcolm Davidson run for no gain to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+6
92.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to John Mitchell for 6 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 4
OWN 38
0
91.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to TJ ChaseSimilar
Q3 12:58
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
92.1%
Matt Hayball punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11TD
17 plays · 88 yds · 6:1193% → 98%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
92.7%
Emory Jones pass complete to Justin Shorter for 5 yds to the Fla 17Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+4
92.7%
Malik Davis run for 4 yds to the Fla 21Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+10
92.4%
Emory Jones run for 10 yds to the Fla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
92.8%
Malik Davis run for 9 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+3
92.0%
Malik Davis run for 3 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
92.1%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Malik DavisSimilar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+6
92.0%
Dameon Pierce run for 6 yds to the Fla 49Similar
Q3 10:50
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+5
91.7%
Dameon Pierce run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
92.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Rick Wells for 13 yds to the FlAtl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
92.1%
Emory Jones run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
92.1%
Dameon Pierce run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 11Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+6
92.6%
Dameon Pierce run for 6 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
93.7%
Emory Jones pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 3 yds to the FlAtl 2Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
93.7%
Emory Jones run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 3Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.3%
Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 2:353% → 2%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
97.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 13 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
97.4%
Johnny Ford run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+3
97.4%
Javion Posey run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 6
OWN 42
-6
97.4%
N'Kosi Perry sacked by Khris Bogle for a loss of 6 yards to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q3 6:47
4TH & 12
OWN 36
-5
97.6%
PENALTY FAU Delay Of Game 5 yards from FAU36 to FAU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:12
4TH & 17
OWN 31
0
98.0%
Matt Hayball punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:4698% → 99%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
98.3%
Bowman,Demarkcus rush for 4 yards gain to the FAU37 (Gilbert,Zyon) PENALTY UFL Holding (Zipperer,Keon) 10 yards from FAU41 to UFL49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 20
OWN 49
+4
98.2%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 16
OPP 47
0
98.2%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Trent WhittemoreSimilar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 16
OPP 47
+4
98.2%
Emory Jones pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for 4 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q3 2:26
4TH & 12
OPP 43
0
98.6%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:322% → 2%
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
98.1%
Malcolm Davidson run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
98.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to TJ ChaseSimilar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
98.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Aaron YoungSimilar
Q3 2:26
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+6
98.2%
N'Kosi Perry run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q3 0:54
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
98.4%
Matt Hayball punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.1%
Emory Jones pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:562% → 1%
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-9
98.4%
N'Kosi Perry sacked by Zachary Carter for a loss of 9 yards to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 19
OWN 34
0
98.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Johnny Ford for no gain to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 34
0
98.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Brandon RobinsonSimilar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 19
OWN 34
0
98.8%
Matt Hayball punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Xzavier Henderson at the Fla 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:4699% → 99%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
99.1%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the Fla 21Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+5
99.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 5 yds to the Fla 26Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+4
99.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 4 yds to the Fla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.1%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 13
OWN 27
0
99.1%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Trent WhittemoreSimilar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 13
OWN 27
+3
99.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Justin Shorter for 3 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q4 12:04
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
99.3%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18FUMBLE
4 plays · 59 yds · 1:441% → 1%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+25
99.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to John Mitchell for 25 yds to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+39
98.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to D'Marcus Adams for 39 yds to the Fla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
98.7%
N'Kosi Perry sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 23Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 11
OPP 23
+4
98.9%
Javion Posey run for 4 yds to the Fla 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 2:3899% → 100%
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+26
99.4%
Anthony Richardson run for 26 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.4%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Rick Wells for 2 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+2
99.4%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Rick Wells for 2 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+2
99.4%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q4 10:20
4TH & 4
OPP 41
+36
99.4%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ja'Markis Weston for 36 yds to the FlAtl 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.4%
Richardson,Anthony pass incomplete to Henderson,Xzavier broken up by Gilbert,Zyon PENALTY FAU Pass Interference (Gilbert,Zyon) 3 yards from FAU05 to FAU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.4%
Malik Davis run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 1Similar
Q4 7:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Malik Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 3:080% → 1%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-10
99.9%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 19
OWN 23
+6
99.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Lajohntay Wester for 6 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 13
OWN 29
+4
99.9%
James Charles run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+9
99.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Lajohntay Wester for 9 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+46
99.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to D'Marcus Adams for 46 yds to the Fla 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
99.9%
FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (Ventrell Miller) to the Fla 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.9%
N'Kosi Perry run for 2 yds to the Fla 2Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.3%
Johnny Ford run for 2 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:44100% → 100%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.6%
Malik Davis run for 2 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+73
99.9%
Anthony Richardson run for 73 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)Similar
Q4 3:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
99.9%
PENALTY UFL Delay Of Game 5 yards from FAU03 to FAU08. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:060% → 1%
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
100.0%
Johnny Ford run for 20 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (Mordecai McDaniel) to the Fla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Je'Quan BurtonSimilar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+20
99.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 20 yds to the Fla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for no gain to the Fla 20Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-6
99.9%
N'Kosi Perry sacked by Tre'Vez Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 26Similar
Q4 3:43
3RD & 16
OPP 26
+13
99.9%
Perry,N'Kosi pass incomplete to Wester,LaJohntay broken up by Perkins,Jadarrius PENALTY UFL Roughing The Passer (Powell,Antwaun) 13 yards from UFL26 to UFL13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 13 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 23END OF 4TH QUARTER
10 plays · 27 yds · 1:32100% → 100%
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.8%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Ja'Quavion FraziarsSimilar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-10
99.8%
Bowman,Demarkcus rush for 0 yards to the UFL46 (Adams,Armani) PENALTY UFL Holding (White,Ethan) 10 yards from UFL46 to UFL36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 20
OWN 36
0
99.7%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Ja'Quavion FraziarsSimilar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 20
OWN 36
+22
99.7%
Anthony Richardson run for 22 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.8%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Kahleil JacksonSimilar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+11
99.8%
Anthony Richardson run for 11 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.8%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Kahleil JacksonSimilar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
99.8%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Demarkcus BowmanSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+4
99.8%
Demarkcus Bowman run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:47
Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK)
+4.6
TD · Q1 1:52
Emory Jones pass complete to Rick Wells for 9 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q4 4:27
Johnny Ford run for 2 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK)
-0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com