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FLA

Florida 20 at Oklahoma 55

OU
2020 · Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic · Dec 30, 2020 · AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadFLA aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreFLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-4.6OU 40.0%Evan McPherson 35 yd FG GOODAWAY 13 - HOME 17 · Q2 6:05
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:05 · Evan McPherson 35 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 75Home team on offense+0.2Pregame prior−15.1Score differential+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Blowout margin+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:08: Emory Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +8.1 pts (now 59%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 6:05: Evan McPherson 35 yd FG GOOD — FLA win probability +4.6 pts (now 60%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q2 4:08: Spencer Rattler pass complete to Theo Wease for 36 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) — OU win probability +10.7 pts (now 55%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:16: Spencer Rattler run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) — OU win probability +7.4 pts (now 71%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:58: Rhamondre Stevenson run for 15 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) — OU win probability +5.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 1 of 4FLA made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 8:08OU 4th & 2 at FLA 25, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.4%−0.4
    66% to make
    Punt
    36.1%−2.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:31FLA 4th & 3 at OU 3, down 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.4%−1.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    40.2%−10.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:02OU 4th & 7 at OU 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:05FLA 4th & 9 at OU 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    44.2%−6.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:50FLA 4th & 10 at OU 40, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.9%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    38.7%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:45FLA 4th & 13 at FLA 34, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−3.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:18OU 4th & 2 at OU 32, up 18
    Close callPunted · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:37FLA 4th & 13 at FLA 41, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−3.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:51OU 4th & 3 at FLA 3, up 18
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.8%−1.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    78.5%−9.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:23FLA 4th & 6 at FLA 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:53FLA 4th & 1 at OU 40, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.1%−0.6
    34% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:12FLA 4th & 3 at OU 3, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:03FLA 4th & 6 at FLA 29, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7FLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:59OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 12:22OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:08FLA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:08OU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:16OU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:58OU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:30OU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:11OU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:18FLA Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1TD
6 plays · 79 yds · 1:4527% → 28%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
26.7%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 5 yds to the Okla 26Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+25
27.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 25 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
27.4%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 16 yds to the Fla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
27.8%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 6 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+27
28.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marvin Mims for 27 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2INT TD
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:1472% → 71%
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
28.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Justin Shorter for 13 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-45
29.3%
Kyle Trask pass intercepted for a TD Tre Norwood return for 45 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3INT
8 plays · 43 yds · 3:0371% → 68%
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
29.5%
Dameon Pierce run for 4 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
30.1%
Dameon Pierce run for no gain to the Fla 29Similar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+10
31.0%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Rick Wells for 10 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
31.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Keon Zipperer for 13 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
31.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Keon Zipperer for 11 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
32.1%
Dameon Pierce run for 5 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 5
OPP 32
-29
32.4%
Kyle Trask pass intercepted Brian Asamoah return for 29 yds to the Okla 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4FG
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:3834% → 36%
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+22
34.3%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 22 yds to the Fla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
35.3%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 8 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 2
OPP 25
0
35.5%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Rhamondre StevensonSimilar
Q1 8:13
3RD & 2
OPP 25
0
35.4%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Trevon WestSimilar
Q1 8:08
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+43
36.2%
Gabe Brkic 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5INT
11 plays · 82 yds · 3:4864% → 60%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
36.4%
Kyle Trask pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+14
36.7%
Emory Jones run for 14 yds to the Fla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
37.3%
Malik Davis run for 2 yds to the Fla 24Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+25
38.0%
Emory Jones pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 25 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
38.7%
Malik Davis run for 4 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+22
38.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 22 yds to the Okla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
38.4%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Trey Dean IIISimilar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+13
38.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Ja'Markis Weston for 13 yds to the Okla 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
39.2%
Malik Davis run for 2 yds to the Okla 10Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
40.4%
Kyle Trask pass intercepted, touchback. Woodi Washington return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:3043% → 44%
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
42.7%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 8 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+4
43.2%
Marcus Major run for 4 yds to the Okla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
43.6%
Spencer Rattler run for 4 yds to the Okla 36 Spencer Rattler fumbled, forced by Trevon Grimes, recovered by Fla Trey Dean IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7FG
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:4558% → 57%
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
42.3%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Justin Shorter for 9 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+5
42.1%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 5 yds to the Okla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
42.7%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kemore Gamble for 13 yds to the Okla 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
43.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Rick Wells for 3 yds to the Okla 6Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
43.8%
Kyle Trask run for no gain to the Okla 6Similar
Q1 1:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
45.4%
Kyle Trask run for 3 yds to the Okla 3Similar
Q1 0:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
42.9%
Evan McPherson 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:1346% → 47%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
45.8%
Marcus Major run for 18 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
47.1%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Charleston RamboSimilar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
47.0%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Theo WeaseSimilar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+5
46.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Okla 48Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 5
OWN 48
-2
47.3%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Khris Bogle for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 46Similar
Q2 14:02
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
46.9%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Xzavier Henderson at the Fla 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9TD
17 plays · 88 yds · 5:4254% → 59%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
46.1%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kemore GambleSimilar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
46.5%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kemore GambleSimilar
Q2 13:26
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+10
47.0%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Keon Zipperer for 10 yds to the Fla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
47.1%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Keon Zipperer for 4 yds to the Fla 26Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+10
47.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Malik Davis for 10 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
47.5%
Emory Jones pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 18 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
47.3%
Dameon Pierce run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 47Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+8
48.9%
Emory Jones run for 8 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+8
48.5%
Emory Jones run for 8 yds to the Okla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
49.0%
Emory Jones pass complete to Rick Wells for 5 yds to the Okla 26Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 5
OPP 26
0
49.0%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Xzavier HendersonSimilar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+12
50.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 12 yds to the Okla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
49.8%
Emory Jones run for no gain to the Okla 14Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+13
48.7%
Emory Jones pass complete to Rick Wells for 13 yds to the Okla 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
49.3%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Xzavier HendersonSimilar
Q2 8:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
41.1%
Emory Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:1546% → 46%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
45.9%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 4 yds to the Okla 24Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+5
46.2%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 5 yds to the Okla 29 Rhamondre Stevenson fumbled, recovered by Fla Kaiir ElamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11FG
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:3559% → 60%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
41.5%
Dameon Pierce run for 11 yds to the Okla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
41.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Ja'Quavion Fraziars for 4 yds to the Okla 14Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 6
OPP 14
-3
42.2%
Kyle Trask sacked by Nik Bonitto for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 17Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 9
OPP 17
0
44.5%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kemore GambleSimilar
Q2 6:05
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+35
40.0%
Evan McPherson 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:3445% → 55%
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
44.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Seth McGowan for 18 yds to the Fla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-4
45.8%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Lloyd Summerall III for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 46Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 14
OPP 46
+10
44.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Drake Stoops for 10 yds Drake Stoops fumbled, recovered by Okla Drake StoopsSimilar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+36
55.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Theo Wease for 36 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13MISSED FG
7 plays · 35 yds · 1:1045% → 43%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
55.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for 9 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+26
54.2%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 26 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
53.7%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Rick WellsSimilar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
53.9%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Rick WellsSimilar
Q2 2:55
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
54.9%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Keon ZippererSimilar
Q2 2:50
4TH & 10
OPP 40
+58
56.9%
Evan McPherson 58 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 2:1659% → 71%
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
59.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trejan Bridges for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 39Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+20
59.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trejan Bridges for 20 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
61.9%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 4 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
62.1%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Charleston RamboSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 6
OPP 37
-5
61.1%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Tyrese Robinson) to the Fla 42Similar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 11
OPP 42
+11
60.9%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 11 yds to the Fla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
62.9%
Spencer Rattler run for 10 yds to the Fla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
63.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Austin Stogner for 12 yds to the Fla 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
63.2%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 8 yds to the Fla 1Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
70.6%
Spencer Rattler run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
71.4%
Dameon Pierce run for 7 yds to the Fla 25 FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (-12 Yards) to the Fla 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:1027% → 25%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
73.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Rick Wells for 12 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
72.8%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kemore GambleSimilar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
73.3%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 2 yds to the Fla 39Similar
Q3 13:54
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
74.1%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Justin ShorterSimilar
Q3 13:54
4TH & 8
OWN 39
-5
75.1%
FLORIDA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Fla 34Similar
Q3 13:45
4TH & 13
OWN 34
0
75.4%
Jacob Finn punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:0277% → 82%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
77.3%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 6 yds to the Okla 13Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+11
79.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Drake Stoops for 11 yds to the Okla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
80.8%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 7 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+1
82.8%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 1 yd to the Okla 32Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 2
OWN 32
0
83.0%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Rhamondre StevensonSimilar
Q3 11:18
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
82.4%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Xzavier Henderson at the Fla 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:1822% → 17%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+18
78.3%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 18 yds to the Fla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
77.3%
Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the Fla 46Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
77.7%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Keon ZippererSimilar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 8
OWN 46
-5
81.3%
Nay'Quan Wright run for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 41Similar
Q3 9:37
4TH & 13
OWN 41
0
82.7%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims at the Okla 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19FG
7 plays · 86 yds · 1:3486% → 91%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
85.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Seth McGowan for 5 yds to the Okla 16Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+79
87.0%
Seth McGowan run for 73 yds to the Fla 11 for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (6 Yards) to the Fla 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
87.3%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Marvin MimsSimilar
Q3 8:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
87.4%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Fla 15Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+12
87.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 12 yds to the Fla 3Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
87.7%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Rhamondre StevensonSimilar
Q3 7:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
91.3%
Gabe Brkic 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:219% → 8%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.9%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Justin ShorterSimilar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
91.1%
Malik Davis run for 18 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
91.1%
Emory Jones run for 4 yds to the Fla 47Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
91.3%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Ja'Markis WestonSimilar
Q3 6:31
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
91.5%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Kemore GambleSimilar
Q3 6:23
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
91.6%
Jacob Finn punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims at the Okla 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 87 yds · 2:1693% → 99%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+50
92.6%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 50 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
93.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Fla 32Similar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 5
OPP 32
+3
93.6%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 3 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+6
93.9%
Spencer Rattler run for 6 yds to the Fla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
94.2%
Marcus Major run for 8 yds to the Fla 15Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+15
99.3%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 15 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 22DOWNS
13 plays · 69 yds · 4:131% → 1%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+23
99.3%
Dameon Pierce run for 8 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
99.3%
Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+2
99.4%
Dameon Pierce run for 2 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+4
99.5%
Emory Jones run for 4 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q3 1:53
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+22
99.5%
Emory Jones run for 22 yds to the Okla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
99.4%
Emory Jones pass complete to Malik Davis for 9 yds to the Okla 9Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+1
99.4%
Malik Davis run for 1 yd to the Okla 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
99.5%
Emory Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 11Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+4
99.6%
Dameon Pierce run for 4 yds to the Okla 7Similar
Q4 14:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
99.6%
Emory Jones pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for 4 yds to the Okla 3Similar
Q4 14:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.4%
Emory Jones pass complete to Rick Wells for no gain to the Okla 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 97 yds · 3:34100% → 100%
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+7
99.6%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 7 yds to the Okla 10Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 3
OWN 10
0
99.6%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Theo WeaseSimilar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 3
OWN 10
+47
99.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Seth McGowan for 47 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
99.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Theo Howard for 5 yds to the Fla 38Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+25
99.7%
Spencer Rattler run for 25 yds to the Fla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
99.8%
Marcus Major run for no gain to the Fla 13Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-7
99.8%
Marcus Major run for 3 yds to the Fla 10 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Fla 20Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 17
OPP 20
+20
99.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 20 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Malik Davis run for 3 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
99.8%
Malik Davis run for 1 yd to the Fla 29Similar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Kemore GambleSimilar
Q4 9:03
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims at the Okla 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 25TD
6 plays · 79 yds · 2:41100% → 100%
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+19
99.8%
Marcus Major run for 19 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.9%
Marcus Major run for 6 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+2
99.9%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Mikey Henderson for 2 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+6
99.9%
Marcus Major run for 6 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Trevon WestSimilar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+46
99.9%
Marcus Major run for 46 yds for a TD, (Stephen Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 26TD
7 plays · 89 yds · 2:020% → 0%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+17
99.9%
Dameon Pierce run for 17 yds to the Fla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
99.9%
Anthony Richardson run for 8 yds to the Fla 36Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+6
99.9%
Anthony Richardson run for 6 yds to the Fla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.9%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 13 yds to the OKLAHOMA 45 FLORIDA Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the Fla 45Similar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 7
OWN 45
+28
99.9%
Anthony Richardson run for 28 yds to the Okla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
99.9%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Jordan Pouncey for 27 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 27END OF GAME
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:42100% → 100%
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Todd Hudson run for 4 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+18
99.9%
Mikey Henderson run for 18 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
99.9%
Todd Hudson run for 8 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 2
OPP 45
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 47Similar
Q4 0:22
3RD & 4
OPP 47
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:08
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Theo Wease for 36 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)
+10.7
TD · Q2 8:08
Emory Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)
-8.1
TD · Q2 0:16
Spencer Rattler run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)
+7.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com