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WKU

Western Kentucky 21 at Georgia State 39

GAST
2020 · LendingTree Bowl · Dec 26, 2020 · Ladd Peebles Stadium
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Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:48 · John Haggerty punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Terrance Dixon at the GeoSt 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 154Home team on offense+25.2Score differential+9.5Pregame prior+1.6Garbage-time factor+6.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.2Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:08: Destin Coates 11 Yd Run (Noel Ruiz Kick) — GAST win probability +5.9 pts (now 63%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:50: Sam Pinckney 26 Yd pass from Cornelious Brown IV (Noel Ruiz Kick) — GAST win probability +5.8 pts (now 70%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:07: Jamari Thrash 5 Yd pass from Cornelious Brown IV (Noel Ruiz Kick) — GAST win probability +7.7 pts (now 82%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:08: Cornelius McCoy 8 Yd pass from Cornelious Brown IV (Noel Ruiz PAT blocked) — GAST win probability +10.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:25: Gaej Walker 2 Yd Run (Brayden Narveson Kick) — WKU win probability +11.4 pts (now 21%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 5 of 6WKU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 14:11GAST 4th & 9 at GAST 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:10WKU 4th & 6 at WKU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:07WKU 4th & 9 at GAST 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    39.6%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    39.5%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:02GAST 4th & 2 at GAST 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    55.3%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:57WKU 4th & 17 at WKU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−1.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:14GAST 4th & 5 at GAST 34, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:00GAST 4th & 6 at WKU 28, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    78.5%−5.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:11WKU 4th & 1 at GAST 2, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.5%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    9.4%−2.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−7.9
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:19GAST 4th & 4 at WKU 12, up 16
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.5%−0.2
    86% to make
    Punt
    90.9%−3.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:48WKU 4th & 6 at WKU 31, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:41GAST 4th & 8 at GAST 31, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:54WKU 4th & 6 at WKU 37, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:15WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:08GAST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:50GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:07GAST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:08GAST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:25WKU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4460% → 60%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.8%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
59.8%
Cornelious Brown IV run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q1 14:28
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
59.8%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:11
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
59.8%
Michael Hayes punt for 51 yds, downed at the WKent 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4540% → 40%
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
59.8%
Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
59.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:17
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
59.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to C.J. JonesSimilar
Q1 13:10
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
59.9%
John Haggerty punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3INT
8 plays · 64 yds · 3:0760% → 60%
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+13
59.9%
Tucker Gregg run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+33
60.0%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 33 yds to the WKent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
60.2%
Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 26Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+2
60.4%
Cornelious Brown IV run for 2 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q1 11:11
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+15
60.3%
Cornelious Brown IV run for 15 yds to the WKent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
60.5%
Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd to the WKent 8Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
60.5%
Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd to the WKent 7Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
60.4%
Cornelious Brown IV pass intercepted, touchback. Devon Key return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4TD
16 plays · 80 yds · 5:1840% → 46%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
59.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dayton Wade for 1 yd to the WKent 21Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+8
59.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dakota Thomas for 8 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
59.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 2 yds to the WKent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
59.6%
Gaej Walker run for 5 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
59.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Dakota ThomasSimilar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+10
59.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 10 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
58.8%
Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 6
50
+12
58.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
58.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 1 yd to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
58.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:14
3RD & 9
OPP 37
0
58.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:07
4TH & 9
OPP 37
+11
59.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dakota Thomas for 11 yds to the GeoSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-10
58.1%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 20
OPP 36
+34
59.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Joshua Simon for 34 yds to the GeoSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
54.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome 2 Yd Run (Brayden Narveson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:5356% → 63%
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
55.9%
Destin Coates run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
55.9%
Destin Coates run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
55.8%
Destin Coates run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
56.3%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoySimilar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
55.5%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incomplete to Destin CoatesSimilar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+8
55.1%
Cornelious Brown IV run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 48Similar
Q1 2:02
4TH & 2
OWN 48
+8
55.8%
Destin Coates run for 8 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
56.4%
Destin Coates run for 2 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+19
56.3%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 19 yds to the WKent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
57.1%
Destin Coates run for 12 yds to the WKent 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
63.0%
Destin Coates 11 Yd Run (Noel Ruiz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · -7 yds · 1:0341% → 39%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
59.4%
Jakairi Moses run for 5 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 5
OWN 39
-1
58.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Jordan Strachan and Hardrick Willis for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 38Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
59.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 6
OWN 38
-6
60.1%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (-6 Yards) to the WKent 32Similar
Q2 14:03
4TH & 12
OWN 32
-5
60.6%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (-5 Yards) to the WKent 27Similar
Q2 13:57
4TH & 17
OWN 27
+55
60.7%
John Haggerty punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Quavian White at the GEORGIAST 33 GEORGIA ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the GeoSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7TD
12 plays · 82 yds · 3:4061% → 70%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
61.0%
Destin Coates run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 21Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+1
61.0%
Destin Coates run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+9
60.4%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 9 yds to the GeoSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
61.3%
Tucker Gregg run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 3
OWN 38
-5
62.5%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+2
61.4%
Cornelious Brown IV run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+7
60.9%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Aubry Payne for 7 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
62.4%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+13
61.8%
Jamyest Williams run for 13 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+20
63.2%
Jamyest Williams run for 20 yds to the WKent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
64.1%
Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 26Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+26
69.9%
Sam Pinckney 26 Yd pass from Cornelious Brown IV (Noel Ruiz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:2832% → 33%
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
68.0%
Pigrome, Tyrrell pass complete to Jones, C.J. for 10 yards to the 50 yardline, PENALTY WESTERNKY holding 10 yards to the WESTERNKY30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+6
69.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Steven Witchoskey for 6 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 14
OWN 36
+15
69.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Gaej Walker for 15 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
67.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass intercepted Antavious Lane return for no gain to the GeoSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9TD
13 plays · 77 yds · 5:2570% → 82%
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
69.8%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 5 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+3
70.0%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Roger Carter for 3 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+12
69.7%
Jamyest Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 28 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the GeoSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
71.6%
Destin Coates run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 47Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+4
71.9%
Destin Coates run for 4 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+2
71.6%
Destin Coates run for 2 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
72.4%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+9
72.3%
Cornelious Brown IV run for 9 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+5
72.4%
Destin Coates run for 5 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+23
73.4%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 23 yds to the WKent 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
73.6%
Destin Coates run for 3 yds to the WKent 7Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
73.8%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the WKent 5Similar
Q2 2:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
81.5%
Jamari Thrash 5 Yd pass from Cornelious Brown IV (Noel Ruiz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
77.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass intercepted, touchback. Jontrey Hunter return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 1:3881% → 93%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
81.2%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+21
81.2%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 6 yds to the GeoSt 26 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the GeoSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
82.1%
Destin Coates run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
82.0%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+11
81.6%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Jamyest Williams for 11 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
82.7%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
82.6%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incomplete to Jamyest WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 10
OPP 47
-5
82.0%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 48Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 15
OWN 48
+18
81.9%
Destin Coates run for 18 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+26
83.0%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Roger Carter for 26 yds to the WKent 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
83.2%
Jamyest Williams run for no gain to the WKent 8Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
83.2%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
93.2%
Cornelius McCoy 8 Yd pass from Cornelious Brown IV (Noel Ruiz PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
91.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 3:209% → 21%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
91.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 2 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+7
91.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dakota Thomas for 7 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+1
92.0%
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
91.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Joshua Simon for 10 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+40
91.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Joshua Simon for 40 yds to the GeoSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
90.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Joshua Simon for no gain to the GeoSt 4Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
90.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr. for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (2 Yards) to the GeoSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
78.8%
Gaej Walker 2 Yd Run (Brayden Narveson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 14FUMBLE
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:5782% → 83%
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
82.0%
Destin Coates run for 11 yds to the GeoSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
82.7%
Destin Coates run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+3
84.2%
Destin Coates run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 4
OWN 35
-1
84.0%
Destin Coates run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q3 9:14
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
83.4%
Michael Hayes punt for 34 yds , Travis Collier returns for no gain to the WKent 32 Travis Collier fumbled, recovered by GeoSt Jontrey HunterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15FG
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0186% → 89%
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
85.5%
Tucker Gregg run for 5 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 5
OPP 27
-1
85.6%
Cornelious Brown IV sacked by Darius Shipp for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 28Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 6
OPP 28
0
85.4%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:00
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+45
88.6%
Noel Ruiz 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16DOWNS
13 plays · 56 yds · 4:1916% → 13%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
83.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Malachi Corley for 9 yds to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+3
82.5%
Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
82.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to C.J. MarriaSimilar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
83.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+8
84.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Jordan Strachan for a loss of 7 yards to the GEORGIAST 47 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
83.2%
Gaej Walker run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
82.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr.Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+15
82.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Gaej Walker for 15 yds to the GeoSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
84.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Dayton Wade for 9 yds to the GeoSt 2Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 1
OPP 2
0
84.3%
Gaej Walker run for no gain to the GeoSt 2Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 1
OPP 2
0
85.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for no gain to the GeoSt 2Similar
Q3 3:11
4TH & 1
OPP 2
0
86.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17FG
15 plays · 85 yds · 6:2691% → 97%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
91.3%
Destin Coates run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 8Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+4
91.4%
Destin Coates run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 12Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+30
91.7%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 30 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
92.9%
Destin Coates run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+6
93.2%
Cornelious Brown IV run for 6 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q3 0:28
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+2
93.1%
Cornelious Brown IV run for 2 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
93.7%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WKent 42Similar
Q4 14:40
1ST & 5
OPP 42
+13
93.7%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 13 yds to the WKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
93.7%
Jamyest Williams run for 6 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 4
OPP 23
-3
94.5%
Jamyest Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 26Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+8
94.6%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 8 yds to the WKent 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
95.4%
Jamyest Williams run for 8 yds to the WKent 10Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 2
OPP 10
-2
95.7%
Jamyest Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 12Similar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 4
OPP 12
0
95.6%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incomplete to Roger CarterSimilar
Q4 11:19
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+29
97.4%
Noel Ruiz 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:235% → 4%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
95.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Noah Whittington for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 26Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 11
OWN 26
0
95.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to C.J. MarriaSimilar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+5
95.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Jakairi Moses for 5 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q4 9:48
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
96.0%
John Haggerty punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Terrance Dixon at the GeoSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:4998% → 98%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
97.7%
Jamyest Williams run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+3
97.7%
Jamyest Williams run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 4
OWN 35
-4
97.9%
Cornelious Brown IV run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q4 7:41
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
97.7%
Michael Hayes punt for 36 yds, downed at the WKent 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:344% → 3%
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
96.0%
Jakairi Moses run for 3 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
96.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:48
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+6
96.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 6 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q4 6:06
4TH & 1
OWN 42
-5
97.3%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 37Similar
Q4 5:54
4TH & 6
OWN 37
-10
97.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Tre Moore for a loss of 10 yards to the WKent 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21TD
1 play · 27 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
99.8%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the WKent 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 2:380% → 0%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.8%
C.J. Jones run for 6 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+10
99.8%
C.J. Jones run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
99.8%
C.J. Jones run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 3
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+32
99.8%
C.J. Jones run for 32 yds to the GeoSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 2Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
C.J. Jones run for 2 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 23Uncategorized
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:12100% → 100%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
99.9%
Makari Pruitt run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 48Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 13
OPP 48
-2
99.9%
Makari Pruitt run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 15
50
+1
99.9%
Makari Pruitt run for 1 yd to the WKent 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:25
Gaej Walker 2 Yd Run (Brayden Narveson Kick)
-11.4
TD · Q2 0:08
Cornelius McCoy 8 Yd pass from Cornelious Brown IV (Noel Ruiz PAT blocked)
+10
TD · Q2 2:07
Jamari Thrash 5 Yd pass from Cornelious Brown IV (Noel Ruiz Kick)
+7.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com