Try the model
HAW

Hawai'i 28 at Houston 14

HOU
2020 · New Mexico Bowl · Dec 24, 2020 · Toyota Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · HOU
modelHOU aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playHOU scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:27 · Laine Wilkins punt for 49 yds, downed at the Hawa 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 78Home team on offense−17.3Pregame prior+12.5Score differential−8.9Garbage-time factor−3.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:05: Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jonah Laulu for 4 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +12.6 pts (now 56%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:39: Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 7 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) — HOU win probability +13.7 pts (now 32%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:45: Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 26 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) — HOU win probability +22.4 pts (now 50%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:29: Bubba Baxa kickoff for 57 yds , Calvin Turner return for 92 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +26.7 pts (now 77%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:24: Calvin Turner run for 6 yds to the Hawa 48 — HAW win probability +8.0 pts (now 85%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HOU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11HAW made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 12:30HAW 4th & 20 at HAW 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:41HOU 4th & 8 at HAW 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:36HAW 4th & 14 at HAW 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:50HOU 4th & 9 at HOU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:42HAW 4th & 14 at HAW 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−2.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:22HOU 4th & 8 at HAW 41, down 14
    Close callPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    51.4%−0.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.7%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:31HOU 4th & 10 at HOU 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:05HAW 4th & 2 at HAW 45, up 21
    Close callPunted · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.3%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:27HOU 4th & 1 at HOU 23, down 21
    Close callPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:46HAW 4th & 7 at HAW 48, up 21
    Close callPunted · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.8%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:02HOU 4th & 13 at HOU 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−1.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:48HAW 4th & 4 at HAW 41, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:54HAW 4th & 1 at HOU 49, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    81.3%−3.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:15HAW 4th & 10 at HOU 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.2%
    51% to make
    Punt
    87.0%−1.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:54HOU 4th & 1 at HOU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.8%−2.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:06HOU 4th & 14 at HOU 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−1.0
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:02HAW 4th & 25 at HAW 10, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%−2.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:26HOU 4th & 6 at HAW 25, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.6 ptsWent for it · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%−1.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    6.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−2.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:19HAW 4th & 2 at HAW 47, up 14
    Close callPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%−0.6
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:44HOU 4th & 8 at HOU 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.5%−0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:24HOU 4th & 20 at HOU 41, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%−0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HOU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2HAW made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:43HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:35HAW Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:05HAW Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:39HOU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:45HOU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 2:1928% → 29%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
71.6%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 13 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
71.5%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 2 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+8
71.4%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 8 yds to the Houst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
71.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for no gain to the Houst 49Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-10
71.1%
Turner, Calvin rush for 6 yards to the HOUSTON43, PENALTY HAWAII holding (Soliai Howlett, Micah) 10 yards to the HAWAII41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 20
OWN 41
0
71.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jonah LauluSimilar
Q1 12:38
3RD & 20
OWN 41
0
71.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jonah PanokeSimilar
Q1 12:30
4TH & 20
OWN 41
0
71.3%
Adam Stack punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Houst 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 2INT
3 plays · -3 yds · 1:0771% → 71%
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
71.2%
Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the Houst 22Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-5
71.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Kyle Porter for a loss of 5 yards to the Houst 17Similar
Q1 11:18
3RD & 13
OWN 17
-2
70.8%
Clayton Tune pass intercepted Penei Pavihi return for 2 yds to the Houst 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3TD
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:3030% → 31%
Q1 11:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
70.4%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 5 yds to the Houst 3Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
69.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 3 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 3:5369% → 68%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
69.4%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Kyle Porter for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 19Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+7
69.1%
Kyle Porter run for 7 yds to the Houst 26Similar
Q1 9:14
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+8
68.7%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Peyton Sawyer for 8 yds to the Houst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
68.4%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 15 yds to the Houst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
68.6%
Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+5
68.4%
Kyle Porter run for 5 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 3
OPP 44
0
68.2%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Peyton SawyerSimilar
Q1 6:49
4TH & 3
OPP 44
-5
68.1%
HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (Max Banes) to the Hawa 49Similar
Q1 6:41
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
67.6%
Laine Wilkins punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Dior Scott at the Hawa 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:5633% → 33%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
67.4%
Calvin Turner run for 12 yds to the Hawa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
66.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 25Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 12
OWN 25
-2
66.8%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Deontay Anderson for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 23Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 14
OWN 23
0
66.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Melquise StovallSimilar
Q1 4:36
4TH & 14
OWN 23
+23
66.7%
Adam Stack punt for 40 yds , Marcus Jones returns for 23 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 6INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:4469% → 68%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
68.7%
Mulbah Car run for 1 yd to the Hawa 39Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 9
OPP 39
-2
67.9%
Clayton Tune pass intercepted Michael Washington return for 2 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
62.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for 75 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:3762% → 61%
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
61.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 15 yds to the Houst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
62.3%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel DellSimilar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
61.9%
Kyle Porter run for 4 yds to the Houst 44Similar
Q1 2:24
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-3
61.7%
Clayton Tune sacked by Khoury Bethley for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 41Similar
Q1 1:50
4TH & 9
OWN 41
+50
60.7%
Laine Wilkins punt for 50 yds , Dior Scott returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:0140% → 42%
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
60.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 5 yds to the Hawa 13Similar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+15
59.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 15 yds to the Hawa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
58.8%
Calvin Turner run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 25Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 13
OWN 25
-1
58.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 24Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 14
OWN 24
0
58.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Nick MardnerSimilar
Q2 14:42
4TH & 14
OWN 24
-3
58.5%
Adam Stack punt for 41 yds , Marcus Jones returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 3:1659% → 56%
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
58.7%
Kyle Porter run for no gain to the Houst 32Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
58.2%
Kyle Porter run for 4 yds to the Houst 36Similar
Q2 13:34
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+7
57.4%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Kyle Porter for 7 yds to the Houst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
57.9%
HOUSTON Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Houst 38Similar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 15
OWN 38
0
56.5%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel DellSimilar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+19
56.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 19 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
57.3%
Chandler Smith run for no gain to the Hawa 43Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
56.3%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Peyton SawyerSimilar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+2
55.9%
Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q2 11:22
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
55.8%
Laine Wilkins punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 3:0940% → 56%
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
60.3%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 15 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
59.8%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 1 yd to the Hawa 36Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+5
59.2%
Calvin Turner run for 5 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+52
58.3%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 52 yds to the Houst 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
57.2%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 4 yds to the Houst 3Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
56.9%
Dae Dae Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 4Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
44.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jonah Laulu for 4 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2143% → 42%
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
43.3%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Ke'Andre StreetSimilar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
42.5%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel DellSimilar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 10
OWN 23
0
42.4%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:31
4TH & 10
OWN 23
0
42.1%
Laine Wilkins punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dior Scott at the Hawa 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2057% → 58%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
43.2%
Dae Dae Hunter run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 34Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 13
OWN 34
0
43.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 13
OWN 34
+6
43.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 6 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q2 6:14
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+5
42.4%
HOUSTON Penalty, Running Into Kicker (5 Yards) to the Hawa 45Similar
Q2 6:05
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
42.1%
Adam Stack punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Damarion Williams at the Houst 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3239% → 37%
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
38.7%
Mulbah Car run for 4 yds to the Houst 18Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 6
OWN 18
0
38.0%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Ke'Andre StreetSimilar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 6
OWN 18
+5
37.6%
Clayton Tune run for 5 yds to the Houst 23Similar
Q2 4:27
4TH & 1
OWN 23
0
36.6%
Laine Wilkins punt for 49 yds, downed at the Hawa 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:3564% → 74%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
36.4%
Calvin Turner run for 3 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 7
OWN 31
0
35.8%
Dae Dae Hunter run for no gain to the Hawa 31Similar
Q2 3:12
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+14
35.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for 14 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
32.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Zion BowensSimilar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
32.2%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 3 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
26.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Melquise StovallSimilar
Q2 1:46
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
26.4%
Chevan Cordeiro punt for 18 yds, downed at the Houst 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:3232% → 30%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
32.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Kyle Porter for 3 yds to the Houst 37Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+4
32.6%
Kyle Porter run for 4 yds to the Houst 41Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 3
OWN 41
-10
32.5%
Clayton Tune sacked by Darius Muasau for a loss of 10 yards to the Houst 31Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 13
OWN 31
0
29.5%
Laine Wilkins punt for 40 yds, downed at the Hawa 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
22.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 18TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 7:1627% → 32%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
26.5%
Mulbah Car run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 23Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
25.7%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Peyton SawyerSimilar
Q3 14:24
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+13
25.4%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 13 yds to the Houst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
26.5%
Mulbah Car run for no gain to the Houst 36Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
25.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Tre'von Bradley for 7 yds to the Houst 43Similar
Q3 12:41
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+3
24.8%
Mulbah Car run for 3 yds to the Houst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
24.6%
Chandler Smith run for 3 yds to the Houst 49Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+7
24.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Tre'von Bradley for 7 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
24.2%
Chandler Smith run for 2 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+7
22.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Peyton Sawyer for 7 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+1
22.7%
Clayton Tune run for 1 yd to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
21.9%
Mulbah Car run for 7 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 3
OPP 27
0
21.8%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Tre'von BradleySimilar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+16
21.3%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 16 yds to the Hawa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
20.3%
Mulbah Car run for 2 yds to the Hawa 9Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+2
19.3%
Mulbah Car run for 2 yds to the Hawa 7Similar
Q3 7:39
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+7
31.7%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 7 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4676% → 78%
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
24.2%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 5 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+1
21.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 1 yd to the Hawa 41Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
21.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Melquise Stovall for no gain to the Hawa 41Similar
Q3 5:48
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
21.9%
Adam Stack punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Damarion Williams at the Houst 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 20TD
5 plays · 83 yds · 1:5126% → 50%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+39
25.7%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 39 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
27.4%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 6 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+12
27.2%
Mulbah Car run for 12 yds to the Hawa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
27.5%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Tre'von BradleySimilar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+26
49.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 26 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 22INT
6 plays · 38 yds · 1:5023% → 23%
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
22.8%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 11 yds to the Houst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
23.4%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Ke'Andre Street for 8 yds to the Houst 44Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+6
24.2%
Mulbah Car run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
22.5%
Clayton Tune sacked by Jeremiah Pritchard for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jeremiah Pritchard) to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
22.8%
Clayton Tune pass intercepted Darius Muasau return for 1 yd to the Hawa 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23MISSED FG
11 plays · 26 yds · 5:0985% → 91%
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
14.8%
Calvin Turner run for 6 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+2
14.4%
Calvin Turner run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:27
3RD & 2
50
+1
13.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 1 yd to the Houst 49Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+4
14.3%
Calvin Turner run for 4 yds to the Houst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
10.7%
Dae Dae Hunter run for no gain to the Houst 45Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
10.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Calvin TurnerSimilar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+13
10.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 13 yds to the Houst 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
9.4%
Dae Dae Hunter run for no gain to the Houst 32Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
8.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jonah Laulu for no gain to the Houst 32Similar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
8.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for no gain to the Houst 32Similar
Q4 11:15
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+49
8.9%
Matthew Shipley 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 3:0416% → 9%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
15.9%
Mulbah Car run for no gain to the Houst 32Similar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+9
12.5%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Peyton Sawyer for 9 yds to the Houst 41Similar
Q4 10:26
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
13.9%
Clayton Tune run for no gain to the Houst 41Similar
Q4 9:54
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+1
13.4%
Clayton Tune run for 1 yd to the Houst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
11.5%
Mulbah Car run for 1 yd to the Houst 43Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 9
OWN 43
-5
10.1%
Tune, Clayton pass complete to Trahan, Christian for 18 yards to the HAWAII39, PENALTY HOUSTON illegal shift 5 yards to the HOUSTON38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 14
OWN 38
0
8.8%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Peyton SawyerSimilar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 14
OWN 38
0
8.7%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel DellSimilar
Q4 8:06
4TH & 14
OWN 38
0
8.5%
Laine Wilkins punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 2:5994% → 96%
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
6.0%
Calvin Turner run for 8 yds to the Hawa 18Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+7
5.8%
Calvin Turner run for 7 yds to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-19
5.2%
Chevan Cordeiro run for a loss of 19 yards to the Hawa 6 Chevan Cordeiro fumbled, forced by Malik Robinson, recovered by Hawa Dae Dae HunterSimilar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 29
OWN 6
+9
4.8%
Calvin Turner run for 9 yds to the Hawa 15Similar
Q4 5:18
3RD & 20
OWN 15
-5
4.7%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Mannie Nunnery and Nelson Ceaser for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 10Similar
Q4 5:02
4TH & 25
OWN 10
0
4.4%
Adam Stack punt for 42 yds, downed at the Houst 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 26DOWNS
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:286% → 4%
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
5.8%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+23
5.3%
Clayton Tune run for 8 yds to the HOUSTON 44 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, Personal Foul (DJuan Matthews) to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
6.1%
Clayton Tune run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 31Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+6
4.3%
Mulbah Car run for 6 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q4 3:31
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
4.4%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Tre'von BradleySimilar
Q4 3:26
4TH & 6
OPP 25
-14
4.0%
Clayton Tune sacked by Khoury Bethley for a loss of 14 yards to the Hawa 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0298% → 98%
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
2.4%
Calvin Turner run for no gain to the Hawa 39Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
2.4%
Calvin Turner run for 7 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q4 2:32
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+1
2.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Michael Eletise for 1 yd to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 2:19
4TH & 2
OWN 47
+7
2.2%
Adam Stack punt for 44 yds , Nathaniel Dell returns for 7 yds to the Houst 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 28DOWNS
10 plays · 25 yds · 1:503% → 2%
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
2.8%
Mulbah Car run for 7 yds to the Houst 23Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 3
OWN 23
0
2.4%
Logan Holgorsen pass incomplete to Peyton SawyerSimilar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 3
OWN 23
0
2.5%
Logan Holgorsen pass incomplete to Peyton SawyerSimilar
Q4 1:52
4TH & 3
OWN 23
-5
2.4%
HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (Jack Freeman) to the Houst 18Similar
Q4 1:44
4TH & 8
OWN 18
+33
2.3%
Logan Holgorsen pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 33 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
2.5%
Mulbah Car run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 49Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 12
OWN 49
0
2.4%
Logan Holgorsen pass incomplete to Tre'von BradleySimilar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 12
OWN 49
-8
2.3%
Logan Holgorsen sacked by Jeremiah Pritchard for a loss of 8 yards to the Houst 41Similar
Q4 0:24
4TH & 20
OWN 41
0
2.2%
Logan Holgorsen pass incomplete to Christian TrahanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 29Uncategorized
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
1.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Houst 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:29
Bubba Baxa kickoff for 57 yds , Calvin Turner return for 92 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)
-26.7
TD · Q3 3:45
Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 26 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)
+22.4
TD · Q3 7:39
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 7 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)
+13.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com