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LSU

LSU 37 at Florida 34

FLA
2020 · Week 15 · Dec 12, 2020 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadLSU aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreLSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:23 · Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Kadarius Toney at the Fla 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 148Pregame prior+16.8Home team on offense+5.2Garbage-time factor+0.3Score differential+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:52: Kyle Trask 1 Yd Run (Evan McPherson Kick) — FLA win probability +16.1 pts (now 76%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q3 3:11: Kadarius Toney 9 Yd pass from Kyle Trask (Evan McPherson Kick) — FLA win probability +13.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:14: Tre Bradford 4 Yd pass from Max Johnson (Cade York Kick) — LSU win probability +22.2 pts (now 47%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 2:51: Evan McPherson 31 Yd Field Goal — FLA win probability +14.3 pts (now 61%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:23: Cade York 57 Yd Field Goal — LSU win probability +42.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 6 of 7LSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 10:51FLA 4th & 1 at LSU 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    91.4%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    90.9%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:28LSU 4th & 4 at LSU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:32FLA 4th & 2 at FLA 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:10LSU 4th & 4 at LSU 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:26LSU 4th & 7 at LSU 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:25FLA 4th & 5 at LSU 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    72.7%−4.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:06LSU 4th & 6 at LSU 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:29LSU 4th & 12 at FLA 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−2.3
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    30.9%−9.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:16LSU 4th & 11 at LSU 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−3.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:23LSU 4th & 1 at LSU 34, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:23FLA 4th & 9 at FLA 17, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%−2.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:52FLA 4th & 3 at FLA 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:47LSU 4th & 7 at FLA 39, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    57.4%−2.6
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%−2.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:20FLA 4th & 10 at FLA 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−3.8
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:49LSU 4th & 9 at FLA 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%−1.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:51FLA 4th & 13 at LSU 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%−12.8
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    21.9%−24.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:23LSU 4th & 9 at FLA 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%−4.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.7%
    36% to make
    Punt
    44.2%−8.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4LSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:01FLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:21LSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:59LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:25FLA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:33LSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:52FLA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:11FLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:14LSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1DOWNS
13 plays · 74 yds · 4:0593% → 93%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.4%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Trevon Grimes, broken up by Eli RicksSimilar
Q1 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+44
93.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 44 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
93.3%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 9 yds to the LSU 22Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 1
OPP 22
0
93.2%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kadarius Toney, broken up by Jay WardSimilar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+3
93.2%
Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds to the LSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
93.1%
Dameon Pierce run for 5 yds to the LSU 14Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+5
93.0%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kemore Gamble for 5 yds to the LSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
92.9%
Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds to the LSU 6Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
92.8%
Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds to the LSU 3Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
92.6%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kemore Gamble, broken up by JaCoby StevensSimilar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 0
OPP 3
+2
92.5%
LSU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Ali Gaye) to the LSU 1Similar
Q1 10:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
92.5%
Malik Davis run for no gain to the LSU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:198% → 8%
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
92.4%
Max Johnson run for 2 yds to the LSU 3Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 8
OWN 3
0
92.2%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jaray JenkinsSimilar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+4
92.3%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 4 yds to the LSU 7Similar
Q1 9:28
4TH & 4
OWN 7
0
92.2%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Kadarius Toney at the Fla 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 1:2092% → 93%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+22
92.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Keon Zipperer for 7 yds to the FLORIDA 45 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (Cordale Flott) to the LSU 30 for a 1ST down. Cordale Flott ejected for targeting.Similar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+24
92.1%
Malik Davis run for 24 yds to the LSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
92.0%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Justin Shorter for 5 yds to the LSU 1Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
91.9%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Justin Shorter, broken up by Dwight McGlothernSimilar
Q1 8:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.6%
Kyle Trask 1 Yd Run (Evan McPherson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 4TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:338% → 10%
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
92.3%
Max Johnson run for 10 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
92.2%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 9 yds to the LSU 44Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+10
92.0%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 10 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
91.9%
Max Johnson run for 14 yds to the Fla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
91.7%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Kayshon BoutteSimilar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
91.7%
Max Johnson pass complete to Koy Moore for 5 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+10
91.6%
Max Johnson pass complete to Koy Moore for 10 yds to the Fla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
91.4%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 8 yds to the Fla 9Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+7
91.3%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 7 yds to the Fla 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
91.2%
Max Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 5Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
89.7%
Jaray Jenkins 5 Yd pass from Max Johnson (Cade York Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4090% → 90%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.3%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 5 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
90.2%
Dameon Pierce run for 4 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
90.0%
Kadarius Toney run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 33Similar
Q1 2:32
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+2
89.6%
Jacob Finn punt for 56 yds , Koy Moore returns for 2 yds to the LSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:1311% → 12%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
89.4%
John Emery Jr. run for 4 yds to the LSU 17Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+6
89.2%
Max Johnson pass complete to John Emery Jr. for 6 yds to the LSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
89.0%
Max Johnson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 13 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
88.6%
John Emery Jr. run for no gain to the LSU 36Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
88.6%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to John Emery Jr.Similar
Q1 0:43
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+6
88.8%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jontre Kirklin for 6 yds to the LSU 42Similar
Q1 0:10
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
88.5%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kadarius Toney at the Fla 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7INT TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 2:0689% → 86%
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+10
88.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Rick Wells for 10 yds to the Fla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
88.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Malik Davis for 1 yd to the Fla 22Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+39
88.5%
Malik Davis run for 39 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
89.2%
Kyle Trask pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
89.1%
Malik Davis run for 4 yds to the LSU 35Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 6
OPP 35
-68
85.5%
Eli Ricks 68 Yd Interception Return (Cade York Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8INT
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:2784% → 84%
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.4%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Trevon GrimesSimilar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+26
84.2%
Kadarius Toney run for 26 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-11
85.0%
Kyle Trask sacked by Jaquelin Roy for a loss of 11 yards to the Fla 40Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 21
OWN 40
-5
83.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Fla 35Similar
Q2 11:07
2ND & 26
OWN 35
+50
82.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 50 yds to the LSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
84.3%
Kyle Trask pass intercepted Jay Ward return for no gain to the LSU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5518% → 18%
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
82.4%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Kayshon BoutteSimilar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+3
82.4%
Chris Curry run for 3 yds to the LSU 9Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 7
OWN 9
0
82.1%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jontre KirklinSimilar
Q2 9:26
4TH & 7
OWN 9
+11
82.2%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 51 yds , Kadarius Toney returns for 11 yds to the LSU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 2:5283% → 82%
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
82.7%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Malik Davis for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 46Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+6
81.1%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Malik Davis for 6 yds to the LSU 48Similar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+16
80.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 16 yds to the LSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+16
81.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 16 yds to the LSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+11
81.1%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 11 yds to the LSU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
80.8%
Kyle Trask pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
80.7%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Keon ZippererSimilar
Q2 6:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
80.1%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kemore GambleSimilar
Q2 6:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
81.9%
Evan McPherson 23 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1119% → 19%
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
80.7%
Max Johnson run for 2 yds to the LSU 27Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
80.3%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jaray Jenkins, broken up by Marco WilsonSimilar
Q2 5:39
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+2
80.9%
Max Johnson run for 2 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q2 5:06
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
81.0%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:3280% → 86%
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+18
80.1%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 18 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
81.5%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Dameon Pierce, broken up by Damone ClarkSimilar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
81.1%
Dameon Pierce run for 5 yds to the LSU 43Similar
Q2 3:41
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+22
80.6%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 22 yds to the LSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
81.2%
Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the LSU 19Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 8
OPP 19
0
80.7%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Dameon Pierce, broken up by JaCoby StevensSimilar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+19
86.4%
Jacob Copeland 19 Yd pass from Kyle Trask (Evan McPherson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 13TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 1:4616% → 28%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
84.4%
Max Johnson run for 3 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
84.2%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 9 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
83.8%
John Emery Jr. run for 3 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
82.9%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Kole TaylorSimilar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+15
83.5%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 15 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
81.8%
Max Johnson run for 3 yds to the Fla 42Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+6
81.7%
Max Johnson pass complete to Koy Moore for 6 yds to the Fla 36Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+2
82.9%
Max Johnson run for 2 yds to the Fla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
72.2%
Kayshon Boutte 34 Yd pass from Max Johnson (Cade York Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14FUMBLE
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:1475% → 77%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
75.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 17 yds to the Fla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
76.8%
Kyle Trask sacked by Ray Thornton for a loss of 17 yards to the Fla 25 Kyle Trask fumbled, forced by Ray Thornton, recovered by LSU BJ Ojulari , return for 6 yds to the Fla 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 15END OF HALF
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0430% → 34%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
70.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 21Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+39
65.8%
Cade York 39 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 16FG
21 plays · 63 yds · 6:2631% → 43%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
69.1%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 3 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q3 14:31
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
68.3%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 7 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
67.2%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Tyrion Davis-PriceSimilar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
67.3%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 8 yds to the LSU 43Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+5
65.9%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 5 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
64.5%
Max Johnson sacked by Brad Stewart Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 45Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 13
OWN 45
+24
65.1%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 24 yds to the Fla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
62.8%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Gervon Dexter) to the Fla 26Similar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 5
OPP 26
0
61.8%
John Emery Jr. run for no gain to the Fla 26Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+4
61.1%
Max Johnson run for 4 yds to the Fla 22Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+2
61.5%
Max Johnson run for 2 yds to the Fla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
60.2%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 7 yds to the Fla 13Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+2
59.6%
Max Johnson run for 2 yds to the Fla 11Similar
Q3 10:07
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+2
59.9%
Max Johnson run for 2 yds to the Fla 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
58.4%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jaray JenkinsSimilar
Q3 9:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
58.2%
Chris Curry run for 7 yds to the Fla 2Similar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 0
OPP 2
-10
58.3%
Curry, Chris rush for 1 yard to the FLORIDA1, PENALTY LSU holding (Hines, Chasen) 10 yards to the FLORIDA12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
58.7%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Tre BradfordSimilar
Q3 8:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+30
57.0%
Cade York 30 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:3056% → 77%
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
56.1%
Trask, Kyle pass incomplete to Copeland, Jacob, PENALTY LSU pass interference (McGlothern, Dwight) 15 yards to the FLORIDA40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDA.Similar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+49
57.6%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 49 yds to the LSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
60.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 10 yds to the LSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
59.9%
Dameon Pierce run for no gain to the LSU 1Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.9%
Kyle Trask 1 Yd Run (Evan McPherson Kick)Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 0
OPP 3
+2
77.2%
LSU Penalty, Defensive Offside (2 Yards) to the LSU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:2832% → 31%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
68.0%
Chris Curry run for 4 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
67.0%
Chris Curry run for 2 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-7
67.1%
Max Johnson sacked by Ventrell Miller for a loss of 7 yards to the LSU 24Similar
Q3 5:16
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
68.7%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 57 yds, downed at the Fla 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19TD
5 plays · 81 yds · 1:5969% → 86%
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
68.9%
Kyle Trask run for 6 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+40
68.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 40 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
73.4%
Malik Davis run for 6 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+20
73.0%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Malik Davis for 20 yds to the LSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
85.9%
Kadarius Toney 9 Yd pass from Kyle Trask (Evan McPherson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:4318% → 18%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
82.1%
Chris Curry run for 1 yd to the LSU 26Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
82.0%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jaray JenkinsSimilar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+8
82.7%
Max Johnson run for 8 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q3 2:23
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
82.2%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Kadarius Toney at the Fla 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5383% → 80%
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
82.6%
Dameon Pierce run for 1 yd to the Fla 17Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 9
OWN 17
0
82.2%
Kyle Trask pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:36
3RD & 9
OWN 17
0
81.0%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Jacob CopelandSimilar
Q3 1:23
4TH & 9
OWN 17
0
80.4%
Jacob Finn punt for 67 yds, downed at the LSU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 22TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 3:0219% → 47%
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
81.4%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kole Taylor for 4 yds to the LSU 20Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+9
81.3%
Chris Curry run for 9 yds to the LSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
80.8%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kole Taylor for 3 yds to the LSU 32Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
80.2%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Kayshon BoutteSimilar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+4
81.3%
Johnson, Max pass incomplete to Boutte, Kayshon, PENALTY FLORIDA pass interference (Wilson, Marco) 4 yards to the LSU36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU.Similar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
79.8%
Chris Curry run for 13 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+41
77.6%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 41 yds to the Fla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
75.5%
Chris Curry run for 4 yds to the Fla 6Similar
Q4 13:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
75.3%
Chris Curry run for 2 yds to the Fla 4Similar
Q4 13:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
53.0%
Tre Bradford 4 Yd pass from Max Johnson (Cade York Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1661% → 56%
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
60.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Malik Davis for 3 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
59.2%
Malik Davis run for 4 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q4 12:07
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
57.5%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Keon Zipperer, broken up by Jabril CoxSimilar
Q4 11:52
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
56.4%
Jacob Finn punt for 52 yds, downed at the LSU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 45 yds · 3:5747% → 58%
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
53.0%
Chris Curry run for 2 yds to the LSU 18Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+6
52.3%
Max Johnson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 6 yds to the LSU 24Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+2
49.5%
Chris Curry run for 2 yds to the LSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
47.6%
LSU Penalty, False Start (Dare Rosenthal) to the LSU 21Similar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+5
46.7%
Chris Curry run for 5 yds to the LSU 26Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+32
46.0%
Max Johnson pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 32 yds to the Fla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
40.3%
Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the Fla 39Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
39.1%
Josh Williams run for no gain to the Fla 39Similar
Q4 8:06
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
39.1%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Tre BradfordSimilar
Q4 7:47
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
41.6%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 38 yds, downed at the Fla 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2349% → 44%
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
49.3%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Trevon GrimesSimilar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
48.9%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kadarius ToneySimilar
Q4 7:28
3RD & 10
OWN 1
0
46.9%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Trevon Grimes, broken up by Jabril CoxSimilar
Q4 7:20
4TH & 10
OWN 1
0
44.4%
Jacob Finn punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Koy Moore at the Fla 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2464% → 65%
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
36.1%
Chris Curry run for 1 yd to the Fla 47Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
34.6%
Chris Curry run for no gain to the Fla 47Similar
Q4 5:57
3RD & 9
OPP 47
0
31.3%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Kayshon Boutte, broken up by Kaiir ElamSimilar
Q4 5:49
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
35.5%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Kadarius Toney at the Fla 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 27FG
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:4745% → 61%
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+31
45.1%
Kadarius Toney run for 31 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
48.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 15 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+30
49.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 30 yds to the LSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & 0
OPP 16
-7
52.7%
Kyle Trask sacked by Jaquelin Roy for a loss of 7 yards to the LSU 16 FLORIDA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Kyle Trask) to the LSU 16Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 0
OPP 16
+4
52.5%
Malik Davis run for 4 yds to the LSU 12Similar
Q4 3:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
-1
46.8%
Kyle Trask sacked by Andre Anthony for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 13Similar
Q4 2:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
61.1%
Evan McPherson 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 28FG
13 plays · 36 yds · 2:2246% → 93%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.0%
Max Johnson pass incomplete to Koy MooreSimilar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
54.2%
Max Johnson run for no gain to the LSU 25Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+19
54.4%
Max Johnson pass complete to Kole Taylor for 4 yds to the LSU 29 for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Marco Wilson) to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
47.4%
Max Johnson run for 9 yds to the Fla 47Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+7
44.7%
Chris Curry run for 7 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
44.0%
Chris Curry run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 42Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+4
47.2%
Chris Curry run for 4 yds to the Fla 38Similar
Q4 0:28
3RD & 8
OPP 38
-1
42.3%
Max Johnson pass complete to Koy Moore for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 39Similar
Q4 0:23
4TH & 9
OPP 39
+57
7.0%
Cade York 57 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 29Uncategorized
6 plays · 42 yds · 0:1419% → 22%
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
18.7%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 15 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
20.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 18 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
21.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 9 yds to the LSU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:23
Cade York 57 Yd Field Goal
-42.2
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-27
TD · Q4 13:14
Tre Bradford 4 Yd pass from Max Johnson (Cade York Kick)
-22.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com