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HAW

Hawai'i 24 at San José State 35

SJSU
2020 · Week 14 · Dec 5, 2020 · CEFCU Stadium
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Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:48 · Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 118Home team on offense−1.5Score differential−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2Garbage-time factor−1.1Pregame prior−2.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 9:21: Matthew Shipley 25 yd FG GOOD — SJSU win probability +6.8 pts (now 41%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:48: Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Rico Bussey for 11 yds for a TD HAWAII Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (Micah Vanterpool) to the SJSt 8 (Matthew Shipley KICK) — SJSU win probability +14.0 pts (now 43%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:17: Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK) — HAW win probability +16.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:03: Nick Starkel pass complete to Tre Walker for 50 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK) — HAW win probability +17.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:24: Chevan Cordeiro run for 4 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +48.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7HAW made the numbers' call on 1 of 10
  1. Q1 11:36HAW 4th & 5 at SJSU 14, up 7
    Close callPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    55.6%
    84% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:28HAW 4th & 5 at SJSU 25, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    57.7%−<0.1
    66% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%−1.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:48HAW 4th & 6 at SJSU 24, up 21
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.0 ptsPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    65.4%
    68% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.5%−2.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:25SJSU 4th & 9 at HAW 40, down 21
    Close callPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    34.4%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.5%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:03HAW 4th & 4 at SJSU 26, up 21
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    68.7%−0.2
    64% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%−2.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00SJSU 4th & 23 at SJSU 48, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:16SJSU 4th & 8 at HAW 49, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:19HAW 4th & 9 at SJSU 21, up 18
    Numbers favored field goal by 6.6 ptsPunted · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.4%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    74.5%
    74% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%−6.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:55SJSU 4th & 12 at SJSU 46, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:48SJSU 4th & 1 at HAW 39, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    40.8%−4.6
    36% to make
    Punt
    41.0%−4.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:14SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.0%−2.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:53HAW 4th & 6 at SJSU 47, up 11
    Close callPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.1%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:58HAW 4th & 1 at SJSU 35, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    92.9%−1.9
    45% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−2.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:58HAW 4th & 7 at SJSU 40, up 18
    Close callPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    94.3%−0.7
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.4%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:25SJSU 4th & 5 at HAW 28, down 18
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.8 ptsPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    5.3%
    60% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%−2.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:04HAW 4th & 16 at HAW 41, up 18
    Numbers favored punt by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.1%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    97.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:24HAW 4th & 4 at HAW 4, up 18
    Close callWent for it · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.0%−0.3
    43% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3HAW made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:43HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:36HAW Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:24HAW Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:12SJSU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:48SJSU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:17HAW Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:03HAW Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:24SJSU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.7%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:1745% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
44.5%
Kairee Robinson run for 9 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+3
44.5%
Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
44.5%
Nick Starkel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+28
44.5%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Sam Olson for 28 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
45.0%
Kairee Robinson run for 20 yds to the Hawa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
44.9%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 12 yds to the Hawa 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 3
OWN 3
0
44.9%
Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the Hawa 3Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 3
OWN 3
+1
44.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the Hawa 2Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 2
OWN 2
+2
44.3%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Isaiah Holiness for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 11:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
43.9%
Calvin Turner run for 2 yds to the Hawa 11Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+3
43.9%
Miles Reed run for 3 yds to the Hawa 14Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
43.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:36
4TH & 5
OPP 14
0
44.1%
Adam Stack punt for 61 yds, fair catch by Kenyon Reed at the SJSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:2845% → 43%
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
44.9%
Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+72
42.8%
Tyler Nevens run for 72 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
44.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jared SmartSimilar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+2
44.0%
Miles Reed run for 2 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+3
44.1%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 3 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q1 9:28
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+21
44.3%
Adam Stack punt for 49 yds , Kenyon Reed returns for 21 yds to the SJSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 53 yds · 1:5743% → 41%
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+20
43.2%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 20 yds to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
42.6%
Kairee Robinson run for 7 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+2
42.7%
Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q1 8:21
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+5
42.5%
Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds to the Hawa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
42.4%
Isaiah Holiness run for 9 yds to the Hawa 10Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 1
OWN 10
+10
41.3%
Tyler Nevens run for 10 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
43.4%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 4 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
43.4%
Calvin Turner run for no gain to the Hawa 24Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
43.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Miles ReedSimilar
Q1 5:48
4TH & 6
OPP 24
0
44.1%
Adam Stack punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Kenyon Reed at the SJSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
40.8%
Nick Starkel run for 1 yd to the SJSt 40Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 9
OPP 40
0
40.7%
Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the SJSt 40Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 9
OPP 40
0
40.5%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Tre WalkerSimilar
Q1 4:25
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
40.4%
Elijah Fischer punt for 50 yds , Dior Scott returns for no gain to the Hawa 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q1 3:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
42.4%
Miles Reed run for 10 yds to the Hawa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
42.4%
Miles Reed run for 5 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
42.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:03
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+1
42.5%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 1 yd to the Hawa 26Similar
Q1 3:03
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+8
43.3%
Adam Stack punt for 42 yds , Kenyon Reed returns for 8 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 1:4337% → 35%
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
37.4%
Nick Nash run for 8 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+4
37.6%
Nick Nash run for 4 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
37.3%
Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 13 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
35.0%
Nick Nash run for 5 yds to the Hawa 30 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, illegal block (Tre Walker) to the Hawa 45Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 45
0
35.6%
Nick Nash pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 45
0
35.4%
Nick Nash run for no gain to the Hawa 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 45
-3
35.2%
Nick Nash sacked by Penei Pavihi for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 48Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 23
OWN 48
0
35.3%
Elijah Fischer punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10FG
13 plays · 72 yds · 3:4864% → 59%
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
35.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Melquise Stovall for no gain to the Hawa 20Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+8
35.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for 8 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+14
35.7%
Melquise Stovall run for 14 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
36.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 13 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
36.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Rico Bussey for 10 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
36.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 10 yds to the SJSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
36.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 12 yds to the SJSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
37.1%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 5 yds to the SJSt 8Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 5
OWN 8
0
33.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jonah PanokeSimilar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 5
OWN 8
0
33.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jonah Panoke, broken up by Kyle HarmonSimilar
Q2 9:21
4TH & 5
OWN 8
+25
40.6%
Matthew Shipley 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:0034% → 32%
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+27
33.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 27 yds to the SJSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
32.6%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Isaiah HolinessSimilar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
32.5%
Isaiah Holiness run for no gain to the SJSt 47Similar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+2
32.1%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 2 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q2 9:16
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
31.6%
Elijah Fischer punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0066% → 63%
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
34.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Calvin TurnerSimilar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
34.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Rico Bussey for 5 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q2 7:19
3RD & 5
OPP 25
-10
34.5%
HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (Micah Vanterpool) to the Hawa 15Similar
Q2 7:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+6
34.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Miles Reed for 6 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q2 7:19
4TH & 9
OPP 21
0
36.9%
Adam Stack punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kenyon Reed at the SJSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
28.7%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Bailey Gaither, broken up by Isaiah TufagaSimilar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
28.6%
Nick Starkel pass intercepted Isaiah Tufaga return for no gain to the SJSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14TD
6 plays · 39 yds · 2:1467% → 66%
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
32.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jared Smart, broken up by Dion LeonardSimilar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+13
33.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 13 yds to the SJSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
33.7%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, face mask (13 yards) (Viliami Fehoko) to the SJSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
35.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Melquise Stovall for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 15Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+5
35.2%
Calvin Turner run for 5 yds to the SJSt 10Similar
Q2 3:12
3RD & 7
OWN 10
+10
33.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 10 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:1737% → 32%
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
36.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 6 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+25
36.9%
Kairee Robinson run for 25 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
34.7%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Tre Walker) to the Hawa 49Similar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 15
OWN 49
0
34.5%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Tre WalkerSimilar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 15
OWN 49
+3
34.2%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Andre Crump for 3 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q2 3:12
3RD & 12
OWN 46
0
33.3%
Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the Hawa 46Similar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 12
OWN 46
0
31.7%
Elijah Fischer punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16INT
4 plays · 35 yds · 0:0073% → 71%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
26.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 8 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+27
26.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 27 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
28.7%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
28.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass intercepted, touchback. Jay Lenard return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
35.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18TD
14 plays · 74 yds · 5:0771% → 57%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
29.2%
Calvin Turner pass incomplete to Jared SmartSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+8
29.4%
Calvin Turner run for 8 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+2
29.8%
Calvin Turner run for 2 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
29.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 4 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+5
29.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 5 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
29.6%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
28.4%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 4 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+7
28.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 7 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
28.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Rico Bussey for 13 yds to the SJSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
29.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 9 yds to the SJSt 20Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+9
29.3%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 9 yds to the SJSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+11
43.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Rico Bussey for 11 yds for a TD HAWAII Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (Micah Vanterpool) to the SJSt 8 (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19TD
23 plays · 70 yds · 7:3151% → 22%
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
51.2%
Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the SJSt 30Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-10
51.0%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Kyle Hoppe) to the SJSt 20Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
0
50.3%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Derrick Deese Jr.Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 20
+19
46.3%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 19 yds to the SJSt 39Similar
Q3 9:48
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+3
47.1%
Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
48.8%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Isaiah Holiness for 5 yds to the SJSt 47Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+5
48.9%
Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
48.1%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Kairee RobinsonSimilar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+14
47.7%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Tre Walker for 14 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
45.1%
Kairee Robinson run for 7 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
45.2%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Bailey GaitherSimilar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+2
43.7%
Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q3 5:14
4TH & 1
OWN 25
+2
43.0%
Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the Hawa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
44.2%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Isaiah HolinessSimilar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
43.9%
Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q3 5:14
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+12
42.8%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 12 yds to the Hawa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 9
OWN 9
+4
43.4%
Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the Hawa 5Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 5
OWN 5
+3
43.2%
Nick Nash run for 3 yds to the Hawa 2Similar
Q3 2:17
3RD & 2
OWN 2
+2
21.9%
Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 2:2482% → 81%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
18.3%
Miles Reed run for 7 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+1
17.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 1 yd to the Hawa 33Similar
Q3 2:17
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+10
18.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Rico Bussey for 10 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
19.1%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 3 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+1
19.2%
Miles Reed run for 1 yd to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
17.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Dae Dae HunterSimilar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
18.7%
Chevan Cordeiro punt for 33 yds, downed at the SJSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:4427% → 6%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
27.4%
Tyler Nevens run for 6 yds to the SJSt 26Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+5
27.4%
Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
27.1%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Tyler Nevens, broken up by Khoury BethleySimilar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+19
26.7%
Kairee Robinson run for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
50
0
23.9%
Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
50
0
23.3%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Bailey GaitherSimilar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 10
50
+50
5.8%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Tre Walker for 50 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 0:0065% → 61%
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
34.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Melquise StovallSimilar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
35.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Dae Dae HunterSimilar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+9
36.2%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 9 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q4 11:58
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+2
36.4%
Calvin Turner run for 2 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
36.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Rico Bussey for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 35Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 12
OPP 35
0
36.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jared Smart, broken up by Tre WebbSimilar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 12
OPP 35
+5
36.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 5 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q4 11:58
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
39.4%
Adam Stack punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
5.6%
Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 6
OPP 27
-2
5.6%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 25Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+3
5.1%
Nick Nash run for 3 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q4 9:25
4TH & 5
OPP 28
0
4.9%
Elijah Fischer punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 24TD
13 plays · 60 yds · 4:4065% → 95%
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
34.8%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Tre Webb) to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
36.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Rico Bussey for 10 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
38.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 3 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+4
39.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for 4 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 3
OWN 28
-8
39.9%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Viliami Fehoko for a loss of 8 yards to the SJSt 36Similar
Q4 7:04
4TH & 11
OWN 36
-5
38.3%
HAWAII Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 41Similar
Q4 7:04
4TH & 16
OWN 41
+26
40.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 26 yds to the SJSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
41.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Rico Bussey for 12 yds to the SJSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 3
OWN 3
-5
53.1%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Solo Vaipulu) to the SJSt 8Similar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 8
OWN 8
+5
45.8%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 5 yds to the SJSt 3Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 3
OWN 3
-1
53.5%
Calvin Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 4Similar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 4
OWN 4
0
54.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Rico Bussey, broken up by Tre JenkinsSimilar
Q4 2:24
4TH & 4
OWN 4
+4
5.3%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 4 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 25END OF GAME
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
5.2%
Tyler Nevens run for 6 yds to the Hawa 39Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+8
5.3%
Tyler Nevens run for 8 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
4.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 32Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 11
OWN 32
-2
4.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+95.2
TD · Q4 2:24
Chevan Cordeiro run for 4 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)
-48.9
TD · Q4 12:03
Nick Starkel pass complete to Tre Walker for 50 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)
-17.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com