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NEV

Nevada 21 at Hawai'i 24

HAW
2020 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2020 · Aloha Stadium
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadNEV aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreNEV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Julian Diaz punt for 44 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+21.5+10.80−10.8−21.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 16Pregame prior−20.7Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score differential+0.0Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:59: Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for 7 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +13.6 pts (now 51%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:20: Miles Reed run for 4 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +16.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:28: Toa Taua run for 1 yd for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK) — NEV win probability +22.3 pts (now 50%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:31: Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +17.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:38: Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 18 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK) — NEV win probability +24.8 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 3 of 4NEV made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00NEV 4th & 1 at HAW 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    66.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 15:00NEV 4th & 16 at HAW 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    66.5%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:22HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:37NEV 4th & 13 at NEV 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:11HAW 4th & 5 at NEV 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    39.5%−2.9
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−1.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:07NEV 4th & 11 at HAW 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    45.8%−1.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
  8. Q4 9:31NEV 4th & 1 at HAW 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.8%−2.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 5:24HAW 4th & 6 at NEV 26, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.2%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    70.6%
    64% to make
    Punt
    54.9%−15.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 3 of 3NEV made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 2:57NEV Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:59HAW Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:20HAW Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:28NEV Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:31HAW Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:38NEV Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.4%−1.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEVDrive 1PUNT
16 plays · 43 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
29.3%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+7
29.3%
Toa Taua run for 7 yds to the Nevad 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+20
29.3%
Devonte Lee run for 20 yds to the Nevad 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
29.3%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+5
29.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 5 yds to the Nevad 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+2
29.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 2 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+1
29.3%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
29.3%
Carson Strong pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+7
29.3%
Toa Taua run for 7 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+3
29.3%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
29.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 6 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 32
0
29.3%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Cole TurnerSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+3
29.3%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 29
-15
29.3%
NEVADA Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Hawa 44Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 16
OPP 44
0
29.3%
Julian Diaz punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
32.7%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 3 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
32.7%
Miles Reed run for 2 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+5
32.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 5 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
32.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Rico Bussey for 10 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
33.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for 5 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+4
33.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Rico Bussey for 4 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 1
OWN 49
-2
33.2%
Miles Reed run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 47Similar
Q1 7:22
4TH & 3
OWN 47
-5
32.8%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Rico Bussey) to the Hawa 42Similar
Q1 7:22
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
32.5%
Adam Stack punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:2766% → 65%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+19
34.2%
Devonte Lee run for 19 yds to the Nevad 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+21
34.0%
Toa Taua run for 21 yds to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
33.2%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 46Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+3
33.2%
Devonte Lee run for 3 yds to the Nevad 49Similar
Q1 1:37
3RD & 6
OWN 49
-5
33.4%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (Cole Turner) to the Nevad 44Similar
Q1 1:37
3RD & 11
OWN 44
-2
34.3%
Carson Strong sacked by Darius Muasau for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 42Similar
Q1 1:37
4TH & 13
OWN 42
-2
35.0%
Julian Diaz punt for 50 yds , Dior Scott returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 6 Dior Scott fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4FG
15 plays · 80 yds · 5:2935% → 41%
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
35.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for 4 yds to the Hawa 10Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+1
35.6%
Miles Reed run for 1 yd to the Hawa 11Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 11
+10
35.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 10 yds to the Hawa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
36.1%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 6 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+6
36.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Miles Reed for 6 yds to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
36.3%
Miles Reed run for no gain to the Hawa 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+23
36.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 23 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
37.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jonah PanokeSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+6
37.7%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 6 yds to the Nevad 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+19
37.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for 19 yds to the Nevad 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
38.1%
Miles Reed run for 1 yd to the Nevad 18Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 9
OPP 18
-2
40.5%
Calvin Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 20Similar
Q2 11:37
3RD & 11
OPP 20
+6
39.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Miles Reed for 6 yds to the Nevad 14Similar
Q2 10:11
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+31
40.7%
Matthew Shipley 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 5TD
14 plays · 81 yds · 7:0859% → 69%
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
40.7%
Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the Nevad 24Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+6
40.5%
Carson Strong pass complete to Devonte Lee for 6 yds to the Nevad 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
40.4%
Devonte Lee run for 7 yds to the Nevad 37Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+8
39.5%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 8 yds to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
39.0%
Devonte Lee run for 3 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+3
38.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Will Barnard for 3 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+5
38.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 5 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
38.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 2 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+26
38.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 26 yds to the Hawa 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
37.6%
Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the Hawa 10Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+3
37.6%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Hawa 7Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+3
38.4%
Devonte Lee run for 3 yds to the Hawa 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
31.0%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 4 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 1:5835% → 51%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
35.3%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Sam Hammond for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 19Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+21
33.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 21 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
35.9%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 35Similar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 15
OWN 35
-8
33.5%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Sam Hammond and Dom Peterson for a loss of 8 yards to the Hawa 27Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 23
OWN 27
+8
34.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to N/A for 8 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 15
OWN 35
+25
31.2%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 25 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
35.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Rico Bussey for 13 yds to the Nevad 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
37.6%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 12 yds to the Nevad 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
37.6%
NEVADA Penalty, personal foul (Lamin Touray) to the Nevad 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
51.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for 7 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 7END OF HALF
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
48.3%
Toa Taua run for 12 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
47.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 36Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 11
OWN 36
-5
48.0%
NEVADA Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 31Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 16
OWN 31
+4
48.7%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 4 yds to the Nevad 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0047% → 45%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
47.2%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 5 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
47.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for 5 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
47.5%
Miles Reed run for no gain to the Hawa 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
47.3%
Miles Reed run for no gain to the Hawa 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
46.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Miles ReedSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
45.1%
Adam Stack punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Charles Ross at the Nevad 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 40 yds · 4:2252% → 50%
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+17
48.4%
Toa Taua run for 17 yds to the Nevad 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
47.5%
Devonte Lee run for 3 yds to the Nevad 38Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+10
46.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 10 yds to the Nevad 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
45.2%
Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+7
44.8%
Devonte Lee run for 7 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
44.8%
N/A run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 43Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 12
OPP 43
0
45.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for no gain to the Hawa 43Similar
Q3 8:07
3RD & 12
OPP 43
-5
47.9%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (Romeo Doubs) to the Hawa 48Similar
Q3 8:07
3RD & 17
OPP 48
+6
49.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 6 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q3 8:07
4TH & 11
OPP 42
0
50.3%
Carson Strong punt for 41 yds, downed at the Hawa 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10TD
13 plays · 99 yds · 4:0252% → 78%
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+6
51.8%
Miles Reed run for 6 yds to the Hawa 7Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 4
OWN 7
+2
51.4%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds to the Hawa 9Similar
Q3 7:22
3RD & 2
OWN 9
+15
49.9%
NEVADA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Berdale Robins) to the Hawa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
52.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for no gain to the Hawa 24Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
52.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:22
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+11
51.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to N/A for 11 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
53.4%
Miles Reed run for 6 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+2
56.0%
Miles Reed run for 2 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q3 7:22
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+30
54.9%
Calvin Turner run for 30 yds to the Nevad 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
58.1%
NEVADA Penalty, personal foul (Christopher Love) to the Nevad 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
58.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 9 yds to the Nevad 4Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+4
78.0%
Miles Reed run for 4 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 11TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:5224% → 50%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.8%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Toa TauaSimilar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
76.1%
Toa Taua run for 17 yds to the Nevad 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
74.1%
Devonte Lee run for no gain to the Nevad 42Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+10
74.7%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 10 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
72.5%
Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 17 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
71.0%
Devonte Lee run for 1 yd to the Hawa 30Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+15
71.2%
HAWAII Penalty, roughing passer (John Tuitupou) to the Hawa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
70.4%
Devonte Lee run for 4 yds to the Hawa 11Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+10
75.4%
Toa Taua run for 10 yds to the Hawa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
50.2%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:5763% → 86%
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q4 14:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
62.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for 11 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
64.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:28
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
63.8%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 4 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q4 14:28
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+6
64.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to N/A for 6 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
67.0%
Miles Reed run for 6 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q4 14:28
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+1
67.7%
Miles Reed run for 1 yd to the Nevad 47Similar
Q4 14:28
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+4
66.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for 4 yds to the Nevad 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+19
67.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Rico Bussey for 19 yds to the Nevad 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
68.4%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 4 yds to the Nevad 20Similar
Q4 14:28
2ND & 6
OPP 20
0
68.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:28
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+14
67.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to N/A for 14 yds to the Nevad 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
68.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 4 yds to the Nevad 2Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
85.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 13TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:5313% → 43%
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
86.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 19 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
84.3%
Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
84.3%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Cole TurnerSimilar
Q4 9:31
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+5
84.7%
Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 9:31
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+2
84.9%
Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
83.2%
Devonte Lee run for 7 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+18
82.7%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 18 yds to the Hawa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
81.5%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Melquan StovallSimilar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+2
82.1%
Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the Hawa 18Similar
Q4 5:38
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+18
57.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 18 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14END OF GAME
17 plays · 38 yds · 3:5476% → 89%
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
76.3%
Miles Reed run for no gain to the Nevad 46Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+16
75.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for 16 yds to the Nevad 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
76.9%
Miles Reed run for 4 yds to the Nevad 26Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+3
76.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 3 yds to the Nevad 23Similar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 3
OPP 23
-3
75.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 26Similar
Q4 5:24
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+9
73.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for 9 yds to the Nevad 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
76.9%
Melquise Stovall run for 4 yds to the Nevad 13Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+4
89.0%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 4 yds to the Nevad 9Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 2
OPP 9
-5
88.5%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Solo Vaipulu) to the Nevad 14Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+12
88.7%
NEVADA Penalty, Defensive pass interference (12 Yards) to the Nevad 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
90.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 4Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
90.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 6Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
88.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:38
Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 18 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)
-24.8
TD · Q4 14:28
Toa Taua run for 1 yd for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)
-22.3
TD · Q4 9:31
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)
+17.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com