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BOIS

Boise State 40 at Hawai'i 32

HAW
2020 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2020 · Aloha Stadium
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadBOIS aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreBOIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Joel Velazquez punt for 27 yds, downed at the Hawa 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior−33.2Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:54: CT Thomas pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 3 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +9.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:54: Matthew Shipley kickoff for 64 yds , Avery Williams return for 99 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +10.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:18: Andrew Van Buren run for 11 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +6.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:36: Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for 36 yds for a TD Timeout HAWAII, clock 05:36 (C. Turner Run For Two-point Conversion) — HAW win probability +7.6 pts (now 13%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:52: Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 4 yds for a TD (C. Turner Run For Two-point Conversion) — HAW win probability +10.3 pts (now 16%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 9 of 10BOIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00BOIS 4th & 1 at BOIS 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:57HAW 4th & 14 at HAW 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:14BOIS 4th & 11 at BOIS 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:36HAW 4th & 8 at BOIS 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    24.3%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:13BOIS 4th & 15 at HAW 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%−0.9
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    68.5%−2.5
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:26HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:09BOIS 4th & 11 at HAW 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.7%
    64% to make
    Punt
    66.9%−2.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:09HAW 4th & 3 at HAW 47, down 3
    Close callPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:20HAW 4th & 5 at HAW 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:06HAW 4th & 5 at HAW 21, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:54HAW 4th & 16 at HAW 19, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−1.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:38HAW 4th & 3 at HAW 32, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00BOIS 4th & 12 at BOIS 35, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:25HAW 4th & 5 at BOIS 28, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−1.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:56BOIS 4th & 5 at BOIS 30, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:29HAW 4th & 4 at HAW 42, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 1 of 4BOIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 5:12BOIS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    78.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:54BOIS Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:09HAW Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    22.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    22.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:18BOIS Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:36HAW Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    8.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    8.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:38BOIS Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:56HAW Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:52HAW Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    11.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    10.3%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
16.8%
Andrew Van Buren run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
16.8%
Andrew Van Buren run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
16.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Billy Bowens for 6 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
16.8%
Joel Velazquez punt for 27 yds, downed at the Hawa 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
17.8%
Miles Reed run for 3 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 7
OWN 42
-2
17.9%
Miles Reed run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 40Similar
Q1 12:57
3RD & 9
OWN 40
-5
17.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Miles Reed for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 35Similar
Q1 12:57
4TH & 14
OWN 35
+2
17.7%
Adam Stack punt for 42 yds , Avery Williams returns for 2 yds to the BoiSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
18.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
18.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Billy BowensSimilar
Q1 11:14
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
18.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Khalil Shakir, broken up by Jeremiah PritchardSimilar
Q1 11:14
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
18.8%
Joel Velazquez punt for 62 yds, downed at the Hawa 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4FG
16 plays · 76 yds · 5:3819% → 23%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
19.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 6 yds to the Hawa 20Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+3
19.2%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 3 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+1
19.1%
Calvin Turner run for 1 yd to the Hawa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
19.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for 2 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
19.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Calvin TurnerSimilar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+33
19.0%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 33 yds to the BoiSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
19.5%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+11
19.6%
Calvin Turner run for 11 yds to the BoiSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
19.6%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Gene Pryor) to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 15
OPP 27
0
19.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Rico BusseySimilar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 15
OPP 27
+7
19.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Miles Reed for 7 yds to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+8
19.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Zion Bowens for 8 yds to the BoiSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
19.6%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 10Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
19.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Calvin TurnerSimilar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 8
OPP 10
0
19.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Calvin TurnerSimilar
Q1 4:36
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+27
23.1%
Matthew Shipley 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5FG
12 plays · 60 yds · 3:2377% → 76%
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
23.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to CT Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+55
23.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to CT Thomas for 55 yds to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
22.0%
Andrew Van Buren run for 1 yd to the Hawa 24Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+5
22.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Andrew Van Buren for 5 yds to the Hawa 19Similar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+13
22.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 13 yds to the Hawa 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-15
22.0%
BOISE ST Penalty, illegal block (John Ojukwu) to the Hawa 21Similar
Q1 4:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 21
0
22.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 21
0
24.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 21
+6
24.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Andrew Van Buren for 6 yds to the Hawa 15Similar
Q1 1:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+32
24.1%
Jonah Dalmas 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:4125% → 24%
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
25.0%
Calvin Turner run for no gain to the Hawa 35Similar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
24.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jonah PanokeSimilar
Q1 0:26
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
24.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jared Smart, broken up by Jalen WalkerSimilar
Q1 0:26
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
23.9%
Adam Stack punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 5:0676% → 75%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
24.0%
Andrew Van Buren run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+3
23.8%
Andrew Van Buren run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+6
24.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Riley Smith for 6 yds to the BoiSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
23.8%
HAWAII Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Cortez Davis) to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
23.0%
Andrew Van Buren run for 7 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 44
0
22.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to CT ThomasSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+7
23.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 7 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
22.9%
Andrew Van Buren run for 6 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+6
22.4%
Danny Smith run for 6 yds to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
22.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for no gain to the Hawa 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-1
22.6%
Danny Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 26
0
23.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:09
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+42
25.1%
Jonah Dalmas 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0025% → 26%
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
25.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 15 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
26.4%
Calvin Turner run for 4 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+2
26.7%
Jonah Panoke run for 2 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+1
26.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 1 yd to the Hawa 47Similar
Q2 10:09
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
25.6%
Chevan Cordeiro punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
25.0%
Andrew Van Buren run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 23Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
25.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 6 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q2 7:48
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
25.0%
Andrew Van Buren run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
24.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass intercepted Cameron Lockridge return for no gain to the Hawa 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
25.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Calvin TurnerSimilar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
25.6%
BOISE ST Penalty, delay of game (Ezekiel Noa) to the Hawa 32Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 5
OWN 32
0
26.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Miles ReedSimilar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
25.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Calvin TurnerSimilar
Q2 6:20
4TH & 5
OWN 32
+34
25.0%
Adam Stack punt for 46 yds , Avery Williams returns for 34 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11TD
2 plays · 44 yds · 0:3776% → 81%
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
24.2%
Khalil Shakir run for 6 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+38
18.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 38 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
19.8%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 3 yds to the Hawa 19Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+2
19.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Riley Wilson for 2 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q2 5:06
3RD & 5
OWN 21
0
19.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Calvin TurnerSimilar
Q2 5:06
4TH & 5
OWN 21
0
19.1%
Adam Stack punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13TD
11 plays · 60 yds · 2:5881% → 91%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+21
19.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Riley Smith for 21 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
19.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Khalil Shakir, broken up by Michael WashingtonSimilar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+8
19.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Tyneil Hopper for 8 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+6
19.3%
Hank Bachmeier run for 6 yds to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
18.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 6 yds to the Hawa 19Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+6
18.0%
Andrew Van Buren run for 6 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
18.0%
Andrew Van Buren run for 1 yd to the Hawa 12Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+3
18.0%
Andrew Van Buren run for 3 yds to the Hawa 9Similar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+6
18.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to CT Thomas for 6 yds to the Hawa 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
9.0%
CT Thomas pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 3 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14END OF HALF
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:2314% → 15%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
13.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 4 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
13.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 28Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-3
13.4%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Shane Irwin for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 25Similar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+15
14.4%
BOISE ST Penalty, roughing the kicker (15 Yards) to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
15.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jared SmartSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+15
15.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Miles Reed for 15 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15TD
14 plays · 87 yds · 3:5114% → 22%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
13.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Rico Bussey for 12 yds to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for no gain to the Hawa 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
13.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for 13 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
14.8%
Miles Reed run for 15 yds to the BoiSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
15.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Miles ReedSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-2
15.2%
Calvin Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 49
+20
14.5%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 20 yds to the BoiSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
15.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+11
15.9%
Calvin Turner run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 26 for a 1ST down BOISE ST Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the BoiSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
15.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jared SmartSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+12
15.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Miles Reed for 12 yds to the BoiSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
15.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 1Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
21.7%
Calvin Turner run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
11.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jonah PanokeSimilar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
11.6%
Calvin Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 24Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-5
11.4%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Shane Irwin for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 19Similar
Q3 10:54
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+36
11.4%
Adam Stack punt for 43 yds , Avery Williams returns for 36 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18TD
3 plays · 26 yds · 1:0591% → 97%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
9.3%
Andrew Van Buren run for 13 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
9.3%
Andrew Van Buren run for 2 yds to the Hawa 11Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
3.3%
Andrew Van Buren run for 11 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:425% → 13%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Zion BowensSimilar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
4.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Calvin TurnerSimilar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
4.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 11 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
4.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Melquise StovallSimilar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
4.5%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 1 yd to the Hawa 37Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+12
4.5%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 12 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
4.8%
Calvin Turner run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
4.9%
Calvin Turner run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+36
12.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for 36 yds for a TD Timeout HAWAII, clock 05:36 (C. Turner Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 1:5290% → 98%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+43
9.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 43 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
8.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 15 yds to the Hawa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
8.2%
Andrew Van Buren run for 5 yds to the Hawa 16Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+5
8.2%
Andrew Van Buren run for 5 yds to the Hawa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
2.0%
Andrew Van Buren run for 11 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
2.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 22Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+11
2.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 11 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q3 3:38
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
3.0%
HAWAII Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (Solo Vaipulu) to the Hawa 28Similar
Q3 3:38
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
2.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 4 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q3 3:38
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
3.0%
Stan Gaudion punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:3598% → 98%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
2.1%
Andrew Van Buren run for no gain to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-1
2.1%
Andrew Van Buren run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q3 1:35
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+11
2.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 11 yds to the BoiSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
1.8%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Justus Tavai for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 35 Hank Bachmeier fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Jake Stetz , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 35
0
1.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Andrew Van Buren for no gain to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 35
0
2.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to CT ThomasSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 35
+7
2.1%
Joel Velazquez punt for 44 yds , Dior Scott returns for 7 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 3:312% → 6%
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
1.8%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Jared Smart) to the Hawa 23Similar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 15
OWN 23
0
1.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Zion BowensSimilar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 15
OWN 23
+14
1.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 14 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 1
OWN 37
-5
1.9%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Dae Dae Hunter) to the Hawa 32Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+35
1.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Miles Reed for 35 yds to the BoiSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
2.1%
Miles Reed run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 32Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+3
2.1%
Calvin Turner run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 6
OPP 29
-10
2.1%
HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding (Hekili Keliiliki) to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 16
OPP 39
+11
1.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 11 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q4 10:25
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+13
1.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 13 yds to the BoiSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
6.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for 15 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
3.7%
Andrew Van Buren run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
3.7%
Andrew Van Buren run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 41 BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Billy Bowens) to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
3.7%
Andrew Van Buren run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
3.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Khalil Shakir, broken up by Jeremiah PritchardSimilar
Q4 9:56
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
3.8%
Joel Velazquez punt for 35 yds, downed at the Hawa 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 25TD
15 plays · 64 yds · 3:375% → 16%
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
4.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Zion BowensSimilar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
4.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Miles Reed for 5 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q4 8:29
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+1
4.8%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 1 yd to the Hawa 42Similar
Q4 8:29
4TH & 4
OWN 42
+8
4.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
50
0
5.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jonah PanokeSimilar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 10
50
0
4.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jared SmartSimilar
Q4 8:29
3RD & 10
50
+10
4.7%
BOISE ST Penalty, Defensive holding (Jalen Walker) to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
5.2%
BOISE ST Penalty, roughing passer (Shane Irwin) to the BoiSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
5.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 10 yds to the BoiSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
5.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Melquise StovallSimilar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-1
5.8%
Calvin Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 16Similar
Q4 8:29
3RD & 11
OPP 16
0
5.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Calvin Turner, broken up by Scale IgiehonSimilar
Q4 8:29
4TH & 11
OPP 16
+14
5.0%
BOISE ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Avery Williams) to the BoiSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
5.8%
Chevan Cordeiro run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 4Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
16.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 4 yds for a TD (C. Turner Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 26END OF GAME
11 plays · 41 yds · 2:1092% → 95%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
8.1%
Andrew Van Buren run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
8.0%
Andrew Van Buren run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q4 4:52
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+32
8.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 32 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
6.6%
Andrew Van Buren run for 2 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+3
4.7%
Andrew Van Buren run for 3 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+5
4.6%
Hank Bachmeier run for 5 yds to the Hawa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
4.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 30Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 12
OPP 30
-2
4.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 32Similar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 14
OPP 32
-2
5.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:52
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 4 yds for a TD (C. Turner Run For Two-point Conversion)
+10.3
TD · Q3 10:54
Matthew Shipley kickoff for 64 yds , Avery Williams return for 99 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
-10
TD · Q2 0:54
CT Thomas pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 3 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
-9.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com