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HAW

Hawai'i 10 at San Diego State 34

SDSU
2020 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2020 · Qualcomm Stadium
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Win probability · SDSU
modelSDSU aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playSDSU scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:26 · Adam Stack punt for 41 yds , Jesse Matthews returns for 29 yds to the SDSt 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 43Home team on offense+1.9Pregame prior+21.8Score differential+0.4Garbage-time factor+0.0Blowout margin+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:26: Jordan Byrd run for 51 yds for a TD (Matt Araiza KICK) — SDSU win probability +3.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:08: Greg Bell run for 62 yds for a TD (Matt Araiza KICK) — SDSU win probability +5.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:25: Greg Bell run for 3 yds for a TD (Matt Araiza KICK) — SDSU win probability +6.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:20: Chevan Cordeiro pass intercepted for a TD Segun Olubi return for 71 yds for a TD (Matt Araiza KICK) — SDSU win probability +7.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 5:13: Matthew Shipley 27 yd FG GOOD — HAW win probability +1.6 pts (now 2%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SDSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7HAW made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 12:45SDSU 4th & 20 at SDSU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:33HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:25SDSU 4th & 2 at SDSU 19, tied
    Close callPunted · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:09HAW 4th & 5 at HAW 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:58SDSU 4th & 12 at HAW 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    74.0%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.1%
    average punt
  6. Q1 7:05HAW 4th & 16 at HAW 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−0.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:26HAW 4th & 9 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 15:00HAW 4th & 14 at HAW 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−1.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 14:33SDSU 4th & 12 at SDSU 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−1.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:25HAW 4th & 7 at HAW 38, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:20HAW 4th & 17 at HAW 18, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.4%−3.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00HAW 4th & 9 at HAW 26, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:55HAW 4th & 7 at SDSU 25, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−1.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:13HAW 4th & 10 at SDSU 10, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:14SDSU 4th & 3 at HAW 48, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:51SDSU 4th & 9 at HAW 9, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    89% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:59SDSU 4th & 14 at HAW 18, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:59HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 47, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SDSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4HAW made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 3:26SDSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:08SDSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:25SDSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:20SDSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:00HAW Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SDSUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 2:1577% → 76%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
76.6%
Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the SDSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
76.6%
Carson Baker pass complete to Greg Bell for 9 yds to the SDSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
76.6%
Greg Bell run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 34
-8
76.6%
Carson Baker sacked by Penei Pavihi and Jonah Laulu for a loss of 8 yards to the SDSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 26
0
76.6%
Carson Baker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:45
4TH & 20
OWN 26
+15
76.0%
Tanner Kuljian punt for 47 yds , Melquise Stovall returns for 15 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
75.9%
Miles Reed run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 40Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+6
76.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 6 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q1 12:33
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
76.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jared Smart HAWAII Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 12:33
4TH & 6
OWN 46
+1
76.1%
Adam Stack punt for 44 yds , Jesse Matthews returns for 1 yd to the SDSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
75.9%
Carson Baker pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 8 yds to the SDSt 19Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 2
OWN 19
0
75.9%
Greg Bell run for no gain to the SDSt 19Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 2
OWN 19
0
75.8%
Carson Baker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:25
4TH & 2
OWN 19
0
75.7%
Tanner Kuljian punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Melquise Stovall at the Hawa 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
75.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Rico Bussey for 2 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
75.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Rico Bussey, broken up by Tayler HawkinsSimilar
Q1 10:09
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+3
75.6%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 3 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q1 10:09
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
75.7%
Adam Stack punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jesse Matthews at the SDSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 38 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+40
75.4%
Greg Bell run for 40 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-4
76.0%
Greg Bell run for a loss of 4 yards to the Hawa 46Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 14
OPP 46
+2
75.7%
Carson Baker run for 2 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 12
OPP 44
0
75.6%
Carson Baker pass incomplete to Jesse MatthewsSimilar
Q1 8:58
4TH & 12
OPP 44
0
75.3%
Tanner Kuljian punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Melquise Stovall at the Hawa 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
74.7%
Calvin Turner run for 10 yds to the Hawa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
74.7%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 1 yd to the Hawa 21Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-2
74.7%
Miles Reed run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 19Similar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+18
74.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 18 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
74.4%
Miles Reed run for 3 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-10
74.2%
CORDEIRO, C. rush for 5 yards to the UH45 (THOMPSON, Tariq), PENALTY UH holding 10 yards to the UH30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 17
OWN 30
0
74.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 17
OWN 30
+1
74.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 1 yd to the Hawa 31Similar
Q1 7:05
4TH & 16
OWN 31
+16
75.0%
Adam Stack punt for 36 yds , Jesse Matthews returns for 16 yds to the SDSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 7TD
2 plays · 51 yds · 0:1675% → 78%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
74.9%
Carson Baker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+51
78.1%
Jordan Byrd run for 51 yds for a TD (Matt Araiza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
77.0%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 1 yd to the Hawa 26Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+23
77.0%
Calvin Turner run for 23 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
76.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
76.5%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds to the SDSt 49Similar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+2
76.6%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line Chevan Cordeiro fumbled, forced by Seyddrick Lakalaka, recovered by Hawa Jared Smart , return to the 50 yard line , return for no gain to the 50 yard line Jared Smart fumbled, forced by Seyddrick Lakalaka, , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:26
4TH & 9
50
+29
77.2%
Adam Stack punt for 41 yds , Jesse Matthews returns for 29 yds to the SDSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 9TD
1 play · 62 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
82.4%
Greg Bell run for 62 yds for a TD (Matt Araiza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:0819% → 18%
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
81.0%
Calvin Turner run for 4 yds to the Hawa 29 Calvin Turner fumbled, forced by Tariq Thompson, recovered by Hawa Miles ReedSimilar
Q1 1:08
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-8
81.0%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Michael Shawcroft and Cameron Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the Hawa 21Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
81.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+12
81.7%
Adam Stack punt for 46 yds , Jesse Matthews returns for 12 yds to the SDSt 33 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the SDSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q2 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
82.6%
Greg Bell run for 5 yds to the SDSt 35Similar
Q2 14:33
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+4
82.8%
Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the SDSt 39Similar
Q2 14:33
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+7
82.8%
Chance Bell run for 7 yds to the SDSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
83.1%
Carson Baker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:33
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-1
83.0%
Carson Baker pass complete to Jordan Byrd for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 45Similar
Q2 14:33
3RD & 11
OWN 45
-1
82.6%
Chance Bell run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 44Similar
Q2 14:33
4TH & 12
OWN 44
+1
82.2%
Tanner Kuljian punt for 46 yds , Melquise Stovall returns for 1 yd to the Hawa 13 Melquise Stovall fumbled, forced by Kyron White, recovered by SDSt Andrew AlvesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 12TD
3 plays · 13 yds · 1:1584% → 91%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
84.3%
Greg Bell run for 10 yds to the Hawa 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
84.3%
Greg Bell run for no gain to the Hawa 3Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
90.8%
Greg Bell run for 3 yds for a TD (Matt Araiza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.7%
Calvin Turner run for 2 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
89.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Rico Bussey for 8 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
89.4%
Miles Reed run for 3 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
89.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Mardner for no gain to the Hawa 38Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
89.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jared SmartSimilar
Q2 10:25
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
89.8%
Adam Stack punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jesse Matthews at the SDSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 14INT
5 plays · 39 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+14
91.8%
Carson Baker pass complete to Chance Bell for 14 yds to the SDSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+27
91.9%
Chance Bell run for 27 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
92.1%
Chance Bell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 43Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 12
OPP 43
0
92.0%
Chance Bell run for no gain to the Hawa 43Similar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 12
OPP 43
0
91.8%
Carson Baker pass intercepted Michael Washington return for no gain to the Hawa 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15INT TD
11 plays · 49 yds · 4:179% → 2%
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
91.3%
Miles Reed run for no gain to the Hawa 16Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+5
91.4%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 5 yds to the Hawa 21Similar
Q2 5:37
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+5
91.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Miles Reed for 5 yds to the Hawa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
91.3%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 9 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 1
OWN 35
-5
90.6%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 30Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+12
91.0%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 12 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
90.8%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Caden McDonald for a loss of 10 yards to the Hawa 32Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 20
OWN 32
+33
91.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for 33 yds to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
90.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Calvin TurnerSimilar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
90.2%
Calvin Turner run for no gain to the SDSt 35Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 10
OPP 35
-71
98.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass intercepted for a TD Segun Olubi return for 71 yds for a TD (Matt Araiza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Rico Bussey for 6 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-5
97.9%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 26Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-8
98.3%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Jalil Lecky for a loss of 8 yards to the Hawa 18Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
98.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Nick Mardner, broken up by Darren HallSimilar
Q2 1:20
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
98.3%
Adam Stack punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 17END OF HALF
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0898% → 98%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
50
-2
98.4%
Kaegun Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 48Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 12
OWN 48
0
98.3%
Carson Baker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 12
OWN 48
0
98.2%
Carson Baker pass incomplete, broken up by Donovan DaltonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.7%
Miles Reed run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
97.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+2
97.8%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
97.8%
Adam Stack punt for 38 yds , Jesse Matthews returns for no gain to the SDSt 38 Jesse Matthews fumbled, recovered by Hawa Isaiah TufagaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19MISSED FG
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:412% → 2%
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
98.5%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds to the SDSt 36Similar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+8
98.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Zion Bowens for 8 yds to the SDSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
98.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 8 yds to the SDSt 20Similar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 2
OPP 20
-5
98.1%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Kahi Neves and Jalil Lecky for a loss of 5 yards to the SDSt 25Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
98.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Calvin TurnerSimilar
Q3 10:55
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+42
98.5%
Matthew Shipley 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 20INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.1%
Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the SDSt 27Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+16
99.1%
Greg Bell run for 16 yds to the SDSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
99.1%
Greg Bell run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 41Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 12
OWN 41
-5
99.1%
Greg Bell run for a loss of 5 yards to the SDSt 36Similar
Q3 10:55
3RD & 17
OWN 36
-21
99.1%
Carson Baker pass intercepted Quentin Frazier return for 6 yds to the Hawa 42 HAWAII Penalty, illegal block (15 Yards) to the Hawa 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 3:081% → 2%
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
99.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 14 yds to the SDSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 5 yds to the SDSt 41Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+6
99.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Rico Bussey for 6 yds to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
99.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:21
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+29
99.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 29 yds to the SDSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Nick MardnerSimilar
Q3 8:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
99.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSt 10Similar
Q3 8:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Nick MardnerSimilar
Q3 5:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
97.7%
Matthew Shipley 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 22PUNT
11 plays · 44 yds · 3:5999% → 99%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
98.8%
Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the SDSt 10Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+23
98.8%
Greg Bell run for 23 yds to the SDSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
98.8%
Carson Baker run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 30Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+9
98.8%
Chance Bell run for 9 yds to the SDSt 39Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+6
98.9%
Chance Bell run for 6 yds to the SDSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
98.9%
Jordan Byrd run for 1 yd to the SDSt 46Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
98.9%
Jordan Byrd run for no gain to the SDSt 46Similar
Q3 1:14
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+6
99.3%
Greg Bell run for 6 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q3 1:14
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
99.3%
Tanner Kuljian punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Nick Mardner at the Hawa 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23FUMBLE
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:271% → 1%
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
99.1%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 4 yds to the Hawa 17Similar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 6
OWN 17
0
99.1%
Miles Reed run for no gain to the Hawa 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 17
-7
99.1%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Caden McDonald for a loss of 7 yards to the Hawa 10 Chevan Cordeiro fumbled, recovered by SDSt Keshawn Banks , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 24FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:0499% → 100%
Q4 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-3
99.4%
Chance Bell run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 13Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
0
99.4%
Jordan Byrd run for no gain to the Hawa 13Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+4
99.4%
Chance Bell run for 4 yds to the Hawa 9Similar
Q4 12:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
99.8%
Matt Araiza 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 25TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:510% → 1%
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Calvin Turner run for no gain to the Hawa 25Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+75
98.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for 75 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 26FG
18 plays · 57 yds · 9:0199% → 100%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.9%
Greg Bell run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 23Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+7
98.9%
Lucas Johnson run for 17 yds to the SDSt 40 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SDSt 30Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
98.9%
Kaegun Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 28Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
98.9%
Lucas Johnson run for 10 yds to the SDSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
99.0%
Kaegun Williams run for 4 yds to the SDSt 42Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+3
99.0%
Kaegun Williams run for 13 yds to the SANDIEGOST 45 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SDSt 45Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+7
99.0%
Kaegun Williams run for 7 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
99.0%
Kaegun Williams run for 1 yd to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+1
99.0%
Jordan Byrd run for 1 yd to the Hawa 46Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+8
99.0%
Jordan Byrd run for 8 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.0%
Jordan Byrd run for no gain to the Hawa 38Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+24
99.0%
Lucas Johnson run for 24 yds to the Hawa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-4
99.0%
Lucas Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Hawa 18Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 14
OPP 18
+6
99.0%
Kaegun Williams run for 6 yds to the Hawa 12Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 8
OPP 12
-6
99.0%
Kaegun Williams run for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 18Similar
Q4 2:59
4TH & 14
OPP 18
+36
99.6%
Matt Araiza 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 27DOWNS
10 plays · 10 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
99.5%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 18 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for 4 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
99.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jared Smart, broken up by Dwayne Johnson Jr.Similar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
99.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Rico BusseySimilar
Q4 2:59
4TH & 6
OWN 47
+11
99.5%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 11 yds to the SDSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
99.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for 4 yds to the SDSt 38Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 6
OPP 38
-9
99.4%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Jonah Tavai for a loss of 9 yards to the SDSt 47Similar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 15
OPP 47
-17
99.5%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Jonah Tavai for a loss of 17 yards to the Hawa 35 Chevan Cordeiro fumbled, recovered by Hawa Miles Reed , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 2:59
4TH & 33
OWN 35
0
99.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Nick Mardner, broken up by Darren HallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:20
Chevan Cordeiro pass intercepted for a TD Segun Olubi return for 71 yds for a TD (Matt Araiza KICK)
+7.9
TD · Q2 10:25
Greg Bell run for 3 yds for a TD (Matt Araiza KICK)
+6.4
TD · Q1 1:08
Greg Bell run for 62 yds for a TD (Matt Araiza KICK)
+5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com