Try the model
HAW

Hawai'i 34 at Fresno State 19

FRES
2020 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2020 · Valley Children's Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · FRES
modelFRES aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playFRES scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of GameFG-3.8FRES 19.2%Matthew Shipley 24 yd FG GOODAWAY 27 - HOME 16 · Q4 12:08
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:08 · Matthew Shipley 24 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 150Home team on offense−22.6Score differential−9.6Pregame prior+1.6Garbage-time factor−9.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:50: Jake Haener pass complete to Juan Rodriguez for 18 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva PAT MISSED) — FRES win probability +9.2 pts (now 65%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:27: Chevan Cordeiro run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +12.9 pts (now 56%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:18: Calvin Turner run for 2 yds for a TD — HAW win probability +18.4 pts (now 74%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 12:08: Matthew Shipley 24 yd FG GOOD — HAW win probability +3.8 pts (now 81%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:52: Calvin Turner run for 4 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +13.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FRES made the numbers' call on 1 of 5HAW made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:30HAW 4th & 16 at HAW 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:42HAW 4th & 7 at FRES 32, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.6%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    37.4%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:26FRES 4th & 15 at HAW 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    59.0%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:12HAW 4th & 5 at FRES 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    38.7%−4.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:09FRES 4th & 16 at HAW 36, down 3
    Close callPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    52.9%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.3%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q3 3:41FRES 4th & 5 at HAW 5, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    19.0%−8.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 1:47HAW 4th & 10 at FRES 31, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.0%
    54% to make
    Punt
    70.5%−1.5
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:08HAW 4th & 7 at FRES 7, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    67.5%−10.0
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:13FRES 4th & 4 at HAW 7, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.4%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    9.8%−7.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:58FRES 4th & 2 at HAW 13, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%−0.2
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%
    85% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−1.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FRES made the numbers' call on 2 of 2HAW made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:34FRES Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:00HAW Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:50FRES Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    64.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:27HAW Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:18HAW Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:52HAW Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FRESDrive 2TD
7 plays · 26 yds · 3:2258% → 60%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
58.2%
Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the Hawa 25Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 9
OPP 25
-5
58.2%
HAENER, Jake pass complete to KELLY, Josh for 8 yards to the UH17, out-of-bounds, PENALTY FS 1D 5 yards to the UH30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 14
OPP 30
+1
58.2%
Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the Hawa 29Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 13
OPP 29
+26
58.2%
Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 26 yds to the Hawa 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
58.2%
FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (Dante Adkins Jr.) to the Hawa 8Similar
Q1 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
58.2%
Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the Hawa 7Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
60.0%
Ronnie Rivers run for 7 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
59.6%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 1 yd to the Hawa 14Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 9
OWN 14
0
59.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete, broken up by Levelle BaileySimilar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 9
OWN 14
-7
59.7%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Kwami Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the Hawa 7Similar
Q1 11:30
4TH & 16
OWN 7
+14
59.8%
Adam Stack punt for 44 yds , Ronnie Rivers returns for 14 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 4INT
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
60.6%
Keric Wheatfall run for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 42Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 15
OPP 42
0
60.4%
Jake Haener pass intercepted Eugene Ford return for no gain to the Hawa 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5MISSED FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 2:5440% → 39%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
60.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 7 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+14
60.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 14 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
59.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 6 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+5
59.7%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
50
+15
59.7%
CORDEIRO, C. pass incomplete to MARDNER, Nick, PENALTY FS personal foul 15 yards to the FS35, 1ST DOWN UH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
59.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-5
59.4%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Kwami Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the FrsSt 40Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 15
OPP 40
+8
60.2%
Miles Reed run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 32Similar
Q1 6:42
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+49
61.2%
Matthew Shipley 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
61.7%
Jake Haener run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 37Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+10
62.1%
Ronnie Rivers run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
62.3%
Jake Haener sacked by Quentin Frazier for a loss of 10 yards to the FrsSt 37 Jake Haener fumbled, recovered by Hawa Quentin Frazier , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7TD
5 plays · 37 yds · 1:5039% → 43%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
60.8%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Kwami Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 40Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 13
OPP 40
+10
61.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 10 yds to the FrsSt 30Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+12
60.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 12 yds to the FrsSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
60.3%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Kevin Atkins and David Perales for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 20Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+20
56.7%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 20 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 8PUNT
15 plays · 46 yds · 4:2758% → 59%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
58.3%
Ronnie Rivers run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 21Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+8
58.4%
Jake Haener pass complete to Erik Brooks for 8 yds to the FrsSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
58.5%
FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 24Similar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 15
OWN 24
-5
58.3%
FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (Matt Smith) to the FrsSt 19Similar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 20
OWN 19
+3
58.3%
Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 22Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 17
OWN 22
+19
58.2%
Jake Haener pass complete to Erik Brooks for 19 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
59.1%
Ronnie Rivers run for 12 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
59.6%
Ronnie Rivers run for 14 yds to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
60.6%
Ronnie Rivers run for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 38Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 15
OPP 38
+3
60.3%
Jake Haener run for 3 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q2 14:26
3RD & 12
OPP 35
+2
60.2%
Jake Haener run for 2 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q2 14:26
4TH & 10
OPP 33
-5
59.3%
FRESNO ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 38Similar
Q2 14:26
4TH & 15
OPP 38
0
58.9%
Cade Fuller punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9FG
14 plays · 73 yds · 5:3742% → 47%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
58.2%
Miles Reed run for 2 yds to the Hawa 12Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 8
OWN 12
-5
58.2%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 7Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 13
OWN 7
+4
58.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 4 yds to the Hawa 11Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 9
OWN 11
+9
58.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 9 yds to the Hawa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
58.1%
Miles Reed run for 3 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+4
58.0%
Miles Reed run for 4 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+21
58.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Mardner for 21 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
56.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 4 yds to the FrsSt 48Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+5
56.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Miles Reed for 5 yds to the FrsSt 43Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+21
56.2%
Calvin Turner run for 21 yds to the FrsSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
55.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Calvin TurnerSimilar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
55.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Mardner for 5 yds to the FrsSt 17Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 5
OPP 17
0
56.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Rico Bussey Jr.Similar
Q2 7:12
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+34
53.4%
Matthew Shipley 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 10PUNT
12 plays · 39 yds · 2:0355% → 52%
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
54.6%
Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 29Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
54.9%
Ronnie Rivers run for 13 yds to the FrsSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
56.6%
Jordan Mims run for no gain to the FrsSt 42Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+8
55.4%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:09
3RD & 2
50
+4
54.8%
Jake Haener run for 4 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+16
55.7%
Jake Haener run for 16 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
56.7%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for no gain to the Hawa 30Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
56.6%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Erik BrooksSimilar
Q2 5:09
3RD & 10
OPP 30
-6
55.2%
Jake Haener sacked by Isaiah Tufaga for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 36Similar
Q2 5:09
4TH & 16
OPP 36
0
51.5%
Cade Fuller punt for 35 yds, downed at the Hawa 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0048% → 47%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
52.0%
CORDEIRO, C. pass incomplete to BUSSEY, Rico, PENALTY UH ineligible downfield on pass 0 yards to the UH1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
52.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Nick MardnerSimilar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
52.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Nick Mardner, broken up by Bralyn LuxSimilar
Q2 2:33
3RD & 10
OWN 1
+23
53.4%
Adam Stack punt for 55 yds , Ronnie Rivers returns for 23 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 12TD
2 plays · 33 yds · 0:1156% → 65%
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
56.1%
Jordan Mims run for 15 yds to the Hawa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
65.3%
Jake Haener pass complete to Juan Rodriguez for 18 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 1:1739% → 56%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
61.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 4 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+5
60.9%
Miles Reed run for 5 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+18
60.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 18 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
58.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 7 yds to the FrsSt 38Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+35
57.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 35 yds to the FrsSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
44.5%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 14END OF HALF
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:0450% → 50%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
50.4%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 23Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-2
51.3%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 21Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-2
50.3%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 15INT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:0051% → 52%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
50.7%
Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
50.9%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Keric Wheatfall, broken up by Khoury BethleySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+32
49.5%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jamal Glaspie for 32 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
54.3%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Juan RodriguezSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-1
54.1%
Jake Haener sacked by Darius Muasau for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 41
-10
52.0%
HAENER, Jake rush for 6 yards to the UH35 (FORD, Eugene), PENALTY FS holding (GIEG, Zack) 10 yards to the FS49, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16TD
17 plays · 76 yds · 6:3152% → 74%
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+18
48.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 18 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
46.2%
Miles Reed run for 3 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+9
46.2%
Miles Reed run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
45.6%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Ilm Manning) to the Hawa 49Similar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+3
47.1%
Miles Reed run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 48Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+13
46.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for 13 yds to the FrsSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
44.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 6 yds to the FrsSt 29Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 4
OPP 29
-10
44.4%
CORDEIRO, C. pass incomplete to SMART, Jared, PENALTY UH holding (PRYOR, Gene) 10 yards to the FS39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 14
OPP 39
+5
46.6%
Miles Reed run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 34Similar
Q3 12:49
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+9
46.2%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
44.4%
Miles Reed run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 21Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+5
44.4%
Miles Reed run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 16Similar
Q3 12:49
3RD & 1
OPP 16
-5
45.6%
HAWAII Penalty, false start (Gene Pryor) to the FrsSt 21Similar
Q3 12:49
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+12
45.7%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 12 yds to the FrsSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
44.4%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 7Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
44.4%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 2Similar
Q3 6:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
26.1%
Calvin Turner run for 2 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 17FG
9 plays · 70 yds · 2:3729% → 32%
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+46
29.2%
Jake Haener pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 46 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
33.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for no gain to the Hawa 29Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+4
33.7%
Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 6
OWN 0
+6
27.3%
HAENER, Jake pass incomplete to KELLY, Josh (KANESHIRO, Kai), PENALTY UH personal foul (KANESHIRO, Kai) 13 yards to the UH12, 1ST DOWN FS, NO PLAY, PENALTY UH unsportsmanlike conduct (KANESHIRO, Kai) 6 yards to the UH6, 1ST DOWN FS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
33.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 9Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
33.8%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Erik BrooksSimilar
Q3 6:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
32.0%
Jake Haener run for 4 yds to the Hawa 5Similar
Q3 3:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
32.3%
Cesar Silva 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18MISSED FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 1:4971% → 73%
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
28.9%
Miles Reed run for 7 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+25
28.1%
Calvin Turner run for 25 yds to the FrsSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
26.6%
Miles Reed run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 37Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+6
26.4%
Calvin Turner run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
26.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Miles ReedSimilar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
26.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Rico Bussey Jr., broken up by Randy JordanSimilar
Q3 3:36
3RD & 10
OPP 31
0
27.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Rico Bussey Jr.Similar
Q3 1:47
4TH & 10
OPP 31
+49
27.3%
Matthew Shipley 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 19INT
6 plays · 31 yds · 0:0030% → 33%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
29.5%
Jake Haener run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 35Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+7
29.6%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 7 yds to the FrsSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
31.5%
Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 46Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+14
32.3%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 14 yds to the FRESNOST 40 for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
33.4%
Jake Haener run for 3 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 7
OPP 37
-5
33.4%
Jake Haener pass intercepted Jeremiah Pritchard return for 5 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20FG
9 plays · 62 yds · 2:5375% → 81%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
25.5%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 1 yd to the Hawa 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+22
25.8%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 22 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
23.2%
Miles Reed run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+8
23.3%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+25
22.5%
Miles Reed run for 25 yds to the FrsSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
22.3%
Miles Reed run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
22.3%
Miles Reed run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 7Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
23.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
19.2%
Matthew Shipley 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 21FG
10 plays · 68 yds · 1:5519% → 27%
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+51
19.3%
Jake Haener pass complete to Chris Coleman for 51 yds to the Hawa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
24.5%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Josh KellySimilar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
24.0%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen CropperSimilar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+11
21.9%
Jake Haener run for 11 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
24.7%
Jake Haener pass complete to Juan Rodriguez for 4 yds to the Hawa 9Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 6
OPP 9
0
24.7%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Erik Brooks, broken up by Khoury BethleySimilar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+2
23.0%
Jake Haener pass complete to Juan Rodriguez for 2 yds to the Hawa 7Similar
Q4 10:13
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+25
26.8%
Cesar Silva 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 22TD
13 plays · 70 yds · 5:1580% → 97%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
19.7%
Jared Smart run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 27 Jared Smart fumbled, forced by Da'Marcus Johnson, recovered by Hawa Jared SmartSimilar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+8
20.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 8 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+6
19.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 6 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
18.0%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 4 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+11
17.8%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
17.1%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 37Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+1
17.0%
Miles Reed run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 36Similar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+2
17.5%
Calvin Turner run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
16.4%
Calvin Turner run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+10
16.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Calvin Turner for 10 yds to the FrsSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+19
16.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jared Smart for 19 yds to the FrsSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
3.2%
Calvin Turner run for 4 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 23DOWNS
12 plays · 62 yds · 1:545% → 4%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
5.3%
Jake Haener pass complete to Erik Brooks for 19 yds to the FrsSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
5.5%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Chris ColemanSimilar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+8
5.4%
Jake Haener pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 8 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q4 4:52
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+5
5.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for 5 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
5.7%
Jake Haener run for 3 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+19
5.8%
Jake Haener pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 19 yds to the Hawa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
6.7%
Jake Haener pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 8 yds to the Hawa 13Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 2
OPP 13
0
4.7%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen CropperSimilar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 2
OPP 13
0
4.5%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Erik Brooks, broken up by Khoury BethleySimilar
Q4 2:58
4TH & 2
OPP 13
0
4.3%
Jake Haener pass incomplete to Erik BrooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 24END OF GAME
10 plays · 65 yds · 0:5298% → 99%
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
1.9%
Calvin Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 12Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 11
OWN 12
+3
1.8%
Miles Reed run for 3 yds to the Hawa 15Similar
Q4 2:33
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+54
1.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 54 yds to the FrsSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
1.4%
Miles Reed run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 24Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+4
1.0%
Miles Reed run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
1.0%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 21Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 11
OPP 21
-1
1.0%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:18
Calvin Turner run for 2 yds for a TD
-18.4
TD · Q4 4:52
Calvin Turner run for 4 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)
-13
TD · Q2 0:27
Chevan Cordeiro run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)
-12.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com