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FLA

Florida 31 at Tennessee 19

TENN
2020 · Week 14 · Dec 5, 2020 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadFLA aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreFLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+1.6TENN 2.9%Ty Chandler run for 7 yds for a TD(Two-Point Conversion failed )AWAY 31 - HOME 13 · Q4 5:33
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:33 · Ty Chandler run for 7 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 155Pregame prior−4.4Home team on offense−34.4Score differential−23.7Garbage-time factor−13.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:59: Harrison Bailey pass complete to Eric Gray for 15 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +4.7 pts (now 28%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:53: Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 4 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +5.0 pts (now 81%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:33: Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 2 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +5.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:31: Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 8 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +7.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:21: Kyle Trask pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 12 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +2.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 9 of 11FLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 13:32TENN 4th & 5 at TENN 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:19FLA 4th & 3 at TENN 12, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.0%−<0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    83.5%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:40TENN 4th & 5 at TENN 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:23FLA 4th & 5 at TENN 41, up 3
    Close callPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    80.2%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:41TENN 4th & 5 at TENN 30, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.9%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    22.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:01FLA 4th & 15 at TENN 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.6%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.3%
    45% to make
    Punt
    74.8%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:42TENN 4th & 16 at TENN 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:27TENN 4th & 12 at TENN 8, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−1.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:11FLA 4th & 2 at TENN 24, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    89.8%−0.7
    68% to make
    Punt
    85.7%−4.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:20TENN 4th & 10 at TENN 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:49FLA 4th & 9 at FLA 23, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:05TENN 4th & 2 at TENN 45, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.1%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:02TENN 4th & 19 at FLA 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−1.6
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    9.4%−0.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:36FLA 4th & 10 at FLA 12, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%−1.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:42TENN 4th & 14 at FLA 49, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−1.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:13FLA 4th & 14 at TENN 36, up 18
    Close callPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:12TENN 4th & 3 at FLA 37, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:27TENN 4th & 10 at FLA 22, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3FLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 9:59TENN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:53FLA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:33FLA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:31FLA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:21FLA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:33TENN Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:27TENN Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    4.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5813% → 13%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
12.8%
Eric Gray run for 1 yd to the Tenn 21Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+4
13.0%
Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
13.1%
Harrison Bailey pass incomplete to Brandon JohnsonSimilar
Q1 13:32
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
13.1%
Paxton Brooks punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Kadarius Toney at the Fla 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 4:0687% → 85%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
13.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 8 yds to the Fla 33Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
13.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 4 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
13.8%
Dameon Pierce run for 2 yds to the Fla 39Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+2
13.9%
Dameon Pierce run for 2 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+23
14.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 23 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+17
14.3%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 17 yds to the Tenn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
14.4%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Dameon PierceSimilar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+7
14.6%
Kadarius Toney run for 7 yds to the Tenn 12Similar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 3
OPP 12
0
14.8%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kyle PittsSimilar
Q1 9:19
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+30
14.9%
Evan McPherson 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 9:19
4TH & 3
OWN 35
-5
15.0%
FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the Fla 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:1015% → 16%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-3
15.0%
Ty Chandler run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 15Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 13
OWN 15
+1
15.3%
Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the Tenn 16Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 12
OWN 16
+13
15.3%
Harrison Bailey pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 13 yds to the Tenn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-3
15.7%
Ty Chandler run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 26Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 13
OWN 26
+4
15.9%
Harrison Bailey pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 4 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q1 6:05
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+4
15.9%
Harrison Bailey pass complete to Eric Gray for 4 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q1 5:40
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
16.1%
Paxton Brooks punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Kadarius Toney at the Fla 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4PUNT
12 plays · 49 yds · 5:1383% → 82%
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
16.6%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kyle PittsSimilar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+8
16.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Malik Davis for 8 yds to the Fla 18Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+14
17.1%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 14 yds to the Fla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
16.9%
Malik Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 30Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+2
17.5%
Malik Davis run for 2 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+22
17.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 22 yds to the Tenn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-15
17.1%
FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Xzavier Henderson) to the Fla 39Similar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 25
OWN 39
+7
17.6%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Rick Wells for 7 yds to the Fla 46Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 18
OWN 46
+2
17.8%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the Fla 48Similar
Q1 0:40
3RD & 16
OWN 48
+11
18.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Justin Shorter for 11 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q1 0:23
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
18.3%
Jacob Finn punt for 37 yds, downed at the Tenn 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5TD
12 plays · 96 yds · 5:0118% → 28%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
18.3%
Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Tenn 7Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 7
OWN 7
-1
18.2%
Eric Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 6Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 8
OWN 6
+19
18.1%
Harrison Bailey pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 19 yds to the Tenn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
19.3%
Harrison Bailey run for no gain to the Tenn 25Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
19.4%
Harrison Bailey pass complete to Eric Gray for 13 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
20.8%
Harrison Bailey pass complete to Eric Gray for 2 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, Roughing Passer (Andrew Chatfield Jr.) to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
21.4%
Eric Gray run for 8 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+4
21.6%
Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Fla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
22.5%
Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+15
22.9%
Harrison Bailey run for 15 yds to the Fla 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
27.9%
Harrison Bailey pass complete to Eric Gray for 15 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:0175% → 81%
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
24.8%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Warren Burrell) to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
24.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
50
+11
23.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Malik Davis for 11 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
23.8%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Trevon GrimesSimilar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+15
24.0%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 15 yds to the Tenn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+20
23.7%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 20 yds to the Tenn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
18.7%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 4 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:4921% → 21%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
21.1%
Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
21.4%
Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the Tenn 30Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
21.1%
Harrison Bailey pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q2 6:41
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
20.5%
Paxton Brooks pass incomplete to Jimmy HolidaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8MISSED FG
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:3581% → 77%
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
19.2%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Justin ShorterSimilar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
19.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Dameon Pierce for no gain to the Tenn 30Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 10
OPP 30
-5
20.4%
Kyle Trask sacked by Ja'Quain Blakely for a loss of 5 yards to the Tenn 35Similar
Q2 5:01
4TH & 15
OPP 35
+53
22.7%
Evan McPherson 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 1:4823% → 22%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
22.8%
Harrison Bailey run for 6 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
24.7%
Harrison Bailey pass incomplete to Velus Jones Jr.Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+8
24.1%
Brian Maurer pass complete to Eric Gray for 8 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
25.4%
Harrison Bailey pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 9
50
0
25.4%
Harrison Bailey pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q2 2:50
3RD & 9
50
-7
23.8%
Harrison Bailey sacked by Khris Bogle for a loss of 7 yards to the Tenn 43Similar
Q2 2:42
4TH & 16
OWN 43
0
22.3%
Paxton Brooks punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Kadarius Toney at the Fla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 2:0577% → 86%
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
22.9%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Jacob CopelandSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
23.2%
Nay'Quan Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 19Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+28
24.3%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 28 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-6
21.4%
Kyle Trask sacked by Tyler Baron for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 41Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 16
OWN 41
+4
24.0%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Malik Davis for 4 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+17
23.7%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 17 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
20.4%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Trevon GrimesSimilar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+7
20.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Justin Shorter for 7 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+15
20.6%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 15 yds to the Tenn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+14
20.2%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (14 Yards) to the Tenn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
14.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 2 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
15.4%
Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:0983% → 91%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
17.0%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 8 yds to the Fla 33Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+42
16.6%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 42 yds to the Tenn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
15.9%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kyle PittsSimilar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+17
16.0%
Jacob Copeland run for 17 yds to the Tenn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
9.0%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 8 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:3310% → 10%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
10.4%
Eric Gray run for no gain to the Tenn 10Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+4
10.2%
Harrison Bailey pass complete to Josh Palmer for 4 yds to the Tenn 14Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 6
OWN 14
-6
10.1%
Harrison Bailey sacked by Ventrell Miller for a loss of 6 yards to the Tenn 8Similar
Q3 11:27
4TH & 12
OWN 8
0
9.8%
Paxton Brooks punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14DOWNS
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:4991% → 91%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
8.7%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 6 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+9
8.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 9 yds to the Tenn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
8.5%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kemore GambleSimilar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+7
8.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Justin Shorter for 7 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+1
8.4%
Kyle Trask run for 1 yd to the Tenn 24Similar
Q3 9:11
4TH & 2
OPP 24
0
9.1%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Malik DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:4310% → 10%
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+17
9.8%
Ty Chandler run for 17 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
10.7%
Harrison Bailey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-9
10.3%
Harrison Bailey sacked by Zachary Carter for a loss of 9 yards to the Tenn 32Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 19
OWN 32
+9
9.4%
Ty Chandler run for 9 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q3 7:20
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
9.8%
Paxton Brooks punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2191% → 91%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
8.8%
Nay'Quan Wright run for no gain to the Fla 22Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
8.6%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the Fla 23Similar
Q3 5:56
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
8.7%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Trevon GrimesSimilar
Q3 5:49
4TH & 9
OWN 23
0
9.0%
Jacob Finn punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Eric Gray at the Tenn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 3:289% → 10%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
9.4%
Eric Gray run for 10 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
9.8%
Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+1
9.8%
Brian Maurer run for 1 yd to the Tenn 41Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+4
9.9%
Harrison Bailey pass complete to Eric Gray for 4 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q3 3:05
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+20
10.0%
Harrison Bailey pass complete to Josh Palmer for 20 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
11.0%
Harrison Bailey pass complete to Josh Palmer for 3 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 7
OPP 32
0
11.2%
Harrison Bailey pass incomplete to Velus Jones Jr.Similar
Q3 2:13
3RD & 7
OPP 44
-12
10.1%
Harrison Bailey sacked by Trey Dean III for a loss of 12 yards to the Fla 44 TENNESSEE Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Harrison Bailey) to the Fla 44Similar
Q3 2:02
4TH & 19
OPP 44
0
9.5%
Paxton Brooks punt for 32 yds, downed at the Fla 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1895% → 95%
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
5.2%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Jacob CopelandSimilar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
5.2%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kyle PittsSimilar
Q3 1:44
3RD & 10
OWN 12
0
5.3%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kadarius ToneySimilar
Q3 1:36
4TH & 10
OWN 12
0
5.5%
Jacob Finn punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Eric Gray at the Tenn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:3310% → 7%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
9.7%
Harrison Bailey pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 4 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+5
9.0%
Harrison Bailey pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 5 yds to the Fla 47Similar
Q3 0:10
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+2
9.4%
Harrison Bailey run for 2 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
9.2%
Velus Jones Jr. run for 4 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 6
OPP 41
-8
9.3%
Harrison Bailey sacked by Amari Burney for a loss of 8 yards to the Fla 49Similar
Q4 13:50
3RD & 14
OPP 49
0
6.7%
Harrison Bailey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:42
4TH & 14
OPP 49
0
6.6%
Paxton Brooks punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Kadarius Toney at the Fla 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20TD
6 plays · 86 yds · 1:5496% → 99%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+12
4.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 12 yds to the Fla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
4.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 13 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+14
3.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 14 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
3.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 14 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+21
3.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 21 yds to the Tenn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
0.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 12 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 21TD
14 plays · 94 yds · 5:172% → 3%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
1.8%
Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the Tenn 7Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+15
1.7%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Ty Chandler for 15 yds to the Tenn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
1.8%
Eric Gray run for 8 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+4
1.8%
Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Tenn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
1.7%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
1.8%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Jalin HyattSimilar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+11
1.7%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 11 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
1.6%
FLORIDA Penalty, Roughing Passer (Brenton Cox Jr.) to the Fla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
1.8%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Eric Gray for no gain to the Fla 30Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+12
1.3%
Ty Chandler run for 12 yds to the Fla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
1.4%
Ty Chandler run for no gain to the Fla 18Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+11
1.3%
J.T. Shrout run for 11 yds to the Fla 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
2.9%
Ty Chandler run for 7 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 22PUNT
11 plays · 7 yds · 2:2098% → 99%
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
1.7%
FLORIDA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 48Similar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 15
OPP 48
+3
1.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 3 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+13
1.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 13 yds to the Tenn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
1.4%
Dameon Pierce run for 4 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+2
1.2%
Dameon Pierce run for 2 yds to the Tenn 26Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 4
OPP 26
-5
1.2%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Kadarius Toney) to the Tenn 31Similar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 9
OPP 31
-5
1.2%
Dameon Pierce run for a loss of 5 yards to the Tenn 36Similar
Q4 3:13
4TH & 14
OPP 36
0
1.2%
Kyle Trask punt for 32 yds, downed at the Tenn 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 23TD
14 plays · 96 yds · 2:332% → 3%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+12
1.6%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Princeton Fant for 12 yds to the Tenn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
1.6%
J.T. Shrout run for 8 yds to the Tenn 24Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+6
1.6%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Princeton Fant for 6 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
1.4%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 8 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+18
1.4%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 18 yds to the Fla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-7
1.5%
J.T. Shrout sacked by Princely Umanmielen for a loss of 7 yards to the Tenn 49Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 17
OWN 49
+9
1.4%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Josh Palmer for 9 yds to the Fla 42Similar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+5
1.5%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Princeton Fant for 5 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q4 1:12
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+15
0.6%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 15 yds to the Fla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
0.9%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Velus Jones Jr.Similar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
0.9%
J.T. Shrout run for no gain to the Fla 22Similar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
0.8%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for no gain to the Fla 22Similar
Q4 0:27
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+22
2.7%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 22 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 24Uncategorized
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
2.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:31
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 8 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)
-7
TD · Q2 0:33
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 2 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)
-5.8
TD · Q2 7:53
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 4 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)
-5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com