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UK

Kentucky 10 at Florida 34

FLA
2020 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2020 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadUK aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreUK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:40 · Terry Wilson pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 11 yds to the Fla 20 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 9Pregame prior+42.0Home team on offense−0.4Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:18: Terry Wilson pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 4 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +2.9 pts (now 13%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. PUNT · Q2 0:42: Max Duffy punt for 40 yds , Kadarius Toney returns for 50 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +8.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:35: Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 2 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +5.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 5:58: Evan McPherson 34 yd FG GOOD — FLA win probability +2.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:36: Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 7 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +3.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6UK made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 10:40UK 4th & 3 at FLA 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    7.8%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    7.7%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:27UK 4th & 30 at FLA 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    8.4%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:05FLA 4th & 2 at FLA 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    91.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:01UK 4th & 1 at UK 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.4%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:23UK 4th & 2 at UK 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:37FLA 4th & 6 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:13UK 4th & 5 at FLA 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.2%
    92% to make
    Punt
    15.8%−3.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:13FLA 4th & 11 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:42UK 4th & 1 at UK 10, up 3
    Close callPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:20UK 4th & 13 at UK 5, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:58FLA 4th & 16 at UK 16, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    86.7%−3.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:54UK 4th & 1 at UK 34, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:54UK 4th & 4 at FLA 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:17FLA 4th & 3 at UK 27, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:18FLA 4th & 11 at UK 22, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%
    72% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UK made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:03FLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:18UK Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:35FLA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:36FLA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1PUNT
13 plays · 35 yds · 6:286% → 8%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.9%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+17
93.7%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 17 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
93.6%
Terry Wilson run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 4
50
+12
93.5%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 12 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
93.3%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 3 yds to the Fla 35Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+4
93.0%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 4 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 3
OPP 31
0
92.9%
Kavosiey Smoke run for no gain to the Fla 31Similar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+11
92.8%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 11 yds to the Fla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-10
92.5%
Terry Wilson sacked by Brenton Cox Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the Fla 30Similar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 20
OPP 30
0
92.4%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Asim Rose Jr.Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 20
OPP 30
-10
92.4%
Terry Wilson sacked by Zachary Carter and Mohamoud Diabate for a loss of 10 yards to the Fla 40Similar
Q1 8:27
4TH & 30
OPP 40
+9
92.3%
Max Duffy punt for 32 yds , Kadarius Toney returns for 9 yds to the Fla 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2TD
6 plays · 83 yds · 2:2292% → 93%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
92.2%
Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds to the Fla 20Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
92.1%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kyle PittsSimilar
Q1 7:48
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+5
92.0%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 5 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q1 7:05
4TH & 2
OWN 25
+15
91.7%
Dameon Pierce run for 15 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST down (Fake punt)Similar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
91.8%
Malik Davis run for 4 yds to the Fla 44Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+56
92.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 56 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 4:358% → 9%
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
92.5%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 8 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-1
92.2%
Kavosiey Smoke run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 32Similar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
92.3%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q1 4:01
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
92.2%
Terry Wilson run for 3 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
92.0%
Terry Wilson run for 7 yds to the Kent 44Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+2
91.6%
Terry Wilson run for 2 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 1
OWN 46
-1
91.5%
Asim Rose Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 45Similar
Q1 1:23
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
91.5%
Max Duffy punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kadarius Toney at the Fla 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4FUMBLE
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:3292% → 92%
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
91.7%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Kyle Pitts) to the Fla 11Similar
Q1 1:14
1ST & 15
OWN 11
+3
91.7%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 3 yds to the Fla 14Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 12
OWN 14
0
91.6%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kyle PittsSimilar
Q1 0:42
3RD & 12
OWN 14
+16
91.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Rick Wells for 16 yds to the Fla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
91.5%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 5 yds to the Fla 35Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+3
91.6%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Justin Shorter for 3 yds Justin Shorter fumbled, forced by Chris Oats, recovered by Kent DeAndre SquareSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5TD
7 plays · 38 yds · 3:269% → 13%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+13
90.7%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 13 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
90.2%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 6 yds to the Fla 19Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+3
90.0%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 3 yds to the Fla 16Similar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+5
90.2%
Wilson, Terry rush for 2 yards to the FLORIDA14, PENALTY FLORIDA offside 5 yards to the FLORIDA11, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTUCKY.Similar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
89.8%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 7 yds to the Fla 4Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 3
OPP 4
0
89.6%
Kavosiey Smoke run for no gain to the Fla 4Similar
Q2 11:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
86.7%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 4 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:3388% → 87%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
88.1%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 21 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
88.7%
Malik Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 45Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+5
88.1%
Malik Davis run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 6
50
0
88.2%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Malik DavisSimilar
Q2 9:37
4TH & 6
50
0
87.4%
Jacob Finn punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Josh Ali at the Kent 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7FG
15 plays · 87 yds · 7:1613% → 21%
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
86.8%
Kavosiey Smoke run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 7Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+13
86.6%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 13 yds to the Kent 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
86.0%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 9 yds to the Kent 29Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+11
84.5%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 11 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
84.0%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+5
83.2%
Terry Wilson run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
50
+10
82.7%
Wilson, Terry pass incomplete to Harris, DeMarcus, PENALTY FLORIDA pass interference (Elam, Kaiir) 10 yards to the FLORIDA40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTUCKY.Similar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
82.6%
Josh Ali run for 15 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
81.5%
Kavosiey Smoke run for no gain to the Fla 25Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
81.2%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for no gain to the Fla 25Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+19
81.3%
Terry Wilson run for 19 yds to the Fla 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
79.9%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 1 yd to the Fla 5Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
79.3%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to DeMarcus HarrisSimilar
Q2 2:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
79.9%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Asim Rose Jr. KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Holding (Landon Young) declinedSimilar
Q2 2:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
79.1%
Matt Ruffolo 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 0:5580% → 79%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
80.0%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for 8 yds to the Fla 33Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
81.0%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for 8 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
81.1%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for 10 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
81.7%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Nay'Quan WrightSimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-15
81.4%
Trask, Kyle pass complete to Grimes, Trevon for 11 yards to the KENTUCKY38, PENALTY FLORIDA face mask (Forsythe, Stone) 15 yards to the FLORIDA36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 25
OWN 36
+5
79.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for 5 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 20
OWN 41
+9
78.7%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:13
4TH & 11
50
0
79.4%
Jacob Finn punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9PUNT RETURN TD
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:2521% → 13%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
79.3%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 4Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+6
78.4%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 10Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 1
OWN 10
0
78.2%
Asim Rose Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 10Similar
Q2 0:42
4TH & 1
OWN 10
+50
87.0%
Max Duffy punt for 40 yds , Kadarius Toney returns for 50 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.6%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the Kent 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2085% → 92%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
85.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 12 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
85.6%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 9 yds to the Fla 46Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+12
86.1%
Kadarius Toney pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 12 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
86.2%
Trask, Kyle pass sacked for loss of 5 yards to the KENTUCKY47 (Weaver, J.J.), PENALTY KENTUCKY face mask (Weaver, J.J.) 15 yards to the KENTUCKY27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDA.Similar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+14
86.5%
Dameon Pierce run for 1 yd to the Kent 26 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Face Mask (13 yards) (Kordell Looney) to the Kent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
86.2%
Trask, Kyle pass incomplete to Pitts, Kyle, PENALTY KENTUCKY pass interference (Joseph, Kelvin) 11 yards to the KENTUCKY2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDA.Similar
Q3 12:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.7%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 2 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 2:019% → 9%
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
90.9%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 10Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 8
OWN 10
-1
90.8%
Asim Rose Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 9Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+1
91.3%
Terry Wilson run for 1 yd to the Kent 10Similar
Q3 10:29
4TH & 8
OWN 10
-5
91.4%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Kent 5Similar
Q3 10:20
4TH & 13
OWN 5
0
91.5%
Max Duffy punt for 61 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 4:1591% → 94%
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+42
91.1%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 42 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
91.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 9 yds to the Kent 15Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 1
OPP 15
0
91.8%
Dameon Pierce run for no gain to the Kent 15Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+6
91.5%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Offside (Marquan McCall) to the Kent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
91.7%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 7 yds to the Kent 2Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-9
91.6%
Kyle Trask sacked by Jamar Watson and Jordan Wright for a loss of 9 yards to the Kent 11Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
-5
91.2%
FLORIDA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Kent 16Similar
Q3 6:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
0
91.0%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Dameon Pierce for no gain to the Kent 16Similar
Q3 5:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 16
+34
93.7%
Evan McPherson 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:487% → 7%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.8%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Isaiah EppsSimilar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
92.9%
Terry Wilson run for 1 yd to the Kent 26Similar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-14
93.1%
Terry Wilson pass intercepted Mohamoud Diabate return for 14 yds to the Kent 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15TD
3 plays · 12 yds · 1:2095% → 98%
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
94.7%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 2 yds to the Kent 10Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+3
94.8%
Kyle Trask run for 3 yds to the Kent 7Similar
Q3 3:36
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+7
98.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 7 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:392% → 2%
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.1%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.2%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 8 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
98.1%
Terry Wilson run for 1 yd to the Kent 34Similar
Q3 1:54
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+41
98.3%
Max Duffy punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FLORIDA 20 KENTUCKY Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the Fla 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0899% → 99%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Xzavier HendersonSimilar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
98.7%
Nay'Quan Wright run for no gain to the Fla 36 Nay'Quan Wright fumbled, recovered by Kent Jamin Davis KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (Kelvin Joseph) to the Fla 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 18DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:412% → 1%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
98.4%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 2 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+6
98.3%
Asim Rose Jr. run for 6 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 28
-2
98.6%
Asim Rose Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 30Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+2
98.7%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Asim Rose Jr. for 2 yds to the Fla 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19MISSED FG
5 plays · 45 yds · 2:2799% → 99%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+38
98.9%
Dameon Pierce run for 38 yds to the Kent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
99.0%
Dameon Pierce run for 4 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+4
99.1%
Dameon Pierce run for 4 yds to the Kent 26Similar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 2
OPP 26
-1
99.1%
Malik Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 27Similar
Q4 12:17
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+45
99.0%
Evan McPherson 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 20INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:461% → 1%
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
99.0%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 1 yd to the Kent 28Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
99.1%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 9
OWN 28
-8
99.1%
Terry Wilson pass intercepted Shawn Davis return for 8 yds to the Fla 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21FG
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:5999% → 99%
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
99.1%
Dameon Pierce run for 2 yds to the Fla 48Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+9
99.1%
Kyle Trask run for 9 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+22
99.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 22 yds to the Kent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.2%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Dameon PierceSimilar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+1
99.2%
Emory Jones run for 1 yd to the Kent 20Similar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 9
OPP 20
-2
99.2%
Malik Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 22Similar
Q4 8:18
4TH & 11
OPP 22
+40
99.2%
Evan McPherson 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 22INT
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:171% → 1%
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.2%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 6 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
99.3%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 5 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.4%
Joey Gatewood run for 5 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+9
99.4%
JuTahn McClain run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
50
0
99.4%
Joey Gatewood pass intercepted Tre'Vez Johnson return for no gain to the Fla 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 23END OF 4TH QUARTER
10 plays · 69 yds · 5:3799% → 100%
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
99.4%
Malik Davis run for 6 yds to the Fla 36Similar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+7
99.4%
Emory Jones run for 7 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
99.5%
Emory Jones pass complete to Malik Davis for 8 yds to the Kent 49Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+6
99.5%
Malik Davis run for 6 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
99.5%
Malik Davis run for 4 yds to the Kent 39Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+20
99.6%
Emory Jones pass complete to Rick Wells for 20 yds to the Kent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
99.6%
Emory Jones pass complete to Justin Shorter for 3 yds to the Kent 16Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 7
OPP 16
-1
99.7%
Iverson Clement run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 17Similar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+15
99.6%
Emory Jones pass complete to Justin Shorter for 15 yds to the Kent 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.6%
Iverson Clement run for 1 yd to the Kent 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
PUNT · Q2 0:42
Max Duffy punt for 40 yds , Kadarius Toney returns for 50 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)
+8.8
TD · Q3 12:35
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 2 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)
+5.5
TD · Q3 3:36
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 7 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)
+3.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com