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FLA

Florida 38 at Vanderbilt 17

VAN
2020 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2020 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadFLA aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreFLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:56 · Harrison Smith punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.0+27.50−27.5−55.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 63Pregame prior−44.5Home team on offense+1.6Score differential+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:49: Trevon Grimes 34 Yd pass from Kyle Trask (Evan McPherson Kick) — FLA win probability +4.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:47: Dameon Pierce 1 Yd Run (Evan McPherson Kick) — FLA win probability +4.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:55: Kemore Gamble 2 Yd pass from Kyle Trask (Evan McPherson Kick) — FLA win probability +3.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:01: Chris Pierce Jr. 58 Yd pass from Ken Seals (Pierson Cooke Kick) — VAN win probability +5.0 pts (now 7%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:46: Kemore Gamble 30 Yd pass from Emory Jones (Evan McPherson Kick) — FLA win probability +2.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 7 of 8FLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 2:45VAN 4th & 5 at FLA 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:09FLA 4th & 17 at FLA 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:06VAN 4th & 10 at FLA 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    10.5%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:48FLA 4th & 5 at FLA 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:56VAN 4th & 8 at VAN 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:12FLA 4th & 5 at VAN 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    80.1%−3.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:34VAN 4th & 7 at VAN 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:18VAN 4th & 4 at VAN 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:04FLA 4th & 1 at FLA 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    89.1%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:29VAN 4th & 9 at VAN 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:07VAN 4th & 3 at VAN 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.8%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:01VAN 4th & 23 at FLA 39, down 14
    Close callPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    6.3%
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2FLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:50VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:47FLA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:49FLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:47FLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:55FLA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:01VAN Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:46FLA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:052% → 3%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
2.3%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 2 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+18
2.3%
Ken Seals pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 18 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
2.4%
Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 9 yds to the Fla 46Similar
Q1 13:52
2ND & 1
OPP 46
0
2.4%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for no gain to the Fla 46Similar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+6
2.5%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 6 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
2.5%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 4 yds to the Fla 36Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+6
2.6%
Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 6 yds to the Fla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
2.8%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 12 yds to the Fla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
2.8%
Ken Seals run for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 21Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 13
OPP 21
+5
3.0%
Mitchell Pryor run for 5 yds to the Fla 16Similar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+16
3.2%
Chris Pierce Jr. 16 Yd pass from Ken Seals (Pierson Cooke Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 2:5197% → 97%
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
3.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 13 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
3.3%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 15 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
3.4%
Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
3.6%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Jacob CopelandSimilar
Q1 9:01
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+16
3.6%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 16 yds to the Vandy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
3.7%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Trevon GrimesSimilar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+2
3.7%
Dameon Pierce run for 2 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+27
3.5%
Kadarius Toney 27 Yd pass from Kyle Trask (Evan McPherson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3FG
14 plays · 68 yds · 4:554% → 5%
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
3.7%
Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 7 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
3.8%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 1 yd to the Vandy 33Similar
Q1 6:43
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+11
3.9%
Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 11 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
4.1%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 5 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 5
OWN 49
0
4.2%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Chris Pierce Jr.Similar
Q1 5:53
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+5
4.2%
Seals, Ken pass incomplete to Abdur-Rahman, Amir (Davis, Shawn), PENALTY FLORIDA offside 5 yards to the FLORIDA46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VANDERBILT.Similar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
4.3%
Mitchell Pryor run for 5 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+5
4.5%
Mitchell Pryor run for 5 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+24
4.6%
Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 24 yds to the Fla 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
4.8%
Mitchell Pryor run for 3 yds to the Fla 9Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+4
5.0%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 4 yds to the Fla 5Similar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 3
OPP 5
-2
5.2%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 7Similar
Q1 2:45
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+25
5.4%
Pierson Cooke 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 3:1595% → 93%
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
5.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for 5 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+2
5.5%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the Fla 33Similar
Q1 1:14
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+15
5.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 15 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
5.9%
FLORIDA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Fla 43Similar
Q1 0:18
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+4
6.2%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 4 yds to the Fla 47Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 11
OWN 47
0
6.3%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Keon ZippererSimilar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 11
OWN 47
-6
6.4%
Kyle Trask sacked by Andre Mintze for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 41Similar
Q2 14:09
4TH & 17
OWN 41
0
7.0%
Jacob Finn punt for 49 yds, downed at the Vandy 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 46 yds · 2:567% → 8%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
6.8%
Mitchell Pryor run for no gain to the Vandy 10Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+1
7.0%
Mitchell Pryor run for 1 yd to the Vandy 11Similar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 9
OWN 11
+10
7.0%
Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 10 yds to the Vandy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+35
7.5%
Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 35 yds to the Fla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
8.2%
Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 9 yds to the Fla 35Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 1
OPP 35
-5
8.6%
Seals, Ken pass incomplete to Abdur-Rahman, Amir, PENALTY VANDERBILT illegal formation 5 yards to the FLORIDA40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+1
8.6%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 1 yd to the Fla 39Similar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 5
OPP 39
-5
8.6%
VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 44Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
8.4%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Chris Pierce Jr., broken up by Marco WilsonSimilar
Q2 11:06
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
8.1%
Harrison Smith punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 2:1092% → 90%
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+13
8.5%
Dameon Pierce run for 13 yds to the Fla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
8.7%
Dameon Pierce run for no gain to the Fla 31Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
9.1%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 6 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 4
OWN 37
-1
9.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 36Similar
Q2 8:48
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
10.0%
Jacob Finn punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Cam Johnson at the Vandy 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4610% → 10%
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
9.7%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+2
9.8%
Mitchell Pryor run for 2 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 8
OWN 26
0
10.1%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Mitchell PryorSimilar
Q2 7:56
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
9.9%
Harrison Smith punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8FG
9 plays · 31 yds · 3:3690% → 90%
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
9.6%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Justin Shorter, broken up by Brendon HarrisSimilar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+14
9.7%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Justin Shorter for 14 yds to the Vandy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
9.7%
Emory Jones run for 4 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+4
10.0%
Emory Jones run for 4 yds to the Vandy 24Similar
Q2 5:57
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+4
10.7%
Malik Davis run for 4 yds to the Vandy 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
10.6%
Malik Davis run for 5 yds to the Vandy 15Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 5
OPP 15
0
11.0%
Malik Davis run for no gain to the Vandy 15Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 5
OPP 15
0
11.9%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Malik Davis, broken up by Allan GeorgeSimilar
Q2 4:12
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+33
10.4%
Evan McPherson 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:3012% → 13%
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
12.2%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 4 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
12.6%
Seals, Ken pass incomplete to Abdur-Rahman, Amir, PENALTY FLORIDA pass interference (Wilson, Marco) 6 yards to the VANDERBILT35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VANDERBILT.Similar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-6
12.7%
Ken Seals sacked by Brenton Cox Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the Vandy 29Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 16
OWN 29
+9
12.9%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 9 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q2 2:42
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
13.1%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Amir Abdur-RahmanSimilar
Q2 2:34
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
12.7%
Harrison Smith punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10TD
7 plays · 85 yds · 1:3688% → 93%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+17
11.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 17 yds to the Fla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
11.9%
Nay'Quan Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 31Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+11
12.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 11 yds to the Fla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
11.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Justin Shorter for 9 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+3
11.0%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
11.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Justin Shorter for 12 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
7.0%
Trevon Grimes 34 Yd pass from Kyle Trask (Evan McPherson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:269% → 9%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
8.8%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Chris Pierce Jr.Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
8.8%
Ken Seals pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
8.5%
Mitchell Pryor run for 6 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q2 0:18
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+7
9.1%
Harrison Smith punt for 42 yds , Kadarius Toney returns for 7 yds to the Fla 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
8.4%
Kyle Trask run for no gain to the Fla 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:0792% → 95%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
8.3%
Dameon Pierce run for 9 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q3 14:31
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
8.1%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kemore GambleSimilar
Q3 14:25
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
8.3%
Kyle Trask run for no gain to the Fla 34Similar
Q3 14:04
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
8.8%
Dameon Pierce run for 2 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
8.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 6 yds to the Fla 42Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+7
8.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 7 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+36
8.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 36 yds to the Vandy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
8.2%
Dameon Pierce run for 7 yds to the Vandy 8Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 3
OPP 8
0
8.4%
Dameon Pierce run for no gain to the Vandy 8Similar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+3
8.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 3 yds to the Vandy 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
8.8%
Trevon Grimes run for 4 yds to the Vandy 1Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
4.7%
Dameon Pierce 1 Yd Run (Evan McPherson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:106% → 6%
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
5.9%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 4 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
6.1%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for no gain to the Vandy 29Similar
Q3 8:42
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
6.0%
Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 6 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
6.1%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Chris Pierce Jr., broken up by Kaiir Elam VANDERBILT Penalty, Personal Foul (Grant Miller) to the Vandy 20Similar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 25
OWN 20
+16
5.9%
Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 16 yds to the Vandy 36Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
6.0%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Ben BresnahanSimilar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
5.9%
Harrison Smith punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15TD
11 plays · 91 yds · 4:2694% → 99%
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
5.6%
Kadarius Toney run for 3 yds to the Fla 12Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+8
5.3%
Malik Davis run for 8 yds to the Fla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
5.3%
Davis, Malik rush for 11 yards to the FLORIDA31, PENALTY FLORIDA holding (Gouraige, Richard) 10 yards to the FLORIDA10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+3
5.4%
Malik Davis run for 3 yds to the Fla 13Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 17
OWN 13
+46
5.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Justin Shorter for 46 yds to the Vandy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
4.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Justin Shorter for 13 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
4.7%
Malik Davis run for 8 yds to the Vandy 20Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+11
4.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Malik Davis for 11 yds to the Vandy 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
4.8%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Rick WellsSimilar
Q3 3:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
4.8%
Malik Davis run for 7 yds to the Vandy 2Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
1.2%
Kemore Gamble 2 Yd pass from Kyle Trask (Evan McPherson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:472% → 7%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
2.1%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the Vandy 26Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+16
2.1%
Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 16 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
7.1%
Chris Pierce Jr. 58 Yd pass from Ken Seals (Pierson Cooke Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17FUMBLE
8 plays · 49 yds · 2:0595% → 96%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
5.5%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+4
5.6%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 4 yds to the Fla 36Similar
Q3 0:36
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+13
5.5%
Kyle Trask run for 13 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
5.0%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 6 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+6
4.9%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 6 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
5.2%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Jacob CopelandSimilar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+17
4.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 17 yds Kadarius Toney fumbled, forced by Dashaun Jerkins, recovered by Vandy De'Rickey WrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18PUNT
15 plays · 39 yds · 4:197% → 6%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
6.6%
Rocko Griffin run for 3 yds to the Vandy 25Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+15
6.7%
Rocko Griffin run for 15 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
7.5%
Rocko Griffin run for 2 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-11
7.5%
Ken Seals sacked by Khris Bogle and Gervon Dexter for a loss of 11 yards to the Vandy 31Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 19
OWN 31
+16
6.5%
Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 16 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q4 12:07
4TH & 3
OWN 47
+14
7.1%
Ken Seals pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 14 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
7.6%
Mitchell Pryor run for 2 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+7
7.6%
Mitchell Pryor run for 7 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q4 10:56
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+4
8.0%
Rocko Griffin run for 4 yds to the Fla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-8
7.1%
Ken Seals pass complete to Grant Miller for a loss of 8 yards to the Fla 34Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 18
OPP 34
0
6.5%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Cam JohnsonSimilar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 18
OPP 34
-5
5.8%
VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (Tyler Steen) to the Fla 39Similar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 23
OPP 39
0
5.6%
Ken Seals pass incomplete to Amir Abdur-RahmanSimilar
Q4 10:01
4TH & 23
OPP 39
0
5.6%
Harrison Smith punt for 38 yds, downed at the Fla 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19TD
6 plays · 99 yds · 3:0996% → 99%
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+34
3.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kemore Gamble for 34 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
3.8%
Dameon Pierce run for 16 yds to the Vandy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
3.4%
Dameon Pierce run for 2 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+9
3.5%
Emory Jones run for 9 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
3.4%
Emory Jones run for 8 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+30
0.7%
Kemore Gamble 30 Yd pass from Emory Jones (Evan McPherson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20INT
10 plays · 52 yds · 2:451% → 1%
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.9%
Mitchell Pryor run for 1 yd to the Vandy 26Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
0.9%
Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 6 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q4 5:55
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+17
0.9%
Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 17 yds to the Vandy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
0.9%
Mitchell Pryor run for 3 yds to the Fla 48Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+12
1.0%
Ken Seals pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 12 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
1.0%
Ken Seals pass complete to Mitchell Pryor for 9 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+4
1.1%
Mitchell Pryor run for 4 yds to the Fla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
1.1%
Ken Seals pass intercepted, touchback. Kaiir Elam return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21Uncategorized
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:20100% → 100%
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
0.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Kaiir Elam) to the Fla 10Similar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
0.5%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Xzavier HendersonSimilar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+3
0.5%
Malik Davis run for 3 yds to the Fla 13Similar
Q4 3:04
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+9
0.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Malik Davis for 9 yds to the Fla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
0.4%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+10
0.3%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 10 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
0.3%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 7 yds to the Fla 42Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 3
OWN 42
0
0.3%
Iverson Clement run for no gain to the Fla 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:01
Chris Pierce Jr. 58 Yd pass from Ken Seals (Pierson Cooke Kick)
+5
TD · Q2 0:49
Trevon Grimes 34 Yd pass from Kyle Trask (Evan McPherson Kick)
-4.2
TD · Q3 9:47
Dameon Pierce 1 Yd Run (Evan McPherson Kick)
-4.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com