Try the model
FLA

Florida 44 at Georgia 28

UGA
2020 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2020 · EverBank Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadFLA aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreFLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDFGEnd of GameFG-0.5UGA 1.0%Evan McPherson 34 yd FG GOODAWAY 44 - HOME 28 · Q4 1:19
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:19 · Evan McPherson 34 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+51.0+25.50−25.5−51.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 174Home team on offense−49.5Score differential−20.5Garbage-time factor−10.4Pregame prior+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−12.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−15.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:17: Kyle Trask pass intercepted for a TD Eric Stokes return for 37 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +8.1 pts (now 65%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:38: Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 25 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +10.5 pts (now 46%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:44: Kyle Trask pass complete to Kemore Gamble for 24 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +8.9 pts (now 56%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:11: Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 14 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +10.9 pts (now 78%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:41: D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 25 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +14.9 pts (now 23%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 7 of 9FLA made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:58FLA 4th & 7 at FLA 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:44UGA 4th & 13 at FLA 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:53UGA 4th & 2 at UGA 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:39UGA 4th & 10 at UGA 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:47UGA 4th & 3 at UGA 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:44FLA 4th & 7 at UGA 32, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.6%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    56.3%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:39UGA 4th & 10 at UGA 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:48FLA 4th & 8 at UGA 33, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    74.9%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:06FLA 4th & 4 at UGA 49, up 20
    Close callPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:20UGA 4th & 1 at FLA 49, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.6%−3.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:56FLA 4th & 8 at UGA 26, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    82.2%−7.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:28UGA 4th & 13 at UGA 23, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:34FLA 4th & 8 at FLA 47, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:52UGA 4th & 10 at UGA 29, down 13
    Close callPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:06FLA 4th & 4 at UGA 28, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    93.0%−0.5
    60% to make
    Punt
    89.1%−4.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:19FLA 4th & 9 at UGA 15, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    94.6%−2.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:07UGA 4th & 10 at UGA 26, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4FLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 14:48UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:44UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 8:20FLA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:43FLA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 12:17UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 11:38FLA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 7:44FLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:11FLA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 0:41UGA Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
57.5%
Zamir White run for 75 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:3742% → 42%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
57.6%
Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
57.7%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Jacob CopelandSimilar
Q1 14:09
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
57.8%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Dameon PierceSimilar
Q1 13:58
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+9
57.9%
Jacob Finn punt for 42 yds , Kearis Jackson returns for 9 yds to the Geo 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:0858% → 60%
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
58.0%
Stetson Bennett run for 12 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
58.4%
Zamir White run for 1 yd to the Fla 48Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+13
58.8%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to James Cook for 13 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
59.0%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Kendall MiltonSimilar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+3
59.1%
James Cook run for 3 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+32
60.0%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 32 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:1941% → 40%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.2%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Xzavier HendersonSimilar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
59.4%
Dameon Pierce run for 10 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
59.7%
Dameon Pierce run for 6 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+39
61.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Keon Zipperer for 39 yds to the Geo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
62.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 1 yd to the Geo 19Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+5
61.6%
Dameon Pierce run for 5 yds to the Geo 14Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+14
59.7%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Justin Shorter for 14 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:1661% → 61%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
61.4%
James Cook run for 3 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
61.5%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Jaylen JohnsonSimilar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 7
OPP 41
-6
61.6%
Stetson Bennett run for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 47 Stetson Bennett fumbled, recovered by Geo Stetson BennettSimilar
Q1 6:44
4TH & 13
OPP 47
0
61.0%
Jake Camarda punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:4739% → 45%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
61.0%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Malik Davis for 5 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+7
61.0%
Malik Davis run for 7 yds to the Fla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-4
61.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 28Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 14
OWN 28
+22
61.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Malik Davis for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
50
+5
60.7%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 5 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+1
60.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 1 yd to the Geo 44Similar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+5
61.2%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 5 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+34
61.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 34 yds to the Geo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
60.3%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Jacob CopelandSimilar
Q1 2:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
60.4%
Kyle Trask run for 3 yds to the Geo 2Similar
Q1 1:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
55.5%
Dameon Pierce run for 2 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3758% → 57%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
58.0%
Jermaine Burton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 24Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
57.9%
Jermaine Burton run for 4 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q1 0:10
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
57.3%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 5 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
57.4%
Jake Camarda punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Kadarius Toney at the Fla 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8INT TD
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:2343% → 35%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
56.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 5 yds to the Fla 21Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+2
56.9%
Dameon Pierce run for 2 yds to the Fla 23Similar
Q2 13:48
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+4
57.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Justin Shorter for 4 yds to the Fla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
56.6%
Malik Davis run for no gain to the Fla 27Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
56.9%
Malik Davis run for no gain to the Fla 27Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 10
OWN 27
-37
65.0%
Kyle Trask pass intercepted for a TD Eric Stokes return for 37 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3036% → 46%
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+50
64.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for 50 yds to the Geo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
53.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 25 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:3558% → 57%
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
58.1%
Kendall Milton run for 1 yd to the Geo 18Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+18
58.0%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 18 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
58.9%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Matt LandersSimilar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
58.6%
Zamir White run for no gain to the Geo 36Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
57.8%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Jermaine BurtonSimilar
Q2 9:39
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
57.1%
Jake Camarda punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Kadarius Toney at the Fla 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11TD
5 plays · 81 yds · 1:4744% → 56%
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+37
56.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Malik Davis for 37 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
54.1%
Kadarius Toney run for 1 yd to the Geo 43Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+15
54.1%
GEORGIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Lewis Cine) to the Geo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
52.9%
Dameon Pierce run for 4 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+24
44.1%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kemore Gamble for 24 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5347% → 46%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.6%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to John FitzPatrickSimilar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
46.4%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Kearis JacksonSimilar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
45.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Zamir White for 7 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q2 6:47
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
45.6%
Jake Camarda punt for 63 yds , Kadarius Toney returns for no gain to the Fla 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 4:5653% → 60%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+14
46.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Justin Shorter for 14 yds to the Fla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-4
46.0%
Kadarius Toney run for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 15Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 14
OWN 15
+35
46.3%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 35 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
50
-5
43.2%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Jean Delance) to the Fla 45Similar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+7
44.2%
Emory Jones run for 7 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+6
42.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 6 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+7
42.3%
Dameon Pierce run for 7 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
40.5%
Malik Davis run for 1 yd to the Geo 34Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
39.8%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kadarius ToneySimilar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+2
40.2%
Malik Davis run for 2 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+50
39.6%
Evan McPherson 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0138% → 36%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
38.4%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Darnell WashingtonSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
38.0%
Stetson Bennett run for no gain to the Geo 25Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
36.8%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Matt LandersSimilar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
36.4%
Jake Camarda punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15TD
7 plays · 48 yds · 0:2363% → 78%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
36.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 11 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
36.5%
GEORGIA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Monty Rice) to the Geo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
35.6%
Malik Davis run for 4 yds to the Geo 18Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+4
35.1%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 4 yds to the Geo 14Similar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+14
22.3%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 14 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
28.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17FG
8 plays · 42 yds · 2:5275% → 85%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
25.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kemore Gamble for 14 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
23.7%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 13 yds to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
23.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 13 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
21.8%
Dameon Pierce run for 1 yd to the Geo 34Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+1
21.5%
Dameon Pierce run for 1 yd to the Geo 33Similar
Q3 11:54
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
20.9%
Kyle Trask pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:48
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+51
14.7%
Evan McPherson 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18INT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:0918% → 17%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
17.8%
Zamir White run for 4 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+8
18.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 8 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
19.0%
Stetson Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
18.8%
Stetson Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:21
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
17.4%
Stetson Bennett pass intercepted Kaiir Elam return for no gain to the Fla 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:4488% → 90%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-8
12.2%
Kyle Trask sacked by Jermaine Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the Fla 27Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 18
OWN 27
+18
13.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Malik Davis for 18 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
10.6%
Dameon Pierce run for 4 yds to the Fla 49Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
9.9%
Dameon Pierce run for no gain to the Fla 49Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+2
9.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 2 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q3 7:06
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
10.2%
Jacob Finn punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 6:1414% → 23%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
13.8%
Zamir White run for 5 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+17
12.1%
D'Wan Mathis run for 17 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
12.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Brenton Cox Jr.) to the Geo 47Similar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 5
OWN 47
+2
12.7%
James Cook run for 2 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 3
OWN 49
0
12.2%
D'Wan Mathis pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+2
12.0%
D'Wan Mathis run for 2 yds to the Fla 49Similar
Q3 4:20
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+3
9.0%
D'Wan Mathis run for 3 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
8.6%
D'Wan Mathis run for 2 yds to the Fla 44Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+10
8.2%
James Cook run for 10 yds to the Fla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
8.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Justin Shaffer) to the Fla 39Similar
Q3 2:14
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+17
7.9%
Kendall Milton run for 17 yds to the Fla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
8.1%
James Cook run for 2 yds to the Fla 20Similar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 8
OPP 20
-5
7.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 25 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Geo D'Wan MathisSimilar
Q3 0:41
3RD & 13
OPP 25
+25
22.6%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 25 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21MISSED FG
10 plays · 49 yds · 4:3683% → 89%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
16.7%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for 11 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
16.1%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for 10 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
14.8%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the Fla 49Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+10
14.5%
Emory Jones run for 10 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
11.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kemore Gamble for 13 yds to the Geo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
10.5%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 4 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 6
OPP 24
-2
9.4%
Nay'Quan Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 26Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 8
OPP 26
0
9.4%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Justin ShorterSimilar
Q4 10:56
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+44
10.7%
Evan McPherson 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:2318% → 14%
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
18.3%
D'Wan Mathis pass incomplete to Tre' McKittySimilar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+2
15.1%
Zamir White run for 2 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 8
OWN 28
-5
14.5%
D'Wan Mathis sacked by TEAM for a loss of 5 yards to the Geo 23Similar
Q4 9:28
4TH & 13
OWN 23
0
14.1%
Jake Camarda punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4192% → 92%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
7.9%
Dameon Pierce run for 2 yds to the Fla 47Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
7.7%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kadarius ToneySimilar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
8.0%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Trevon GrimesSimilar
Q4 8:34
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
8.1%
Jacob Finn punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:3712% → 11%
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
11.6%
D'Wan Mathis pass incomplete to Matt LandersSimilar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+20
11.4%
Zamir White run for 20 yds to the Geo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
11.8%
D'Wan Mathis pass incomplete to Darnell WashingtonSimilar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
11.0%
D'Wan Mathis pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
10.6%
D'Wan Mathis pass incomplete to Matt LandersSimilar
Q4 7:52
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
10.5%
Jake Camarda punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Kadarius Toney at the Fla 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 25DOWNS
10 plays · 46 yds · 2:3994% → 96%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+18
5.7%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Malik Davis for 18 yds to the Fla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
4.8%
Kyle Trask pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
4.6%
Malik Davis run for 1 yd to the Fla 45Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+21
4.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 21 yds to the Geo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
3.8%
Malik Davis run for 1 yd to the Geo 33Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
3.5%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Jacob CopelandSimilar
Q4 5:09
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+5
3.5%
Malik Davis run for 5 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q4 5:06
4TH & 4
OPP 28
0
4.0%
Kyle Trask pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 26INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:547% → 5%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
7.2%
James Cook run for 6 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 4
OWN 34
-4
6.9%
D'Wan Mathis sacked by Rashad Torrence II for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 30Similar
Q4 4:01
3RD & 8
OWN 30
0
4.7%
D'Wan Mathis pass incomplete to Matt LandersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 27FG
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:5198% → 99%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
1.9%
Kadarius Toney run for 1 yd to the Geo 15Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+3
1.8%
Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds to the Geo 12Similar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+2
1.3%
Dameon Pierce run for 2 yds to the Geo 10Similar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 4
OPP 10
-5
1.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Geo 15Similar
Q4 1:19
4TH & 9
OPP 15
+34
1.0%
Evan McPherson 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 28INT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:591% → 1%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
1.0%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to James Cook for 4 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
1.0%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to James Cook for no gain to the Geo 30Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 6
OWN 30
-4
1.0%
D'Wan Mathis sacked by Andrew Chatfield Jr. and Princely Umanmielen for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 26Similar
Q4 0:07
4TH & 10
OWN 26
-2
0.9%
D'Wan Mathis pass intercepted Amari Burney return for 2 yds to the Geo 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 29END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
0.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:41
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 25 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)
+14.9
TD · Q2 0:11
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 14 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)
-10.9
TD · Q2 11:38
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 25 yds for a TD (Evan McPherson KICK)
-10.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com