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MIZ

Missouri 17 at Florida 41

FLA
2020 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2020 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadMIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreMIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:50 · Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 149Pregame prior+5.2Home team on offense+35.3Score differential+30.8Garbage-time factor+10.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.1Blowout margin+16.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:54: Kyle Trask pass intercepted for a TD Jarvis Ware return for 59 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +4.4 pts (now 22%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 1:41: Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 18 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK) — FLA win probability +7.3 pts (now 83%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:08: Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 30 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK) — FLA win probability +8.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:36: Kadarius Toney run for 16 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK) — FLA win probability +8.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:22: Kyle Trask pass complete to Justin Shorter for 2 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK) — FLA win probability +2.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7MIZ made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 13:35FLA 4th & 4 at MIZ 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    81.5%−<0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    81.1%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:07FLA 4th & 10 at MIZ 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    79.8%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:19MIZ 4th & 5 at FLA 14, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    19.1%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:10FLA 4th & 10 at MIZ 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    77.0%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:06MIZ 4th & 9 at MIZ 41, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:21FLA 4th & 3 at FLA 32, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:05MIZ 4th & 6 at MIZ 42, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:56FLA 4th & 10 at FLA 31, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:00MIZ 4th & 13 at MIZ 37, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−1.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:48MIZ 4th & 9 at MIZ 26, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00FLA 4th & 1 at MIZ 31, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    86.0%−1.6
    54% to make
    Punt
    85.6%−2.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:20MIZ 4th & 6 at MIZ 18, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:51FLA 4th & 10 at FLA 41, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:23MIZ 4th & 13 at MIZ 14, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−1.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:56MIZ 4th & 1 at FLA 12, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    86% to make
    Punt
    -0.6%−0.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:50MIZ 4th & 2 at MIZ 45, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MIZ made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 12:54MIZ Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:41FLA Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:08FLA Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:36FLA Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:22FLA Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:50FLA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:18MIZ Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
84.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Misso 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
84.5%
MISSOURI Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Misso 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+5
84.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Misso 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
84.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2FG
11 plays · 72 yds · 4:2884% → 83%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
84.1%
Dameon Pierce run for 7 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+30
84.1%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Malik Davis for 30 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+19
84.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 19 yds to the Misso 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
84.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 1 yd to the Misso 25Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+3
84.2%
Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds to the Misso 22Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+2
84.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 2 yds to the Misso 20Similar
Q1 13:35
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+10
84.1%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 10 yds to the Misso 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
84.2%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Trevon Grimes, broken up by Jarvis WareSimilar
Q1 13:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
84.2%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kyle PittsSimilar
Q1 13:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
84.2%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kadarius Toney, broken up by Ennis Rakestraw Jr.Similar
Q1 9:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
83.3%
Chris Howard 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3MISSED FG
2 plays · 71 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 4:19
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+31
81.7%
Harrison Mevis 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4FG
6 plays · 66 yds · 2:0982% → 83%
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+32
81.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 32 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+34
82.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 34 yds to the Misso 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
82.6%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kyle Pitts, broken up by Tyree GillespieSimilar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
82.6%
Kyle Trask pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:19
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
82.4%
Kyle Trask run for no gain to the Misso 14Similar
Q1 2:10
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+32
82.8%
Chris Howard 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
82.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 15 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
81.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Misso 41Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
81.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Jalen KnoxSimilar
Q1 2:06
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
82.2%
Connor Bazelak run for no gain to the Misso 41Similar
Q1 2:06
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
82.6%
Grant McKinniss punt for 37 yds, downed at the Fla 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6INT TD
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:3283% → 79%
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
82.5%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the Fla 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+18
82.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kemore Gamble for 18 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
83.1%
Kyle Trask run for 1 yd to the Fla 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+7
82.9%
Anthony Richardson run for 7 yds to the Fla 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 49
-5
82.9%
FLORIDA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 44Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 7
OWN 44
-59
78.5%
Kyle Trask pass intercepted for a TD Jarvis Ware return for 59 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:3378% → 76%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
77.9%
Kadarius Toney run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 24Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+8
77.8%
Dameon Pierce run for 8 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
76.8%
Kyle Trask pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:21
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
76.4%
Jacob Finn punt for 41 yds, downed at the Misso 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 1:5824% → 25%
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
75.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Jalen KnoxSimilar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+11
76.2%
Larry Rountree III run for 11 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
75.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete, broken up by Kaiir ElamSimilar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
75.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Misso 39Similar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+8
75.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 8 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q2 9:05
4TH & 1
OWN 47
-5
74.7%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Misso 42Similar
Q2 9:05
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
75.3%
Grant McKinniss punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
76.1%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 11 yds to the Fla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
76.3%
Dameon Pierce run for 2 yds to the Fla 33Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 8
OWN 33
-15
76.3%
Trask,K. deep pass complete to Grimes,T. for 32 yards to the MU35 (E. RAKESTRAW;M. MANUEL), PENALTY UF pass interference (Grimes,T.) 15 yards to the UF18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 23
OWN 18
+13
75.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 13 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q2 8:56
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
75.4%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Nay'Quan WrightSimilar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 10
OWN 31
0
75.2%
Jacob Finn punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:3127% → 28%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
72.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Niko Hea for 2 yds to the Misso 25Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+5
72.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 5 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+10
72.8%
C. BAZELAK slant pass incomplete to D. HAZELTON (Elam,K.), PENALTY UF holding (Elam,K.) 10 yards to the MU40, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-15
71.3%
Keke Chism run for a loss of 15 yards to the Misso 25Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 25
OWN 25
-3
73.1%
Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 22 MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 28
OWN 22
+15
73.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 15 yds to the Misso 37Similar
Q2 4:00
4TH & 13
OWN 37
0
72.2%
Grant McKinniss punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Kadarius Toney at the Fla 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 2:1073% → 83%
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
72.7%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 11 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
73.3%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Trevon Grimes, broken up by Ennis Rakestraw Jr.Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
73.0%
Kyle Trask run for 3 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q2 3:51
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+36
72.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 36 yds to the Misso 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
75.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Malik Davis for 6 yds to the Misso 18Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+18
83.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 18 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12FUMBLE
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:2019% → 20%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
81.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 9 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
79.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Damon HazeltonSimilar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-4
80.3%
Tyler Badie run for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 30 Tyler Badie fumbled, recovered by Fla Brenton Cox Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13TD
1 play · 30 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
88.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 30 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:2012% → 12%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Keke Chism, broken up by Jaydon HillSimilar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
87.7%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Damon Hazelton, broken up by Brad Stewart Jr.Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
87.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 1 yd to the Misso 26Similar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+19
88.1%
Grant McKinniss punt for 48 yds , Kadarius Toney returns for 19 yds to the Fla 45 FLORIDA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Fla 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15END OF HALF
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:3389% → 89%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
89.3%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Trevon GrimesSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
89.2%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Trevon GrimesSimilar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+8
88.6%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 8 yds to the Fla 38Similar
Q2 0:14
4TH & 2
OWN 38
+5
88.0%
Finn,J. punt 60 yards to the MU2, downed, PENALTY MU offside (J. PETTWAY) 5 yards to the UF43, 1ST DOWN UF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
89.2%
Wright,N. rush over right end for 29 yards to the MU28 (T. GILLESPIE), PENALTY MU offside (T. WILLIAMS) 5 yards to the UF48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 5
OWN 48
0
89.2%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kyle Pitts, broken up by Tyree GillespieSimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 5
OWN 48
0
89.2%
MISSOURI Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tre Williams) to the Fla 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:2489% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
88.6%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 8 yds to the Fla 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
88.8%
Dameon Pierce run for 1 yd to the Fla 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+26
88.5%
Kyle Trask run for 26 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
89.3%
Dameon Pierce run for 6 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+1
89.3%
Dameon Pierce run for 1 yd to the Misso 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+2
88.9%
Kyle Trask run for 2 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+15
88.4%
Kyle Trask run for 15 yds to the Misso 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
96.8%
Kadarius Toney run for 16 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
96.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jalen Knox for 6 yds to the Misso 20Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+2
95.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 22Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 2
OWN 22
-4
95.9%
Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 18Similar
Q3 10:20
4TH & 6
OWN 18
0
96.1%
Grant McKinniss punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kadarius Toney at the Fla 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
97.0%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Jacob Copeland, broken up by Ennis Rakestraw Jr.Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
97.0%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kadarius ToneySimilar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
96.9%
Kyle Trask pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:51
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
96.6%
Jacob Finn punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-7
96.5%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Tedarrell Slaton for a loss of 7 yards to the Misso 10Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 17
OWN 10
+6
96.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 6 yds to the Misso 16Similar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 11
OWN 16
-2
96.6%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Jeremiah Moon for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 14Similar
Q3 8:23
4TH & 13
OWN 14
0
96.6%
Grant McKinniss punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20TD
10 plays · 50 yds · 5:4698% → 100%
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
50
+8
97.5%
Kadarius Toney run for 8 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+9
97.5%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 9 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
97.5%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+6
97.5%
Anthony Richardson run for 6 yds to the Misso 25Similar
Q3 6:08
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+2
97.4%
Anthony Richardson run for 2 yds to the Misso 23 Anthony Richardson fumbled, forced by Martez Manuel, recovered by Fla Kyle Pitts for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
97.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 12 yds to the Misso 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
97.5%
Nay'Quan Wright run for no gain to the Misso 11Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+10
97.5%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 10 yds to the Misso 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
97.5%
Nay'Quan Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 2Similar
Q3 0:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Justin Shorter for 2 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21FG
13 plays · 63 yds · 4:260% → 1%
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
99.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 7 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
99.8%
T. Badie rush over left guard for loss of 2 yards to the MU33 (Cox Jr.,B.;Campbell,K.), PENALTY UF face mask (Cox Jr.,B.) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
0
99.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Keke Chism, broken up by Patrick MoorerSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
50
0
99.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Larry Rountree IIISimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
50
+10
99.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 10 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.8%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Fla 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+19
99.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Niko Hea for 19 yds to the Fla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
99.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Fla 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+5
99.8%
Elijah Young run for 5 yds to the Fla 12Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 12
0
99.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Tauskie Dove, broken up by Kaiir ElamSimilar
Q4 10:56
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+29
98.8%
Harrison Mevis 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 22TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0699% → 100%
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.0%
Dameon Pierce run for 9 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.0%
Dameon Pierce run for 2 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.0%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Keon Zipperer for 3 yds to the Fla 39Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-2
99.0%
Trent Whittemore run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 37Similar
Q4 10:56
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+31
99.0%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 31 yds to the Misso 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
99.1%
Trask,K. deep pass incomplete to Grimes,T. (J. WARE), PENALTY MU pass interference (J. WARE) 14 yards to the MU18, 1ST DOWN UF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 18 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 23TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:320% → 1%
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 12 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
99.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Larry Rountree III for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 36Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 4 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q4 7:50
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+5
99.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Logan Christopherson for 5 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q4 7:50
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+5
99.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
50
+16
99.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 16 yds to the Fla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+17
99.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 17 yds to the Fla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
99.9%
L. ROUNTREE rush over left tackle for 7 yards to the UF10 (Lang,D.), PENALTY MU illegal formation 5 yards to the UF22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 15
OPP 22
+2
99.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 2 yds to the Fla 20Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 13
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Barrett BanisterSimilar
Q4 7:50
3RD & 13
OPP 20
+15
99.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 15 yds to the Fla 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 24FUMBLE
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:3199% → 100%
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.4%
Iverson Clement run for 12 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
99.5%
Emory Jones run for 7 yds to the Fla 44Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+17
99.5%
Iverson Clement run for 17 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
99.6%
Lorenzo Lingard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 41Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 12
OPP 41
-6
99.6%
Team run for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 45 Team fumbled, recovered by Misso Cannon YorkSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 25FUMBLE
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
99.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Dominic Gicinto for 8 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 2
OPP 37
0
99.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Barrett Banister, broken up by Tre'Vez JohnsonSimilar
Q4 0:46
3RD & 2
OPP 37
-7
99.4%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Jalen Lee for a loss of 7 yards to the Fla 44 Connor Bazelak fumbled, recovered by Fla Kamar Wilcoxson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
99.7%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:36
Kadarius Toney run for 16 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK)
+8.4
TD · Q2 1:08
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 30 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK)
+8.1
TD · Q2 1:41
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 18 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK)
+7.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com