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SC

South Carolina 24 at Florida 38

FLA
2020 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2020 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:50 · Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the Fla 14 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 160Pregame prior+1.2Home team on offense+25.7Score differential+9.9Garbage-time factor+6.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.7Time remaining+3.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:31: Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 4 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +5.5 pts (now 25%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:22: Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 4 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +6.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:47: Kyle Trask pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 4 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +7.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:44: Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 57 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK) — FLA win probability +3.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:21: Collin Hill pass complete to Kevin Harris for 9 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +4.4 pts (now 6%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3SC made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 2:37SC 4th & 9 at SC 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:09SC 4th & 10 at SC 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 3:30FLA 4th & 8 at SC 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    70.6%−4.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:08SC 4th & 17 at SC 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−2.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.8%
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:20FLA 4th & 2 at FLA 41, up 10
    Close callPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.0%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 6:06SC 4th & 18 at SC 17, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−2.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:30SC 4th & 1 at SC 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.3%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:28SC 4th & 2 at FLA 28, down 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.4%−0.2
    60% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:27SC 4th & 4 at FLA 19, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%
    77% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:30SC 4th & 1 at FLA 3, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.7%−2.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:11FLA 4th & 8 at FLA 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:12SC 4th & 4 at SC 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.9%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:50SC 4th & 1 at FLA 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    3.5%−0.9
    81% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−2.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:48SC 4th & 4 at FLA 4, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    3.5%
    93% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:04SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:45FLA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:06FLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:31SC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:22FLA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:47FLA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:44FLA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:21SC Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:5116% → 20%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
84.4%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 12 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
84.4%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the SCaro 38Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-1
83.9%
Collin Hill pass complete to Kevin Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 37Similar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+22
83.9%
Collin Hill pass complete to Xavier Legette for 22 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
83.5%
Collin Hill pass complete to Josh Vann for 5 yds to the Fla 36Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+11
83.4%
Kevin Harris run for 11 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
83.2%
Kevin Harris run for 8 yds to the Fla 17Similar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+4
82.9%
Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the Fla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
82.6%
Kevin Harris run for 6 yds to the Fla 7Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 4
OPP 7
-5
82.3%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 12Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+9
82.3%
Collin Hill pass complete to Kevin Harris for 9 yds to the Fla 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
81.9%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the Fla 2Similar
Q1 8:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
80.2%
Kevin Harris run for 2 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:1581% → 82%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
80.7%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Malik Davis for 6 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
80.5%
Dameon Pierce run for 9 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
80.3%
Dameon Pierce run for 2 yds to the Fla 42Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+17
80.1%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 17 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
80.1%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Keir Thomas) to the SCaro 36Similar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 5
OPP 36
+20
80.0%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 20 yds to the SCaro 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
79.9%
Dameon Pierce run for 9 yds to the SCaro 7Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 1
OPP 7
+5
79.6%
Dameon Pierce run for 5 yds to the SCaro 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
81.8%
Dameon Pierce run for 2 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0420% → 20%
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
80.5%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
80.6%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 1 yd to the SCaro 36Similar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
80.5%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Nick MuseSimilar
Q1 2:37
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+16
80.5%
Kai Kroeger punt for 49 yds , Kadarius Toney returns for 16 yds to the Fla 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 2:2481% → 84%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
80.7%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Justin Shorter for 7 yds to the Fla 38Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+20
81.1%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 20 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
81.1%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q1 0:34
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+26
80.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 26 yds to the SCaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
83.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 13 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:5117% → 17%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
82.7%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 4 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
82.5%
Kevin Harris run for 8 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
82.4%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q2 14:33
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
82.5%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q2 14:26
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
82.9%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q2 14:09
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+26
83.1%
Kai Kroeger punt for 43 yds , Kadarius Toney returns for 26 yds to the Fla 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
83.7%
Kyle Trask run for 2 yds to the Fla 48 Kyle Trask fumbled, forced by Tonka Hemingway, recovered by SCaro Ernest JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7TD
9 plays · 48 yds · 4:0719% → 25%
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
81.5%
Kevin Harris run for 6 yds to the Fla 42Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 4
OPP 42
0
81.4%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Rico Powers Jr.Similar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+7
81.6%
Kevin Harris run for 7 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
80.8%
Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+9
80.5%
Kevin Harris run for 9 yds to the Fla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
80.3%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 12 yds to the Fla 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
80.2%
Collin Hill pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 12Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+8
80.4%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 8 yds to the Fla 4Similar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
74.9%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 4 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8FG
15 plays · 54 yds · 5:5278% → 79%
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
78.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 11 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-4
78.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 45Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 14
OWN 45
0
77.6%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Trevon GrimesSimilar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 14
OWN 45
+16
76.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 16 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
78.7%
Kyle Trask sacked by Aaron Sterling and Jabari Ellis for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 42Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+23
77.6%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 23 yds to the SCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
78.7%
Malik Davis run for 3 yds to the SCaro 16Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+5
78.5%
Malik Davis run for 5 yds to the SCaro 11Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+4
77.6%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 4 yds to the SCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
78.2%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kyle PittsSimilar
Q2 4:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
78.1%
Malik Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 8Similar
Q2 3:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
78.2%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kyle PittsSimilar
Q2 3:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
79.0%
Evan McPherson 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:1622% → 21%
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.8%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
77.9%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Nick MuseSimilar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-7
78.5%
Collin Hill sacked by Zachary Carter for a loss of 7 yards to the SCaro 18Similar
Q2 3:08
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
78.9%
Kai Kroeger punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kadarius Toney at the Fla 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 1:3879% → 86%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+22
79.4%
Kyle Trask run for 7 yds to the FLORIDA 45 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Kingsley Enagbare) to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
79.5%
Dameon Pierce run for 5 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 5
OPP 25
-10
79.5%
Pierce, Dameon rush for 2 yards to the SOCAROLINA23, PENALTY FLORIDA holding (Heggie, Brett) 10 yards to the SOCAROLINA35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 15
OPP 35
+19
78.3%
Kyle Trask run for 19 yds to the SCaro 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+12
79.4%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 12 yds to the SCaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
85.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 4 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11END OF HALF
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:3815% → 14%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
85.3%
Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the SCaro 7Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+2
85.5%
Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the SCaro 9Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 9
+10
85.6%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 10 yds to the SCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2385% → 84%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
85.0%
Dameon Pierce run for 6 yds to the Fla 39Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+2
85.7%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 2 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 2
OWN 41
0
85.1%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kyle PittsSimilar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 2
OWN 41
0
84.4%
Jacob Finn punt for 48 yds, downed at the SCaro 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13FUMBLE
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:5115% → 15%
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
85.0%
Kevin Harris run for 9 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+8
84.6%
Kevin Harris run for 8 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
84.7%
Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+1
84.5%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the SCaro 33Similar
Q3 10:46
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+20
85.1%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 20 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
83.6%
Fenwick, Deshaun rush for 10 yards to the FLORIDA37, PENALTY SOCAROLINA holding (Douglas, Eric) 10 yards to the SOCAROLINA43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:59
1ST & 20
OWN 43
-5
85.0%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Dylan Wonnum) to the SCaro 38Similar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 25
OWN 38
-1
85.0%
Collin Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 37 Collin Hill fumbled, recovered by Fla Ventrell MillerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14TD
5 plays · 37 yds · 1:2887% → 95%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
86.8%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Malik Davis for 7 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+15
87.1%
Trask, Kyle pass incomplete to Henderson, Xzavier, PENALTY SOCAROLINA pass interference (Dixon, John) 15 yards to the SOCAROLINA15, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDA.Similar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
87.1%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Justin Shorter for 9 yds to the SCaro 6Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+2
87.1%
Malik Davis run for 2 yds to the SCaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
94.5%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 4 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:398% → 6%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.5%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Kevin HarrisSimilar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.3%
Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q3 6:39
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-10
93.5%
Collin Hill sacked by Zachary Carter and Khris Bogle for a loss of 10 yards to the SCaro 17Similar
Q3 6:06
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
93.9%
Kai Kroeger punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16TD
3 plays · 58 yds · 1:1695% → 98%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
94.7%
Kyle Trask sacked by Keir Thomas for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 38Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 14
OWN 38
+5
94.6%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for 5 yds to the Fla 43Similar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+57
97.9%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 57 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17FG
13 plays · 47 yds · 4:142% → 2%
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.7%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 4 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
97.6%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 5 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q3 3:37
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
97.7%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Deshaun FenwickSimilar
Q3 3:30
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
97.9%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
97.9%
Collin Hill pass complete to Nick Muse for 17 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
98.0%
Collin Hill pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for 9 yds to the Fla 39Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+3
98.2%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
98.3%
Collin Hill pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for 5 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+3
98.2%
Collin Hill pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for 3 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q3 0:34
3RD & 2
OPP 28
0
98.3%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Rico Powers Jr.Similar
Q3 0:28
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+45
98.2%
Parker White 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 18INT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:0799% → 99%
Q3 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kyle PittsSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.6%
Dameon Pierce run for 9 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
98.7%
Kadarius Toney run for 2 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.8%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Jacob CopelandSimilar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
98.8%
Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kadarius ToneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19TD
12 plays · 39 yds · 3:451% → 6%
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
98.6%
Collin Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+14
98.6%
Hill, Collin pass incomplete to Powers Jr., Rico, PENALTY FLORIDA pass interference (Elam, Kaiir) 14 yards to the FLORIDA25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOCAROLINA.Similar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
98.5%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the Fla 24Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+5
98.5%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 5 yds to the Fla 19Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 4
OPP 19
0
98.7%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q4 12:27
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+7
98.7%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 7 yds to the Fla 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
98.6%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 5 yds to the Fla 7Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
98.6%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Rico Powers Jr.Similar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+4
98.7%
Collin Hill pass complete to Nick Muse for 4 yds to the Fla 3Similar
Q4 11:30
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+1
98.7%
Collin Hill run for 1 yd to the Fla 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-7
98.7%
Collin Hill sacked by Andrew Chatfield Jr. and Brenton Cox Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Fla 9Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
94.3%
Collin Hill pass complete to Kevin Harris for 9 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:0296% → 96%
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.0%
Dameon Pierce run for 4 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-6
96.3%
Kadarius Toney run for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 23Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+9
96.2%
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 9 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q4 8:19
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
96.3%
FLORIDA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Fla 27Similar
Q4 8:11
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
96.1%
Jacob Finn punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jaycee Horn at the SCaro 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21DOWNS
20 plays · 74 yds · 7:174% → 3%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
95.8%
Collin Hill pass complete to Rico Powers Jr. for 5 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 5
OWN 27
0
95.5%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Keveon MullinsSimilar
Q4 7:26
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+8
95.7%
Collin Hill pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for 8 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
95.9%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 5 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-8
96.1%
Collin Hill sacked by James Houston IV for a loss of 8 yards to the SCaro 32Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+9
96.5%
Collin Hill pass complete to Keveon Mullins for 9 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q4 5:12
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+8
96.2%
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 8 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
96.2%
Collin Hill run for 12 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
96.9%
Collin Hill pass complete to Rico Powers Jr. for 14 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
96.5%
Collin Hill run for 5 yds to the Fla 20Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+3
96.6%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the Fla 17Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+1
96.8%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 1 yd to the Fla 16Similar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+2
96.8%
Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the Fla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
96.6%
Collin Hill pass complete to Kevin Harris for 10 yds to the Fla 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
96.6%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q4 1:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
96.7%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q4 0:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
96.9%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q4 0:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
96.8%
Collin Hill pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 22END OF GAME
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:4699% → 99%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
99.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 3Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 11
OWN 3
0
99.2%
TEAM run for no gain to the Fla 3Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 11
OWN 3
+1
99.3%
Kyle Trask run for 1 yd to the Fla 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:47
Kyle Trask pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 4 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)
+7.4
TD · Q2 1:22
Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 4 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)
+6.4
TD · Q2 9:31
Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 4 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)
-5.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com