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ARST

Arkansas State 35 at Kansas State 31

KSU
2020 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2020 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadARST aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreARST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:35 · Ryan Hanson punt for 38 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for no gain to the KanSt 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 159Pregame prior+4.2Home team on offense−2.6Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.5Score differential−4.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 2:28: Layne Hatcher pass complete to Giles Amos for 8 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK) — ARST win probability +19.2 pts (now 41%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 11:49: Logan Bonner pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 5 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK) — ARST win probability +27.9 pts (now 73%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:35: Harry Trotter run for 5 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +28.9 pts (now 67%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 2:30: Blake Lynch 35 yd FG GOOD — KSU win probability +20.6 pts (now 85%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:38: Layne Hatcher pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 17 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK) — ARST win probability +57.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9ARST made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 14:22ARST 4th & 7 at ARST 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:55KSU 4th & 18 at KSU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:45ARST 4th & 10 at ARST 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:56KSU 4th & 17 at ARST 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    80.7%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:47ARST 4th & 6 at ARST 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:50KSU 4th & 1 at ARST 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    81.1%−1.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    80.7%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:17KSU 4th & 6 at ARST 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    79.0%−2.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:56KSU 4th & 9 at ARST 41, up 7
    Close callPunted · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    80.4%−0.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:15ARST 4th & 21 at KSU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−2.9
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    13.1%−6.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:15KSU 4th & 8 at KSU 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−1.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:49KSU 4th & 7 at ARST 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.6%
    58% to make
    Punt
    58.1%−8.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:17KSU 4th & 2 at KSU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    29.2%−3.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:35ARST 4th & 9 at ARST 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−4.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:30KSU 4th & 2 at ARST 17, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.4%−5.7
    80% to make
    Punt
    27.2%−32.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ARST made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 13:24KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:58ARST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:29KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:41KSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:50ARST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:28ARST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:49ARST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.6%−0.4
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:35KSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.0%−1.0
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:38ARST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.6%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARSTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:3817% → 17%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
83.5%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 5 yds to the ArkSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
83.5%
Jamal Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
83.5%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:22
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
83.3%
TEAM punt blocked by Will Jones II blocked by Will Jones IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2TD
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:5183% → 84%
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
83.3%
Harry Trotter run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 17Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+17
83.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 17 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 3TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2617% → 18%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
83.2%
Jamal Jones run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 29Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
83.2%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Reed Tyler for 8 yds to the ArkSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
83.2%
Jamal Jones run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 40Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
83.2%
Jamal Jones run for no gain to the ArkSt 40Similar
Q1 13:24
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+7
83.2%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Roshauud Paul for 7 yds to the ArkSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
83.2%
Logan Bonner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+33
83.2%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 33 yds to the KanSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
83.1%
Ryan Graham run for 5 yds to the KanSt 15Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+13
83.1%
Bonner, Logan pass incomplete to Adams, Jonathan, PENALTY KS personal foul (Jones II, Will) 13 yards to the KS2, 1ST DOWN ASU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
81.6%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 2 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
82.2%
Thompson, S. pass complete to Moore, Briley for 12 yards to the KS47, out-of-bounds (Switzer, A.), PENALTY KS holding (Leveston, K.) 10 yards to the KS25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+2
82.1%
Harry Trotter run for 2 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 18
OWN 27
0
82.1%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 18
OWN 27
0
82.0%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:55
4TH & 18
OWN 27
0
81.9%
Ty Zentner punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the ArkSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
81.6%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 4 yds to the ArkSt 33Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+2
81.5%
Layne Hatcher run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 35Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 4
OWN 35
-6
81.5%
Layne Hatcher sacked by Drew Wiley for a loss of 6 yards to the ArkSt 29Similar
Q1 8:45
4TH & 10
OWN 29
+17
81.9%
Ryan Hanson punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 49 , Phillip Brooks returns for 17 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
81.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 12 yds to the ArkSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
81.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the ArkSt 39Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-7
81.8%
Skylar Thompson sacked by TW Ayers for a loss of 7 yards to the ArkSt 46Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 17
OPP 46
0
81.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:56
4TH & 17
OPP 46
0
81.1%
Jack Blumer punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the ArkSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 7INT
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+11
80.4%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 11 yds to the ArkSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
80.4%
KANSAS ST Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the ArkSt 27Similar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 5
OWN 27
+2
80.1%
Lincoln Pare run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 29Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+16
80.1%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Roshauud Paul for 16 yds to the ArkSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
79.8%
Lincoln Pare run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 49Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 6
OWN 49
-4
79.7%
Logan Bonner sacked by Wyatt Hubert for a loss of 4 yards to the ArkSt 45Similar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
80.2%
Logan Bonner pass intercepted Will Jones II return for no gain to the ArkSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8TD
10 plays · 49 yds · 3:4781% → 83%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+24
80.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 24 yds to the ArkSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
81.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 12 yds to the ArkSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
80.4%
Harry Trotter run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 9Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 6
OPP 9
-2
80.4%
Harry Trotter run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 11Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+10
79.8%
Skylar Thompson run for 10 yds to the ArkSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
79.9%
Tyler Burns run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 3Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
83.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:3519% → 18%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
81.1%
Jamal Jones run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 49Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
80.8%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Jonathan Adams Jr., broken up by AJ ParkerSimilar
Q2 13:22
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
81.0%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Roshauud PaulSimilar
Q2 12:47
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
82.5%
Ryan Hanson punt for 43 yds, downed at the KanSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 92 yds · 4:0182% → 88%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+14
82.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Briley Moore for 14 yds to the KanSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
82.8%
Harry Trotter run for 1 yd to the KanSt 23Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+42
82.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 42 yds to the ArkSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
83.9%
Harry Trotter run for no gain to the ArkSt 35Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+27
83.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 27 yds to the ArkSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
83.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 7Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
88.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Briley Moore for 7 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 11TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5113% → 19%
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
86.9%
Ryan Graham run for 11 yds to the ArkSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
86.6%
Ryan Graham run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 39Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+6
86.6%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Reed Tyler for 6 yds to the ArkSt 45Similar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+7
85.9%
Ryan Graham run for 7 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
81.0%
Jeff Foreman pass complete to Roshauud Paul for 48 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12MISSED FG
11 plays · 19 yds · 3:3384% → 84%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
84.3%
Harry Trotter run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 40Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+4
84.1%
Harry Trotter run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 36Similar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+1
83.7%
Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 35Similar
Q2 6:50
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+1
83.3%
Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+20
84.4%
Chabastin Taylor run for 20 yds to the ArkSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-15
84.5%
KANSAS ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the ArkSt 29Similar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
84.5%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Chabastin TaylorSimilar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+4
84.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 25Similar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
84.0%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:17
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+43
83.5%
Blake Lynch 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 13FUMBLE
7 plays · 64 yds · 0:0017% → 21%
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
82.6%
Jamal Jones run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 28Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
82.4%
Foreman, Jeff pass incomplete to Adams, Jonathan, PENALTY KS roughing passer (Hubert, Wyatt) 15 yards to the ASU43, 1ST DOWN ASU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+25
81.8%
Jamal Jones run for 25 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
79.6%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Javan Hawes, broken up by Lance RobinsonSimilar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+14
79.7%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 14 yds to the KanSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
79.3%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Giles Amos for 9 yds to the KanSt 9Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 1
OPP 9
-6
79.3%
Logan Bonner run for a loss of 6 yards to the KanSt 11 Logan Bonner fumbled, recovered by KanSt Wayne JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4283% → 84%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
83.1%
Harry Trotter run for 2 yds to the KanSt 13Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 8
OWN 13
-3
82.8%
Harry Trotter run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 10Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 11
OWN 10
+2
83.5%
Harry Trotter run for 2 yds to the KanSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0083% → 81%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
83.0%
Harry Trotter run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 41Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+17
82.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Briley Moore for 17 yds to the ArkSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
83.3%
Harry Trotter run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 43Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 11
OPP 43
0
83.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the ArkSt 43Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 11
OPP 43
+2
81.9%
Skylar Thompson run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 41Similar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
81.1%
Ty Zentner punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the ArkSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 16MISSED FG
12 plays · 70 yds · 5:1819% → 19%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
81.0%
Jamal Jones run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 13Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+8
80.9%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Reed Tyler for 8 yds to the ArkSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
80.7%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Jamal Jones for no gain to the ArkSt 21Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+4
80.9%
Jamal Jones run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 25Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+12
81.3%
Jamal Jones run for 12 yds to the ArkSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
79.9%
Ryan Graham run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 38Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+20
79.9%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Ryan Graham for 20 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+34
78.4%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Corey Rucker for 34 yds to the KanSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
76.9%
Ryan Graham run for no gain to the KanSt 8Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
76.9%
Ryan Graham run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 11Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
-10
78.6%
Logan Bonner sacked by Eli Huggins for a loss of 10 yards to the KanSt 21Similar
Q3 6:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 21
+38
81.2%
Blake Grupe 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
83.4%
Vaughn, Deuce rush for 19 yards to the KS40 (Fletcher, A.), PENALTY KS holding (Trotter, Harry) 10 yards to the KS11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 20
OWN 11
0
83.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 20
OWN 11
+5
83.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Briley Moore for 5 yds to the KanSt 16Similar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 15
OWN 16
+7
82.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Briley Moore for 7 yds to the KanSt 23Similar
Q3 6:15
4TH & 8
OWN 23
0
81.7%
Jack Blumer punt for 54 yds, downed at the ArkSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 18TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 1:4620% → 41%
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
80.4%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Lincoln Pare for 5 yds to the ArkSt 28Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+58
79.8%
Lincoln Pare run for 58 yds to the KanSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
75.7%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Jeff ForemanSimilar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+1
75.7%
Lincoln Pare run for 1 yd to the KanSt 13Similar
Q3 4:14
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+5
77.8%
KANSAS ST Penalty, offside defense (Bronson Massie) to the KanSt 8Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+8
58.6%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Giles Amos for 8 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19MISSED FG
8 plays · 61 yds · 2:3366% → 67%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+35
66.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 35 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
69.7%
Will Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 44Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+24
68.2%
Will Howard pass complete to Jax Dineen for 24 yds to the ArkSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
71.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 29Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 7
OPP 29
0
71.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the ArkSt 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 29
0
69.4%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik Knowles, broken up by Samy JohnsonSimilar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+47
66.8%
Blake Lynch 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 20TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 3:0039% → 73%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
61.1%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Roshauud Paul for 6 yds to the ArkSt 35Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+3
59.0%
Jamal Jones run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 38Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+2
58.4%
Jamal Jones run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+21
58.7%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 21 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
56.9%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Brandon Bowling, broken up by Justin HughesSimilar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
57.0%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Corey RuckerSimilar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+5
58.5%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Corey Rucker for 5 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+12
60.2%
Hanson, Ryan pass incomplete to Adams, Jonathan, PENALTY KS pass interference (Henington, Ryan) 12 yards to the KS22, 1ST DOWN ASU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+17
55.0%
Roshauud Paul pass complete to Logan Bonner for 17 yds to the KanSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
55.0%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Jeff ForemanSimilar
Q4 11:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
27.0%
Logan Bonner pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 5 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21TD
13 plays · 55 yds · 5:0739% → 67%
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-23
39.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 23 yards to the KanSt 22Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 33
OWN 22
+15
35.3%
Thompson, S. pass incomplete to Brooks, Phillip, QB hurry by Iwuchukwu, Noel, PENALTY ASU roughing passer (Iwuchukwu, Noel) 15 yards to the KS37, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
37.0%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
36.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 38Similar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+7
35.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 7 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q4 9:17
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+4
30.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Briley Moore for 4 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
34.6%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Chabastin TaylorSimilar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+19
33.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 19 yds to the ArkSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
38.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Harry Trotter for 3 yds to the ArkSt 29Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+24
38.1%
Harry Trotter run for 24 yds to the ArkSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
67.0%
Harry Trotter run for 5 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0047% → 43%
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
53.4%
Jamal Jones run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 26Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
53.6%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Roshauud PaulSimilar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
55.3%
Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Jonathan Adams Jr., broken up by AJ ParkerSimilar
Q4 6:35
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
57.3%
Ryan Hanson punt for 38 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for no gain to the KanSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23FG
8 plays · 47 yds · 3:1461% → 85%
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+24
61.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Samuel Wheeler for 24 yds to the ArkSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
65.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 38Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
65.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Chabastin TaylorSimilar
Q4 5:44
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+13
63.9%
Thompson, S. pass incomplete to Moore, Briley, PENALTY ASU pass interference (Alexander, E.) 13 yards to the ASU25, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
66.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 23Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
66.8%
Harry Trotter run for no gain to the ArkSt 23Similar
Q4 5:44
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+6
64.6%
Skylar Thompson run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 17Similar
Q4 2:30
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+35
85.2%
Blake Lynch 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 24TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 1:4629% → 95%
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
70.9%
Jamal Jones run for 13 yds to the ArkSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
67.1%
Jamal Jones run for 7 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 3
OPP 45
0
64.8%
Layne Hatcher pass incomplete to Brandon BowlingSimilar
Q4 2:24
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+12
66.3%
Jamal Jones run for 12 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+21
63.3%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 21 yds to the KanSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
62.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 17Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 15
OPP 17
+17
5.2%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 17 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 25END OF GAME
11 plays · 23 yds · 0:3221% → 18%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
20.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 9 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+5
28.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Harry Trotter for 5 yds to the ArkSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-6
18.8%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Fred Hervey for a loss of 6 yards to the KanSt 45Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 16
OWN 45
0
13.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip Brooks, broken up by Kenneth HarrisSimilar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 16
OWN 45
+15
12.7%
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Elery Alexander) to the ArkSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
17.8%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:38
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 17 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)
-57.2
TD · Q4 6:35
Harry Trotter run for 5 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)
+28.9
TD · Q4 11:49
Logan Bonner pass complete to Jonathan Adams Jr. for 5 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)
-27.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com