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Georgia Tech 13 at NC State 23

NCSU
2020 · Week 14 · Dec 5, 2020 · Carter-Finley Stadium
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Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:14 · Team run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:52: Ricky Person Jr. run for 20 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +4.4 pts (now 70%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:20: Jeff Sims run for 34 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK) — GT win probability +5.2 pts (now 38%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:12: Zonovan Knight run for 5 yds for a TD GEORGIA TECH Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the GTech 3 (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +6.3 pts (now 72%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 3:53: Christopher Dunn 20 yd FG GOOD — NCSU win probability +6.7 pts (now 80%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 11:32: Gavin Stewart 22 yd FG GOOD — GT win probability +3.8 pts (now 19%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7GT made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00NCSU 4th & 13 at NCSU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:37GT 4th & 8 at GT 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:20NCSU 4th & 10 at NCSU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:52GT 4th & 8 at GT 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:19NCSU 4th & 13 at GT 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    66.2%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:19GT 4th & 22 at GT 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−0.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:22GT 4th & 2 at NCSU 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    24.4%−1.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    23.8%−1.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:53NCSU 4th & 3 at GT 3, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.1%−0.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    70.0%−6.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:33GT 4th & 6 at NCSU 17, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.2%−0.9
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    19.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    15.4%−3.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:53GT 4th & 7 at NCSU 7, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    9.8%−5.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:45NCSU 4th & 1 at GT 10, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    78.9%−2.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    72.6%−8.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:32GT 4th & 5 at NCSU 5, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.6%−0.8
    92% to make
    Punt
    8.1%−7.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:28NCSU 4th & 22 at GT 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%−3.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    83.2%−2.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:10GT 4th & 5 at GT 20, down 7
    Close callPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:31NCSU 4th & 3 at GT 22, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.9%−0.3
    72% to make
    Punt
    87.7%−4.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:31GT 4th & 1 at GT 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.5%−1.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2GT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 14:52NCSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:20GT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:12NCSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NCSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
64.3%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 12 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
64.3%
Bailey Hockman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-3
64.3%
Ricky Person Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 36
0
64.3%
Bailey Hockman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 36
0
64.3%
Trenton Gill punt for 37 yds , Josh Blancato returns for no gain to the GTech 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
64.2%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
64.2%
Jordan Mason run for no gain to the GTech 27Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+12
64.3%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jamal Camp for 12 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
64.1%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
64.2%
Jordan Mason run for 7 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 3
OWN 46
-5
64.1%
Jordan Mason run for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 41Similar
Q1 13:37
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
64.3%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 45 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for no gain to the NCSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
64.1%
Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Thayer Thomas, broken up by Zamari WaltonSimilar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
64.0%
Bailey Hockman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 10
OWN 14
0
63.9%
Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Thayer ThomasSimilar
Q1 11:20
4TH & 10
OWN 14
0
63.8%
Trenton Gill punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Josh Blancato at the GTech 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-7
63.7%
Jeff Sims sacked by Payton Wilson for a loss of 7 yards to the GTech 31Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 17
OWN 31
+9
64.0%
Jordan Mason run for 9 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
63.9%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:52
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
64.1%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 5FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 4:3264% → 64%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
64.0%
Ricky Person Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 18Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+13
63.9%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to C.J. Riley for 13 yds to the NCSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
64.1%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 4 yds to the NCSt 35Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+7
64.2%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Porter Rooks for 7 yds to the NCSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
64.4%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Porter Rooks for 4 yds to the NCSt 46Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+1
64.5%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 1 yd to the NCSt 47Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+18
64.3%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 18 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
64.7%
Zonovan Knight run for 5 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+10
64.7%
Zonovan Knight run for 10 yds to the GTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-10
64.7%
Bailey Hockman sacked by Kyle Kennard for a loss of 10 yards to the GTech 30Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 20
OPP 30
+7
64.4%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Cary Angeline for 7 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 13
OPP 23
0
64.2%
Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Porter Rooks, broken up by Wesley WalkerSimilar
Q1 5:19
4TH & 13
OPP 23
+40
64.2%
Christopher Dunn 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 0 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
64.8%
Dontae Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 24 Dontae Smith fumbled, recovered by GTech Dontae SmithSimilar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 11
OPP 0
-1
63.4%
Jeff Sims run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 23 Jeff Sims fumbled, forced by Val Martin, recovered by GTech Jeff Sims NC STATE Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the GTech 23Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+14
65.2%
Jeff Sims run for 14 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-7
64.5%
Jeff Sims sacked by Drake Thomas for a loss of 7 yards to the GTech 30Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 17
OWN 30
+5
64.8%
Dontae Smith run for 5 yds to the GTech 35Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 12
OWN 35
-10
65.1%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the GTech 25Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 22
OWN 25
0
65.2%
Jamious Griffin run for no gain to the GTech 25Similar
Q1 5:19
4TH & 22
OWN 25
+18
65.5%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 38 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for 18 yds to the GTech 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 45 yds · 1:3266% → 70%
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
65.6%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Devin Carter for 12 yds to the GTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
65.8%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 4 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+9
65.8%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Ricky Person Jr. for 9 yds to the GTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
70.2%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 20 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:3231% → 38%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.1%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
69.2%
Jordan Mason run for 4 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
69.4%
Jeff Sims run for 7 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
68.7%
Jordan Mason run for 13 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
68.1%
Jordan Mason run for 9 yds to the NCSt 42Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+8
67.7%
Jordan Mason run for 8 yds to the NCSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
67.4%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+34
62.2%
Jeff Sims run for 34 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 88 yds · 2:0064% → 72%
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+33
64.0%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Porter Rooks for 33 yds to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
65.5%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to C.J. Riley for 4 yds to the NCSt 49Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+5
65.6%
Zonovan Knight run for 5 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q2 12:12
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+5
65.5%
Zonovan Knight run for 5 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+36
65.9%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to C.J. Riley for 36 yds to the GTech 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
72.2%
Zonovan Knight run for 5 yds for a TD GEORGIA TECH Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the GTech 3 (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10DOWNS
12 plays · 40 yds · 2:5029% → 28%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
70.8%
Jordan Mason run for 20 yds to the GTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
69.7%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-10
70.0%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the GTech 35Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 20
OWN 35
+23
70.9%
Dontae Smith run for 23 yds to the NCSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-3
69.2%
Jeff Sims run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 45Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 13
OPP 45
-5
69.8%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 18
50
+15
70.2%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 15 yds to the NCSt 35Similar
Q2 10:12
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+1
69.1%
Dontae Smith run for 1 yd to the NCSt 34Similar
Q2 7:22
4TH & 2
OPP 34
-1
72.3%
Jordan Mason run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 11FG
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:2572% → 80%
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
72.3%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 17 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
73.5%
Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 5
OPP 43
-5
73.6%
NC STATE Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the GTech 48Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
73.5%
Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+36
73.0%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Devin Carter for 36 yds to the GTech 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
73.7%
Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the GTech 4Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
73.7%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Dylan Autenrieth for 1 yd to the GTech 3Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
73.0%
Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Thayer Thomas, broken up by Juanyeh ThomasSimilar
Q2 3:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
79.7%
Christopher Dunn 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12DOWNS
16 plays · 62 yds · 3:2021% → 22%
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
79.3%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, UN (-12 Yards) to the GTech 13Similar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
79.4%
Nate McCollum run for 1 yd to the GTech 14Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+15
79.6%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 15 yds to the GTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
79.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 9 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 1
OWN 38
-2
77.9%
Dontae Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 36Similar
Q2 3:53
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+16
78.8%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 16 yds to the NCSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
77.9%
Dontae Smith run for 3 yds to the NCSt 45Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+13
77.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 13 yds to the NCSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
76.6%
Jeff Sims run for 11 yds to the NCSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
76.3%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 26Similar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 15
OPP 26
+9
77.5%
Dontae Smith run for 9 yds to the NCSt 17Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
76.3%
Jeff Sims run for no gain to the NCSt 17Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 6
OPP 17
0
76.8%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+4
77.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jordan Mason for 4 yds to the NCSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -4 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-4
79.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14FG
17 plays · 68 yds · 6:0720% → 22%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.1%
Jordan Mason run for no gain to the GTech 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
80.2%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Malachi CarterSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+25
80.5%
Jeff Sims run for 10 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST down NC STATE Penalty, targeting (Tanner Ingle) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+6
78.7%
Jordan Mason run for 6 yds to the NCSt 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+1
78.4%
Jordan Mason run for 1 yd to the NCSt 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+9
78.7%
Jeff Sims run for 9 yds to the NCSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
77.7%
Jeff Sims run for 6 yds to the NCSt 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 28
0
77.4%
Dontae Smith run for no gain to the NCSt 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+13
78.4%
Jordan Mason run for 13 yds to the NCSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+14
77.4%
Jeff Sims run for 14 yds to the NCSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
77.4%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, false start (Jordan Williams) to the NCSt 6Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
77.4%
Jordan Mason run for 5 yds to the NCSt 1Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
77.4%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, false start (Dylan Deveney) to the NCSt 6Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
77.4%
Jeff Sims sacked by Isaac Duffy for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 7Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
78.4%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Jamious Griffin, broken up by Tyler Baker-WilliamsSimilar
Q3 8:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+26
78.4%
Gavin Stewart 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 15DOWNS
15 plays · 65 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
79.3%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 2 yds to the NCSt 27Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-13
79.3%
NC STATE Penalty, personal foul (Ikem Ekwonu) to the NCSt 14Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+21
78.9%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 21 yds to the NCSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
79.6%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 7 yds to the NCSt 42Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-2
80.7%
Ricky Person Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 40Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+22
79.6%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 22 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
81.0%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Defensive offside (Jared Ivey) to the GTech 33Similar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 5
OPP 33
0
81.3%
Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Cary AngelineSimilar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 5
OPP 33
-1
81.3%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Thayer Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 34Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+15
80.3%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Zamari Walton) to the GTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
81.3%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 3 yds to the GTech 16Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+6
81.3%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 6 yds to the GTech 10Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 1
OPP 10
0
80.4%
Ricky Person Jr. run for no gain to the GTech 10Similar
Q3 8:45
4TH & 1
OPP 10
0
79.4%
Ricky Person Jr. run for no gain to the GTech 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16FG
17 plays · 85 yds · 7:0218% → 19%
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
81.6%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Nate McCollumSimilar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+1
81.8%
Jordan Mason run for 1 yd to the GTech 11Similar
Q3 3:34
3RD & 9
OWN 11
+10
82.8%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jamal Camp for 10 yds to the GTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
81.4%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the GTech 24Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+22
81.3%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 22 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+18
79.6%
Jamious Griffin run for 18 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
78.7%
Jamious Griffin run for 7 yds to the NCSt 29Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+2
77.1%
Jeff Sims run for 2 yds to the NCSt 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+3
81.3%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the NCSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
79.9%
Jordan Mason run for 5 yds to the NCSt 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 19
-1
79.9%
Jordan Mason run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+10
81.3%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate McCollum for 10 yds to the NCSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
79.9%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Adonicas SandersSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
79.9%
Jeff Sims run for no gain to the NCSt 10Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
84.7%
Dontae Smith run for 5 yds to the NCSt 5Similar
Q4 11:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
80.9%
Gavin Stewart 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 38 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+13
86.3%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 13 yds to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
86.6%
Zonovan Knight run for 4 yds to the NCSt 34Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+14
86.9%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 14 yds to the NCSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
88.0%
Zonovan Knight run for 4 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+15
88.1%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Kenan Johnson) to the GTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
88.8%
Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Devin Carter, broken up by Tariq CarpenterSimilar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-3
88.6%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Zonovan Knight for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 36Similar
Q4 11:28
3RD & 13
OPP 36
-9
86.8%
Bailey Hockman sacked by David Curry and Kyle Kennard for a loss of 9 yards to the GTech 45Similar
Q4 11:28
4TH & 22
OPP 45
0
85.4%
Trenton Gill punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Josh Blancato at the GTech 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
83.9%
Jordan Mason run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 14Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 11
OWN 14
0
84.1%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Malachi CarterSimilar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 11
OWN 14
+6
85.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Peje' Harris for 6 yds to the GTech 20Similar
Q4 8:10
4TH & 5
OWN 20
+60
85.4%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 45 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 19 NC STATE Penalty, illegal block (Joshua Pierre-Louis) to the NCSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 19FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 3:1490% → 94%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
89.7%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, UN (Jerry Howard Jr.) to the NCSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+17
90.0%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Cary Angeline for 17 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
91.1%
Jordan Houston run for 1 yd to the GTech 48Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
91.1%
Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Cary AngelineSimilar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+9
90.3%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Zamari Walton) to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
91.2%
Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+10
91.1%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Devin Carter for 10 yds to the GTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
91.9%
Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
91.8%
Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Emeka EmezieSimilar
Q4 4:34
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+7
91.2%
Bailey Hockman run for 7 yds to the GTech 22Similar
Q4 3:31
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+39
93.9%
Christopher Dunn 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:006% → 8%
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
93.6%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 15 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
92.2%
Jeff Sims run for 5 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
92.1%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Dylan DeveneySimilar
Q4 3:31
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+7
92.2%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jordan Mason for 7 yds Jordan Mason fumbled, forced by C.J. Hart Jr., recovered by GTech Zach QuinneySimilar
Q4 3:31
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
92.3%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Dontae SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 21END OF GAME
9 plays · -1 yds · 0:1396% → 96%
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-15
95.5%
NC STATE Penalty, UN (Jakeen Harris) to the NCSt 36Similar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
95.2%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 3 yds to the NCSt 39Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+6
96.2%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 6 yds to the NCSt 45Similar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+17
96.2%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 17 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
96.3%
Team run for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 41Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 13
OPP 41
-5
96.1%
NC STATE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the GTech 46Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 18
OPP 46
-4
96.1%
Team run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 3:53
Christopher Dunn 20 yd FG GOOD
+6.7
TD · Q2 10:12
Zonovan Knight run for 5 yds for a TD GEORGIA TECH Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the GTech 3 (Christopher Dunn KICK)
+6.3
TD · Q2 12:20
Jeff Sims run for 34 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)
-5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com