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NCSU

NC State 36 at Syracuse 29

SYR
2020 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2020 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadNCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreNCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG-9.1SYR 11.8%Christopher Dunn 31 yd FG GOODAWAY 36 - HOME 29 · Q4 5:20
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:20 · Christopher Dunn 31 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 170Pregame prior−4.2Home team on offense−26.3Garbage-time factor−12.3Score differential−3.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:23: Rex Culpepper pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 60 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +11.2 pts (now 38%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:35: Bailey Hockman pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 31 yds for a TD Timeout SYRACUSE, clock 12:35 (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — NCSU win probability +9.9 pts (now 70%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:49: Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 13 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +18.1 pts (now 63%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:22: Bailey Hockman pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 9 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +17.5 pts (now 63%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:14: Bailey Hockman pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 26 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — NCSU win probability +17.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 10 of 11NCSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00SYR 4th & 10 at NCSU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    14.7%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:40SYR 4th & 3 at NCSU 27, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.0%−0.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    22.6%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:09SYR 4th & 5 at NCSU 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.1%
    92% to make
    Punt
    22.1%−3.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:09NCSU 4th & 13 at NCSU 42, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%−1.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:07SYR 4th & 10 at SYR 15, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:18SYR 4th & 12 at SYR 23, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−2.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:08NCSU 4th & 13 at NCSU 44, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−1.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:35SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 44, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−1.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:57NCSU 4th & 11 at NCSU 12, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−3.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:22SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 28, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−2.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:14SYR 4th & 14 at SYR 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−4.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:58NCSU 4th & 12 at NCSU 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−3.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:08SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:20NCSU 4th & 10 at SYR 13, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−2.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    60.0%−15.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:57SYR 4th & 1 at NCSU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    10.6%−7.5
    40% to make
    Punt
    9.8%−8.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:30SYR 4th & 18 at NCSU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.0%
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    11.2%−2.9
    79% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−5.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NCSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q2 6:05NCSU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:23SYR Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:35NCSU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    63.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    63.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:49SYR Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:22NCSU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:14NCSU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    71.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    71.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1PUNT
13 plays · 36 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
12.4%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 12 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
12.4%
Rex Culpepper pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
12.4%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+11
12.4%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 11 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
12.4%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 7 yds to the NCSt 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 45
-5
12.4%
Nykeim Johnson run for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
50
+6
12.4%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 6 yds to the NCSt 44Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+5
12.4%
NC STATE Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
12.4%
Sean Tucker run for no gain to the NCSt 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
12.4%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Anthony QueeleySimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
12.4%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Anthony QueeleySimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
12.4%
Nolan Cooney punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 2TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:0986% → 85%
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
13.8%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Cary Angeline for 14 yds to the NCSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+20
13.8%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Ricky Person Jr. for 20 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
13.7%
Ricky Person Jr. run for no gain to the Syrac 46Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-9
13.7%
Porter Rooks run for a loss of 9 yards to the NCSt 45 Porter Rooks fumbled, recovered by NCSt Porter RooksSimilar
Q1 11:47
3RD & 19
OWN 45
+15
13.8%
SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
13.7%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 14 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
13.6%
PENALTY SU pass interference off-setting, PENALTY ST personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
13.6%
Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+6
13.6%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 6 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q1 11:47
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+5
13.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Syrac 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
15.0%
Zonovan Knight run for 7 yds to the Syrac 7Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 3
OPP 7
0
14.6%
Zonovan Knight run for 6 yds Zonovan Knight fumbled, forced by Ja'Had Carter, recovered by NCSt Zonovan Knight for a TD SYRACUSE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 4FUMBLE
12 plays · 75 yds · 0:0084% → 85%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
15.9%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 1 yd to the NCSt 26Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-6
15.9%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Zonovan Knight for a loss of 6 yards to the NCSt 20Similar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+26
16.1%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Cary Angeline for 26 yds to the NCSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
15.5%
SYRACUSE Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Syrac 49Similar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 5
OPP 49
+6
15.4%
Zonovan Knight run for 6 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
15.4%
Zonovan Knight run for 5 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+12
15.4%
Bailey Hockman run for 12 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
15.3%
Bailey Hockman run for 5 yds to the Syrac 21Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+3
15.3%
Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the Syrac 18Similar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+7
15.4%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 7 yds to the Syrac 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
15.3%
Bailey Hockman run for 10 yds Bailey Hockman fumbled, forced by Geoff Cantin-Arku, recovered by SyracSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:3619% → 22%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
18.9%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 14 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+22
19.1%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 7 yds to the NCSt 41 for a 1ST down NC STATE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the NCSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
19.8%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the NCSt 42Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+4
19.8%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the NCSt 38Similar
Q1 2:16
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+4
19.7%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 4 yds to the NCSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
20.0%
Sean Tucker run for no gain to the NCSt 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+9
21.7%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 9 yds to the NCSt 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 25
-2
21.3%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 27Similar
Q2 13:40
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+45
22.3%
Andre Szmyt 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 6INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-27
22.2%
Bailey Hockman pass intercepted Mikel Jones return for 27 yds to the NCSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1624% → 26%
Q2 13:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
23.7%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Luke BensonSimilar
Q2 13:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
23.7%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Nykeim JohnsonSimilar
Q2 13:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
23.2%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Anthony Queeley, broken up by Aydan WhiteSimilar
Q2 13:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
25.5%
Andre Szmyt 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
24.2%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 1 yd to the NCSt 26Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
24.2%
Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Cary Angeline, broken up by Aman GreenwoodSimilar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+19
24.7%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 19 yds to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
23.3%
Zonovan Knight run for 6 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+1
22.8%
Zonovan Knight run for 1 yd to the Syrac 48Similar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 3
OPP 48
-10
23.0%
Bailey Hockman sacked by Ifeatu Melifonwu for a loss of 10 yards to the NCSt 42Similar
Q2 13:09
4TH & 13
OWN 42
0
24.9%
Trenton Gill punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Nykeim Johnson at the Syrac 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
28.4%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
28.3%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
27.7%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Sean Tucker SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 10:07
4TH & 10
OWN 15
0
27.1%
Nolan Cooney punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 3:3774% → 79%
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-13
25.6%
Bailey Hockman sacked by Stefon Thompson for a loss of 13 yards to the NCSt 36Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 23
OWN 36
+4
27.3%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 4 yds to the NCSt 40Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 19
OWN 40
+15
27.5%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
25.4%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 5 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
25.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 17 yards to the NCSt 43 TEAM fumbled, recovered by NCSt Bailey Hockman , return for no gain to the NCSt 43Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 22
OWN 43
+34
27.5%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Cary Angeline for 34 yds to the Syrac 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
24.6%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 8 yds to the Syrac 15Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+15
20.7%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 15 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4224% → 38%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
24.2%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Luke Benson for 2 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
24.3%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Taj Harris, broken up by Shyheim BattleSimilar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+8
23.3%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 8 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
24.4%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+3
24.8%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 3 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+60
37.6%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 60 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 12SF
2 plays · -12 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-12
39.9%
Bailey Hockman sacked by Marlowe Wax for a loss of 12 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 0:5439% → 41%
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.1%
Sean Tucker run for no gain to the Syrac 25Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-8
38.8%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 8 yards to the Syrac 17Similar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+6
40.4%
Sean Tucker run for 6 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
Q2 2:18
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+4
41.3%
Nolan Cooney punt for 56 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for 4 yds to the NCSt 27 NC STATE Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
43.6%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Cary Angeline for 9 yds to the NCSt 34Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+13
41.4%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (13 Yards) to the NCSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
41.3%
Bailey Hockman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 10
OPP 0
0
38.2%
PENALTY SU personal foul off-setting, PENALTY ST unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+5
42.1%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Cary Angeline for 5 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 5
OPP 48
-8
40.6%
Bailey Hockman sacked by Kingsley Jonathan for a loss of 8 yards to the NCSt 44Similar
Q2 2:08
4TH & 13
OWN 44
0
45.0%
Trenton Gill punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
45.0%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Syrac 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 56 yds · 2:2557% → 70%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
43.1%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 1 yd to the NCSt 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+6
43.5%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 6 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+5
42.4%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 5 yds to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
42.0%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 9 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+4
40.1%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 4 yds to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
30.2%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 31 yds for a TD Timeout SYRACUSE, clock 12:35 (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0036% → 35%
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.8%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Nykeim JohnsonSimilar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
35.4%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Sean Tucker for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 21Similar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+21
34.0%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 21 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
38.2%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 40Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+4
36.7%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
36.2%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q3 12:35
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
34.8%
Nolan Cooney punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0063% → 60%
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
37.4%
Zonovan Knight run for 3 yds to the NCSt 16Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 7
OWN 16
-3
37.6%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Emeka Emezie for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 13Similar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 10
OWN 13
-1
39.0%
Bailey Hockman sacked by Marlowe Wax for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 12Similar
Q3 9:57
4TH & 11
OWN 12
+27
40.1%
Trenton Gill punt for 58 yds , Nykeim Johnson returns for 27 yds to the NCSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19TD
7 plays · 43 yds · 2:1944% → 63%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
44.4%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 13 yds to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
45.3%
NC STATE Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the NCSt 25Similar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 5
OPP 25
+2
45.3%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the NCSt 23Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+6
45.3%
Sean Tucker run for 6 yds to the NCSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
45.3%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+4
45.3%
Rex Culpepper run for 4 yds to the NCSt 13Similar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+13
63.4%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 13 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2739% → 63%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
60.6%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 3 yds to the NCSt 28Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+39
59.8%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Devin Carter for 39 yds to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
55.2%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Devin Carter for 5 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+7
54.5%
Bailey Hockman run for 7 yds to the Syrac 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
54.5%
Bailey Hockman run for 9 yds to the Syrac 12Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+1
54.5%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 1 yd to the Syrac 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
54.5%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 2 yds to the Syrac 9Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
37.0%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 9 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0046% → 42%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
45.8%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+1
44.9%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Syrac 28Similar
Q3 2:22
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
43.3%
Rex Culpepper pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:22
4TH & 9
OWN 28
0
42.4%
Nolan Cooney punt for 31 yds, downed at the NCSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 1:5658% → 78%
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
41.6%
Zonovan Knight run for 6 yds to the NCSt 47Similar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+13
40.8%
Zonovan Knight run for 13 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
40.1%
Bailey Hockman pass incomplete, broken up by Garrett WilliamsSimilar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
40.3%
Bailey Hockman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:10
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+12
41.6%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 12 yds to the Syrac 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
38.8%
Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 26
0
38.8%
Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Zonovan KnightSimilar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+26
21.9%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 26 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0028% → 26%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
28.3%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Syrac 26Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
28.0%
Nykeim Johnson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Syrac 21Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
26.4%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Anthony Queeley, broken up by Jakeen HarrisSimilar
Q4 14:14
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
25.6%
Nolan Cooney punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0076% → 72%
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
24.1%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 4 yds to the NCSt 35Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
23.4%
Bailey Hockman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 6
OWN 35
-1
24.8%
Bailey Hockman sacked by Cody Roscoe for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 34Similar
Q4 12:58
4TH & 7
OWN 34
-5
26.9%
NC STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 29Similar
Q4 12:58
4TH & 12
OWN 29
0
28.1%
Trenton Gill punt for 57 yds , TEAM returns for no gain to the Syrac 29 SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive holding (7 Yards) to the Syrac 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0028% → 25%
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
28.3%
Rex Culpepper pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+2
28.0%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Aaron Hackett for 2 yds to the Syrac 9Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 8
OWN 9
0
26.5%
Rex Culpepper pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:08
4TH & 8
OWN 9
+59
25.3%
Nolan Cooney punt for 49 yds, downed at the SYRACUSE 42 NC STATE Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the NCSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 26FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 4:4277% → 88%
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
22.7%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 5 yds to the NCSt 37Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+1
21.9%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 1 yd to the NCSt 38Similar
Q4 10:02
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+32
21.7%
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Devin Carter for 32 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
19.3%
Ricky Person Jr. run for no gain to the Syrac 30Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+17
19.4%
Bailey Hockman run for 3 yds to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (14 Yards) to the Syrac 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
18.9%
Ricky Person Jr. run for 6 yds to the Syrac 7Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 4
OPP 7
-6
18.9%
Ricky Person Jr. run for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 13Similar
Q4 10:02
3RD & 10
OPP 13
0
20.9%
Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Thayer ThomasSimilar
Q4 5:20
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+31
11.8%
Christopher Dunn 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 27DOWNS
19 plays · 57 yds · 4:5018% → 9%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
17.8%
Rex Culpepper run for 1 yd to the Syrac 26Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
17.4%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Luke Benson for 2 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+26
16.6%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 26 yds to the NCSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
23.0%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 8 yds to the NCSt 38Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+4
22.3%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 4 yds to the NCSt 37Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 2
OPP 38
-3
23.3%
Rex Culpepper sacked by Daniel Joseph for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 41Similar
Q4 1:57
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+2
18.2%
Rex Culpepper run for 2 yds to the NCSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
22.8%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 15 yds to the NCSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
25.2%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Luke BensonSimilar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
23.3%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete, broken up by Isaiah MooreSimilar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+11
13.7%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 11 yds to the NCSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
17.7%
Cooper Lutz run for 2 yds to the NCSt 7Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
16.4%
Rex Culpepper run for no gain to the NCSt 7Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-11
14.5%
Rex Culpepper sacked by Payton Wilson for a loss of 11 yards to the NCSt 18Similar
Q4 0:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 18
0
8.9%
Rex Culpepper pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 28Uncategorized
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
4.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:49
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 13 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)
+18.1
TD · Q3 2:22
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 9 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)
-17.5
TD · Q4 14:14
Bailey Hockman pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 26 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-17
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com