Try the model
GASO

Georgia Southern 24 at Georgia State 30

GAST
2020 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2020 · Center Parc Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Cornelious Brown IV run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingBlowout margin
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 10Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:00: Logan Wright run for 63 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +8.5 pts (now 59%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:46: Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 45 yds for a TD (Noel Ruiz KICK) — GAST win probability +15.5 pts (now 54%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q4 14:56: Logan Wright run for 5 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +13.7 pts (now 82%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:13: Destin Coates run for 4 yds for a TD Timeout GEORGIA ST, clock 12:13 (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — GAST win probability +14.4 pts (now 41%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:54: Cornelious Brown IV run for 1 yd for a TD (Cornelious Brown IV pass to Sam Pinckney for Two-Point Conversion) — GAST win probability +54.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 7 of 9GASO made the numbers' call on 3 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00GAST 4th & 4 at GASO 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    58.1%−0.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    58.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 15:00GAST 4th & 9 at GASO 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    58.2%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:30GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 14, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:55GAST 4th & 3 at GASO 17, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.7%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    57.1%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:55GASO 4th & 1 at GAST 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    40.3%−0.6
    81% to make
    Punt
    38.5%−2.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:56GAST 4th & 1 at GAST 34, down 4
    Close callPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:22GASO 4th & 5 at GAST 39, up 11
    Close callPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    55.0%−1.0
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:35GAST 4th & 9 at GASO 11, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    36.9%−4.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:45GASO 4th & 8 at GAST 35, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.0%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    58.1%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:45GAST 4th & 1 at GAST 44, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    41.4%−2.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:08GASO 4th & 10 at GAST 13, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−1.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    38.4%−8.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:08GAST 4th & 4 at GAST 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:08GASO 4th & 3 at GASO 40, up 4
    Close callPunted · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:24GAST 4th & 6 at GAST 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−1.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:19GASO 4th & 14 at GASO 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−4.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:42GASO 4th & 3 at GAST 31, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.8%−3.3
    54% to make
    Punt
    66.1%−6.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:53GAST 4th & 6 at GASO 17, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%−0.9
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    64.1%−19.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 1 of 3GASO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 14:56GASO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:00GASO Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:46GAST Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:56GASO Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:13GAST Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    36.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    36.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:54GAST Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 1.6 ptsWent for two · converted
    Kick
    68.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    66.5%−1.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1PUNT
14 plays · 35 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
51.0%
Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+9
51.0%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 9 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
51.0%
Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
51.0%
Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+10
51.0%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 10 yds to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
51.0%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 3 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+3
51.0%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
51.0%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoy, broken up by Derrick CanteenSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 46
+5
51.0%
Cornelious Brown IV run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
51.0%
Destin Coates run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 40
0
51.0%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoySimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 40
0
51.0%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoy, broken up by Derrick CanteenSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
51.0%
Michael Hayes punt for 35 yds, downed at the GeoSo 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
51.7%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 6Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+4
51.7%
Matt LaRoche run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 10Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 5
OWN 10
+4
51.8%
Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 14Similar
Q1 10:30
4TH & 1
OWN 14
0
52.0%
Anthony Beck II punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Quavian White at the GeoSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3FG
6 plays · 36 yds · 2:2653% → 54%
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
52.6%
Brown, C. pass incomplete to Pinckney, Sam (D. Baker Jr.), PENALTY GS pass interference (D. Baker Jr.) 15 yards to the GS38, 1ST DOWN GSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
52.7%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 14 yds to the GeoSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
52.9%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+6
52.9%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Roger Carter for 6 yds to the GeoSo 16Similar
Q1 8:21
3RD & 2
OPP 16
-1
52.6%
Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q1 5:55
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+35
53.6%
Noel Ruiz 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:5947% → 52%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
53.5%
Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
53.4%
Shai Werts pass incomplete, broken up by Jaylon JonesSimilar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+9
53.8%
Shai Werts pass complete to NaJee Thompson for 9 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
53.2%
Sam Kenerson run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
52.6%
Gerald Green run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+4
52.5%
Matt LaRoche run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+17
52.5%
Shai Werts run for 17 yds to the GeoSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
52.1%
Jalen White run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+3
52.1%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 16Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 1
OPP 16
0
52.5%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:55
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+3
52.9%
Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
52.1%
Gerald Green run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 7Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
48.2%
Shai Werts run for 7 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.1%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incomplete to Destin CoatesSimilar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
50.0%
Destin Coates run for no gain to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
49.4%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 9 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
49.6%
Michael Hayes punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6TD
3 plays · 69 yds · 1:3050% → 59%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
49.7%
Matt LaRoche run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+4
49.6%
Shai Werts pass complete to Matt LaRoche for 4 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+63
41.1%
Logan Wright run for 63 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7FUMBLE
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:0042% → 44%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
42.3%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 24 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
43.6%
Destin Coates run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+4
43.9%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Destin Coates for 4 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+3
43.8%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Destin Coates for 3 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
43.9%
Cornelious Brown IV sacked by Justin Ellis for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSt 44 Cornelious Brown IV fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Raymond Johnson III , return for 0 yards , return for 10 yds to the GeoSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:5861% → 61%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
39.5%
Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+2
39.6%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+1
39.8%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q2 8:22
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
39.0%
Anthony Beck II punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Quavian White at the GeoSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9FG
8 plays · 76 yds · 2:4038% → 40%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+44
38.4%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 44 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
40.8%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 7 yds to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+11
40.8%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 11 yds to the GeoSo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
41.7%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 13 yds to the GeoSo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
41.7%
Destin Coates run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 11Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
41.7%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incomplete to Sam Pinckney, broken up by David SpauldingSimilar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
40.8%
Cornelious Brown IV run for no gain to the GeoSo 11Similar
Q2 5:35
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+29
39.9%
Noel Ruiz 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10MISSED FG
6 plays · 46 yds · 2:5061% → 64%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+44
39.1%
Shai Werts pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 44 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
36.5%
Justin Tomlin run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 11
OPP 38
0
36.6%
Sam Kenerson run for no gain to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 11
OPP 38
+3
37.1%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q2 2:45
4TH & 8
OPP 35
+52
35.8%
Alex Raynor 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 1:5938% → 54%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
37.5%
Destin Coates run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 44Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
39.7%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoy, broken up by Derrick CanteenSimilar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
39.1%
Tucker Gregg run for no gain to the GeoSt 44Similar
Q2 2:45
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
37.9%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
39.4%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incomplete to Terrance DixonSimilar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+9
38.3%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 9 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+45
53.8%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 45 yds for a TD (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12END OF HALF
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:2152% → 50%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
48.3%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (Caleb Kelly) to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
48.6%
Gerald Green run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
48.7%
Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
49.8%
Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13FG
6 plays · 56 yds · 2:5252% → 55%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+56
48.5%
Logan Wright run for 56 yds to the GeoSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
45.1%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 15Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 15
+3
45.4%
Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 12Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 12
-1
46.6%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 13Similar
Q3 12:08
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+29
45.0%
Alex Raynor 29 yd FG GOOD GEORGIA ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
46.1%
Destin Coates run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
48.4%
Destin Coates run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
46.9%
Destin Coates run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
46.3%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q3 12:08
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+7
44.8%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 7 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q3 12:08
4TH & 4
OWN 42
+2
45.6%
Michael Hayes punt for 38 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for 2 yds to the GeoSo 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
44.5%
Matt LaRoche run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+10
44.8%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Murray for 10 yds to the GeoSo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
43.7%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 6
OWN 37
-2
42.9%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+5
45.2%
Shai Werts run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q3 10:08
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
45.1%
Anthony Beck II punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0044% → 42%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
43.9%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Sam Pinckney for no gain to the GeoSt 20Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
43.7%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 4 yds to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
42.5%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incomplete to Terrance DixonSimilar
Q3 6:24
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
41.5%
Michael Hayes punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0060% → 55%
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
39.6%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Emil SmithSimilar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
40.1%
Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 8
OWN 41
-6
40.9%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSo 35 Shai Werts fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Shai WertsSimilar
Q3 5:19
4TH & 14
OWN 35
0
44.7%
Anthony Beck II punt for 50 yds, downed at the GeoSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 18INT
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:0040% → 43%
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
40.4%
Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 14Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+5
40.3%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 5 yds to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q3 3:36
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+19
39.0%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Aubry Payne for 19 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
42.3%
Destin Coates run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
44.2%
Cornelious Brown IV run for no gain to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q3 3:36
3RD & 6
OWN 42
-25
42.5%
Cornelious Brown IV pass intercepted Kenderick Duncan Jr. return for 25 yds to the GeoSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19TD
3 plays · 37 yds · 1:0167% → 82%
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+27
33.4%
Matt LaRoche run for 27 yds to the GeoSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
31.7%
Matt LaRoche run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 5Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
18.0%
Logan Wright run for 5 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 20TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4322% → 41%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
21.5%
Cornelious Brown IV sacked by Rashad Byrd for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+26
21.2%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 26 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
50
-3
24.2%
Destin Coates run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 47Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 13
OWN 47
+19
22.6%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 19 yds to the GeoSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
26.6%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Aubry Payne for 13 yds to the GeoSo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+13
27.0%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Matlin Marshall for 13 yds to the GeoSo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
27.0%
Destin Coates run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 4Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
41.4%
Destin Coates run for 4 yds for a TD Timeout GEORGIA ST, clock 12:13 (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21MISSED FG
9 plays · 36 yds · 4:3171% → 75%
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
29.5%
Logan Wright run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+8
27.9%
Gerald Green run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
27.6%
Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+14
27.6%
Shai Werts run for 14 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
27.0%
Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
25.1%
Justin Tomlin run for no gain to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q4 12:13
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+4
27.5%
Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q4 7:42
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+48
25.3%
Alex Raynor 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 22TD
13 plays · 69 yds · 4:4831% → 86%
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
30.6%
Destin Coates run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
33.8%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:42
2ND & 4
50
+5
35.5%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 5 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
36.2%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incomplete to Destin CoatesSimilar
Q4 7:42
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+31
35.4%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 31 yds to the GeoSo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
38.3%
Destin Coates run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q4 7:42
2ND & 11
OPP 15
-5
38.1%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (Terrance Dixon) to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q4 7:42
2ND & 16
OPP 20
+13
36.7%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 13 yds to the GeoSo 7Similar
Q4 7:42
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+3
35.7%
Brown, C. pass incomplete to McCoy, C. (D. Canteen), PENALTY GS offside defense (Q. Williams) 3 yards to the GS4, 1ST DOWN GSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
38.3%
Destin Coates run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 3Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
31.6%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.1%
Cornelious Brown IV run for 1 yd for a TD (Cornelious Brown IV pass to Sam Pinckney for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 23FUMBLE
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.2%
Matt LaRoche run for no gain to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
69.7%
Justin Tomlin sacked by Jordan Strachan for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 21 Justin Tomlin fumbled, recovered by GeoSt Blake Carroll , return for 0 yards , return for 3 yds to the GeoSo 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 24FG
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:1888% → 95%
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
88.2%
Tucker Gregg run for no gain to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+2
88.7%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+2
88.8%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+35
94.7%
Noel Ruiz 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 25INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:0010% → 11%
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.7%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Malik Murray for 5 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
89.0%
Justin Tomlin run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
88.9%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Malik Murray for 2 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+4
88.9%
Justin Tomlin pass intercepted Quavian White return for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
95.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 17Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 13
OWN 17
-3
95.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:54
Cornelious Brown IV run for 1 yd for a TD (Cornelious Brown IV pass to Sam Pinckney for Two-Point Conversion)
+54.5
TD · Q2 0:46
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 45 yds for a TD (Noel Ruiz KICK)
+15.5
TD · Q4 12:13
Destin Coates run for 4 yds for a TD Timeout GEORGIA ST, clock 12:13 (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+14.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com