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CCU

Coastal Carolina 51 at Georgia State 0

GAST
2020 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2020 · Center Parc Stadium
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Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:32 · Michael Hayes punt for 38 yds , Jaivon Heiligh returns for 4 yds to the GeoSt 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 66Home team on offense−25.8Score differential−12.1Pregame prior−9.5Garbage-time factor−5.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:14: Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 35 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +2.5 pts (now 66%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:39: Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Marable for 18 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +7.0 pts (now 74%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:39: Reese White run for 13 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi PAT MISSED) — CCU win probability +8.1 pts (now 82%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:32: Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 10 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +3.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:50: Grayson McCall run for 2 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +8.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 8 of 9CCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 11:00GAST 4th & 4 at CCU 30, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.7%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    43.6%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:14CCU 4th & 7 at GAST 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    56.1%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    56.0%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:14GAST 4th & 13 at GAST 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:54CCU 4th & 4 at GAST 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    58.8%−0.5
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:11GAST 4th & 8 at GAST 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:55CCU 4th & 2 at CCU 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    60.5%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:39GAST 4th & 1 at GAST 44, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.3%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:32GAST 4th & 4 at GAST 14, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:12GAST 4th & 1 at GAST 49, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:33GAST 4th & 13 at GAST 14, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:57CCU 4th & 7 at GAST 7, up 48
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:57GAST 4th & 4 at GAST 32, down 51
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:57GAST 4th & 22 at GAST 17, down 51
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 8:14CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:39CCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:39CCU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:32CCU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:50CCU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:12CCU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:33CCU Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1MISSED FG
11 plays · 37 yds · 4:0035% → 37%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
34.9%
Cornelious Brown IV run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+2
34.9%
Cornelious Brown IV run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 41
-5
34.9%
Gregg, Tucker rush for 2 yards to the GSU43 (Matts, B.), PENALTY GSU IM (Pinckney, Sam) 5 yards to the GSU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+11
34.9%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Destin Coates for 11 yds to the GeoSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
34.9%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 8 yds to the CCaro 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+9
34.9%
Destin Coates run for 9 yds to the CCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
34.9%
Destin Coates run for 4 yds to the CCaro 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+1
34.9%
Destin Coates run for 1 yd to the CCaro 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+1
34.9%
Destin Coates run for 1 yd to the CCaro 30Similar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+47
36.7%
Noel Ruiz 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 2:4664% → 66%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
36.3%
Reese White run for 21 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
36.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 11 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
36.0%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+9
36.0%
Grayson McCall run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 1
OPP 29
0
36.0%
Grayson McCall run for no gain to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q1 8:20
4TH & 1
OPP 29
-6
37.0%
Heiligh, J. rush for 29 yards to the GSU0, clock 08:20, PENALTY CCU holding (Lampkin, W.) 6 yards to the GSU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:14
4TH & 7
OPP 35
+35
34.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 35 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
34.8%
Destin Coates run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-4
34.8%
Cornelious Brown IV sacked by Silas Kelly for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q1 8:14
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
34.5%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incomplete to Terrance DixonSimilar
Q1 8:14
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
34.4%
Michael Hayes punt for 56 yds, downed at the CCaro 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 0:0065% → 66%
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
34.6%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the CCaro 23Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+8
34.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 8 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+1
34.3%
Shermari Jones run for 1 yd to the CCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
34.3%
CJ Marable run for 5 yds to the CCaro 37Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+15
34.1%
Shermari Jones run for 15 yds to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
33.8%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 3 yds to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+3
33.8%
Shermari Jones run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
33.9%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Isaiah Likely, broken up by Blake CarrollSimilar
Q1 6:54
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
34.2%
Charles Ouverson punt for 15 yds, downed at the GeoSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
34.4%
Cornelious Brown IV run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 5
OWN 32
-9
34.8%
Cornelious Brown IV sacked by Tarron Jackson for a loss of 9 yards to the GeoSt 23Similar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 14
OWN 23
+6
33.7%
Tucker Gregg run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q1 2:11
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
33.5%
Michael Hayes punt for 42 yds, downed at the CCaro 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 3:4166% → 74%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
33.6%
CJ Marable run for 12 yds to the CCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
32.8%
CJ Marable run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+10
33.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
50
-1
32.7%
Reese White run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 49Similar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 2
OWN 49
+5
34.0%
Grayson McCall run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+28
32.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Greg Latushko for 28 yds to the GeoSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
25.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Marable for 18 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7FUMBLE
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+12
26.8%
Destin Coates run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
27.0%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 5 yds Sam Pinckney fumbled, forced by Tarron Jackson, recovered by CCaro Brayden Matts GEORGIA ST Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8TD
2 plays · 26 yds · 0:4174% → 82%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
25.8%
Tyson Mobley run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
17.6%
Reese White run for 13 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9INT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0021% → 22%
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
21.3%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Destin Coates for no gain to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
21.1%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 8 yds to the GeoSt 43Similar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
22.0%
Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 44Similar
Q2 10:39
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
21.9%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
22.2%
Cornelious Brown IV pass intercepted Silas Kelly return for no gain to the CCaro 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 2:0984% → 87%
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
16.4%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon Heiligh, broken up by Antavious LaneSimilar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+11
16.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Marable for 11 yds to the GeoSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
16.2%
Shermari Jones run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+27
16.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Denmark for 27 yds to the GeoSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
13.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 10 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
11.4%
Destin Coates run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 14Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 4
OWN 14
0
11.3%
Tucker Gregg run for no gain to the GeoSt 14Similar
Q2 6:32
3RD & 4
OWN 14
0
11.2%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:32
4TH & 4
OWN 14
+4
11.2%
Michael Hayes punt for 38 yds , Jaivon Heiligh returns for 4 yds to the GeoSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12TD
10 plays · 48 yds · 4:2587% → 96%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
13.0%
Grayson McCall run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+12
13.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Denmark for 12 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
13.0%
Shermari Jones run for no gain to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+18
13.0%
Shermari Jones run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, personal foul (Blake Carroll) to the GeoSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
12.6%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to CJ Marable, broken up by Quavian WhiteSimilar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
12.8%
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Marable for no gain to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+18
13.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Denmark for 18 yds to the GeoSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
12.2%
CJ Marable run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 2Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
12.3%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete, broken up by Antavious LaneSimilar
Q2 0:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
4.3%
Grayson McCall run for 2 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
5.5%
Cornelious Brown IV sacked by C.J. Brewer for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 5:4896% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
4.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Greg Latushko for 4 yds to the CCaro 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+18
4.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 18 yds to the GeoSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
4.2%
CJ Marable run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+3
4.1%
Shermari Jones run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+8
4.3%
Shermari Jones run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
4.1%
Shermari Jones run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+10
4.1%
CJ Marable run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+12
4.0%
Reese White run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
3.9%
Reese White run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 2Similar
Q3 9:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
1.9%
CJ Marable run for 2 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15DOWNS
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
1.8%
Destin Coates run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+14
1.7%
Destin Coates run for 14 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
1.8%
Destin Coates run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 47Similar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 3
OWN 47
-1
1.8%
Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+1
1.7%
Cornelious Brown IV run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 49 Cornelious Brown IV fumbled, forced by Jeffrey Gunter, recovered by GeoSt Shamarious GilmoreSimilar
Q3 9:12
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
1.8%
Destin Coates run for no gain to the GeoSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 49 yds · 3:2098% → 99%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
1.6%
Grayson McCall run for no gain to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+18
1.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 18 yds to the GeoSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
1.5%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to CJ MarableSimilar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+3
1.5%
Shermari Jones run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+11
1.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Greg Latushko for 11 yds to the GeoSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
1.5%
CJ Marable run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 12Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+12
1.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 12 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK) GEORGIA ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-4
0.7%
Cornelious Brown IV pass complete to Jonathan Ifedi for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSt 13Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 14
OWN 13
0
0.6%
Cornelious Brown IV pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 14
OWN 13
+1
0.6%
Cornelious Brown IV run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 14 Cornelious Brown IV fumbled, forced by Rolan Wooden II, recovered by GeoSt Cornelious Brown IVSimilar
Q3 3:33
4TH & 13
OWN 14
0
0.6%
Michael Hayes punt for 37 yds, downed at the CCaro 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 3:0599% → 99%
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+34
0.9%
CJ Marable run for 34 yds to the GeoSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
0.8%
Reese White run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 15Similar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+9
0.8%
Fred Payton pass complete to Shermari Jones for 9 yds to the GeoSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
0.6%
Fred Payton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
0.6%
Reese White run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 7Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
0.5%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Kameron Brown, broken up by Jaylon JonesSimilar
Q4 13:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
0.6%
Massimo Biscardi 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
0.3%
Jamyest Williams run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+5
0.3%
Jamyest Williams run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
0.3%
Jamyest Williams run for no gain to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q4 13:57
4TH & 4
OWN 32
+6
0.3%
Michael Hayes punt for 38 yds , Jaivon Heiligh returns for 6 yds to the CCaro 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20FUMBLE
6 plays · 35 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
0.4%
Isaiah Connelly run for 1 yd to the CCaro 37Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+10
0.4%
Fred Payton pass complete to Baden Pinson for 10 yds to the CCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
0.4%
Baden Pinson run for 2 yds to the CCaro 49Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+8
0.4%
Isaiah Connelly run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
0.4%
Isaiah Connelly run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+3
0.4%
Fred Payton run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 29 Fred Payton fumbled, forced by Keon Carter, recovered by GeoSt Jordan VenezialeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
0.1%
Mikele Colasurdo pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
0.1%
Mikele Colasurdo pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 10
OWN 29
-15
0.1%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the GeoSt 14Similar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 25
OWN 14
+3
0.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 17Similar
Q4 7:57
4TH & 22
OWN 17
0
0.1%
Michael Hayes punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22Uncategorized
9 plays · 43 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
0.2%
Braydon Bennett run for 3 yds to the CCaro 40Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+17
0.2%
Baden Pinson run for 17 yds to the GeoSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
0.2%
Isaiah Connelly run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+4
0.2%
Isaiah Connelly run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+5
0.2%
Isaiah Connelly run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
0.2%
Braydon Bennett run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+7
0.2%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Conner McCarthy for 7 yds to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+6
0.2%
Jarrett Guest run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
0.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:39
Reese White run for 13 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi PAT MISSED)
-8.1
TD · Q2 0:50
Grayson McCall run for 2 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
-8
TD · Q2 11:39
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Marable for 18 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
-7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com