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UL

Louisiana 34 at Georgia State 31

GAST
2020 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2020 · Center Parc Stadium
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Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:01 · Rhys Byrns punt for 43 yds , Quavian White returns for 5 yds to the GeoSt 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorTime remaining
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 13Pregame prior−37.6Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Time remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:49: Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds for a TD (Noel Ruiz KICK) — GAST win probability +19.5 pts (now 66%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 11:54: Trey Ragas run for 2 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK) — UL win probability +18.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:37: Destin Coates run for 4 yds for a TD (Noel Ruiz KICK) — GAST win probability +27.8 pts (now 55%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: Noel Ruiz 15 yd FG GOOD — GAST win probability +17.0 pts (now 79%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Elijah Mitchell run for 12 yds for a TD — UL win probability +59.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 8 of 9UL made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00GAST 4th & 5 at GAST 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:01UL 4th & 5 at UL 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:10GAST 4th & 10 at UL 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    16.5%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:03UL 4th & 5 at UL 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:52UL 4th & 11 at GAST 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.7%
    56% to make
    Punt
    80.5%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:30UL 4th & 3 at UL 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.3%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:25UL 4th & 13 at UL 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%−2.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:03GAST 4th & 5 at GAST 36, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:45UL 4th & 12 at UL 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−1.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:34UL 4th & 10 at GAST 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.5%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    47.0%−0.5
    30% to make
    Punt
    47.1%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:19GAST 4th & 9 at GAST 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−1.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:15GAST 4th & 6 at GAST 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−1.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:02GAST 4th & 10 at GAST 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−2.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:30UL 4th & 5 at UL 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.9%−2.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00GAST 4th & 15 at GAST 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−6.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:37UL 4th & 17 at GAST 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−3.8
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    52.0%−0.7
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:47GAST 4th & 8 at GAST 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%−6.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:51UL 4th & 4 at GAST 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    46.8%−7.5
    36% to make
    Punt
    45.5%−8.8
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:40GAST 4th & 8 at UL 44, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    49.7%−4.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 3:30GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:25GAST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:33UL Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:49GAST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:15UL Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:02UL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:54UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:37GAST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.1%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
11.6%
Destin Coates run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
11.6%
Destin Coates run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
11.6%
Cornelious Brown run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
11.6%
Destin Coates run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+7
11.6%
Destin Coates run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
11.6%
Cornelious Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 43
+1
11.6%
Michael Hayes punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 21 , Eric Garror returns for 1 yd to the LaLaf 44 GEORGIA ST Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
12.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 1 yd to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+5
12.9%
Mitchell,Elijah rush for no gain to the LA22 (Wilson, Dontae), PENALTY GSU offside defense (Clark, Jeffery) 5 yards to the LA27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 4
OWN 27
-1
12.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
13.0%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:01
4TH & 5
OWN 26
+5
13.0%
Rhys Byrns punt for 43 yds , Quavian White returns for 5 yds to the GeoSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
13.4%
Destin Coates run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+12
13.5%
Destin Coates run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
13.6%
Cornelious Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
13.5%
Cornelious Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
13.4%
Cornelious Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:10
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
13.3%
Michael Hayes punt for 17 yds, downed at the LaLaf 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
13.8%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Dontae FlemingSimilar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
13.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Chris Smith for 5 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
13.8%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:03
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
13.9%
Rhys Byrns punt for 47 yds , Terrance Dixon returns for no gain to the GeoSt 16 Terrance Dixon fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5FUMBLE
5 plays · 38 yds · 0:0014% → 15%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
14.4%
Cornelious Brown pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 4 yds to the GeoSt 20Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+23
14.4%
Cornelious Brown run for 23 yds to the GeoSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
14.6%
Cornelious Brown pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 6 yds to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 4
OWN 49
0
14.7%
Cornelious Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+9
14.6%
Tucker Gregg run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 46 Tucker Gregg fumbled, forced by Kam Pedescleaux, recovered by LaLaf Percy ButlerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6MISSED FG
7 plays · 24 yds · 1:5486% → 84%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
14.5%
Trey Ragas run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 6
50
+21
14.5%
Trey Ragas run for 21 yds to the GeoSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-3
14.4%
Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 13
OPP 32
+2
14.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 11
OPP 30
0
14.7%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Elijah MitchellSimilar
Q1 5:52
4TH & 11
OPP 30
+47
15.8%
Nate Snyder 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:2216% → 21%
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
15.9%
Destin Coates run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+7
16.1%
Cornelious Brown pass complete to Destin Coates for 7 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
16.3%
Cornelious Brown run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+8
16.4%
Cornelious Brown pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 8 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+22
16.5%
Cornelious Brown pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 7 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, roughing passer (Tayland Humphrey) to the LaLaf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
16.6%
Destin Coates run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
20.7%
Cornelious Brown run for 12 yds for a TD (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 38 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+20
19.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 20 yds to the LaLaf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
19.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 11 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
19.5%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
19.2%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Pearse MiglSimilar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+2
19.5%
Levi Lewis run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q1 3:30
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
19.7%
Rhys Byrns punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Quavian White at the GeoSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 2:5322% → 31%
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
21.5%
Destin Coates run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 17Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 3
OWN 17
0
21.5%
Destin Coates run for no gain to the GeoSt 17Similar
Q1 1:18
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+7
21.1%
Cornelious Brown pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 7 yds to the GeoSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
21.6%
Destin Coates run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
22.7%
Cornelious Brown pass incomplete to Terrance DixonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+15
22.3%
Brown, C. pass incomplete to Thompson, C., PENALTY LA pass interference (Wilson,Jayrin) 15 yards to the GSU40, 1ST DOWN GSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+19
23.7%
Cornelious Brown pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 19 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
24.0%
Cornelious Brown pass incomplete to Cadarrius ThompsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
23.8%
Cornelious Brown run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+10
23.5%
Cornelious Brown pass complete to Destin Coates for 10 yds to the LaLaf 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
31.2%
Cornelious Brown pass complete to Roger Carter for 28 yds for a TD (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
28.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Johnny Lumpkin for 10 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-14
28.3%
Ragas,Trey rush for 10 yards to the LA45 (Strachan, J.), PENALTY LA personal foul (Torrenc,O'Cyrus) 14 yards to the LA21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 24
OWN 21
+2
28.9%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 22
OWN 23
+3
29.1%
Levi Lewis run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 19
OWN 26
+6
29.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Chris Smith for 6 yds to the LaLaf 32 LOUISIANA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 13:25
4TH & 13
OWN 32
+12
29.4%
Rhys Byrns punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSt 31 , Quavian White returns for 12 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
33.6%
Destin Coates run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+3
33.5%
Cornelious Brown run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
33.5%
Cornelious Brown pass complete to Destin Coates for no gain to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q2 11:03
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
32.7%
Michael Hayes punt for 38 yds , Eric Garror returns for no gain to the LaLaf 21 Eric Garror fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:1665% → 59%
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
35.3%
Elijah Mitchell run for 14 yds to the LaLaf 36 Elijah Mitchell fumbled, forced by Antavious Lane, recovered by LaLaf Elijah Mitchell for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
34.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for no gain to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+13
34.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 13 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
33.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for no gain to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
34.3%
Chris Smith run for no gain to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 10
OWN 49
-2
34.5%
Chris Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q2 5:45
4TH & 12
OWN 47
0
40.9%
Rhys Byrns punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13INT
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:0042% → 43%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
42.0%
Destin Coates run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+3
42.1%
Destin Coates run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
42.2%
Cornelious Brown pass complete to Aubry Payne for 3 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+2
42.1%
Cornelious Brown pass complete to Aubry Payne for 2 yds to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+8
41.8%
Cornelious Brown pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 8 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
43.6%
Cornelious Brown pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 4
50
0
43.6%
Cornelious Brown pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoySimilar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 4
50
0
42.5%
Cornelious Brown pass intercepted Mekhi Garner return for no gain to the LaLaf 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 1:4355% → 68%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
44.6%
Levi Lewis run for 21 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
43.6%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Peter LeBlancSimilar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
43.8%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Pearse Migl, broken up by Blake CarrollSimilar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+17
45.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 17 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
43.1%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren LacySimilar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
43.4%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Peter LeBlanc, broken up by Quavian WhiteSimilar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
44.3%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Peter LeBlanc, broken up by Bryquice BrownSimilar
Q2 2:34
4TH & 10
OPP 42
+19
45.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Devon Pauley for 19 yds to the GeoSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
41.8%
Smith,Chris rush for no gain to the GSU23 (Clark, Jeffery), PENALTY GSU IS 5 yards to the GSU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 5
OPP 18
+18
32.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Chris Smith for 18 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 0:1441% → 39%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
40.5%
Cornelious Brown sacked by Ferrod Gardner for a loss of 8 yards to the GeoSt 17Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+10
40.9%
Destin Coates run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-1
40.2%
Cornelious Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q2 1:19
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+45
39.4%
Michael Hayes punt for 45 yds , Eric Garror returns for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 16INT
5 plays · 49 yds · 0:0057% → 62%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+27
42.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 27 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+18
38.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 18 yds to the GeoSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
36.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 4 yds to the GeoSt 23Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 6
OPP 23
0
36.5%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 6
OPP 23
-14
37.9%
Levi Lewis pass intercepted Quavian White return for 14 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
44.2%
Destin Coates run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 18INT
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:0061% → 62%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
38.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Hunter Bergeron for 8 yds to the GeoSt 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+2
37.2%
Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-8
37.6%
Levi Lewis pass intercepted Victor Heyward return for 8 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 19TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 3:0544% → 66%
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+18
43.8%
Destin Coates run for 18 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
46.2%
Cornelious Brown pass complete to Sam Pinckney for no gain to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+4
45.9%
Cornelious Brown pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 4 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q3 13:54
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+7
45.2%
Destin Coates run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
46.3%
Cornelious Brown pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 11 yds to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-3
46.5%
Destin Coates run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 13
OPP 29
+25
46.0%
Cornelious Brown pass complete to Roger Carter for 25 yds to the LaLaf 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
46.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 2Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
66.0%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds for a TD (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 20TD
10 plays · 86 yds · 4:2637% → 54%
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
63.2%
Trey Ragas run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+15
63.2%
Lewis,Levi sacked for loss of 5 yards to the LA13 (Willis, H.), PENALTY GSU face mask (Carroll, Blake) 15 yards to the LA33, 1ST DOWN LA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
61.8%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+2
61.8%
Levi Lewis run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 35 Levi Lewis fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Trey Ragas , return for 2 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q3 10:41
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+19
62.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 19 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+33
59.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 33 yds to the GeoSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
57.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 6 yds to the GeoSt 7Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+3
57.7%
Smith,Chris rush for 2 yards to the GSU5 (Smith, Akeem), PENALTY GSU offside defense (Arnold, T.J.) 3 yards to the GSU4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+4
46.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 4 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0058% → 55%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
58.2%
Cornelious Brown run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
58.4%
Cornelious Brown pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoySimilar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
57.0%
Cornelious Brown pass incomplete to Marcus CarrollSimilar
Q3 6:15
4TH & 6
OWN 27
-3
55.3%
Michael Hayes punt for 47 yds , Eric Garror returns for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 22TD
5 plays · 77 yds · 2:1646% → 66%
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
53.9%
Chris Smith run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+7
52.5%
Chris Smith run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
52.5%
Chris Smith run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
50.6%
Chris Smith run for no gain to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+59
34.1%
Elijah Mitchell run for 59 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0040% → 38%
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
40.3%
Destin Coates run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
42.6%
Destin Coates run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
40.8%
Cornelious Brown run for no gain to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
40.6%
Cornelious Brown pass incomplete to Aubry PayneSimilar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
38.7%
Cornelious Brown pass incomplete to Aubry Payne, broken up by Percy ButlerSimilar
Q3 3:02
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
37.6%
Michael Hayes punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0062% → 60%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
37.7%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy, broken up by Quavian WhiteSimilar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+8
38.1%
Trey Ragas run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 2
OWN 34
-3
36.9%
Levi Lewis run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q3 1:30
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
40.2%
Rhys Byrns punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Quavian White at the GeoSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:1243% → 40%
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
43.3%
Cornelious Brown pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 4 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
43.7%
Destin Coates run for no gain to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 30
-9
41.9%
Cornelious Brown sacked by Lorenzo McCaskill for a loss of 9 yards to the GeoSt 21Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 21
0
39.7%
Michael Hayes punt for 42 yds, downed at the LaLaf 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 26TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 1:4661% → 85%
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
38.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+53
35.7%
Elijah Mitchell run for 53 yds to the GeoSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
33.7%
Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 2Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
15.3%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 27TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:1721% → 55%
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
21.4%
Destin Coates run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
22.1%
Destin Coates run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+11
21.3%
Cornelious Brown run for 11 yds to the GeoSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
23.9%
Cornelious Brown pass incomplete to Roger CarterSimilar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+15
22.9%
Cornelious Brown pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 15 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
25.9%
Destin Coates run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+5
25.9%
Cornelious Brown run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+3
25.7%
Destin Coates run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
27.5%
Cornelious Brown pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoySimilar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+18
27.4%
Cornelious Brown pass complete to Matlin Marshall for 18 yds to the LaLaf 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
27.5%
Destin Coates run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 8Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+4
27.5%
Destin Coates run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 4Similar
Q4 7:37
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+4
55.3%
Destin Coates run for 4 yds for a TD (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 28PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:0056% → 53%
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
44.3%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Pearse MiglSimilar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+36
45.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 36 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
38.1%
Trey Ragas run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 11
OPP 34
-10
38.2%
Ragas,Trey rush for no gain to the GSU34 (Strachan, J.;Marshall, M.), PENALTY LA holding (Vallot,Shane) 10 yards to the GSU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 21
OPP 44
+4
42.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 4 yds to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q4 7:37
3RD & 17
OPP 40
0
44.2%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Dontae Fleming, broken up by Jaylon JonesSimilar
Q4 7:37
4TH & 17
OPP 40
0
46.8%
Rhys Byrns punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0052% → 48%
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
52.0%
Destin Coates run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 10Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 11
OWN 10
0
51.7%
Destin Coates run for no gain to the GeoSt 10Similar
Q4 4:47
3RD & 11
OWN 10
+3
49.4%
Destin Coates run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 13Similar
Q4 4:47
4TH & 8
OWN 13
+16
47.6%
Michael Hayes punt for 48 yds , Eric Garror returns for 16 yds to the GeoSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 30DOWNS
6 plays · -9 yds · 0:4858% → 58%
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
41.6%
Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+4
41.7%
Chris Smith run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 3
OPP 38
-1
39.3%
Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 4
OPP 39
-15
41.6%
Levi Lewis sacked by Hardrick Willis and Jeffery Clark for a loss of 15 yards to the LaLaf 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 31PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0061% → 54%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
61.3%
Destin Coates run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+4
61.0%
Cornelious Brown pass complete to Destin Coates for 4 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 3
OPP 39
0
60.0%
Cornelious Brown pass incomplete to Terrance DixonSimilar
Q4 1:40
4TH & 3
OPP 39
-5
56.9%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q4 1:40
4TH & 8
OPP 44
+1
54.0%
Michael Hayes punt for 35 yds , Eric Garror returns for 1 yd to the LaLaf 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 32END OF 4TH QUARTER
6 plays · 0 yds · 15:4148% → 79%
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
48.3%
Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 13Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+12
64.7%
Cornelious Brown run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
64.7%
Destin Coates run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 8Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 8
0
64.7%
Cornelious Brown run for no gain to the LaLaf 8Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 8
0
62.4%
Cornelious Brown pass incomplete to Terrance DixonSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+15
79.4%
Noel Ruiz 15 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 33TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0029% → 88%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
70.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 19Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+4
70.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
70.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 12Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+12
11.8%
Elijah Mitchell run for 12 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Elijah Mitchell run for 12 yds for a TD
-59.1
TD · Q4 7:37
Destin Coates run for 4 yds for a TD (Noel Ruiz KICK)
+27.8
TD · Q3 10:49
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds for a TD (Noel Ruiz KICK)
+19.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com